When will BTC rise

1.

It was officially born on January 3, 2009

since 2015, the future of bitcoin has become more and more uncertain. On the one hand, bitcoin fell as much as 55.55% against RMB last year; In 2015, bitcoin fell by more than 30% against the RMB in the first half of January alone

bitcoin's "falling" reflects the "self-healing" of its value after "fanaticism" to a certain extent. According to statistics, in 2013, bitcoin rose from 1 ∶ 13.59 to 1 ∶ 731, with an annual increase of 5300%. This speculative driven inflation has affected the virtual currency property on which bitcoin relies

on the one hand, no country has defined it as a legal currency. On the other hand, in 2014, the US dollar rose significantly, and the prices of oil and bulk commodities fell correspondingly. The price trend of bitcoin is the same as that of the latter, becoming part of the asset allocation of some speculators, which highlights that its asset attribute is far greater than the monetary attribute

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Security and credit risk have also become the reasons for the decline of investor confidence. Mt. GOx, once the world's largest bitcoin exchange, claimed in March last year that it had lost all its assets e to hacker attacks. Recently, it was revealed that its lost bitcoin was probably e to internal system manipulation

the regulatory environment of bitcoin is not optimistic, and Russia, Thailand and other countries have begun to implement strict control on it. In addition, the global stock market performed well last year, resulting in the diversion of bitcoin investment funds, and the crazy "mining" activities also rapidly increased the supply of bitcoin, which may lead to a trend of oversupply in the short term, leading to a sharp drop in the price of bitcoin

2.

Since January, the real supervision has not come, only a few ambiguous scrapes have come, the exchange is still there, the project party has not gone, the media of the office is getting better and better, and the related instries are also sleeping day and night. But the bear market has come. It seems that it is unwilling to go. It went down in January, fell in February, and was sluggish in March. Many people cry out that it is a pity to abandon them. They are very surprised. Some people say that the 2014 bear market will repeat itself, while others say that the past is good and we should hold on. We might as well think from the following angles and get our own answers

"bitcoin is the vane of the digital money market. The rise and fall of bitcoin price determines the heat of the overall market and the ability to attract external funds. Therefore, we mainly discuss bitcoin and other mainstream digital currencies."

Like the development and prosperity of the stock market, the game of multi countries will become the theme of the future. Investors will also become more rational, and graally rece the weight of policy in the face of digital money market

Where will ICO itself go and what will the currency of investment be

answer: as a means of financing, ICO is more efficient than IPO and more fair in the distribution of profits. Of course, its own limitations will also limit the development of this financial instrument. ICO and IPO will exist for a long time in the future, serving different instries. Whatever is suitable for token will promote the development of ICO, as well as in policy. IPO will not disappear, because it is more in line with the existing legal framework, in line with international standards and other first mover advantages will support him to continue to maintain the financial channel of related instries

3. The collapse of the existing economy is the day of bitcoin's rise
isn't this idea for fear that the world will not be in chaos? No, no, it's a cruel reality. If we look back at the birth of bitcoin, we will find that the root cause of bitcoin is that the US subprime mortgage crisis has spread to the whole world, resulting in the disorder of the world's economic system, and various countries have issued money printing policies, giving birth to bitcoin, such a "devil of the world". The inventor Nakamoto told economists all over the world, In fact, you can still play like this
bitcoin actually allows people to return to a credit controllable system, but it's too far ahead of time and leads to too big a step. Therefore, from the current point of view, bitcoin is more similar to gold and other safe haven assets. This kind of image is just a superficial likeness. Bitcoin has many scientific and technological advantages in its essence, but it can't play e to many restrictions for the time being. Therefore, if bitcoin wants to rise rapidly, it still depends on the "instability" of the economic system
this kind of thing has happened before. The Bank of Cyprus incident once pushed bitcoin soaring. Now, if there is another "second in Cyprus", I believe bitcoin will have a chance
is this a dream? No, the financial system at this stage has exposed various kinds of crisis. Russia's economy seems to be collapsing because of the fall of crude oil price, a lot of local debts in China can't be paid off, the government is playing hard to cut interest rates and reserve requirements, and the European debt crisis is getting worse and worse... Today's society is in the information age and the Internet age, If the spark can't be fixed, light the powder keg
the possibility of a rapid outbreak of economic crisis still exists, but no one can say for sure. Who knows whether the world will be transformed into a fast lane for a long time and will not be sick again? Marx said that economic crisis will appear periodically in capitalist society, but when will the next big outbreak take place
maybe in more than ten years, maybe in the next second, heaven or hell, there is no way to check.

