Regulatory consequences of bitcoin in 2018

1. In order to protect the property rights and interests of the public, protect the legal tender status of RMB, prevent the risk of money laundering, and maintain financial stability, the people's Bank of China, the Ministry of instry and information technology, China Banking Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, and the Recently, China Insurance Regulatory Commission jointly issued the notice of the Ministry of instry and information technology of the people's Bank of China, China Banking Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission and China Insurance Regulatory Commission on the prevention of bitcoin risk (YF [2013] No. 289, hereinafter referred to as the "notice")

the notice defines the nature of bitcoin, and holds that bitcoin is not issued by the monetary authority, has no monetary attributes such as legal compensation and compulsion, and is not a real currency. In terms of nature, bitcoin is a specific virtual commodity, which does not have the same legal status as currency and cannot and should not be used as currency in the market. However, bitcoin trading as a commodity trading behavior on the Internet, ordinary people have the freedom to participate at their own risk

the notice requires that at this stage, all financial institutions and Payment institutions shall not price procts or services with bitcoin, buy or sell bitcoin as a central counterparties, underwrite insurance business related to bitcoin or include bitcoin into the scope of insurance liability, and provide other bitcoin related services to customers directly or indirectly, Including: providing bitcoin registration, trading, clearing, settlement and other services for customers; Accept bitcoin or use bitcoin as a payment and settlement tool; Carry out bitcoin and RMB and foreign currency exchange services; Carry out bitcoin storage, custody, mortgage and other services; Issuing financial procts related to bitcoin; Take bitcoin as the investment target of trust, fund, etc

according to the notice, the bitcoin Internet website, as the main trading platform of bitcoin, shall be filed with the telecommunications administration according to the provisions of the Telecommunications Regulations of the people's Republic of China and the measures for the administration of Internet information services. At the same time, in view of bitcoin's high risk of money laundering and being used by criminals, the notice requires relevant institutions to perform the legal anti money laundering obligations such as customer identification and suspicious transaction report in accordance with the anti money laundering law of the people's Republic of China, so as to effectively prevent the money laundering risks related to bitcoin

in order to avoid excessive speculation of virtual commodities such as bitcoin in the name of "virtual currency" and damage the public interest and the legal tender status of RMB, the circular requires financial institutions and Payment institutions to correctly use the concept of currency in their daily work, pay attention to strengthening the ecation of the public's knowledge of currency, and correctly understand the concept of currency The concept of correctly treating virtual commodity and virtual currency, rational investment, reasonable control of investment risk, and maintenance of their own property security should be included in the content of financial knowledge popularization activities, so as to guide the public to establish a correct concept of currency and investment

in the future, the people's Bank of China will continue to pay close attention to the trend and related risks of bitcoin based on its own responsibilities End)

bitcoin home has an interpretation.

2. As a financial technology enthusiast, kuanke online Xiaobian, I think, there are several major factors to promote
1, the short-term factors that determine the price: supply and demand and market sentiment
the relationship between supply and demand means that if the amount of money spent on buying bitcoin is more than that spent on selling bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will rise. If more people buy bitcoin, it will rise
market sentiment refers to the views of the market and the media on the price trend of bitcoin at that time. When many people strongly see bitcoin, the market sentiment is confident, and the price of bitcoin will rise rapidly. If the media makes pessimistic reports on the price of bitcoin, it will affect people's confidence and lead people to sell bitcoin, and the price of bitcoin will fall
2, the medium-term factors that determine the price: policy, news and mining cost
on the policy side, it is the policy attitude of governments towards bitcoin. For example, the recent crackdown and regulation of bitcoin by the South Korean government has led to a sharp drop in the price of bitcoin in the near future. If more and more countries support and encourage the development of bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will be higher and higher. On the contrary, if many countries begin to suppress bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will continue to fall
on the news side, there are some important things in the bitcoin instry. For example, around December, the two major stock exchanges in the United States launched bitcoin futures, which are good for bitcoin and directly push the price of bitcoin up to about $20000
mining cost is the cost of bitcoin miners using machines to dig out bitcoin. At present, the cost of digging out a bitcoin is about 12000 US dollars, so it is difficult for the price of bitcoin to fall below 12000 US dollars. Mining cost is the bottom line of bitcoin price. With the continuous increase of mining costs, the reason is that more competitors enter the mining field, especially many large institutions, companies and countries
3 determines the long-term price factors: the US dollar trend, the global bubble, the official digital currency, and the block chain technology.
the trend of the US dollar. According to the personal analysis data, the US dollar will weaken in the next few years, which means that the global monetary system with us dollar as the world currency in the past will be rebuilt. The rise and future of bitcoin is to assume the identity and mission of the world currency
global bubble. Since the United States abolished the gold standard Bretton Woods system in 70s, many countries in the United States have been printing banknote printing machines. The bubble of currency has caused the global economic bubble and asset bubble. The global economic crisis triggered by the US subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 is the crisis triggered by the currency bubble. At present, the global economic bubble and asset bubble have reached the critical point of collapse. The birth of bitcoin was e to the reason of the currency bubble, which made people no longer believe in the currency of national credit, and began to believe and recognize bitcoin.
official digital currency, countries around the world have begun to prepare to issue official digital currency, that is, digital currency issued by countries. Venezuela has issued a national level digital currency - Petroleum currency. Israel is preparing to issue it, Russia is also preparing to issue it, and the Japanese government is issuing it. 2018 will become the first year of the global official digital currency. The accelerated launch of official digital currency and its increasing popularity show that the value of bitcoin as internet currency is unlimited.

