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How about the rise and fall of bitcoin

Publish: 2021-04-17 18:34:45
1.

Since January, the real supervision has not come, only a few ambiguous scrapes have come, the exchange is still there, the project party has not gone, the media of the office is getting better and better, and the related instries are also sleeping day and night. But the bear market has come. It seems that it is unwilling to go. It went down in January, fell in February, and was sluggish in March. Many people cry out that it is a pity to abandon them. They are very surprised. Some people say that the 2014 bear market will repeat itself, while others say that the past is good and we should hold on. We might as well think from the following angles and get our own answers

"bitcoin is the vane of the digital money market. The rise and fall of bitcoin price determines the heat of the overall market and the ability to attract external funds. Therefore, we mainly discuss bitcoin and other mainstream digital currencies."

Like the development and prosperity of the stock market, the game of multi countries will become the theme of the future. Investors will also become more rational, and graally rece the weight of policy in the face of digital money market

Where will ICO itself go and what will the currency of investment be

answer: as a means of financing, ICO is more efficient than IPO and more fair in the distribution of profits. Of course, its own limitations will also limit the development of this financial instrument. ICO and IPO will exist for a long time in the future, serving different instries. Whatever is suitable for token will promote the development of ICO, as well as in policy. IPO will not disappear, because it is more in line with the existing legal framework, in line with international standards and other first mover advantages will support him to continue to maintain the financial channel of related instries

