Bear market of BTC
In a long enough period of time, the ups and downs of the investment market is a reciprocating cycle. In a short time, human nature has been tested. Between short and long positions, between buying and selling, the wealth of participants is redistributed rapidly
after the news of Sino US trade war settlement came out, the stock market had a good start on Monday, but then fell back in the next few days. Nothing seems to have happened
in the view of many people, the sharp decline after bitcoin's soaring is actually predictable. However, many people are faced with the continuous protection of bitcoin, and subconsciously believe that the price of bitcoin will not plummet at this moment, but when the result appears, it is too late. This time, the bitcoin storm is a wake-up call for investors who are not optimistic about gold to some extent
it can be seen from the slump that bitcoin is still unable to compare with gold. If they disagree, bitcoin will double; If not, it is usually halved. It is impossible for gold to make a systematic forecast based on market news. Gold prices can be predicted by the overall market direction, and changes in news can be used to control gold prices and minimize losses
ring the soaring price of bitcoin, many gold investors gave up their investment in gold and turned to the bitcoin market, which led to a certain degree of decline in the demand for gold investment. After the collapse, market sentiment may return to calm, and gold will be chosen as an investment target again, especially in the period of possible interest rate increase. During this period, if the demand for gold investment rises, a certain amount of bottom support may be added for gold to hedge the negative impact of interest rate increase
On the whole, the bear market is still long. Now is not the best time for the spot party to sell Soha, but there is no need to worry about returning to zero. If the fixed investment is still goodlast year, when bitcoin was more than 100000 yuan, many people who didn't get on the bus patted their thighs and said: when NIMA was more than 20000 yuan, they didn't dare to buy it! God give me another chance to sell my house
after less than a year, bitcoin has returned to more than 20000, but at this time, it says that this thing is going to fall, and it is about to collapse
bitcoin has been declared dead more than 300 times, and now it still has a market value of 59.2 billion. After each new high, there are a group of people who blame themselves for not entering in time with tears. Any opportunity is like this. There are few successful people, and the weak people are mediocre all their lives
By midday, bitcoin had fallen to around $10700. Bitcoin's previous attempt to break through $12000 failed, and yesterday's downward trend continues to this day. As a result, the cryptocurrency market fell, with 90 of the top 100 currencies falling
in the past 24 hours, according to the okex platform, the net outflow amount of bitcoin reached 638 million yuan, and according to the currency security data, the net outflow amount of bitcoin reached 152 million yuan. Although the capital outflow in the past 24 hours is relatively large, it has decreased compared with yesterday's capital outflow, and bitcoin has hit the bottom of US $10600 for many times in the past 24 hours. However, in terms of trading volume, there is strong support in this position. After that, we still need to observe the withdrawal of funds, so as to confirm whether the market goes up or continues to fall below the down. In fact, the so-called "bear market" in the currency circle is more popular than the "three o'clock community" before. In my opinion, I basically dare to assert that there are makers in the currency circle who have successfully harvested a batch of "leeks" by using some financial means or big men. This view may sound like "conspiracy theory" to many people, But I have to admit that speculators are everywhere in the coin circle. Zhu Xiaohu's warning that "I hope you don't stay in history because you reap leeks to earn money with blood" also has a certain basis in my opinion
the craziest time was in December 2017, when bitcoin reached more than 100000 yuan. Before that, people who invested in bitcoin could make a fortune overnight. At the end of 2017, the price dropped to below 40000 yuan, and there was also a correction in 2018
there are two ways to invest in bitcoin
one is to buy bitcoin directly and wait for it to rise, that is, simply buy it low and sell it high. Judging from the historical data and the popularity of blockchain, there is still a lot of room for bitcoin to rise, but the cost of this investment method is relatively low, and the price of bitcoin fluctuates too much, so although the income of buying bitcoin directly is high, But the risk is also great
the other is to "dig" bitcoin with professional equipment. The total amount of bitcoin is 21 million. Mining is the only way to get bitcoin, that is, through a professional computer, which is called mining machine in the instry, to get bitcoin through a lot of calculation, and then sell bitcoin to get income. At present, the price of a mining machine is about 10000, Another problem is the cost of electricity. This kind of equipment consumes a lot of power and needs 24-hour uninterrupted operation, so after a long time, the electricity cost is not a small cost
