325 million BTCs smashed
bitcoin is rising wildly, and e-money has set off a wave of speculation. Light currency (LTC) soared more than ten times, reaching a high price of 300 yuan. At the same time, a large number of counterfeit coins appeared, and the increase was amazing. It's not unusual to see them rise several times a day. E-money market has shown a strong speculative, investment risk has emerged. But is bitcoin the only winner? Is there any other e-coin that can "" the miracle of bitcoin, or even surpass it
assuming the success of e-money in the future, some people say that we only need one e-money. If the number of bitcoin is limited, it's OK to use mbtc or smaller units to trade when the price is very high. Other electronic coins are repetitive and meaningless
let's see how bitcoin has changed from "meaningless behavior" to a successful case, and what experience can be summed up
firstly, based on the combination of private key and public key of electronic cryptocurrency, bitcoin creatively proposed the block chain mechanism, as well as the binding of mining (protecting the whole network) and currency issuance rewards. And the implementation of a constant total to create deflation expectations, difficulty automatic adjustment to ensure fairness, as well as competitive mining and competitive block branches, to maximize the protection of the interests of the holders and miners, to achieve a win-win situation
this mechanism mobilizes the enthusiasm of miners and forms a virtuous circle. BTC rises, calculating power rises, calculating power rises, BTC is more stable and has higher value, so as to promote the price to continue to rise. Until now, bitcoin has formed an indestructible block chain system, which is the most valuable part of the bitcoin system, ensuring the maximum security of bitcoin holders, as well as the decentralized network structure, ensuring the openness and fairness of the bitcoin world. Social capital has invested a lot in bitcoin, forming a whole instrial chain. This is the value created by bitcoin from scratch. Although there are speculative factors, to a certain extent, the market value of bitcoin reflects this value
BTC market value: http://blockchain.info/charts/market-cap
BTC calculation force: http://blockchain.info/charts/hash-rate
but does this mean that bitcoin must be the most successful, and it will forever occupy the market share of the whole e-money in the future without further improvement
next, I'll make a comparison with LTC. Instead of recommending buying LTC, I'll talk about whether LTC can solve some problems of BTC and whether it will cause some new troubles< First of all, BTC has the following problems:
1, long confirmation time
I casually selected the current mining records and found that the block confirmation time was too long. First of all, the BTC default 10 minutes out of the block, has been a relatively long time. For some deals, it's a time of impatience. And because the difficulty is already very high, the block time is further uneven, sometimes it is normal not to block for 20 minutes. These 20 minutes, together with the confirmation waiting time and other processing time of various trading websites, often result in extremely slow recharge and withdrawal speed. It is common to wait for an hour. Waiting for a bitcoin transaction is really a boring thing, which limits its application in reality. Even for this reason, a third party, similar to Alipay's third party centralization letter, is needed to solve.
the two-and-a-half block time of LTC greatly alleviates this problem. An LTC transaction will be completed in a short time without any anxious waiting. It can be said that LTC solves the problem of BTC
2, centralization
although BTC claims to be a decentralized currency, it is relative to legal currency. In practice, e to historical problems and ASIC mining machine problems, BTC's centralization problem is very serious, which can be discussed from two aspects
the first is the centralization of computing power. Although ASIC mining machine is inevitable in history, BTC is rising rapidly, so the centralization of computing power is very serious. It can be seen from this picture that the first and second mines are ready to start 51%. Although it is said that 51% will destroy the whole network, which is not good for the mining pool, bitcoin is a place outside the law after all. Everything is guaranteed by mathematical formulas and algorithms, and credit is established voluntarily. In the face of huge profit temptation, it is inevitable that nothing will happen, or the confidence of the holders will be affected. This is not good for bitcoin
some people say that LTC will develop special mining machines sooner or later, so as to enter the era of centralization. I think there is a degree of problem. After all, it is a fact that bitcoin mines are seriously concentrated, and as long as the concentration of LTC is lower than BTC, the risk can be smaller
the second is the centralization of holding money. I don't have statistics of LTC holding currency here, but I have statistics of BTC holding currency. This centralization of holding money is appalling. This means that a very small number of people control the vast majority of the wealth of the entire network. Of course, some addresses belong to the exchange, but this is absolutely very serious differentiation. Here's the data: http://btc.ondn.net/search
and the centralization of computing power aggravates this situation: half of bitcoin has been g out and concentrated in the hands of a few people, and then the rest that has not been g out will also be g out by a few people (because of the concentration of computing power). The new people have no choice but to pay for it
although some people refute me that since BTC is valuable, it should be exchanged with legal currency. The problem is that when the existing BTC has been monopolized, the future BTC will also be monopolized, and the price is not set by the buyer. It's like everyone says that China's real estate is unfair. If the existing houses are controlled by a few "real estate uncle" people, The land development in the future is also tightly controlled by the Bureau of land and resources. Isn't it true that the common people have to pay for it, and how much they will pay for it is up to them
- the original attitude towards real estate changed when it came to BTC. Of course, the reason is that the bottom of the BTC holder determines the head. As if you bought a few suites, you will say that the real estate market is fair
