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1. How to use the three technical indicators to understand the rise and fall of bitcoin

coincola coying Cola
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how to use the three technical indicators to understand the rise and fall of bitcoin
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recently, "bitcoin broke through $8000" has been on the hot search. For a while, bitcoin rose, reborn rose sharply, and Ethereum led the rise... A week later, this big play dominated by bitcoin didn't seem to come to an end, and the trading volume was once pushed up to 100 billion US dollars

in the investment world, "madness" and "fear" coexist. Today's "madness" stems from last year's long-term "fear". However, this time, coincola Cola Research Institute tracks and analyzes the technical indicators behind the rising market, and deconstructs the "passion" of the market with the "rationality" of data< (1) mining and bitcoin price

start with the relationship between mining and bitcoin. The core technology of bitcoin is "blockchain", which is connected by blocks. Each block corresponds to a bill. All transaction information and transfer records of bitcoin are recorded on the blockchain. Every other point in time, the bitcoin system will generate a random code on the system node. Due to distributed accounting, all computers on the Internet can search for the code. Whoever finds the code will generate a block and then get bitcoin. This process is mining. Calculating this random code requires a lot of GPU operations, so miners need to use mining machines with massive graphics cards to make profits

1. Bitcoin computing power: starting to pick up

remarks: June 2018-may 2019 bitcoin hash value

data source: bitcoin visual, coincola Research Institute

the above figure shows the bitcoin hash value. The hash value of the bitcoin network represents the computing power of the blockchain. The growth of computing power means that miners increase mining investment or increase the number of miners. Since the second half of 2018, the hash value has recovered from falling back to picking up, from 32eh / s at the end of the year to 50eh / s now, and the recent growth trend is remarkable. The continuous growth of bitcoin hash value (representing computing power) indicates that the market is optimistic about the future of bitcoin

2. Mining difficulty: stepped up

remarks: bitcoin difficulty from June 2018 to may 2019

data source: bitcoin visual, coincola Research Institute

the figure above shows bitcoin difficulty. Since 2019, the difficulty of bitcoin mining has increased in a step-by-step manner, from the low 5T to the current 7T. It can be seen that the rapid rise of bitcoin in this round has reced mining costs and increased market entry personnel. The increasing difficulty of mining means that there are profit opportunities in cryptocurrency market, and the market is generally optimistic< (2) the number of active addresses and transactions on the chain are important indicators reflecting the activity of cryptocurrency, which are highly correlated with the price of cryptocurrency

1. The number of active addresses on the bitcoin chain: a straight line rise

remarks: the number of active addresses on the bitcoin chain from June 2018 to may 2019

data source: coinmetrics, coincola Research Institute

active addresses refer to the addresses where transactions have taken place every day, that is, how many independent addresses conct transfer transactions on the chain every day. Since 2019, the number of active addresses on the bitcoin chain has been rising, especially in recent years. From 540.60143k in January to 832.592k now. It shows that the rapid growth of active users of cryptocurrency is a very positive signal for the market

2. The number of transactions on the bitcoin chain: continued to rise

remarks: the number of transactions on the bitcoin chain from June 2018 to may 2019

data source: bitinfo charts, coincola Research Institute

since 2019, the number of transactions on the bitcoin chain has continued to rise, from 235k in early 2019 to 374k now. Moreover, since April and may, after two rounds of sharp rise in the price of bitcoin, the number of transactions on the chain has remained at a high level, even showing signs of a short-term surge< (3) lightning network and bitcoin price

in essence, lightning network adds a layer to the basic layer of bitcoin blockchain in order to make the transaction fast and cheap. With the existence of lightning network, users can remit money to each other at any time and pay very little. Lightning network represents not only the technical level of bitcoin, but also the important basis of bitcoin value

1. Lightning network nodes: rapid growth

remarks: bitcoin lightning network nodes from January 2018 to may 2019

data source: bitinfo charts, coincola Research Institute

the test version of lightning network started on the bitcoin main network on March 15, 2018. The number of lightning network nodes was only 64 at the beginning of 2018 and increased to 2329 at the end of 2018. Since 2019, the number of lightning network nodes has increased rapidly, and now it has reached 4289. In less than half a year, the number of nodes has doubled. The continuous expansion of nodes indicates the continuous upgrading and development of bitcoin lightning network technology, which is an important indicator of bitcoin price

2. Lightning network capacity: speed up

remarks: bitcoin lightning network capacity from January 2018 to may 2019

data source: bitcoin visual, coincola Research Institute

the data above shows that as of May 15, 2019, bitcoin lightning network capacity has increased to 1039 BTC, equivalent to 833usd, while at the beginning of 2019, it is only 504btc, Lightning network capacity doubled, and the growth rate accelerated. This means that the expansion of bitcoin has been well solved in lightning network technology, which will help keep the payment channel active and effectively support the functional application of bitcoin

the performance of mining, chain trading and lightning network is closely related to the price of bitcoin. On the one hand, the rise of bitcoin price acts as a catalyst to stimulate its performance in mining, chain and lightning network; On the other hand, mining, chain trading and lightning network are the important cornerstone of bitcoin price trend and the important basis of bitcoin price expectation<

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yesterday, he discussed bitcoin with people, and then suddenly found that the surge brought by the listing of futures may be the pit g by some big institutions, Bitcoin could collapse shortly after CME's CBOE listing. After the listing, the price will maintain a certain stability in a certain range

2.

