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What will bitcoin rise bring

Publish: 2021-05-09 19:50:17
1. Reasons for the rise: 1. Self: Decentralization (institutions can't freeze your bitcoin), difficulty in cracking, and certain anonymity. 2. When social problems occur, people worry about the preservation of traditional currency: for example, in 2013, in order to obtain the EU's 10 billion euro emergency aid loan, the government of Cyprus will levy a deposit tax on local bank depositors. In order to avoid policy risks, the public scrambled to change their currency into bitcoin. Then it spread to many countries in the euro area. It triggered bitcoin's first massive rise. For example, the new crown black swan event in 2020, the global "big water release" (negative interest rate), the decline of the influence of the US dollar, and the people and the government need the means to maintain the value of assets. 3. With the popularity of blockchain, a large number of institutions have entered the market. Traditional financial institutions, listed companies, and paypal have all promoted the rise of bitcoin. However, e to the limited supply, the demand has increased greatly, which has promoted the price rise.
2.

The sharp rise of bitcoin is expected, so for bitcoin, the result of the sharp rise is that some people make money and some people lose money, but no one thinks about the deeper result. For the deeper result, there will be problems affecting the world economy and the world environment. Therefore, the sharp rise of bitcoin may not be a good thing for human beings, Maybe it will be a devastating problem. Now let me talk about my thoughts and opinions on this matter for reference only

problem analysis

the soaring of bitcoin actually reflects the bad market economy. When the bad market is more serious, bitcoin may rise more, but in the end, when the economy is over, who will take over bitcoin? How do you know you're not the last one? So there are these problems behind the rapid rise of bitcoin, and these problems are closely related to people's lives. We should think about them calmly. The above are my personal views and ideas, for reference only

3.

Bitcoin burst in one day, and the price of 3.7 billion bitcoin keeps rising. For those large holders, they don't care, because the price rise of bitcoin is related to them, they buy a lot, which leads to the price rise, but it has an impact on retail investors

if you also like to invest, you can consider the fund, because although the fund is in the summer now, you have to say that it is a time when it can make a bottom. As for whether this is the real bottom, I don't know. However, the risk of the fund is much lower than that of the special currency, and the risk of the stock is higher, However, the stock trading system has been mature, it does not have so many trading risks, at most is the risk of price changes

4. Price evaluation should be carried out. If the value exceeds 3000 yuan, it is suspected of fraud and sentenced to fixed-term imprisonment of not more than three years
if it is less than 3000 yuan, it does not constitute a crime and cannot be sentenced.
5.

bitcoin has not experienced big ups and falls for several days, and it may have much to do with the bubble of the market. Tesla's float is up to 990 million US dollars, or about 6 billion 400 million yuan. Some people really like this price, while others worry about it. After all, some people have made a lot of money in bitcoin, but some people think that the bubble will always be broken. The high price now does not know what will bring serious consequences. p> Third, the price of bitcoin can not be sustained< p> JPMorgan team believes that bitcoin's surge since January this year seems to be more affected by speculative capital flows. Analysts at the bank pointed out that in the past five months, the total institutional inflow was only about $11 billion, but the market value of bitcoin increased by about $700 billion. According to Xinhua news agency, JP Morgan believes that from the perspective of risk assets, the reasonable price range of bitcoin is $11000 to $25000. The price of $25000 has reflected the long-term acceptance of bitcoin by institutions, and the current price of more than $50000 is unsustainable

6.

we need to understand that the rise of bitcoin has a great impact on the economy, which mainly lies in the macro economy

when some people mention bitcoin, they may think that bitcoin is a fraud, while others believe it. No matter what the point of view is, the current price of bitcoin is very high, and it has a large number of fans. I personally hold a negative attitude towards bitcoin. Here are my personal views

bitcoin is indeed rising at present

I remember in 2000, when the price of bitcoin was only a few dollars, now the price of bitcoin has risen to 50000 dollars, which can be said to have increased thousands of times. In this case, it is difficult not to shake one's faith. Some people feel that they have missed the gold draught of bitcoin, while others feel that the bubble of bitcoin will eventually burst . RRRRR}

7. Bitcoin blockchain is the largest public chain in the world, and after years of development, it has proved its technical feasibility and stability, which also shows its technical value.
8.

I think there are three reasons for bitcoin's continuous rise

I. imbalance between supply and demand

in terms of demand, the output of bitcoin is designed to be only 21 million pieces, and the output is halved every four years. More and more people want to own bitcoin, and the imbalance between supply and demand leads to the soaring price of bitcoin. In addition, the mining machine will be replaced in four years. With the annual electricity charge unchanged, the mining cost of bitcoin will be doubled, and the price of bitcoin will be higher than the mining cost for a long time

in 2020, the total money supply of eight developed economies, including the United States, China, Europe and Japan, will reach 14 trillion US dollars this year. In addition, the total amount of money in the world's 12 largest economies has exploded to $94.8 trillion. You know, this is an astronomical number. In 2016, the total global money supply was only $60 trillion

2020 can be said to be the year of global water release, but there is even worse news that a new round of global water release in 2021 is on the way. Recently, in order to stabilize the financial market, Europe and the United States have released a huge amount of water again. The European Central Bank has released another 500 billion euros, and the US $900 billion economic stimulus plan has been signed and implemented. According to the prediction of Morgan Stanley, a world-famous investment bank, in the next two years, the scale of money printing of the four major banks in the world, namely, the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England, will be as high as US $5 trillion, and US $5 trillion in RMB will be US $32 trillion. In the past few decades, the total scale of water release of the four central banks will be US $25 trillion. Let's think about the volume of this wave of water release

9.

In just 10 days, bitcoin has been in two crash market< every time bitcoin goes up and down, it increases the risk of speculators on April 23, bitcoin plummeted for the second time. In a single day, more than 500000 people burst their positions, and more than 20 billion yuan of funds disappeared

"bitcoin starts serial killing." A person in the instry said that according to the fluctuation of bitcoin, unless there is no leverage at all, the assets of those who are leveraged will be destroyed, and whether they are short or long, the lack of collateral will be forced to level off

bitcoin, with its high popularity, has also caused many voices recently. In April 25th, Liu Shengjun, Dean of the Institute of financial reform, bluntly pointed out that the bitcoin is utopia and has entered the final stage of "self entertaining" bubble at the 12th anniversary Festival and the financial planners summit. p>

"whether bitcoin will enter the final stage is still unknown, but bitcoin is really entertaining itself. There are at least two risks in investing in bitcoin in the future. First, the emergence of a strong enough digital currency will overturn the rules of bitcoin's game; Second, the change of regulatory rules will deeply affect its market development. " Li Quan commented

relevant national departments strengthen the supervision of bitcoin

at the same time, bitcoin plummeted, a strong supervision storm about virtual currency is also coming

in recent days, the CIRC and the central bank have made intensive voice to strengthen the risk warning of virtual currency respectively. Among them, the CIRC has stressed that it will pay close attention to the new risks under the banner of blockchain, virtual currency and debt service, and the central bank will also strengthen the risk prevention and disposal in view of the new methods and new problems such as using virtual currency and blockchain technology to evade traceability

above refer to China Youth Daily - ten days, 26% bitcoin bubble will be broken? p>

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