2. Factors affecting the price of bitcoin 7: government regulation
some people want to see more regulation of bitcoin, because when the government regulates bitcoin, it will claim that bitcoin is legal or illegal. If it's legal, the laws governing bitcoin can help people measure its availability and longevity
on the other hand, some of us are afraid of government regulation, because the overall view of decentralized money is to keep it decentralized so that no one can control it. The government controls the amount of legal tender in circulation in the country. They can make more money, but they can't directly rece the amount in circulation. Wallet address storage bitcoin and wallet may be accidentally deleted, or they may be locked by forgotten password, but only 21 million bitcoin will be cast. This allows the value of bitcoin to increase over time rather than decrease
now imagine the government's announcement that they are only allowed to exploit cryptocurrency, and only their currency is legal in their country. Well, now we are in the same situation as before the invention of cryptocurrency. The government takes all the money, and they can start and stop mining at will. Maybe they'll even change the code to do more money mining when there's not enough money. The only difference is the form of the trading currency. Cryptocurrency regulation can bring a lot of terrible things, and some people are very afraid of the new rules
those who promote the regulation of bitcoin will buy more bitcoin and increase the value of bitcoin, but those who are afraid of government regulation may start panic selling when news such as nydfs bitlicense comes into play. This makes it possible for government regulation to affect the price of bitcoin. The price of bitcoin is stable. You can explain the news in two different ways
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 6: acceptance of bitcoin
no one uses bitcoin as currency, and bitcoin will not be used for any purpose as currency. When people pay with bitcoin, they are increasing their credibility and showing the world that someone wants to pay with bitcoin. Many people in companies like Dell, Newegg, and dish networks have taken the power of bitcoin to inform and allow customers to use it to buy their procts and services. Xapo offers a new credit card that allows you to use bitcoin for stores that accept regular debit cards
although shoppers have no direct impact on prices, they do help spread bitcoin around the world as a viable currency. Therefore, the impact of bitcoin shopping on bitcoin price factors has no short-term impact, but they provide a larger market
factors affecting bitcoin price 5: Mining
the more miners there are, the more secure the network will be as long as no one owns 51% or more of the network. When an entity owns at least 51% of the mining power in the network, 51% of the attacks may occur
for example, a person can buy a mansion with 10000 bitcoin. The real estate agent who sells the buyer's mansion receives the money and transfers the contract to the buyer to complete the transaction. Buyers now have luxury homes, and real estate agents get 10000 bitcoins from sales, right? Well, buyers have 51% of the bitcoin network hash rate, and they want to return their money while keeping the house. The buyer allocates the block chain before the transaction, and uses 51% network hash to compete for the official part of the fork, so that the new branch is longer than the original branch. In doing so, the entire network now treats the new branch as legal and the original branch containing 10000 BTC transactions as illegal. That means the buyer now has his 10, 00 BTC back. This is called a 51% attack
the 51% attack probability that affects the bitcoin price is the potential panic selling
e to several reasons, the impact of general mining, bitcoin price factors declined slightly. Some miners keep their bitcoin as part of their buying and holding strategies, while others cash in legal tender. Miners also have high electricity bills to run their equipment, so they often sell a large profit for legal purposes in order to pay for their electricity bills
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 4: media opinion
the media does play a role in the price of bitcoin
when most people read the news, most people will take action based on the news. For example, if the news says ghash. IO has 51% network hash value; Some people may launch DDoS attacks on ghash. Io. In front of the mountain, China's news trading is quite profitable. GOx crashes. People will sell panic crazily, so everyone who knows the latest news knows that the people's Bank of China will pitch on bitcoin, and then it will become a rumor that they will sell their collection and buy it back when the market starts to rise again
the key factor influencing the price of bitcoin in this news is the articles it provides. People will buy or sell bitcoin according to its content and send it with higher or lower value correspondingly
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 3: large enterprises mp money
bitcoin is not accepted everywhere; Not every employee wants to accept bitcoin's salary, and not every government system will accept bitcoin and other taxes. Before the world catches up, there are still things to pay in fiat money, so companies usually sell most of bitcoin to pay for their business. Just like the so-called "mping", the value of bitcoin will be in a low state. Depending on the company's sales volume and how many companies were selling bitcoin at the time, this could mimic "panic selling" and cause the price of bitcoin to collapse
the decline in the value of bitcoin is the key factor influencing the price of bitcoin for large enterprises that prefer fiat money< As you can see above, the common reason why management factors work in this way is that they buy and sell bitcoin in other currencies. When traders sell bitcoin on the exchange, the price is very low, and the price usually doesn't change, or the change is very small. If the trader is a large holder of bitcoin, that is, a person with a large number of bitcoin about 1000 + BTC, the price of bitcoin will drop significantly e to its large sales. Generally speaking, orders from large number of cash holders will not be filled with a single price, which is the reason for the price decline. Someone may buy a BTC for $600; Another may buy 20 BTC for $598; There may be more transactions of different values in the middle, and then the seller will sell 0.1 BTC to the buyer for $500. What is the new purchase price of bitcoin? Maybe 499 dollars
for all people selling bitcoin in the transaction, the price factor of bitcoin is always a decline in the value of bitcoin
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 1: trading volume and frequency of exchanges
of course, the primary factor affecting the value of bitcoin is how many people are willing to pay for bitcoin. When you place an order at the exchange to buy bitcoin, you can determine the value of bitcoin to you. The more people are willing to buy bitcoin, the greater the chance of increasing the overall value of bitcoin. The seller sells the highest bid first, so whoever is the current highest bidder is the one who decides the value of bitcoin
when someone buys bitcoin on the exchange, the factor that affects the price of bitcoin is that the value of bitcoin always rises
a formula for calculating the stock price
the rise and fall of the stock is calculated by comparing the closing price (or current price) of the trading day with the closing price of the previous trading day
calculation method of rise and fall range: the difference between the closing price (or current price) of the day minus the closing price of the previous trading day and then dividing the closing price of the previous trading day
calculation formula of rise and fall range: Rise and fall range = (current price - yesterday's closing price) / yesterday's closing price * 100% (the calculated value is positive for rise and negative for fall)
at present, the trading rules of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets are as follows: generally, the maximum limit of the rise and fall of each trading day is + - 10% for stocks, + - 5% for St stocks, and + - 44% for new stocks on the first day of listing, and the rise and fall of other special regulations are calculated separately
3. The rise and fall of bitcoin is still related to the monetary policy of the authorities
that is, when monetary policy is loose, it will rise, and when monetary policy is tight, it will fall.
4. Reasons for the rise: 1. Self: Decentralization (institutions can't freeze your bitcoin), difficulty in cracking, and certain anonymity. 2. When social problems occur, people worry about the preservation of traditional currency: for example, in 2013, in order to obtain the EU's 10 billion euro emergency aid loan, the government of Cyprus will levy a deposit tax on local bank depositors. In order to avoid policy risks, the public scrambled to change their currency into bitcoin. Then it spread to many countries in the euro area. It triggered bitcoin's first massive rise. For example, the new crown black swan event in 2020, the global "big water release" (negative interest rate), the decline of the influence of the US dollar, and the people and the government need the means to maintain the value of assets. 3. With the popularity of blockchain, a large number of institutions have entered the market. Traditional financial institutions, listed companies, and paypal have all promoted the rise of bitcoin. However, e to the limited supply, the demand has increased greatly, which has promoted the price rise.
5. How does bitcoin's sense of unfairness come into being
1. Different issuers, the state or the central bank controls you in the sovereign monetary system, no matter how much wealth you are deprived of, because you are a vulnerable group. According to a series of factors such as herd mentality, you never dare to think that this is abnormal. The "issuers" of bitcoin (let's call them issuers here) can only exchange the initial wealth at one time. They are just early practitioners and can't control the system. These people do not have the same power as a sovereign state, so they think they should not be so "cool"? At the same time, I think this is the game currency. What are you doing
2. People who don't understand the whole system (usually onlookers, because they don't hold it, they don't really care about money and seriously understand bitcoin), we call them target groups, for example,
there is a phenomenon in Psychology: A, one day, you and a bully (or someone you think is very strong), a person with the same status as you, At the same time, I found that there was a huge amount of money of 1 million on the ground, and the bully (or you think it's very strong) picked it up first, so you and the person of the same status would not have any resistance; However, if you or someone with the same status as you pick it up, the other party will have a very unbalanced psychology and will want to solve it by force, while the bully will decide whether to intervene or not according to whether the incident affects his fundamental interests. B. It's the same thing above. If a bully picks up a million dollars every day, you two people of the same status will not yell, and you and people of the same status will never pick up the million dollars again, but the other side will still hate the other side. Above a, B hypothesis can continue to write for a long time, this is human nature, will exist for a long period of history
3. In this era, people's overall consciousness has not been advanced. Most people still only believe in hegemony. They worship the strong in different fields and trust the currency of the hegemonic system more. This will not change for a long period of time. This is connected with the political and governance system. In fact, the financial progress and even political progress involved in bitcoin are too advanced to be seen clearly at present, which is also caused by the limitation of human understanding. So many people who only engage in finance do not understand the Internet and bitcoin. Those who understand the Internet and are not familiar with finance can not persuade those who engage in finance, but those who do not understand politics or systems can not fully understand it. Among the governance systems of Europe and the United States, Germany's political system is the closest to "system governance", which is closely related to why Germany first recognized the currency status of bitcoin...