Short refers to selling positions, can also be called use, sell a certain type of currency loans, bullish. Do long: do and refer to the multi warehouse, can also be called Lido, also known as multi warehouse. Buy some kind of loan currency and be bearish

Long means that the price will rise after estimation, so buy the contract and sell it at sky high price after the price rises in the future. Net profit. Short selling means that the potential will fall after estimation, so sell the contract and buy the contract at a low price after the price falls in the future. Net profit

2. For hedging: to be long means to evade or wash away the risk of proct cost expansion caused by future price rise, and lock up the cost in advance. Short selling means to evade or wash away the risk of profit rection caused by the price decline in the future, and lock in the profit ahead of time

extended data

burst, under some special conditions, the customer's equity in the investor's margin account is negative. When the market changes greatly, if most of the funds in the margin account of investors are occupied by trading margin, and the trading direction is opposite to the market trend, it is easy to burst e to the leverage effect of margin trading

if the position explosion leads to the deficit and is caused by the investors, the investors need to make up the deficit, otherwise they will face legal recourse. The bigger the leverage is, the closer it is to the burst. We should be cautious when adding any leverage

3. Bitcoin is a virtual encrypted digital currency in the form of P2P. Peer to peer transmission means a decentralized payment system. Fire coin network, okcoin and coin security network are the three major bitcoin trading platforms in China. Due to the high risk of bitcoin trading, it is recommended to choose carefully for users with immature investment experience. According to the notice on preventing the financing risk of token issuance, there is no approved digital currency trading platform in China. According to the regulation of digital currency in China, investors have the freedom to participate in digital currency transactions at their own risk

warm tips: the above explanations are for reference only, without any suggestions. There are risks in entering the market, so investment should be cautious. Before making any investment, you should make sure that you fully understand the nature of the investment and the risks involved in the proct. After a detailed understanding and careful evaluation of the proct, you can judge whether to participate in the transaction
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4. I don't know what that means. It shouldn't mean weight, because bitcoin is a virtual currency

bitcoin is a consensus network, contributing to a new payment system and a fully digital currency. It is the first decentralized peer-to-peer payment network, which is controlled by its users without a central management organization or middleman. From the user's point of view, bitcoin is much like Internet cash. Bitcoin can also be regarded as the most outstanding three style bookkeeping system.

5.

The so-called option is to predict the future rise and fall. It is not difficult to understand, but it has obvious advantages over futures contracts. For example, the price of bitcoin futures contract fluctuates a lot. If you can't control it well, you will burst every minute, and you need margin and handling charges

but bitcoin options are totally different, just like bitcoin options in bitofer, which have neither margin nor service charge, let alone burst positions, and simply predict the rise and fall. The time cycle is diversified, including 2 minutes, 5 minutes, 15 minutes, 1 hour and 1 day. You can play at any time. You can make full use of the fragmented time and have higher flexibility. If you don't keep a real-time eye on the contract, it's easy to blow up the position if you are careless

The last is return. Sometimes options are much higher than contracts. Why do you say that? The contract basically depends on leverage. If you have a very low leverage ratio, it will have no effect. For example, if the current price of bitcoin is 10000 points, you think it will fall in the next five minutes. Therefore, you open a five minute put option and consume five usdts

as expected, bitcoin has dropped 500 points in 5 minutes. After 5 minutes settlement, you get 500 usdts, which is equivalent to 100 times leverage return compared with the principal. This is that we think that the bitbuffer option is more in line with the current trend, and it is expected to go online in mid October

6. What is bitcoin option

the so-called bitcoin option is to predict the future rise and fall of bitcoin. In operation, if you expect to call, you will buy up and if you expect to put, you will buy down. The calculation of profit is the same as that of spot goods. When buying up, you can earn as much as you go up in the cycle. When buying down, you can earn as much as you go down in the cycle. In short, it is to use a very small principal to bet on the rise and fall space of the future range, so as to obtain a high return

how to play bitoffer

for example, if the current price of bitcoin is $10000, you think it will rise in the next hour, so you open a one hour call option, which costs 20 usdt. As expected, bitcoin rose by US $1000 in one hour. When it matures in one hour, the system automatically settles, and you get a return of US $1000, which is 50 times that of the principal

if bitcoin falls in the next hour, you will lose the principal of 20 usdt options, which is the advantage of "unlimited return and limited risk".

7. It depends on the situation

8.

Hello, about bitcoin options, the answers are as follows:

1. In the currency circle, it's not called options, but the professional name is contract

2. You can make money by opening more contracts and opening short contracts. If you are short, you can make profit by opening short contracts. The amount of profit depends on your leverage ratio and margin

3, Of course, the premise is to grasp the up or down direction

recommend an article for your reference

bitcoin market analysis - don't worry about whether it will rise or fall

finally, I hope you can achieve financial freedom in the currency circle contract market

9. If 20 times leverage is opened, more than 10000 yuan can be recovered from 1000 yuan

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