When will bitcoin be bought
It was officially born on January 3, 2009
since 2015, the future of bitcoin has become more and more uncertain. On the one hand, bitcoin fell as much as 55.55% against RMB last year; In 2015, bitcoin fell by more than 30% against the RMB in the first half of January alone
bitcoin's "falling" reflects the "self-healing" of its value after "fanaticism" to a certain extent. According to statistics, in 2013, bitcoin rose from 1 ∶ 13.59 to 1 ∶ 731, with an annual increase of 5300%. This speculative driven inflation has affected the virtual currency property on which bitcoin relies
on the one hand, no country has defined it as a legal currency. On the other hand, in 2014, the US dollar rose significantly, and the prices of oil and bulk commodities fell correspondingly. The price trend of bitcoin is the same as that of the latter, becoming part of the asset allocation of some speculators, which highlights that its asset attribute is far greater than the monetary attribute
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Security and credit risk have also become the reasons for the decline of investor confidence. Mt. GOx, once the world's largest bitcoin exchange, claimed in March last year that it had lost all its assets e to hacker attacks. Recently, it was revealed that its lost bitcoin was probably e to internal system manipulation
the regulatory environment of bitcoin is not optimistic, and Russia, Thailand and other countries have begun to implement strict control on it. In addition, the global stock market performed well last year, resulting in the diversion of bitcoin investment funds, and the crazy "mining" activities also rapidly increased the supply of bitcoin, which may lead to a trend of oversupply in the short term, leading to a sharp drop in the price of bitcoin
Bitcoin was born in 2009, and it has entered China since it appeared
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bitcoin:
bitcoin can be used to cash and can be converted into the currency of most countries. Users can use bitcoin to buy some virtual items, such as clothes, hats and equipment in online games. As long as someone accepts it, they can also use bitcoin to buy real-life items
the concept of bitcoin was first proposed by Nakamoto in 2009. According to Nakamoto's ideas, open source software was designed and released, and P2P network was built on it. Bitcoin is a kind of P2P digital currency. Point to point transmission means a decentralized payment system
generation principle:
starting from the essence of bitcoin, the essence of bitcoin is actually a special solution generated by a bunch of complex algorithms. A special solution is one of the infinite (in fact, bitcoin is finite) solutions that can be obtained from the equations. Every particular solution can solve the equation and is unique. In the metaphor of RMB, bitcoin is the serial number of RMB. If you know the serial number of a note, you have the note. The process of mining is to constantly seek the special solution of this equation system through a huge amount of calculation. This equation system is designed to have only 21 million special solutions, so the upper limit of bitcoin is 21 million
source: bitcoin
unlike all currencies, bitcoin does not rely on a specific currency institution to issue. It is generated by a large number of calculations based on a specific algorithm. Bitcoin economy uses a distributed database composed of many nodes in the whole P2P network to confirm and record all transactions, and uses cryptography design to ensure the security of all aspects of currency circulation. The decentralized nature and algorithm of P2P can ensure that it is impossible to artificially manipulate the value of bitcoin through mass proction. The design based on cryptography can make bitcoin only be transferred or paid by the real owner. This also ensures the anonymity of money ownership and circulation transactions. The biggest difference between bitcoin and other virtual currencies is that the total amount of bitcoin is very limited and it has a strong scarcity.
