How about bitcoin in the short term
1. The advantages of bitcoin are exaggerated: About decentralization, no transaction costs and anti inflation
it is true that bitcoin has various advantages over paper money, but these advantages have been over interpreted. First of all, bitcoin is a kind of decentralized currency, which will not have the same risk of central bank controlling money supply and affecting market value as paper money; Bitcoin is mainly held in the hands of large investors, and the market depth is not enough. At present, the trading behavior of large investors is also very easy to affect the price of bitcoin. Even if the attribute of decentralization is regarded as the advantage of bitcoin when it is fully mature, then the prerequisite of holding decentralization should be added. In addition, there are great differences between centralized and decentralized online payment systems in the degree and type of financial risks they are exposed to
secondly, the low transaction cost of bitcoin is not without transaction cost. On the contrary, e to the increasing difficulty of bitcoin mining and the further stability of currency value, the dependence of relevant transaction platforms on transaction cost will increase, which will certainly increase the transaction cost. Finally, the confidentiality of the bitcoin transaction needs to be discussed. The principle of the bitcoin transaction makes all the processes of each bitcoin transaction stored in each machine. If someone can determine the real background of a transaction, they can find all the transactions down and up through these data
compared with other advantages, anti inflation or anti inflation is the most publicized advantage. Although its supply is stable and the upper limit of supply is locked according to its algorithm, unless the whole world is unified and all countries use bits as currency, it can not prevent the over issuance of money only as a means of payment or a storage of value, just as the current existence of gold can not constrain the growth of each country's currency. If bits can only be used as a means of payment in local areas (such as the network), then global or some countries' inflation will still be transmitted to the areas where bits are used. Therefore, the use of bits to prevent inflation is basically untenable, or has a strong premise. As for anti inflation, that is to say, it has the function of value storage, it needs to have the property similar to gold. However, from the reality, bit's essential property and prospect are still hard to match gold. See below for details
2. Bitcoin's future positioning is too high
the expectation of bitcoin's future in the market generally compares it with gold and US dollar, which is relatively high. The recognition of gold not only lies in its natural physical properties, but also in its official acceptance as a reserve currency (or an important allocation of foreign exchange assets). In theory, bitcoin as an electronic currency does not have the unique and exclusive status, and it is more difficult to become the official reserve of central banks like gold. Therefore, it is not appropriate to expect too much bit. As an electronic currency, bit has the first mover advantage. If it can be guaranteed in terms of security, its most optimistic prospect will be as a means of payment in local areas
3. Speculation and speculative demand caused by event factors are the main reasons for the rise of bitcoin in this round
under the credit currency system, people's lack of confidence in the currencies of various countries and pessimistic economic prospects are the general environment for the rise of bitcoin in this round. The speculation of the major dealers in the market and the derivatives market of bitcoin, together with the speculative psychology of the participants, further accelerated its rise. Btcchina's investment of US $5 million and the announcement of Ben's position are the main driving factors for the recent surge
however, a lot of big players start to enter the market and buy a lot, which not only drives the bit price up to a high level, but also increases the market risk. Chamath, a former Facebook executive, has spent $5 million on bitcoin and plans to spend another $10 million. Bitcoin investment trust also exceeded its target within four weeks, raising $15 million. These people's investments not only make bitcoin further rise, but also concentrate on the holding of bitcoin, which strengthens the influence of indivials and institutions on the price of bitcoin and increases the market risk
4. There is still strong room for speculation in the medium and short term
although our previous analysis is not optimistic about the prospect of bit, it is likely that bit will still have strong room for speculation in such a short and medium term period of time as one year. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the creators of bitcoin advocate that the generation of bitcoin is not manipulated by human factors, which is quite different from the credit currencies of various countries. We expect that the monetary policies of major countries will be divided next year. With the release of economic risks and the heavy damage to traditional asset markets, bitcoin will have better room for speculation and imagination< The use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
the U.S. government seized the drug trading website "Silk Road" at the beginning of last month. A crowdfunding network called "assassination market" even marked the sale of murderers with bitcoin price. The founder of the assassin market, under the pseudonym of kuwabatake Sanjuro, is an extreme anarchist. Both prism gate incident and the use of bitcoin in relevant sensitive fields highlight the increasingly prominent position of information field in national security. The Third Plenary Session proposed the establishment of the national security committee, which will play an important role in China's security strategy and expand from traditional national defense, stability maintenance / urban security to information security and other emerging areas
Novice first of all to know how to calculate your cost, recharge, trading, cash, there are fees. At least you can understand the K-line. There are a lot of people on the K-line. You can look at it casually and understand it. You need to be risk aware. Bitcoin is a high-risk and high profit investment. It may double overnight, or BMW may become a bicycle overnight. At the beginning, we suggest a small amount of investment
but it's hard to get bitcoin for indivial mining, so it's basically large-scale mining, and you need to cooperate with the mine pool. So if you still want to make money by mining, at present, the most suitable mining method is cloud mining or mining machine hosting. After all, the era of single person mining is over
It has been ten years since the birth of bitcoin, and the price of a single bitcoin has broken through the $40000 mark, which has attracted more and more people's attention. And the trend of bitcoin is more and more like a bubble. Strong>, however, in the short term, the bubble will not burst in the short term, and it will probably be cracked until the bitcoin is close to digging. Of course, the bubble will break up mainly depends on the capital of the speculation when what time to leave, if the capital does not leave the field, the bubble will continue to . p> According to the above two points, the rising price of bitcoin is more like the last craziness of bitcoin and the last means for capital to make money. Although it is not known how long this method will last, but because of the characteristics of bitcoin itself, it can not replace traditional currency as a means of daily life. , when people no longer recognize their value or do not need it, then the bubble of bitcoin will burst instantly. P>
generally, no one can accurately determine the time of bursting of bitcoin bubbles, because it is related to what time the bitcoin will be g and what time the capital will leave. p>
Bitcoin's surge is just a short-term phenomenon. In the past, bitcoin was really hot, which made many people crazy, but its hot period has passed. At present, the sudden rise of bitcoin is obviously a kind of hype by some people who hold a lot of bitcoin. Their purpose is also very pure, through this way to attract more retail investors to invest, and then they start to make crazy profits. Don't be attracted by the heat
in fact, when it comes to bitcoin, many people may not know what it is, but the only thing people value is that it can make money, which reflects the phenomenon that people blindly follow the trend of investment. The risk of investment market is big, but the profit is also big, which requires our investors to recognize the hero. Let your own investment knowledge enrich, so that you know investment like the palm of your hand, and you won't be blind
the popularity of bitcoin will soon disappear, and it must not be speculated and invested by some people
the era of bull market has long passed, so investment should be cautious

the U.S. government has now recognized bitcoin as a currency that can be used legally in the United States. Many people speculate that the U.S. government is to let the world's rich buy bitcoin and transfer huge wealth to the U.S. to avoid regulation
it is impossible to judge whether bitcoin will go bull or bear in the short run, because this is the characteristic of this kind of virtual currency. Only a few people can judge his trend by technology and make a fortune
if you really think that bitcoin is worth the money and has a bright future, this is the premise. You may as well build positions in batches and buy in batches within 3 to 6 months, or even longer, so as to level the cost and not be out of the game e to vibration.
how to identify virtual currency fraud
now the market has changed a lot, you need to observe it yourself
it's not a job, anyone can do it.