3. Bitcoin can be regulated
however, it has not been fully and effectively regulated at present (as of March 6, 2019)
if we understand bitcoin as a kind of "currency", then it is equivalent to US dollars leaving the United States. Usually, after the US dollar leaves the United States, banks in other countries will help manage it. However, it is impossible to count the scattered us dollars that are neither in the United States nor in the hands of banks and other financial institutions. For example, in some areas of Africa where there are no banks, the US dollar is used
these scattered us dollars are equivalent to bitcoin
how to regulate these scattered us dollars
generally, in addition to controlling the issuance of US dollars, US dollar regulation also controls the circulation and usage ports. The Federal Reserve controls the number of new currencies issued each year according to the flow and damage of dollars abroad. At the same time, we should supervise the inflow and outflow of US dollars, so as to keep us dollars in an environment that can be roughly traced, so as to facilitate the issuers to count the total amount, so as to avoid excessive inflation or deflation
in fact, these scattered us dollars exist in some deregulated environments. Although they are out of control, they will not affect the overall economic situation
If anyone wants to influence the international economy through these scattered us dollars, then it must enter the existing regulatory system. In this way, these scattered dollars are regulated
for bitcoin, we can also learn from these forms of regulation
first of all, from the point of view of the issuing end, although the total number of bitcoin is now 21 million, it is also "set before" and cannot be changed
recently, it has been mentioned that the 21 million bitcoin limit should be abolished, which means that the issue of bitcoin is not stable. Therefore, it is necessary to control the issuance of bitcoin from the development end
you need to get inside the development side and become a core developer
Second, monitoring from the circulation link. In fact, this is the most difficult monitoring at present, because the blockchain is anonymous, the user is anonymous, and the receiver is anonymous
even though we can trace the circulation path of bitcoin by technical means (for example, we can know that a transaction is sent from a small house in the United States to a commercial building in Germany), it is only a drop in the bucket for tens of millions of users in the whole environment. How to trace and manage the overall transaction data is a huge problem
you can't know from the transaction data whether the user is engaged in illegal transactions
what should we do? Regulators have come up with a way to bind personal identity information to the user's real name, your exchange account number and bitcoin wallet address. But this is also a temporary solution, because it can only monitor the use of bitcoin in specific situations. An indivial can use multiple bitcoin wallet addresses. You don't know when he will apply for a new one
in terms of circulation, there is also a monitoring system to control the exchange channel between bitcoin and local legal currency. Banks in some regions do not provide financial services for users who exchange bitcoin for legal currency, and some countries and regions prohibit financial institutions from providing bitcoin and local legal currency exchange services
if users secretly exchange huge amounts of bitcoin, some clues can be found through the bank transfer records, so as to crack down on illegal acts in time. As for those who make little trouble, let him go
thirdly, restrict the use. This is relatively easy to achieve. For example, relevant laws have been issued to prohibit the use of bitcoin transactions. Although it's impossible to ban it completely, it's better than letting it run wild All over the world, it seems that what is forbidden is not completely forbidden
for example, before using bitcoin in public, you must use your real name, and you have to pay taxes to hold or use bitcoin
of course, it's OK for users not to do so, so it's better to use its assets in the dark
having said so much, now you know that bitcoin can be regulated, but it's not so well managed. Many measures have been taken, and it seems that they are not effectively regulated. Under what circumstances can bitcoin be effectively regulated? Users consciously report their holdings of bitcoin to the regulatory authorities. The regulatory authorities add some development functions to the bitcoin to achieve supervision, or they don't need to use it, so it doesn't matter at all
in fact, it can't be controlled so strictly, as long as it can't be controlled in the range of big waves. After all, there is light and dark, and there may be no gray space at all
new technology will surely have an advantage when it comes to living now.

4.

According to the official announcement, digital assets and RMB recharge functions will be closed at 12 noon on September 27, and all trading functions will be closed at 12 noon on September 30. So far, bitcoin trading was officially sentenced to death

some people applaud the state's move to control bitcoin transactions, believing that this money laundering tool should have been closed long ago the invention of bitcoin in the United States disturbs the Chinese market. We should learn from Russia's ban on bitcoin. Although bitcoin makes money, it is not good for the development of the country because it is divorced from the real economy. Many young people are addicted to bitcoin and lose both money and people
however, at present, the state only restricts it, but it has not been completely banned. Big exchanges can not provide bitcoin exchange, so many of them go underground, making it more difficult to control
for young people, the state has banned trading, so it is too risky to re-enter the bitcoin market, so they should be cautious to intervene, and regret if they break the law