Bitcoin 2020 trends and Prospects

1. bitcoin is different from the previous currency, it completely relies on the Internet to create and trade; Bitcoin's unique technical attributes lead to its economic and cultural attributes beyond the present currency. Bitcoin is a kind of electronic currency proced by open-source P2P software. Compared with the paper currency in circulation, the biggest feature of bitcoin is decentralization and global circulation in the network world, followed by high security and high confidentiality. These technical attributes further extend to the economic attributes of no inflation, no freezing, and no man-made supply; In terms of culture, bitcoin is popular among anarchists and liberals. The advantages of bitcoin are artificially exaggerated, and its anti inflation and anti inflation functions cannot stand up to scrutiny. In the long run, the prospect of bit is hard to match that of gold. In the most optimistic case, it will become a means of payment in some areas; But in the short and medium term, bit still has room for speculation and imagination. In addition, the use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
1. The advantages of bitcoin are exaggerated: About decentralization, no transaction costs and anti inflation
it is true that bitcoin has various advantages over paper money, but these advantages have been over interpreted. First of all, bitcoin is a kind of decentralized currency, which will not have the same risk of central bank controlling money supply and affecting market value as paper money; Bitcoin is mainly held in the hands of large investors, and the market depth is not enough. At present, the trading behavior of large investors is also very easy to affect the price of bitcoin. Even if the attribute of decentralization is regarded as the advantage of bitcoin when it is fully mature, then the prerequisite of holding decentralization should be added. In addition, there are great differences between centralized and decentralized online payment systems in the degree and type of financial risks they are exposed to
secondly, the low transaction cost of bitcoin is not without transaction cost. On the contrary, e to the increasing difficulty of bitcoin mining and the further stability of currency value, the dependence of relevant transaction platforms on transaction cost will increase, which will certainly increase the transaction cost. Finally, the confidentiality of the bitcoin transaction needs to be discussed. The principle of the bitcoin transaction makes all the processes of each bitcoin transaction stored in each machine. If someone can determine the real background of a transaction, they can find all the transactions down and up through these data
compared with other advantages, anti inflation or anti inflation is the most publicized advantage. Although its supply is stable and the upper limit of supply is locked according to its algorithm, unless the whole world is unified and all countries use bits as currency, it can not prevent the over issuance of money only as a means of payment or a storage of value, just as the current existence of gold can not constrain the growth of each country's currency. If bits can only be used as a means of payment in local areas (such as the network), then global or some countries' inflation will still be transmitted to the areas where bits are used. Therefore, the use of bits to prevent inflation is basically untenable, or has a strong premise. As for anti inflation, that is to say, it has the function of value storage, it needs to have the property similar to gold. However, from the reality, bit's essential property and prospect are still hard to match gold. See below for details
2. Bitcoin's future positioning is too high
the expectation of bitcoin's future in the market generally compares it with gold and US dollar, which is relatively high. The recognition of gold not only lies in its natural physical properties, but also in its official acceptance as a reserve currency (or an important allocation of foreign exchange assets). In theory, bitcoin as an electronic currency does not have the unique and exclusive status, and it is more difficult to become the official reserve of central banks like gold. Therefore, it is not appropriate to expect too much bit. As an electronic currency, bit has the first mover advantage. If it can be guaranteed in terms of security, its most optimistic prospect will be as a means of payment in local areas
3. Speculation and speculative demand caused by event factors are the main reasons for the rise of bitcoin in this round
under the credit currency system, people's lack of confidence in the currencies of various countries and pessimistic economic prospects are the general environment for the rise of bitcoin in this round. The speculation of the major dealers in the market and the derivatives market of bitcoin, together with the speculative psychology of the participants, further accelerated its rise. Btcchina's investment of US $5 million and the announcement of Ben's position are the main driving factors for the recent surge
however, a lot of big players start to enter the market and buy a lot, which not only drives the bit price up to a high level, but also increases the market risk. Chamath, a former Facebook executive, has spent $5 million on bitcoin and plans to spend another $10 million. Bitcoin investment trust also exceeded its target within four weeks, raising $15 million. These people's investments not only make bitcoin further rise, but also concentrate on the holding of bitcoin, which strengthens the influence of indivials and institutions on the price of bitcoin and increases the market risk
4. There is still strong room for speculation in the medium and short term
although our previous analysis is not optimistic about the prospect of bit, it is likely that bit will still have strong room for speculation in such a short and medium term period of time as one year. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the creators of bitcoin advocate that the generation of bitcoin is not manipulated by human factors, which is quite different from the credit currencies of various countries. We expect that the monetary policies of major countries will be divided next year. With the release of economic risks and the heavy damage to traditional asset markets, bitcoin will have better room for speculation and imagination< The use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
the U.S. government seized the drug trading website "Silk Road" at the beginning of last month. A crowdfunding network called "assassination market" even marked the sale of murderers with bitcoin price. The founder of the assassin market, under the pseudonym of kuwabatake Sanjuro, is an extreme anarchist. Both prism gate incident and the use of bitcoin in relevant sensitive fields highlight the increasingly prominent position of information field in national security. The Third Plenary Session proposed the establishment of the national security committee, which will play an important role in China's security strategy and expand from traditional national defense, stability maintenance / urban security to information security and other emerging areas