by contrast, LTC has only g up a quarter of the total, and the computing power is relatively average. Any ordinary people can buy a graphics card to dig their own mines. At least the new LTC can be obtained at a relatively balanced price. From this point of view, if the overall value of e-money needs to be increased by 10 billion or even 100 billion US dollars in the future, then adding all of them to BTC will only lead to a few people becoming millionaires of 100 billion US dollars, which is obviously not the original intention of developing e-money< There is a serious problem with Nakamoto's BTC, which is that Nakamoto has more than 2 million BTCs. Now we are willing to believe that Nakamoto is a good man and a God, but how can we trust an indivial when we believe in mathematics and physics? On the premise of minimum trust, Nakamoto is also a mortal. If the market value of BTC is large enough, Nakamoto's goods will become a time bomb. Even if he doesn't drop the price, he becomes the God of the world and has the most wealth. Not to mention that some BTCs confiscated by the FBI will be auctioned sooner or later. This good thing that has contributed to the American people will be left to the people of the world
LTC does not have this problem. The history is very clean. We dig together and everything is open. When digging LTC, many players already have BTC experience, so the mining is relatively balanced at the beginning, and there is no private situation such as the founding team stealing. This has laid a good foundation for LTC.
4. Whether the gold silver ratio is applicable to BTC and LTC is a funny question, which just shows the ignorance of public speculators. Bitkin, Wright silver, said that this statement of the media is a manifestation of extreme ignorance
first of all, is the value of e-money related to the circulation? If the circulation of LTC is a quarter of that of BTC, is the value of LTC a quarter of that of BTC? If I issue a kind of NCC with brain damage now, with only one circulation, should the price be 9999999
it's just as ridiculous to anchor the issue volume as to compare the circulation of stocks. Money can only be valued by the total market value. It's meaningless to talk about circulation. As for the gold and silver ratio, it's a big laugh. The ratio of gold and silver is determined by the instrial value and output of gold and silver. Electronic money has no value other than monetary property, and there is no such thing as output and reserves. The output and reserves of money are only monetary units. If you don't understand this, you can go back to the furnace
moreover, BTC and LTC have direct exchange markets, and their proportion is the result of market game, which is the short-term optimal solution in itself. There is nothing to say. What the market says is what it says, which has nothing to do with the current market, let alone gold and silver
5. About Shanzhai coin
some people say that LTC is also a kind of "counterfeit" currency, which has no value. Some people think that with so many counterfeit coins, you can fry any one that is not. I think both views are wrong
first of all, BTC is an open-source e-coin, and the word "Shanzhai" itself contains a strong central idea in the minds of the Chinese people, hoping that an Immortal Emperor or Nakamoto congda God has made a kind of immortal coin, and the others are all from "Shanzhai". In the open source world, everyone has the right to make money. Any money is "counterfeit" money. Bitcoin was worthless before, and its value was given after the market recognized it. As long as another currency can also be recognized and accepted by the market, it is reasonable to give it a market value, and the amount of market value given is also determined by the market, which may not exceed bitcoin
assuming that the long-term market is effective, excluding speculation, whether a currency can be given value by the market mainly depends on several factors (I personally think)
There are many views on the reasons why bitcoin fell below $10000 this time, some people in the instry said: "maybe it's a good play prepared by the main force to commemorate the 94 event in advance." more people think that the withdrawal of OTC funds by mining of defi (decentralized Finance) may be one of the main reasons for the current round of decline. However, there are also views that the main reason for the decline of bitcoin is e to the market smashing by the makers
according to the website of coinmarketcap, in the early morning of September 3, bitcoin dropped more than 10% in the short term. At one time, bitcoin fell below the US $10000 level, and the lowest fell to US $9960, which was a new low since July 27, with a 24-hour decline of 9.98%. At present, bitcoin has rebounded to US $10302. At the same time, cryptocurrency declined collectively, and most of the top ten popular currencies in market value, except stable currency, fell by more than 10%
However, e to the special date of bitcoin's decline and the foreshadowing of the decline in the previous two days, some people in the instry said: "maybe it's a good play prepared by the main force to commemorate the 94 event in advance.". It is reported that the coin circle 94 incident originated from September 4, 2017, when seven ministries and commissions jointly issued the announcement on preventing the financing risk of token issuance, officially calling for the suspension of ICO (initial token issuance) financing, which was regarded as an important watershed in the history of China's digital currency speculationhowever, it is not the tradition of the coin circle to fall every festival. On the decline of bitcoin this time, more people think that the withdrawal of OTC funds by the mining of defi (decentralized Finance) may be one of the main reasons for this round of decline
however, there are also views that the main reason for the decline of bitcoin is e to the market smashing by the makers
KOL, an analyst known as the trend maniac of digital currency, pointed out that there have been a large number of smashing orders in the exchange recently. When the currency price is around us $11770-11800, the exchange's large investors mp goods at US $11750 in 500btc, and all the orders are instantly eaten by the brick moving robot, about 4000 coins are smashed
extended data
mining of DEI (decentralized Finance) and withdrawal of over-the-counter funds are the reasons for the current round of decline.