at present, there are many people engaged in mining, mostly in the form of mines, finding cheap electricity for centralized mining to rece costs
every day will generate income, the highest is more than 200. In addition, the fluctuation of the currency price has little impact on the mining, because the bitcoin can be sold at any price. Even if the price of the coin is low, it can be sold after the price rises. Therefore, the investment income is relatively stable, the risk is relatively low, and the current machine price is also low, There is no threshold for investment, so it is a good opportunity for investment
According to the current market, mining income is not high, and even some retail investors have caused losses, but it is difficult to lose money in large-scale professional mines. Mining requires the cost of machinery and equipment and the cost of electricity price. With the decline of bitcoin market, the cost of machinery has been reced again and again, and the electricity price in large mines is also extremely low. Therefore, the income of mining in large mines will be higher than the cost for a long time in the future, and the income will be higher after the price of bitcoin risescompared with self built mines, it has certain advantages to invest in mining machinery trusteeship business. Firstly, the time cost is saved to a certain extent, and the mining business can be started immediately. Secondly, unnecessary expenses, such as labor cost, are saved. Since the custody business concentrates the mining machines of multiple investors in one mine, the labor cost is shared by all investors. Finally, there are cheaper electricity prices. The ultimate goal of hosting enterprises to carry out mining machinery hosting business is to make profits. If they can not get lower than the normal electricity price on the market, it is difficult for hosting enterprises to make profits. Of course, the electricity price given to investors will also be lower than the normal electricity price on the market. Another important advantage is that some trusteeship enterprises are able to cash the virtual currency g up by investors' mining machines directly, which also relieves some investors from the worry that they can't cash the virtual currency
is mining profitable or not? There are several factors affecting the mining income: first, the currency price. The higher the currency price, the more profitable the mining. The second is the difficulty. The slower the difficulty rises, the more profitable the mining will be. The lower the cost, the more profitable the mining. Of course, the cost here refers to the purchasing cost and operating cost of computing power, including labor, network, construction, electricity and so on. The lower the cost, the better. Mining needs to deal with the risk of currency price plummeting, mining difficulty soaring, and mining costs rising. At present, the risk of mining currency speculation is much smaller
now the currency price continues to fall. Some people say that it's better to buy money directly than to buy a miner. In fact, it's not the case. Buying money must bear the risk of currency price falling, and the risk and income coexist, while buying a miner is to "protect the income from drought and flood" and keep the value of money rising; In the absence of rich market experience, the decision to buy money is only the choice of speculators
What do you mean by this? It tells you that big funds can be short or short at any time. When they see that there are more people who are long, it means that there is a rival market. They can use the advantage of big funds to short immediately and make more than ten points in a few hours
on the contrary, if they see more people shorting, it also means that they have the opponent's set, they will make long orders, take advantage of large capital to do long immediately, and can pull up more than 10 points in a few hours
therefore, don't guess BTC's short-term market, just like gambling is more unreliable! This is the information that the insiders can disclose to you publicly. I hope you can understand.
there are many choices in currency speculation, depending on your own ability and luck.
when the stock market enters into a bear market, the whole market has the following characteristics:
1. When adverse news or rumors spread in the stock market, the market price drops, and it is like a mountain of blunders
2. When the good news spreads frequently, the market is weak or limited
3. The stock price is still falling in the ex dividend and ex right season, and investors don't even want the interest and ex right
4. The semiannual line is known as the "bull bear boundary". Fall below the bear market
5. A bear market can be judged by a decline of more than 20% from the periodic high. From the peak of the bull market on October 16, 6124 points fell to 4195 points, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 31.4%, breaking through 20% earlier, reaching the standard of decline defined by the investment community for "bear market".
bull market: also known as bull market, it refers to the market which is generally bullish and lasts for a long time.
