Analysis of bitcoin in 2019
"Spring Festival red envelope" refers to the rising market of bitcoin ring the Spring Festival. Big V jiangzhuo'er once predicted the end of bitcoin on Weibo, and then it stopped the sharp decline since November 2018 and began to shock. In the same microblog, it was also mentioned that bitcoin bottomed out before the Spring Festival, which was thought by fans to be very likely to come true
latest bitcoin Market:
bitcoin (BTC) market_ Golden Finance
24459.78 & # 160; RMB 53.02 + 0.22%
02-11 14:27 Trading
Now the price of bitcoin is hovering around $37800. For the price trend of bitcoin in 2019, cailu.com will discuss with you
1. First of all, we know that bitcoin is a virtual digital currency, which is an upgraded proct on the blockchain. At present, the transaction volume of bitcoin is the largest among the digital currencies. In the development of bitcoin, the speed is not very fast, the infrastructure is complete, and there are good regulatory policies. The price in 2019 can be expected
2. The attitude of the regulatory authorities: bitcoin is not protected by law in our country at present. It is a trading proct imported from or abroad. At present, it is still a proct that needs to be investigated in our country. The regulatory authorities should make corresponding policies on how the investigation results are suitable for our domestic transactions, and we can expect the price rise in the later period
3. For investors, to enter the digital money market is to gain profits from this market, but bitcoin is a very risky transaction. In addition, bitcoin has no limit on the rise and fall, and the risk is uncontrollable. According to the 28 law of the investment market, only a few people can make profits
generally speaking, we can look forward to bitcoin in 2019. At present, we can look forward to the $4000 mark. If we can break through it, the price may go up. Of course, we can't know what kind of news will appear in the future. If there is good news, the price of bitcoin will rise in 2019
Last night's bitcoin was destined to be recorded in history
at 2:00 a.m., bitcoin suddenly plummeted, rapidly falling by nearly $1500. 3: 45, bitcoin fell rapidly from $9700 to a low of $7998. This is the first time since mid June that bitcoin has fallen below $8000, the lowest level in four months
The sharp drop in the price of the currency has brought about a terrible situation in the contract market, which was full of blood last nightaccording to the statistics of coin data, in the past 24 hours, a total of 920 million usdt (about RMB 6.65 billion) of burst orders were added
"bitcoin crash" also appeared on the microblog hot search list again two months later
it is worth noting that a few days ago, there was news in the market that "the Central Bank of China will issue digital currency within 80 days". At a news conference yesterday (September 24), Yi Gang, governor of the people's Bank of China, said that there is no timetable for the introction of digital currency. He said the goal of digital currency and electronic payment in the future is to replace part of cash
bitcoin plummeted by more than 15% in 100 minutes
below US $8000
last night, the collapse of bitcoin shocked investors again
at 2:00 a.m., bitcoin suddenly plummeted, rapidly falling by nearly $1500. 3: 45, bitcoin fell to a low of $7998, down more than 15%. This is the first time since mid June that bitcoin has fallen below $8000, the lowest level in four months
"in terms of bitcoin, this is quite a rare event," said Qiao Wang, proct director of messari, a New York based cryptocurrency centric data and research company
so far, bitcoin has plummeted nearly 35% from the highest point of US $13355 in the year
this means that bitcoin's bull market in 2019 is in trouble
since September 2, BTC has started to collapse from a bearish downward triangle, which has been noticed by most people in the cryptocurrency twitter community
some market participants said that the decline of bitcoin was partly e to technical factors. They pointed out that the digital currency has been falling in a triangle, which is a bearish signal
ZBG CMO Lizzie of the Hong Kong digital currency exchange
Lo told the fund that a series of expectations have been digested, including the expected baktt exchange online, but the trading is flat. In addition, the institutions will make corresponding strategic adjustments,
several major institutions short bitcoin
as of the press release, the price of bitcoin was $8651.53, down 11.08% in the past 24 hours
and the coin circle is also full of sorrow: EOS, Ethereum, etc. all fell by more than 10%
however, Lizzie Lo said that after a round of slump,
it noticed that usdt, a stable currency, had a large premium as a ticket for investment in the currency circle, which meant that there was a lot of money on the sidelines. In the medium and long term, it believes in the consensus of bitcoin, and the downward adjustment only gives opportunities for traditional funds that had not entered the market
investors were awakened by qiangping's SMS in the middle of the night
the overall collapse of the currency circle has brought about a miserable contract market, which was full of blood last night
according to the statistics of coin data, in the past 24 hours, a total of 920 million usdt (about RMB 6.65 billion) of burst orders were added. Among them, bitcoin added 6.34 million burst warehouse receipts, about 72000
BTC; EOS added 9.79 million explosive warehouse receipts, about 36.07 million EOS; Ethereum added 10.5 million explosive warehouse receipts, about 652000 eth
some bitcoin investors said that they woke up in the middle of the night last night, received a burst SMS, and then couldn't sleep any more...
