Bitcoin investment analysis scheme template
1. The advantages of bitcoin are exaggerated: About decentralization, no transaction costs and anti inflation
it is true that bitcoin has various advantages over paper money, but these advantages have been over interpreted. First of all, bitcoin is a kind of decentralized currency, which will not have the same risk of central bank controlling money supply and affecting market value as paper money; Bitcoin is mainly held in the hands of large investors, and the market depth is not enough. At present, the trading behavior of large investors is also very easy to affect the price of bitcoin. Even if the attribute of decentralization is regarded as the advantage of bitcoin when it is fully mature, then the prerequisite of holding decentralization should be added. In addition, there are great differences between centralized and decentralized online payment systems in the degree and type of financial risks they are exposed to
secondly, the low transaction cost of bitcoin is not without transaction cost. On the contrary, e to the increasing difficulty of bitcoin mining and the further stability of currency value, the dependence of relevant transaction platforms on transaction cost will increase, which will certainly increase the transaction cost. Finally, the confidentiality of the bitcoin transaction needs to be discussed. The principle of the bitcoin transaction makes all the processes of each bitcoin transaction stored in each machine. If someone can determine the real background of a transaction, they can find all the transactions down and up through these data
compared with other advantages, anti inflation or anti inflation is the most publicized advantage. Although its supply is stable and the upper limit of supply is locked according to its algorithm, unless the whole world is unified and all countries use bits as currency, it can not prevent the over issuance of money only as a means of payment or a storage of value, just as the current existence of gold can not constrain the growth of each country's currency. If bits can only be used as a means of payment in local areas (such as the network), then global or some countries' inflation will still be transmitted to the areas where bits are used. Therefore, the use of bits to prevent inflation is basically untenable, or has a strong premise. As for anti inflation, that is to say, it has the function of value storage, it needs to have the property similar to gold. However, from the reality, bit's essential property and prospect are still hard to match gold. See below for details
2. Bitcoin's future positioning is too high
the expectation of bitcoin's future in the market generally compares it with gold and US dollar, which is relatively high. The recognition of gold not only lies in its natural physical properties, but also in its official acceptance as a reserve currency (or an important allocation of foreign exchange assets). In theory, bitcoin as an electronic currency does not have the unique and exclusive status, and it is more difficult to become the official reserve of central banks like gold. Therefore, it is not appropriate to expect too much bit. As an electronic currency, bit has the first mover advantage. If it can be guaranteed in terms of security, its most optimistic prospect will be as a means of payment in local areas
3. Speculation and speculative demand caused by event factors are the main reasons for the rise of bitcoin in this round
under the credit currency system, people's lack of confidence in the currencies of various countries and pessimistic economic prospects are the general environment for the rise of bitcoin in this round. The speculation of the major dealers in the market and the derivatives market of bitcoin, together with the speculative psychology of the participants, further accelerated its rise. Btcchina's investment of US $5 million and the announcement of Ben's position are the main driving factors for the recent surge
however, a lot of big players start to enter the market and buy a lot, which not only drives the bit price up to a high level, but also increases the market risk. Chamath, a former Facebook executive, has spent $5 million on bitcoin and plans to spend another $10 million. Bitcoin investment trust also exceeded its target within four weeks, raising $15 million. These people's investments not only make bitcoin further rise, but also concentrate on the holding of bitcoin, which strengthens the influence of indivials and institutions on the price of bitcoin and increases the market risk
4. There is still strong room for speculation in the medium and short term
although our previous analysis is not optimistic about the prospect of bit, it is likely that bit will still have strong room for speculation in such a short and medium term period of time as one year. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the creators of bitcoin advocate that the generation of bitcoin is not manipulated by human factors, which is quite different from the credit currencies of various countries. We expect that the monetary policies of major countries will be divided next year. With the release of economic risks and the heavy damage to traditional asset markets, bitcoin will have better room for speculation and imagination< The use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
the U.S. government seized the drug trading website "Silk Road" at the beginning of last month. A crowdfunding network called "assassination market" even marked the sale of murderers with bitcoin price. The founder of the assassin market, under the pseudonym of kuwabatake Sanjuro, is an extreme anarchist. Both prism gate incident and the use of bitcoin in relevant sensitive fields highlight the increasingly prominent position of information field in national security. The Third Plenary Session proposed the establishment of the national security committee, which will play an important role in China's security strategy and expand from traditional national defense, stability maintenance / urban security to information security and other emerging areas