Start: June 14, 2001 the highest point is 2245.42
end: June 6, 2005 the lowest point is 998.23
last bull market:
Start: June 6, 2005 the lowest point is 998.23
end: October 16, 2007 the highest point is 6124.04
the so-called "bull market", also known as bull market, refers to the market generally bullish, Dasheng, which lasted for a long time. The so-called "bear market", also known as the short market, refers to the market generally bearish, the ration of a relatively long slump< According to the empirical data of U.S. stock market, Dow Jones summed up the different market characteristics of bull market and bear market, and believed that bull market and bear market can be divided into three different periods
the first phase of the bull market. It coincides with part of the third phase of a bear market, often in the most pessimistic situation of the market. Most investors are frustrated with the market, even if there is good news in the market, many people begin to sell all the stocks regardless of cost. Through the analysis of various economic indicators and situations, farsighted investors expect that the market situation will change soon and begin to choose high-quality stock buyers step by step. After a period of time, many stocks have flowed from blind sellers to rational investors. In the process of recovery, the market occasionally fell back, but the low point of each fall was higher than that of the previous one, so new investors were attracted to the market, and the whole market began to be active. At this time, the operating conditions and performance of listed companies began to improve, and the increase of profits attracted the attention of investors and further stimulated people's interest in entering the market
the second phase of the bull market. At this time, although the market situation improved significantly, the sharp fall of the bear market left investors with lingering fear. There is a stalemate in the market, but generally speaking, the tone of the market is good and the stock price is trying to rise. This period can last for several months or even more than a year, mainly depending on the severity of the psychological blow caused by the last bear market
the third bull market. After a period of hesitation, the trading volume of the stock market is increasing, and more and more investors enter the market. Each fall of the market will not make investors out of the market, but attract more investors to join. Market sentiment is high and full of optimism. In addition, the company's good news is also constantly spread, such as doubling profits, mergers and acquisitions. Listed companies also take the opportunity to raise funds on a large scale, or give bonus shares or split the shares into smaller ones, in order to attract small and medium-sized investors. At the end of this stage, there is a strong speculative atmosphere in the market. Even if there is bad news, it will be regarded as a speculative hot spot and become good news. Junk stocks and unpopular stocks all rose sharply, while some stable high-quality stocks were ignored. At the same time, the wave of stock speculation swept every corner of society, all walks of life, men and women, old and young have joined the army of stock speculation. When this situation reaches a certain extreme, the market will turn
the first phase of bear market. The initial stage is the last stage of the third bull market, which often occurs when the market investment atmosphere is the highest. At this time, the market is absolutely optimistic, and investors are not wary of future changes. The market is full of all kinds of good news, the company's performance and profitability reached abnormal peaks. During this period, many enterprises accelerated their expansion, and the news of mergers and acquisitions spread frequently. Just as the vast majority of investors are addicted to the rising trend of the stock market, a few wise investors and indivial large investors have begun to withdraw their funds or wait and see. Therefore, although the market trading is very hot, there are signs of graal cooling down. At this time, if the stock price goes up further, but the trading volume can't keep up, a big drop may occur. In this period, when the stock price falls, many people still think that the decline is just a correction in the process of rising. In fact, this is the beginning of the stock market crash
the second phase of bear market. At this stage, the stock market will trigger "panic selling" as soon as there is a flurry. On the one hand, there are too many hot spots in the market, and the people who want to buy hold back because they are difficult to choose. On the other hand, more and more people began to rush to sell, aggravating the rapid decline of stock price. In the market where credit trading is allowed, speculators who are engaged in short trading suffer more. They are often forced to sell because of the pressure of repaying the capital they have invested in. As a result, the stock price is falling more and more quickly and can not be controlled. After a round of crazy selling and sharp drop of stock price, investors will feel that the decline is a bit excessive, because the current situation of listed companies and economic environment has not yet reached such a pessimistic level, so the market will have a big recovery and rebound. This period of medium-term rebound may last for several weeks or months, and the range of recovery or rebound is generally one-third to one-half of the total decline of the whole market
the second phase of bear market. After a period of medium-term rebound, the economic situation and the prospects of listed companies tend to deteriorate, the company's performance declines, and financial difficulties. All kinds of bad news that are hard to distinguish between true and false come one after another, which has further hit investors' confidence. At this time, the whole stock market was filled with a pessimistic atmosphere, and the stock price fell significantly after the rebound
in the third period of the bear market, the stock price continued to fall, but the decline did not aggravate. Because the stocks with poor quality had almost fallen in the first and second periods, the possibility of further decline was not great. At this time, e to the collapse of market confidence, the falling stocks were concentrated on the blue chips and high-quality stocks with good performance. This stage coincides with the first stage of the bull market. Farsighted and rational investors will think that this is the best opportunity to absorb. At this time, they will buy low-priced and high-quality stocks and get rich returns when the market recovers
generally speaking, a bear market takes less time than a bull market, accounting for only one-third to one-half of a bull market. However, the specific time of each bear market is not the same, because of the differences in the market and economic environment, there will be greater differences. Looking back at the period from 1993 to 1997, Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges in China experienced a dramatic change in stock prices, which is a complete cyclical process from bull to bear, and then from bear to bull.