the long short ratio ranged from 2:1 to 1:1
however, there were also those who made a lot of money by shorting:
according to the triple BTC short index of ZBG platform, the short profit reached its peak at 3:30 on September 25. So far, the short index has grown by 33.5% in 24 hours
Lizzie Lo points out that at 3:30 a.m., the triple shorting index reaches its peak, which means that the most people are short at that time
under the crazy counterattack of bears, the market long short ratio was slaughtered from 2:1 to 1:1
in addition, as investors sought to close their positions in the crazy sell-off, they withdrew from the market of $30 billion within 24 hours About 213.3 billion yuan)
Yi Gang: at present, there is no timetable for its launch. The goal is to replace part of M0. It is worth noting that recently, it was reported in the market that "the Central Bank of China will issue digital currency within 80 days". At a news conference yesterday (September 24), Yi Gang, governor of the people's Bank of China, said that there is no timetable for the introction of digital currency Yi Gang said:I would like to say a few points about digital currency. First, the people's Bank of China has been studying digital currency since 2014. We have a digital currency Research Institute and a special team, and we have made positive progress. We combine the central bank's digital currency and electronic payment tools, so it is called a package of digital currency and electronic payment
Second, what are the goals of digital money and electronic payment in the future? The goal is to replace a part of M0, that is, to replace a part of cash. It does not mean to replace M1 or m2 Third, the future framework of our digital currency is a two-tier operation system of the central bank and commercial banks, which will not change the current money supply path and system, so as to fully mobilize the enthusiasm of the marketFourth, we will adhere to the centralized management, do not presuppose the technical route in the research and development work, we can choose the best in the market through fair competition, we can consider the blockchain technology, we can also adopt the new technology evolved from the existing electronic payment, fully mobilize the enthusiasm and creativity of the market, we have also set up a mechanism compatible with the incentive mechanism of market institutions. As for when you ask, we don't have a timetable. I think there will be a series of research, testing, pilot, assessment and risk prevention. Especially if digital currency is used across borders, there will be a series of regulatory requirements such as anti money laundering, anti terrorist financing, anti tax haven and "know your customer"
- for more data, please refer to the in depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of China's blockchain instry published by foresight Instry Research Institute
Peter boockvar, chief investment officer of bleakey Consulting Group. I won't be surprised if the price of bitcoin drops to $1000 to $3000 in the next year, because bitcoin is not really relevant in this $19 trillion economy. Any commodity with a parabolic rise in price will usually fall back to the starting point< However, I'm not sure whether bitcoin will slow down or plummet suddenly
the implementation of loose monetary policy by central banks such as the Federal Reserve is the main reason for people's enthusiasm for virtual money. As interest rates graally return to the right track, virtual money will collapse. Once there is a crack in the virtual currency market, investors' attitude towards high-risk assets will also change, and the stock market may be injured. All this depends on the market psychology and has nothing to do with the economic fundamentals. "
Emma, the first one is scared to pee, so hurry to add a BTC
Soros
"as a currency, it should have a stable value storage function. The fluctuation of bitcoin in a day can be as high as 25%, which means that it is not feasible to pay wages with bitcoin
compared with the rapid collapse, the price of bitcoin may remain at a flat high. The reason why the outcome of bitcoin may be different is that some people, such as dictators, want to store wealth overseas through bitcoin P>
, however, can not change the nature of bitcoin as a typical bubble. It is based on misunderstanding as well as tulip fever. p> It seems that BTC is not reliable. But an alligator is an alligator. There's something in it, but it's not clear. I have an epiphany. You can do it yourself
Robert Shiller, Nobel Laureate in economics and professor of economics at Yale University, reminds me of the tulip craze that took place in the Netherlands in the 1640's. basically, bitcoin has no value unless some market participants believe it is valuable. In contrast, gold has some uses even if it is not used as an investment commodityup to now, people still pay for tulips, and sometimes the price is even quite high. In contrast, bitcoin is afraid to collapse completely and then be forgotten by the public. However, bitcoin may still exist for a long time, or even last for 100 years "
I don't understand, thank you
"Bitcoin and blockchain attract people's attention because they think it's an 'interesting experiment'". If it succeeds, it may change the world more than the Internethowever, it is also possible to fail, and the probability of failure is at least 20%. It is suggested that the amount of cryptocurrency held should be controlled within the range of bearable loss
the main reason for bitcoin's failure is that people put too much money into bitcoin and can't afford to lose money. "
