Bitcoin hedge fund
at the end of June 2013, after the German parliament decided that bitcoin would be tax-free if it was held for more than one year, bitcoin was recognized as a "unit of account" by the German Ministry of finance, which means that bitcoin has been regarded as a legal currency in Germany and can be used to pay taxes and engage in trade activities< In August 2013, judge Amos mazant of Texas District Court ruled in a case of bitcoin virtual hedge fund that bitcoin is a kind of currency and should be included in the scope of financial regulation
legal status
bitcoin can still be considered as legal at present. In the world, bitcoin can be regarded as a virtual commodity and protected by law; If bitcoin cannot be officially recognized as a kind of currency by law, it may bring inconvenience to the businesses and indivials who accept bitcoin in tax declaration, because the businesses who accept bitcoin will be regarded as barter transactions, and such transactions are more troublesome than ordinary transactions in tax declaration
at the same time, bitcoin, as a commodity highly similar to currency, needs to meet the demand of anti money laundering. Bitcoin needs to be included in the personal property declaration, banking anti money laundering system, anti insider trading, anti market manipulation and other systems in terms of transaction and possession. Bitcoin exchanges and storage institutions may also need government supervision and licensing. Some fast-growing bitcoin exchanges and payment service providers are actively exploring cooperation with regulatory agencies to bring bitcoin payment into the regulatory framework of anti money laundering and anti-terrorism financing by applying for licenses and actively communicating with regulatory authorities
in Europe, the European Central Bank published a report on "virtual currency architecture", and the French bitcoin trading platform obtained the PSP qualification. On December 6, 2012, the central bank wrote in the report: "this report is the first attempt to provide a basis for discussing the virtual currency system. While these systems may play an active role in financial innovation and in providing consumers with alternative means of payment, they also clearly create risks. " "Because of the small size of virtual currency systems, these risks do not affect anyone other than the users of these systems," the report added The report reviews the history of bitcoin and reviews its basic features, including currency and technical operation.
Less than a month after Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, failed to beat bitcoin, bitcoin hit a new record. It not only regained the land lost last month, but also broke $5300 today
At JPMorgan's third quarter earnings meeting on Thursday morning local time, Dimon said he would not comment on bitcoin"I will not classify this (bitcoin) as the most important transaction category, but I will not discuss bitcoin any more." Damon said
bitcoin rose rapidly from less than $1000 at the beginning of 2017 to $4900 at the beginning of September. After that, bitcoin dropped rapidly from US $4900 to US $3500 in the first half of September, and then rebounded. Bitcoin has recovered its lost ground and broken through the US $5800 barrier
Dimon once had a similar but more intense evaluation that the circulation value of bitcoin is limited to a very small market
bitcoin's sharp price fluctuation, on the one hand, has attracted speculation about speculative asset bubbles in the market. On the other hand, it has attracted a lot of attention from investors and banks. p> In early October, some media quoted people familiar with the matter as saying that Goldman Sachs was considering directly carrying out market making transactions of bitcoin and other digital currencies, becoming the first Wall Street giant to prepare to directly trade digital currencies. Lloyd Blankfein, CEO of Goldman Sachs, later tweeted: "bitcoin is still under consideration. There is no conclusion, no support and no rejection. I know that when paper money replaces gold, some people will also be skeptical. "
a spokesman for Goldman Sachs said that it is exploring the best service for customers in the field of digital currency
since June this year, Goldman Sachs has begun to release bitcoin research reports, becoming the first large investment bank on Wall Street to release bitcoin price analysis. In an August report, Goldman Sachs said it has become increasingly difficult for institutional investors to ignore bitcoin and the virtual money market
James Gorman, CEO of Morgan Stanley, said at the end of September that bitcoin was definitely not just a fad“ Anonymous money is a very interesting concept, it provides privacy protection for people, it also has meaning for the central banking system. "
Abigail Johnson, CEO of fidelity, an asset management company that manages $2.3 trillion, has joined the ranks of bitcoin gold miners with practical actions. When Johnson attended the digital currency conference in September, she delivered a long speech, saying that her company not only studied regional chain technology, but also injected venture capital into many companies engaged in bitcoin related businessfidelity owns a bitcoin mining company through investment. Johnson himself has been engaged in bitcoin mining business for a long time, and he has a considerable amount of bitcoin