if the initial or centralized holders of bitcoin do not abandon bitcoin, what will they do? How to make it a universal currency
1. The popularity of bitcoin has many dimensions. From a small number of huge holders to the public holders is a dimension. Bitcoin is widely accepted in different countries, cultures, regions and consumption fields. There are also multiple dimensions. These dilution processes are also related to the prosperity and time of the world's major sovereign currencies. It's a huge chemical reaction and it's irreversible. A large number of supporters are only one-time issuers. This dilution is irreversible, so there is no need to worry about it
2. Worry that bitcoin will be replaced by later powerful electronic currency? That's for sure, and the worry is too far ahead of time. It's faster than the speed of light. There is no permanent form of money, which can be seen from the development of money, and with the weakening of the concept of guaijia, the sovereign currency Hui withdrew from the stage of history. The era of more powerful e-money may intersect with bitcoin, maybe after the heyday of bitcoin, but it is unlikely to appear before the heyday of bitcoin. If there is such a situation, it must be driven by a strong external force. It's unlikely that
6. Bitcoin is a virtual encrypted digital currency in the form of P2P. Peer to peer transmission means a decentralized payment system. Fire coin network, okcoin and coin security network are the three major bitcoin trading platforms in China. Due to the high risk of bitcoin trading, it is recommended to choose carefully for users with immature investment experience. According to the notice on preventing the financing risk of token issuance, there is no approved digital currency trading platform in China. According to the regulation of digital currency in China, investors have the freedom to participate in digital currency transactions at their own risk

warm tips: the above explanations are for reference only, without any suggestions. There are risks in entering the market, so investment should be cautious. Before making any investment, you should make sure that you fully understand the nature of the investment and the risks involved in the proct. After a detailed understanding and careful evaluation of the proct, you can judge whether to participate in the transaction
response time: February 4, 2021. Please refer to the official website of Ping An Bank for the latest business changes
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7. Hello:
the rise and fall of bitcoin is still related to the monetary policy of the authorities
when monetary policy is loose, it will rise sharply.
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