raise so much money from all over the world just for an interesting experiment? Give me 0.005 BTC
dailyfx, a professional financial media of Fuhui group, said: "as the price of bitcoin failed to rebound to its historical peak in December, the price continued to fall. But objectively speaking, although the price of bitcoin fluctuates greatly, it will not fall by 50%. On the disk, the price has obvious support at the 11750 / 160 level, and the price rebounds above or after touching the support level; If the price falls below this point, it may continue to fall later
the price of Ethereum may break through the current slope area, but it will reach 1380 in the short term from the low point of 500 in December, or it will show that the bull rally is almost exhausted. Therefore, if the price does not fall in the later period, it will be more likely to consolidate. At present, the first support is at 863. If the price is still up, it will be a good opportunity for bulls to make another correction
in the later period, Ruibo currency may be in the trend of high consolidation or downward correction. As the price fell below the support level of 2.1577 yesterday, it continued to fall. In view of the sharp rise in prices last month, it is still unclear which point the current price will stabilize after falling or hitting. Therefore, it is still necessary to be cautious about the trading of Ruibo currency. "
The stock review has been changed to currency review. Brother, I recommend a coin circle of Guizhou Maotai Dennis gartman, founder of the "king of commodities" gartman news agency, said: "nothing can change my skepticism about bitcoin. Bitcoin will bring disaster to all those involved. At the same time, once this happens, investors will rush to the gold market. There is no doubt that bitcoin will fall below $5000. " It seems that it is necessary to collect some gold2. Good prediction
cesares, member of PayPal's board of directors
"the probability of successful bitcoin and blockchain experiments is more than 50%. But instry participants must be patient, because it will take another five to 10 years to achieve solid success
if the experiment is successful, the world will be very different. By then, the value of a bitcoin will reach one million dollars. Therefore, most people in the world will want to buy bitcoin in the price range of $14000 or $20000. "
previously, it was said that the probability of failure is at least 20%. Now it is said that the probability of success is more than 50%. You have all the good words and bad words. Do you owe a BTC
analyst van Petersen of Shengbao bank
"the price of bitcoin is likely to reach $50000 to $100000 in 2018. Digital currencies other than bitcoin will also soar
first of all, you may think that the price of bitcoin has been properly adjusted. After all, it has dropped by 50%, which is healthy. But we haven't seen the full effect of futures contracts
this year, Ethernet may surpass bitcoin, and it will appear later than bitcoin, but it has a more unified leadership position than bitcoin. "
He was right about this guy last time. When the transaction price of bitcoin was below $900 in December 2016, he predicted that bitcoin would reach $2000 in 2017. As a result, bitcoin exceeded $2000 in May 2017. However, it is predicted that eth will surpass BTC. Well, it's not impossible for the second child to seek power to usurp the throne and kill the first child. It's just difficultMichael Graham, analyst at canaccord genuity, an investment company, said, "one of our themes is that more institutions will enter the cryptocurrency market in 2018. The number of institutional investment procts related to bitcoin is increasing. Regulators will approve a bitcoin Trading Fund in the second half of this year or early 2019
I confirm that this year, the public will see IPOs from some encryption companies and more widely from blockchain companies. "
it's better for me to break the news! CBOE applied for six cryptocurrency ETFs at the end of 2017 and may go online in 2018. What the hell is this? That is to say, it increases the opportunity for institutional investors to have close contact with cryptocurrency and opens channels for professional speculators
Tom Lee, co-founder of fundstrat and super bull of bitcoin, predicts that the bottom of bitcoin will be about $9000. If it falls to this position, we will buy strongly, and $9000 is the best time to enter this yearit is estimated that bitcoin will rise to US $25000 by the end of the year and US $125000 by 2022
bitcoin has experienced many ups and downs, but it always stands back to the previous high point, and the low point becomes a good opportunity to buy
since the middle of 2016, bitcoin has risen more than 75% for five times and plummeted more than 25% for six times. Similar ups and downs in the stock market will take several years, but the virtual currency world can do it in a few months
also optimistic about three kinds of virtual currency. The first is eth, which has the function of smart contract and has a bright future. It is estimated that eth will rise from the current US $1000 to US $1900 at the end of this year. The second is etc, a virtual hybrid of bitcoin and Ethernet, which will rise from the current $25 to $60 at the end of the year. The third is the virtual currency Neo developed by China, whose price will rise from US $114 to US $225 at the end of the year. "
Say! How much did the project give you? I'd like to introce you to Mr. Ali, chief investment officer of blocktower capital, a cryptocurrency investment company; Ari Paul"at some point in 2018, the price of bitcoin can be as low as $4000 or as high as $30000."