4. In the last rising cycle, BTC usually experienced multiple 30% + correction, and the average increase after each correction was 153%. That is to say, if you can buy accurately at every low point, you can get an average return of 150%
since then, the pie has risen to US $14000 for more than a month. Today, it has been nearly two months since this high point. At present, the range of shock is almost a 30% callback
so, according to the historical situation, we are likely to experience another 150% rise this year? And if it can be realized in the next few months, it also means that the bear market is really far away from us:
however, it should be noted that the above is based on the rising cycle in history, and now, logically speaking, we can't be 100% sure that we must be in a rising cycle now. If we choose this chart today, we also want to remind the players who are looking at the general trend, Or we should be cautious to do some catch-up and sell down, or wait for a "bottom hunting" point, because it is possible to miss one or two times the income of ten or twenty points
time really flies. It is expected that bitcoin will rise to US $15000 by the end of the year

5. Reasons for the rise: 1. Self: Decentralization (institutions can't freeze your bitcoin), difficulty in cracking, and certain anonymity. 2. When social problems occur, people worry about the preservation of traditional currency: for example, in 2013, in order to obtain the EU's 10 billion euro emergency aid loan, the government of Cyprus will levy a deposit tax on local bank depositors. In order to avoid policy risks, the public scrambled to change their currency into bitcoin. Then it spread to many countries in the euro area. It triggered bitcoin's first massive rise. For example, the new crown black swan event in 2020, the global "big water release" (negative interest rate), the decline of the influence of the US dollar, and the people and the government need the means to maintain the value of assets. 3. With the popularity of blockchain, a large number of institutions have entered the market. Traditional financial institutions, listed companies, and paypal have all promoted the rise of bitcoin. However, e to the limited supply, the demand has increased greatly, which has promoted the price rise.

6. I think it's the end of the year. It's still in the stage of oversold and rebound, and it doesn't have the conditions for a bull market. It's still mainly a wait-and-see situation. The day before yesterday, bitcoin broke ten thousand in the morning and plummeted in the evening. It's a typical contract explosion. If you want to trade now, you can only sell high and absorb low, and you can make a profit. Now is not the time to hoard money, A few weeks ago, I reminded my friends to clear the bitcoin positions in the Matcha exchange

7. No, because only a small number of people believe that if the number of users does not grow, the scam will slowly break down
bitcoin is a virtual currency system developed by an organization that dare not disclose its identity. Also known as "air currency"
this kind of currency is worthless. We should rely on pyramid selling and speculation to improve the psychological value among a small number of people, then buy and sell among these people, and then continue to rely on pyramid selling to expand the population
this is a financial fraud, much like the Ponzi scheme
as long as people who are not mentally retarded, they should be aware that this is a fraud
it's just that people who speculate in currency think that they won't be the last one to take over the dish.

8. False, the central bank has not issued any
digital currency
, and is currently opposed to all digital currencies, prohibiting all
virtual currency
transactions

9.

China has the largest number of blockchain patent applications in the world

China has a good foundation in the field of blockchain. With the support of the previous series of policies, blockchain technology and instry have developed rapidly, and began to integrate with all walks of life

in 2016, the State Council issued the 13th five year plan for national informatization, which listed blockchain technology as a strategic frontier technology. In June 2018, the Ministry of instry and information technology issued the instrial Internet development action plan (2018-2020) to encourage the application research and exploration of emerging frontier technologies such as blockchain in the instrial Internet

the number of patent applications for blockchain technology in China ranks the first in the world in recent years. According to the 2018 China e-banking survey report released by China financial certification authority (CFCA) at the end of last year, more than half of the existing patent applications related to blockchain in the world are from China. By the end of 2017, there were more than 1200 patent applications, surpassing the United States and becoming the first

at present, the top three Internet giants Alibaba, Tencent and network are trying to develop regional blockchain technology and related basic technology development, such as network super chain platform, ant blockchain baas platform, Tencent cloud tbaas blockchain service platform, etc

at present, in terms of global enterprises, the first and second echelons of blockchain technology competition have been formed. As of April 2019, Alibaba ranked first in the global blockchain patent ranking in the first half of 2019 with 290 blockchain patents. At the same time, by observing the enterprises of the first and second echelons, it is found that they are all from China. On the whole, China's Internet companies have accumulated profound technology in blockchain. China has a great technological competitive advantage in the field of blockchain

from January to April in 2019, the global blockchain patents ranked first Second tier statistics

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data source: for more data sources and analysis, please refer to the in depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of China's blockchain instry published by prospective instry research institute , At the same time, foresight Instrial Research Institute also provides solutions for instrial big data, instrial planning, instrial declaration, instrial park planning, and instrial investment promotion