Shelley Goldberg, a well-known investment consultant working for brevan Howard asset management and Roubini global economics, believes that as an analogy, it is like soybean futures and Intel stock. Many people may think that gold and bitcoin are both currencies because they can be used to buy goods and services. Or, both are commodities, because trading commodity futures needs to meet the minimum standards of account opening funds, and comply with the relevant futures and option contracts. But gold is a commodity, bitcoin and blockchain are technologies
in what unit are abstract things measured
Stefan Weiler, vice president of goldmoney, a global financial services and technology company, believes that gold is real and has physical and measurable natural advantages, rather than abstract man-made money, including fiat money. Therefore, gold has measurable mass and weight to determine its unit (gram, Troy, ounces, etc.). But bitcoin doesn't have this feature. Weiler pointed out that "abstract things can only be measured in their own units.". So the bitcoin value of "weighing" is literally not comparable to the value of gold
Stefan has worked in the world's top financial institutions for more than 10 years. He was senior director of commodity strategy at Goldman Sachs and research director of commodity hedge fund BBL commodities. In 2014, the hedge fund gained 51.3% return and won the title of "new fund of the year"
Weiler explains this problem by comparing the units between bitcoin and gold:
when comparing the units of gold and bitcoin, we must first define which unit to measure, gram... Kilogram... Or ton? Or ounces? Weiler uses the market capitalization of the two companies (apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and seaboard (nysemkt: SEB) as a metaphor to illustrate how unit size / amount distorts the price: comparing the price of a unit of bitcoin and an ounce of gold is a bit like comparing seaboard's shares (US $4179 per share) with Apple's shares (US $116 per share), and concludes that, Seaboard's market value is about 35 times that of apple. Considering only the stock prices of the two companies without considering the shares (i.e. units) issued, it is obviously not enough. Weiler believes that a similar situation will occur when comparing gold and bitcoin
neither is money
by definition, money is a widely accepted means of payment as a medium of exchange. The classification of gold as a commodity currency goes back a lot to the early days of capitalism, when people could trade gold for cattle. But this model doesn't work because gold is often in short supply. Gold is a tradable tool and asset-backed currency, because it can be exchanged for a certain amount of US dollars, but if you take the gold nugget to the grocery store to buy something, the grocery store will not sell it to you. Unless we go back to the Bretton Woods system when gold was fixed against the US dollar, gold is not directly linked to any currency
there is no doubt that bitcoin is becoming an acceptable means of payment both offline and online, such as offline stores, home depot and online transactions, such as expedia.com, which are also accepted by many countries, such as Estonia and Denmark. But it is still not widely accepted around the world
money is national legal, which means that each Congress uses it in monetary policy. The Fed can print as many dollars as it can to stimulate the economy. At present, more than 50 banking organizations in the world have joined the R3 blockchain alliance, but bitcoin does not rely on the government, banks and other third parties
unlike money, both gold and bitcoin are in limited supply. The gold supply of the earth depends on the underground reserves, and the creation limit of bitcoin is 21 million
Goldberg believes that although the value of bitcoin exceeds that of gold for the first time, there is no comparability between bitcoin and gold
the two are not irreplaceable
gold was first used around 700 BC, and after that, nothing with the same properties as gold has been found or created. Metallurgists have made alloys that look and feel like gold, but they are not gold because they do not meet physical delivery standards. Bitcoin, on the other hand, has numerous alternatives, because countless "altcoin" cryptocurrencies have sprung up to challenge it, such as Ethernet, which follows Casper rules
according to cryptocoincharts, the market value of 3694 cryptocurrencies has reached 27.8 billion US dollars. Of course, bitcoin has an overwhelming market share, but who knows what other cryptocurrency popularization or some technology will challenge and destroy the current market in the future. Not long ago, many bitcoins were stolen from Mt. GOx exchange. Last summer, a project using blockchain technology was hacked and lost millions of dollars. So there is still room for improvement
