Bitcoin halving and digging profits
Based on these two situations, price fluctuation seems to occur within 18 months after each halving. However, the data is still insufficient for proper analysis and price forecasting model
Will history repeat itself< p> It is important to note that in terms of the number of bitcoin holders, market value, regulations and the overall outlook for cryptocurrency, there are huge differences between 2012, 2016 and 2020. For example:market value: November 2016 - & gt; $11 billion, December 2019 - $132 billion
daily trading volume: November 2016 - & gt; 84 million US dollars, December 2019 - 17 billion US dollars
e to the increased public awareness of bitcoin and the interest of institutional investors, the risk is higher this time. Although many other cryptocurrencies have been introced since 2016, BTC's dominant position is still 66.6%. As a result, the bitcoin miner is unlikely to switch to other coins, which means that halving may have a long-term impact on bitcoin prices
However, the main gain is that there is a certain correlation between the halving of bitcoin reward and the price fluctuation after the event. These supply changes happen every four years, and it's interesting to watch their impact on the price of the bitcoinIt's about 37 yuan
let me first introce the reward mechanism of bitcoin system
bitcoin can basically dig out a block every 10 minutes through system settings. The reward for each block is given to the miners who dig out the block. The miner who digs out the block is called the block miner. The block miner will record the legal transactions in the bitcoin network to the blockchain, so that the miner can receive the service charge for bookkeeping
there are two parts in the reward for the block Miner: one part is the reward given by the system, which is called coinbase reward (also known as system issuance reward), the other part is the reward for bookkeeping, which is called miner's fee. The coinbase reward started with 50 bitcoins. For every integral multiple of 210000 blocks, the coinbase reward will be halved. This is what we often hear about bitcoin mining reward halved in four years
at the present stage, the reward of coinbase is 12.5 bitcoins. At the present stage, the average transaction miner fee received by miners for digging out a block is about 0.1 bitcoin (not fixed), that is to say, the average reward received by miners for digging out a block is about 12.6 bitcoin
about 99% of miners' rewards come from the system's coinbase rewards. According to the bitcoin system, one block can be g out every 10 minutes on average. The number of new blocks that can be g out in one day is 144 (60 * 24 / 10 = 144). At present, the number of bitcoins that can be g out every day is 1800btc (144 * 12.5btc = 1800btc). With the miner's fee of about 0.1btc per block, the total reward for all miners in one day is about 1814.4btc

You can't dig in a day. It takes 2000 years
the global unified computing difficulty of bitcoin is 2621404453 (expected to change in two days). It takes more than 2000 years for a 2.5GHz CPU to work out a bitcoin
in order to make the graphics card fully loaded for a long time, the power consumption will be quite high, and the electricity bill will be higher and higher. Many professional mines at home and abroad are operated in areas with extremely low electricity charges, such as hydropower stations, while more users can only mine at home or in ordinary mines, so the electricity charges are not cheap. Even in a certain residential area in Yunnan, there was a case of crazy mining, which led to a large area trip of the residential area, and the transformer was burned
extended data:
bitcoin network generates new bitcoin through "mining". In essence, the so-called "mining" is to use computers to solve a complex mathematical problem to ensure the consistency of bitcoin network distributed accounting system
bitcoin network will automatically adjust the difficulty of mathematical problems, so that the whole network can get a qualified answer about every 10 minutes. Then bitcoin network will generate a certain amount of bitcoin as block reward to reward the person who gets the answer
when bitcoin was born in 2009, block rewards were 50 bitcoins. Ten minutes after its birth, the first 50 bitcoins were generated, and the total amount of money at this time is 50. Then bitcoin grew at a rate of about 50 every 10 minutes. When the total amount reaches 10.5 million (50% of 21 million), the block reward will be halved to 25
when the total amount reaches 15.75 million (5.25 million new output, i.e. 50% of 1050), the block reward will be further halved to 12.5. The monetary system used to have no more than 10.5 million in four years, after which the total number will be permanently limited to about 21 million
Development:
1. Bitcoin (bitcoin) is a kind of network virtual currency, which can buy real-life goods. It is characterized by decentralization, anonymity, and can only be used in the digital world. It does not belong to any country or financial institution, and is not subject to geographical restrictions. It can be exchanged anywhere in the world. Therefore, it is used as a money laundering tool by some criminals. In 2013, the U.S. government recognized the legal status of bitcoin, making the price of bitcoin soar. In China, on November 19, 2013, a bitcoin was equivalent to 6989 yuan
2. On January 7, 2014, Taobao announced that it would ban the sale of Internet virtual currencies such as bitcoin and lightcoin from January 14. West Virginia Democratic Senator Joe; On February 26, 2014, Joe Manchin issued an open letter to a number of regulatory authorities of the US federal government, hoping that relevant institutions would pay attention to the current situation of bitcoin encouraging illegal activities and disrupting the financial order, and demanded that actions be taken as soon as possible to completely ban the electronic currency. On January 11, 2017), the Shanghai headquarters of the people's Bank of China and the Shanghai Municipal Finance Office carried out on-site inspection of bitcoin China.
2020 is the first year of digital currency proction rection. Most currencies will achieve the first proction rection this year, while bitcoin will usher in the third proction rection cycle. And the market is generally high on the halving market, it is expected that this year will usher in a wave of bull market, and the logic behind it is very clear. From the perspective of historical experience, this has already formed a more extensive "consensus" in the circle of cryptocurrency
secondly, bitcoin, known as "digital gold", is recognized by more and more funds for its risk aversion, which indirectly pushes up its price. At present, in addition to bitcoin, which has the most influence, BCH, BSV, etc, dash and other currencies are the most concerned. Dozens of counterfeit currencies have chosen to be halved in 2020. Therefore, 2020 is also known as the first year of halving
what is half bitcoin
bitcoin halving means that the reward for procing new blocks is halved about every four years. This means that after halving, the corresponding bitcoin reward for each block proced is only half of the reward before halving. At present, bitcoin has been halved twice, respectively in November 2012 and July 2016. The third half of bitcoin is expected to take place on May 13, 2020. By that time, bitcoin will be halved from 12.5 blocks to 6.25 blocks
half block reward means that it will take longer for all bitcoins to enter circulation, but it also means that mining will proce fewer and fewer new bitcoins. Moreover, e to its limited supply and increased mining difficulty, its scarcity attribute becomes more and more obvious, and scarcity will directly enhance the value. As the saying goes, scarcity is more expensive! For bitcoin, there is no doubt that this is a very big advantage
buying bitcoin in 2020 is better than buying bitcoin ETF fund
3, bitcoin current price 10000x4 = US $40000 (expected price after this year's proction rection)
in this period, the return comparison between holding spot and ETF fund is as follows:
1, buying spot holding, earning three times
2, buying ETF fund, Up to 15 times (intelligent position adjustment + fund compound interest calculation)
there is no doubt that bitcoin ETF launched by bitoffer is the best investment choice