2.

In terms of technological innovation, people who know blockchain are very supportive; About the future trend of bitcoin, as the earliest blockchain proct, it has been basically in the market. As for how big a pie there will be in the future, you can see my share

[John McPhee, the head of IBM and the board of directors of PayPal all predict that bitcoin will reach $1 million]

in recent days, the market has slowed down temporarily. However, this has not deterred investors. As previously reported, although some bearish pressure is forming, bulls have responded well and kept prices stable

since bitcoin failed to break through $5450, bitcoin bulls have kept the price above $5000. Recently, after a stable weekend, there was almost no report on the price trend, and the market rose appropriately. Now all attention is turning to $5200 as the next key target, and finally retesting the resistance level of $5450

as of April 15, the marginal revenue of bitcoin was less than 2%, and the transaction price was $5160. Earlier in the day, it had risen to a high of $5193, but failed to reach the target of $5200

Then bitcoin fell back to US $5157. The high degree of stability and flexibility that bulls maintain and push prices up shows how strong the current bull market is. As long as bitcoin can remain above $5000 and avoid a sharp correction, the bullish trend will continue to get more support and push prices higher

the price of bitcoin (BTC) will reach $1 million

a few weeks after PayPal first invested in blockchain technology, its latest board of directors made a bold price forecast for bitcoin. Wences Casares, a member of PayPal's board, said bitcoin could reach $1 million in the next 10 years. IBM blockchain & amp; Jesse Lund and John McAfee, directors of digital currency, have also made such predictions, which many believe are overconfident

in my (subjective) opinion, the chance of success is at least 50%. If bitcoin really succeeds, a bitcoin could be worth more than $1 million in seven to 10 years

the growth of bitcoin has driven Shanzhai coin

with the rise of bitcoin, most Shanzhai coins are also rising. Although the income is relatively low, most Shanzhai coins have about 1% to 4% income, but this growth is likely to continue

before the deadline, lightcoin's LTC was one of the best performing currencies. In the past few weeks, the performance of this coin has been extraordinary, which seems to determine the price trend of Shanzhai coin again

XRP and eth are also on the rise, but the marginal returns are 0.30% and 1.26% respectively. XRP's short-term goal is to return above $0.33, and its long-term goal is above $0.4. On the other hand, ETH hopes to climb back to more than $170, becoming its next target, and its preferred position is more than $190

3. Who knows, what we have to do now is to find a chance to get on the bus. I copied the bottom at about 28000 in Bitz and intend to hold it all the time

4. At present, bitcoin is in a state of shock and sideways. Recently, bitcoin has rebounded slightly. I will go to Matcha MXC later and sell a few bitcoins that I bought in the last few days.

5. Uncontrolled virtual currency is intolerable to any sovereign state
blockchain is a good thing, but it must run in a controlled environment
bitcoin will die sooner or later.