1 China bitcoin trading platform, after entering the website, register
2, after successful registration, you can buy and sell bitcoin. Under the trading function, you can buy and sell bitcoin, manage the entrustment and query the trading operation. Under the account management, you can transfer in and out bitcoin, Transfer in and transfer out of RMB
3 RMB recharge and withdrawal support a variety of ways, and the handling charge is relatively high, and the limits and handling charges of various ways are different
4 the transfer in and transfer out of bitcoin refers to the transfer of bitcoin between the trading platform and the bitcoin wallet. The bitcoin wallet needs to be downloaded from the bitcoin official website, and the data needs to be synchronized after downloading and installing, The current packet size is about 8.5g, which takes a long time to synchronize. For friends with small investment, you can skip it. After the installation of bitcoin wallet, there will be a default acceptance address, which can be pasted when the trading platform withdraws bitcoin, while recharging is a reverse operation. The trading platform will give you an address
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the transaction of bitcoin needs to pay a certain handling fee. The transaction handling fee of bitcoin China is 0.3%, which is equivalent to the upper limit of the Commission of stock transaction. In the trading platform, there is the latest trading data, also can refer to btc123, the market data is more intuitive. Bitcoin trading is different from securities trading. There is no limit to the rise and fall of bitcoin, and it trades 24 hours a day. The whole market plate is small, and it is easy to be controlled by the makers, and it may also be attacked by hackers. Therefore, the risk is huge. It is recommended to invest cautiously. Novices had better understand the relevant concepts first If you don't want to put the website, please search by yourself]
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When you heard that many people who bought bitcoin got rich overnight, Japan also legislated to accept bitcoin, and then the major businesses supported bitcoin payment... You also have grass in your heart. Although I don't know what this coin is, it seems to make a lot of money. Do you want to buy it for two yuan
With a wave of his hand, Mr. Nakamoto, you guys need not worry. In order to make money... Oh no, in order to save the economic crisis, I have already considered this small matter carefully. In order to ensure the authenticity and quantity of each coin, each of us has a small notebook. On this magical notebook, you can see the birth of each coin, and everyone is a witness. At the same time, for the sake of safety, our notebook also has a very cool function, which is to have an invisible lock. You can only see it, but you can't change it. This kind of bitcoin has authenticity and authorityat the same time, you can rest assured that bitcoin will not be used in vain. I have found many "bricks" of mainstream economics, analyzed bitcoin and predicted that it will become the mainstream currency in the future. Now you can dig (Jian) currency without spending a cent, and you can wait for the currency to appreciate. Isn't it super good
this boasting, we listen to the bious, some people go to dig (Jian) money, some keep watching. At this time, Nakamoto took action. In 2014, he secretly united with American e-commerce giants such as eBay, airbnb and Uber, which began to accept bitcoin payment. Since then, the bitcoin market has really begun. Many people know that there is money coming in vain, and they also begin to join the ranks of coin digging. However, the number of people is still small, and there are not many coins g up
until 2017, when the blackmail virus incident occurred and the whole world suffered from large-scale network virus attacks, the poisoning unit had only two choices, either waiting for the computer to GG and the data disappeared, or paying about RMB 2069 bitcoin to unlock
this made bitcoin instantly become global famous. At the same time, all units had no choice but to buy coins. At this time, the brothers who had been digging for (Jian) coins for five or six years had a collective climax. There were so many coins. You want to buy them, right. In this way, the value of pure virtual bitcoin without real value soared to $2151 / piece
since then, as you have heard, XXX has accumulated more than n bitcoins, which have soared ten thousand times and become rich overnight
up to now, the creator of bitcoin, Nakamoto Tsung, has become a fan of identity, but bitcoin is still not accepted by most countries, including China. At present, bitcoin's high trading volume is also an illusion. Most of them are bad speculators. Through high-frequency trading, they create an illusion to attract investors' attention. This practice is equivalent to Taobao's swiping orders
for you who want to invest, you still need to clarify some things
1. Bitcoin is not restricted by law, and of course it is not protected. Once your trading platform is attacked by hackers, your currency will be lost, there will be no place to find it, and there will be no place to reason Many people go to the rooftop)
2. The fluctuation is very great. You only see a ten thousand fold increase, but not a half drop overnight P>
3, bitcoin has no issuer. In today's financial world, the currency of no issuer is worthless, and the bubble economy may collapse at any time. p>
the last word of advice: don't touch bitcoin as a rookie, or the old bird will speculate and run when they earn money, otherwise they will be sad
for application examples, you can search: cross border remittance application bitpesa in-depth evaluation