Wu Gang, founder of bitcoin wallet letter, publicly said on the social platform that the market decline is the "blood sucking" of the defi (decentralized Finance) project, and gave an example of sushi project, which has soared 100 times recently
Kang Lu, a senior researcher of fire coin Research Institute, said to the analysis of interface news that the recent hot spot of digital currency is not in the bitcoin market, but the prosperity of the overall digital currency market caused by the graal prosperity of the decentralized financial market in Ethereum ecology and wave field ecology
it can be seen from the fact that the trading volume of decentralized exchanges has reached 6% of that of mainstream exchanges. In addition, at the beginning of September, the 24-hour trading volume of uniswap, a decentralized exchange, reached US $441 million, surpassing the head centralized exchange coinbase Pro for the first time
analysis of the conditions and reasons for the bull market from October to December in 2017:
1. The 94 policy led to a large number of shanzhais being taken off the shelves, resulting in the rection of currency compression and the concentration of funds
2. The stop of RMB recharge has enabled BTC and eth tokens to circulate substantially in the digital currency trading market
3. In the medium term, there are thousands of currencies incubating private placement, and there is a demand of 100 billion funds for tokens
4. The expectation and numbness caused by the lack of understanding of the value of blockchain
5. The understanding of the cruelty of financial transactions is simple, and the mode transformation from 2017 to 2018 is not understood (the spot price rises continuously, and the futures hedging price fluctuates)
6. The market lacks understanding of the financial financing (currency) routines of incubation, early bird and private placement (for example, the price of private placement has expanded 5-10 times or even dozens of times since incubation)
7. The derivatives of a large number of forked coins and candy promotion promoted the bull market
in May and June of the year 18, the public chain was hot, and the financiers cooperated with EOS's favorable main network and node election to pull the market as soon as possible, which drove the market mood and completed a calf
whether the future market is bull or not, brother Zhu thinks that September and October should digest part of the smashing market in July and August and be bullish. The rise of LBTC has little effect on it, and there is more than one LBTC rising fiercely from low to high
to sum up, LBTC is the initiator. It's right to say that the price will rise to 1000 yuan. It depends on the time. It's unlikely to rise in 19 years, but as an investment for the future, it's entirely possible for LBTC to rise to 1000 yuan.
In addition, according to the latest report of Kraken, a crypto exchange, medium-sized "whales" with 100 to 1000 bitcoins are hoarding more bitcoins
according to the analysis of the report, since January 3, 2020, the growth of the number of "whale" (big bitcoin holders) addresses has been stagnant. In January, people with more than 100 bitcoins held a "wait-and-see" attitude on whether to keep hoarding, while "little whales" with 10 to 100 bitcoins kept hoarding< br />
If you go back to seven years ago and choose a new investment opportunity, you will choose to invest in stocks, and then wait for the 15 year bull market to multiply your assets; They may also invest in real estate, and then wait for the real estate outbreak in 16 years to double their assets. However, if we chose to invest 10000 yuan in bitcoin seven years ago, we could sit on 66.2 billion yuan in 17 years, a rise of more than 6 million times
as we all know, the currency market in 2018 was a tragic year. At the beginning of 2018, the price of bitcoin was at the highest level in history, and the concept of blockchain began to heat up. A lot of people who originally belonged to the outside circle swarmed in to participate in entrepreneurship, employment and money buying. The prospect of the currency market seemed to be very good. Later, as we all know, as the price of currency fell again and again, the newly established blockchain media fell down one by one, and those new people who followed suit to buy currency were trapped in a high position to discuss; Bitcoin& ldquo; Blockchain & quot; There's less and less sound in the room. The coin ring gives these new comers a sense of cruelty
More than 90% of the people are trapped here, and faith is a very strange thing; Like the queen in the last kingdom of American TV series, the Danes gather to attack, she still says & mdash& mdash; God will punish the infidels and calm downlast year, all digital currencies and ICO platforms were shut down in China, and all countries in the world have put restrictions on them. At this time, few ordinary holders are willing to sell, and they basically hold them. This requires great determination, life problems, currency speculation problems, all kinds of problems may cause no longer hold; These problems cause a lot of trouble, so many people do not live well. After half a year, the instry that countries all over the world have entered is & lt; Blockchain & quot; And digital currency! In the game of blockchain, many countries have made some moves, and the holders are also on the sidelines
