The law of BTC bull and bear market
in other words, when this cycle will end and when the next cycle will come is always a riddle, which cannot be fully predicted. This is the same as "tomorrow's K-line", which is always suspense.
2. The index can be divided into six periods: sanniu and Sanxiong. The ration of each bull market is 1.5-2 years, and that of each bear market is about 1.5 years.
how to judge whether the stock market is bull or bear judging the current stage of the stock market from the cycle of economic cycle and analyzing the liquidity inflection point from the perspective of money supply and demand, it is a bit complicated for most retail investors without economic and financial basis when the index or indivial stock rises by 10% from the low price, it will intervene. When the index or indivial stock does not fall by 10% from the high price, it will not sell. After selling the stock, the stock price must rise 10% from the low point again before it can intervene again "when the market drops 16%, the index will drop 21% with 83% probability and 35% with 46% probability; When the market rises by 19%, the index will rise by 29% with a 95% probability and more than 80% with a 50% probability. " this is the haltz rule, that is, the N% rule. This is a pure technical tool. The most important role of technical tools is to confirm rather than predict how to use the N% rule < blockquote > an increase of N% indicates a definite upward trend, while a decrease of N% indicates a definite downward trend for example: recently, the rising index dropped from 3301 to 3044, then rebounded to 3264 and continued to fall. How do we judge the current market according to the N% rule, it fell from 3301 to 3044, with a decrease of about 7.8%, not reaching the range of 10% ~ 20%. We can not judge that it is a bear market. From 3044 to 3264, it began to fall again, with a rebound of about 7%. We can't judge it as a bull market
on indivial stocks, if most stocks double (or cut back), it can also be considered as a bull market (bear market)
the view that bull and bear are different is that the key point is different angles. For example, this time the market fell, many stocks fell by 50-70%, but some people said that this is not a bear market. Can you say what he said is right?