6.

We know that this is an era of high economic development. More and more people begin to pay attention to the self-development of the economy. At the same time, they are willing to put their spare funds into other instries to make money. This is a way to make future investment or risk aversion, After all, people are full of many factors for the instability of the market, such as a wave of new epidemic action in 2020. So what's the next step for bitcoin to reach a new high in 2020{ RRRRR}

3. For companies that issue bitcoin, it will have a very good development< p> Finally, for companies that issue bitcoin, this is a very good development, because the more people hold bitcoin, the higher the market value and price of the company

7. In the long run, the current price of bitcoin is still at a low level. With the increasing demand for bitcoin from investors in the world and the limited total amount of bitcoin, its price will also be higher and higher. Therefore, it is suggested that if there is spare money, you can invest a little. Maybe after retirement, it will be a sum of money for the elderly

from the moment bitcoin proced value to the sky high price of nearly $20000 gold, bitcoin rose by tens of thousands of times ring this period, which also created a lot of people's freedom of wealth. Most investors love and hate bitcoin. They love speculative property, and they have no limit to the rise and fall. They hate to be unable to analyze the market and make profits in the market

so why is it still suitable to buy bitcoin in 2020

1. The third proction rection

in May, bitcoin reced its proction for the third time. Under the hype of the proction rection market, the third proction rection of bitcoin brought confidence to most investors in the market, but the price did not change significantly

judging from the market, bitcoin is leading the rise of other financial procts under the same conditions. It dropped to $3800 in March, and then rose all the way to about $10000, walking out of the V-shaped reversal

the V-shaped reversal is not easy. After all, the previous market had to be sorted out for several months before going up. This also illustrates the purchasing power of bitcoin in the market

moreover, after halving, the amount of bitcoin g up by the miners has graally decreased. In addition to the lost bitcoin, there are not many bitcoins in circulation in the market, and the bitcoin market is a market brought about by demand. With many external factors, many investors want to use bitcoin for risk hedging, and the liquidity of the market is expanding step by step<

2. Institutions bought a lot

after halving, gray alone increased its holdings of 18910 bitcoins, while after halving, the miners only mined 12337 bitcoins, indicating that the number of gray holdings increased was 150% of the total mining amount of miners in the same period

in addition to institutions, some celebrities have also publicly expressed their desire to buy bitcoin. For example, the author of "poor dad, rich dad" tweeted the reason why he wanted to invest in bitcoin. Before that, he repeatedly said that with the continuous release of water from the Federal Reserve, bitcoin may become a good hedging tool to deal with the current financial crisis

with the entry of specialized institutional teams, bitcoin has been known by more and more people, and its value has also been understood by more and more people< 3. Bitcoin leads the global financial asset growth

the secondary market of bitcoin is huge, with the number of new addresses and active addresses increasing every day. There are many people who know about bitcoin but don't enter the market

the massive entry of foreign institutions leads to the concentration of some chips. In this process, it is not only the transfer of chips, but also the transfer of price rights.

8. The sharp rise and fall of digital currency is closely related to three aspects:
1. The number of investors (players). Only when more players are involved, can the digital currency have sustained internal momentum. Due to the large circulation of Ruibo currency, more, high-quality and powerful investors are needed to join in order to have more appreciation space
2. Affected by the global (International and domestic) investment environment. As we all know, digital currency investment is a high-risk investment or speculative investment. If the real estate instry or other fields develop stably, I believe many investors will choose the latter. If the stock market, real estate, futures and other fields pick up in 2020, I believe that the bear market in the field of digital currency will continue, but the periodic small rise and fall need to be grasped
3. With a large circulation of reborn currency, it is unlikely that a big banker will control the stock market, but it is a fatal injury to digital assets with a small circulation
at present, Ruibo currency is the currency with the most stable rise and fall in the currency circle. There are no big ups and downs. The trend in 2020 also depends on the big investment environment. At present, the overall economic development is relatively decadent, so the currency circle should not have too much rise. It is also a good choice to grasp the stage in time. The above is only personal views, not for investment reference.