Go awayJulian hope, co-founder and President of tenx
"bitcoin may break the $60000 mark in 2018, but it may also drop to the bottom of $5000, but it's not sure which one will come first, surprise or scare."
go away + 1
Nick colas, analyst of datatrek research, a data analysis organization, said, "the fluctuation of bitcoin in 2018 will exceed that in 2017, and the fluctuation may range from US $6500 to US $22000, all of which are reasonable valuations. And $14035 would be a reasonable median. In addition, there will be four price collapses of bitcoin in 2018, with the magnitude of each collapse being about 40% or more. "
are there still four opportunities for bottom selling and position increase this year
George Tung, co-founder of cryptos r us and a veteran of cryptocurrency investment, will we see another virtual currency whose market value exceeds that of bitcoin? Yes, I believe it is absolutely possible in the next three to five years. Or as soon as three years, there will be competitors who can compete with bitcoin. "the 3000 year old little demon wants to kill the 7000 year old demon? It's still tender
Lex Sokolin, global head of financial technology strategy, automous research, said, "the currency circle may usher in a new round of" furcation frenzy "in 2018, with a maximum of 50 furcation times!" Pro, we are here to talk about the price. What do you mean by having a second childbitcoin is a virtual currency system developed by an organization that dare not disclose its identity. Also known as "air currency"
this kind of currency is worthless. We should rely on pyramid selling and speculation to improve the psychological value among a small number of people, then buy and sell among these people, and then continue to rely on pyramid selling to expand the population
this is a financial fraud, much like the Ponzi scheme
as long as people who are not mentally retarded, they should be aware that this is a fraud
it's just that people who speculate in currency think that they won't be the last one to take over the dish.
from the moment bitcoin proced value to the sky high price of nearly $20000 gold, bitcoin rose by tens of thousands of times ring this period, which also created a lot of people's freedom of wealth. Most investors love and hate bitcoin. They love speculative property, and they have no limit to the rise and fall. They hate to be unable to analyze the market and make profits in the market
so why is it still suitable to buy bitcoin in 2020
1. The third proction rection
in May, bitcoin reced its proction for the third time. Under the hype of the proction rection market, the third proction rection of bitcoin brought confidence to most investors in the market, but the price did not change significantly
judging from the market, bitcoin is leading the rise of other financial procts under the same conditions. It dropped to $3800 in March, and then rose all the way to about $10000, walking out of the V-shaped reversal
the V-shaped reversal is not easy. After all, the previous market had to be sorted out for several months before going up. This also illustrates the purchasing power of bitcoin in the market
moreover, after halving, the amount of bitcoin g up by the miners has graally decreased. In addition to the lost bitcoin, there are not many bitcoins in circulation in the market, and the bitcoin market is a market brought about by demand. With many external factors, many investors want to use bitcoin for risk hedging, and the liquidity of the market is expanding step by step<
2. Institutions bought a lot
after halving, gray alone increased its holdings of 18910 bitcoins, while after halving, the miners only mined 12337 bitcoins, indicating that the number of gray holdings increased was 150% of the total mining amount of miners in the same period
in addition to institutions, some celebrities have also publicly expressed their desire to buy bitcoin. For example, the author of "poor dad, rich dad" tweeted the reason why he wanted to invest in bitcoin. Before that, he repeatedly said that with the continuous release of water from the Federal Reserve, bitcoin may become a good hedging tool to deal with the current financial crisis
with the entry of specialized institutional teams, bitcoin has been known by more and more people, and its value has also been understood by more and more people< 3. Bitcoin leads the global financial asset growth
the secondary market of bitcoin is huge, with the number of new addresses and active addresses increasing every day. There are many people who know about bitcoin but don't enter the market
the massive entry of foreign institutions leads to the concentration of some chips. In this process, it is not only the transfer of chips, but also the transfer of price rights.