gold is a commodity, but bitcoin is not. Gold is a basic commodity or hard asset that can be used in business, and it can be used as a material to proce other commodities. People can also use gold for physical delivery and then make it into some other form for use. Although bitcoin is storable, it is not physical and cannot be held, felt or transferred. " Goldberg said
are bitcoin and gold risk averse
for centuries, gold has been regarded as a safe haven asset or used as a hedge against inflation, but this attribute is not permanent, because there are many alternatives, such as the Swiss franc and tips. Bitcoin is different. In fact, China's three largest bitcoin exchanges recently stopped withdrawing money under pressure from the people's Bank of China for fear that bitcoin would be used to transfer money abroad. Bitcoin has not experienced inflation since its birth, so its anti inflation property has not been verified< However, they are similar. Shelley Goldberg believes that bitcoin and gold are rare, their prices may be volatile, and each serves as an alternative investment to those lacking confidence in legal tender and monetary policy. Bitcoin trading is not as easy as gold, because people have to buy bitcoin through online trading platforms or invest in over-the-counter bitcoin trusts. There may be a bitcoin ETF in the near future, as the US Securities and Exchange Commission is considering a proposal to launch an exchange traded fund backed by bitcoin. A final decision will be made by this Saturday
on February 14, SEC officials met with brother Tyler Winklevoss and brother Cameron Winklevoss, advocates of bitcoin ETF, to discuss the above proposal. The market expects that once bitcoin ETF is listed, it will attract a large amount of capital investment, reaching at least $300 million. With this development, bitcoin will become an easier trade
cryptocurrency supporters believe that bitcoin is the medium of exchange and storage value in the future. However, the volatility of bitcoin is a problem when only the downlink deviation is measured instead of the standard deviation& quot; This method better shows the risks of bitcoin becoming a widely used currency, "Weiler said
in his analysis, Weiler believes that "the volatility of bitcoin is significantly higher than that of gold and currency
Weiler believes that although bitcoin's short-term performance is impressive, it still has serious limitations in terms of utility and savings compared with gold and precious metals. At the same time, Shelley Goldberg also believes that the relative value of bitcoin is basically nothing except speculation. In addition to the expectation that trump will relax the financial regulatory environment in the United States, China, India, Venezuela and other countries have tightened the supervision of bitcoin. Therefore, with the currency instability in emerging markets, the uncertainty of Trump's policy and the expectation of stock market adjustment, there are still good reasons to buy gold.
at present, the vast majority of professional mining equipment use graphics card.
Since the advent of bitcoin, it is very likely that no quarter has performed as badly as the first quarter of this year
according to the website coinmarketcap, which tracks the price and market value of several digital currency exchanges, the trading price of bitcoin has dropped from above $14000 on January 1 to less than $6900 as of the time of issue, with a decline of more than 50%, and the market value has dropped from nearly $239 billion to about $115.5 billion
In fact, bitcoin is only the epitome of the overall performance of digital currency. After the closing of the last trading day of U.S. stocks in this quarter, an article on Wall Street on the morning of the 30th mentioned that the performance of digital currency in the first quarter was the worst in history, and bitcoin fell below the 200 day moving averagejust at 6 a.m. Beijing time on the 30th, bitcoin also fell below the $7000 level. When it fell below $7500 on the evening of the 29th, Wall Street mentioned that some analysts pointed out that bitcoin was close to the "death cross", that is, the 50 day moving average was close to lower than the 200 day moving average. From a technical point of view, this often means that the asset will go down further
in addition, negative factors such as regulation also put pressure on bitcoin and other digital currencies. For example, when bitcoin fell below $8000 two weeks ago, Wall Street heard that the media said that the US Securities Regulatory Commission issued subpoenas and concted investigations on digital currency hedge funds, and Google announced the ban on ICO and other digital currency advertisements
Coincidentally, in the early morning of the 30th, it was also reported that LinkedIn, a professional social network, will start to ban digital currency advertisements such as ICOhowever, from a technical point of view, some people say that the situation of bitcoin is not so bad
Brian Kelly, a trader atfast money, believes that if the support line can continue to play a supporting role, the upward trend since last August has not actually changed
Forbes columnist Frank Holmes said that, just like the financial assets such as the U.S. stock market, bitcoin is bound to have a strong recovery after a big drop