When bitcoin first appeared in 2009, its price was less than 1 cent. One dollar could be converted into 1300 bitcoins, that is to say, seven yuan could be converted into 1300 bitcoins
on May 5, 2017, bitfinex, an overseas digital currency trading platform, quoted a price. Bitcoin once hit US $1700, about RMB 11737
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in China, some Taobao stores have also begun to accept the use of bitcoin, and businesses will graally increase
in October 2013, the first bitcoin quarterly, one bit, was released
on October 15, 2013, the network accelerator service of the network announced its support for bitcoin
on October 26, 2013, btcmini reported that GBL was hacked
on October 31, 2013, Lei Teng, a famous Internet lawyer, proposed the event of "filing a case to investigate the closure of GBL bitcoin trading platform as soon as possible", analyzed the "value function" and "use function" of bitcoin, and bitcoin should be governed by relevant laws
on December 5, 2013, notice of the Ministry of instry and information technology of the people's Bank of China, China Banking Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission and China Insurance Regulatory Commission on preventing bitcoin risk: bitcoin is a specific virtual commodity; Bitcoin trading is a kind of commodity trading on the Internet. Ordinary people have the freedom to participate in it at their own risk
on September 4, 2017, the announcement of the people's Bank of China Central Network Information Office, Ministry of instry and information technology, State Administration for Instry and commerce, China Banking Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission and China Insurance Regulatory Commission on preventing the risk of token issuance financing: it is prohibited to engage in token issuance financing activities (ICO)
the trading platform shall not engage in the exchange business between legal tender and token, or virtual currency, or buy or sell token or virtual currency as a central counter party, or provide pricing, information intermediary and other services for token or virtual currency
on November 2, 2018, the people's Bank of China released the 12th topic of China financial stability report 2018, which talked about "encrypted assets"
1 dollar = 1300 bitcoins. This is bitcoin. In 2009, 1 dollar = 1 bitcoin in 2011, 900 dollars = 1 bitcoin in 2013, and about 3880 dollars = 1 bitcoin on August 20, 2017. The highest price of bitcoin in history was on December 17, 2017, 19756 dollars per bitcoin
bitcoin is a virtual currency, and the total amount is set at 21 million, and the total amount is fixed. Bitcoin players can buy special video card miner to excavate bitcoin, and halve the number of mining bitcoin every four years until 21 million pieces have been excavated
so far, bitcoin has been halved twice, more than 17 million pieces have been excavated, and only about 4 million pieces remain to be excavated. According to some estimates, the last bitcoin will be excavated in 2140
General currency is decided by the central bank and virtual currency is decided by indivials. The sovereignty of general currency is in the center of the Republic; The sovereignty of virtual currency lies in distributed indivial nodesfrom the perspective of information economics, general currency is a special case of virtual currency. The special point of this special case is:
first, the reference point remains unchanged. Therefore, value is specialized from a set to a recible value. When the reference point remains unchanged, value is equivalent to utility
Secondly, the gain and loss of utility relative to the reference point remain unchanged. This means that the value of reference point is a stable rational value and equilibrium value. In a rational economy, the reference point may remain unchanged, but it is still a scattered set. The difference is that every point (the actual transaction price) of this decentralization is unstable, and only the equilibrium value is stable But in the value concentration of virtual currency, every point may be stable, on the contrary, the rational equilibrium value may be unstable. Reflecting on the monetary decision mechanism, the central bank is the personified representative of a fixed reference point of rational value, while the virtual money market (such as stock market and game money market) is determined by forces other than the central bank It is in this sense that some people in economics call the stock market virtual money market and the economy formed by stock market and derivative financial market virtual economy. The essence of virtual economy is information economy with indivial as the centerbecause the derivatives trading of bitcoin is more and more abundant, many players use band trading. So the timing of admission is no longer important. Even if bitcoin is at the high point, it can make money by shorting. At present, the most abundant domestic derivatives contract trading is okex exchange. However, we must be cautious in doing contract trading. It is suggested that beginners should learn first
that is to say, the mining cost of bitcoin is taken as an indicator to measure whether the value is undervalued or overvalued. The price is determined by the cost. If the mining cost is $1000 and the market price is $1200, there will be at least a profit. If the market price is $800, where will anyone go to mine? Just buy it
in fact, there are loopholes in this statement. It does not consider the impact of supply and demand on prices, nor does it consider the impact of changes in mining technology. It will be mentioned later
is this measure meaningful? The lowest price of bitcoin in the last bear market was 900 yuan. At that time, Wu Jihan revealed that the marginal cost of procing a coin was 800 yuan. From this point of view, the lowest point of bitcoin is close to the cost of miners, and the timing of fixed investment of 900 yuan is very good
However, no one knows whether the bear market will fall close to the cost price this time. Cost is obviously not the only factor affecting the price of bitcoin. What if I can't wait? This method does not give a clear entry pointnow it's mining and not suitable to buy it
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