BTC cramp macro
unlike all currencies, bitcoin does not rely on a specific currency institution to issue. It is generated by a large number of calculations based on a specific algorithm. Bitcoin economy uses a distributed database composed of many nodes in the whole P2P network to confirm and record all transactions, and uses cryptography design to ensure the security of all aspects of currency circulation. The decentralized nature and algorithm of P2P can ensure that it is impossible to artificially manipulate the value of bitcoin through mass proction. The design based on cryptography can make bitcoin only be transferred or paid by the real owner. This also ensures the anonymity of money ownership and circulation transactions. The biggest difference between bitcoin and other virtual currencies is that the total amount of bitcoin is very limited and it has a strong scarcity.
The impact of the okex incident on the currency market is fading; With the US election becoming increasingly white hot, the difficulty and hash rate of bitcoin are higher than before
in terms of price, so far, BTC has rushed to around us $11720, with a 24-hour increase of more than 2%
so the question is: where will bitcoin go in the next week
here are five factors that may affect the BTC price trend in the coming week
No.1 US macro level: election and stimulus plan this week, the US is the absolute focus of the macro market. The US presidential election will soon usher in a decisive moment (November 3)
analysts warn that if the Democratic Party (Biden) wins, the dollar will depreciate - and the long-term outlook for the dollar is already precarious. Goldman Sachs said last week that Trump's re-election was not enough to get the dollar out of danger
however, no matter what the election result is, professionals recommend buying gold as a hedge. However, in the view of others, bitcoin may bring more profits
However, e to the inverse correlation between BTC / USD and the dollar currency index (DXY), the strength of the US dollar, in the view of some bitcoin traders, will still affect the price trend of bitcoin. Although this correlation has become less and less obvious in recent weeks, the sudden weakness of the US dollar is still likely to be a boon for bitcoin
six month chart of US dollar currency index. Source: tradingview
at the same time, not only the election, but also what happened before is also a topic of interest. Specifically, a coronavirus stimulus plan was in place before polling day
If this happens, trillions of dollars of liquidity will increase the growing debt pile of the United States, and Americans will see additional benefits, such as an additional $1200 economic stimulus planNo.2 Europe suggests more intervention
with the outbreak again, the European Central Bank (ECB) is considering further measures
European Central Bank President Christina; In an interview with Le Monde on Monday, Lagarde said the European Central Bank would use more financial instruments if necessary
the European Central Bank's coronavirus stimulus program has purchased a total of 1.5 trillion euros of assets
"We haven't run out of options in our toolbox yet," says Lagardebrexit is increasingly moving towards "no agreement" brexit, which makes the possibility of instability worse
No.3 the fundamentals of bitcoin have reached a new high
recently, bitcoin has maintained a strong resilience in the face of various black swan events. Influenced by okex, BTC recently dropped below $11200, but recovered steadily soon. So far, it has exceeded $11600
and on the technical level, the fundamentals of bitcoin also maintained a record strength this month
two days ago, the difficulty of the latest adjustment increased by 3.5% than expected
at the same time, the hash rate also climbed to a record high on Monday. At the time of publication, the estimated computing power for mining is 146 exahashs (EH / s) per second
as often reported in the media, the popular theory is that the price follows the hash rate, because the long-term investment prospect of bitcoin is better than ever before
bitcoin 7-day average hash rate 1-month chart
No.4 analysts focus on $12000 BTC price breakthrough
for famous analyst Micha & # 235; For Lvan de Poppe, the key price conversion of bitcoin is becoming more and more reasonable
in his latest video update on Sunday, he stressed that the significant resistance level of weekly closing price below US $12000 for several consecutive years will soon end
Van de Popper believes that since the beginning of the bear market in early 2018, US $12000 has become the rejection point of the weekly chart, but the consolidation below cannot last forever
he concluded: "we are likely to rebound to the range of US $16000 to US $17000, because this is the obvious level and the last obstacle for bitcoin to begin to break through the all-time high."
after this move, there will be another consolidation period, which may last longer than the current period
van der BOPP added that he advised viewers to work hard to accumulate bitcoin, even in the $16000 range
BTC / USD 7-day price trend chart. Data source: coin360
No.5 market sentiment: greed is back
with the graal strengthening of prices, investor sentiment is also changing: data shows that investor sentiment is becoming more and more greedy. In the latest market data, the fear and greed index has returned to the "greedy" area, rising slightly from "neutral" in the past week
this indicates that bitcoin investors' emotional expectations will be bullish, but it should be noted that if the price rises too fast, "greed" will become "extreme greed", in which case the index is more likely to callback
the content of this article comes from: financial code of the people's Republic of China: application edition, China Law Press
when compared with other virtual currencies, bitcoin always mentions "21 million fixed output". In the early years, bitcoin had not been exposed to investors in a large area. It proced a lot and g a lot, but there was no demand. But now purchase bitcoin, the price is expensive, the output is small, the demand is big
we believe that when there is an imbalance between supply and demand, the price of goods will be affected. Influenced by the policy, many bitcoin holders are now keeping a wait-and-see attitude. The decrease of bitcoin in circulation in the market and the increasing demand for bitcoin in the market are bound to push the price up, but in fact, it will not be the investment speculators who come into the market at this high level who will benefit in the end
popularization of regional chain
the report released by professional institutions mentioned the problem of regional chain technology. The report shows that by 2027, the global investment value of regional chain technology will reach 300 billion to 400 billion US dollars. And the regional chain as an infrastructure development, will be applied to more and more scenarios
at that time, whether the popularity of regional chain will raise the price of bitcoin is also full of uncertainty
investor confidence remains unchanged
although many institutions and financial giants are short of bitcoin, investors are still confident in the future value of bitcoin. After all, in history, is there any trading proct that can soar 7.54 million times in eight years
professional agency analysts said that 10 years ago, the impact of the financial crisis had so far failed to get rid of the shadow of many countries, and the share price bubble continued to expand. Investors would worry whether the original financial system would collapse again. Bitcoin, which has a strong performance, will attract more investors with capital inflows, thus driving up prices. In a way, bitcoin is already a safe haven
although the trading of bitcoin was suspended by China in September 2017, bitcoin surged by more than 233% after de Sinicization< In November 2017, bitcoin began to hard bifurcate, that is to say, dividing the regional chain into two, which is equivalent to doubling the issue of bitcoin, which means that the value of bitcoin will be diluted. Affected by the impending start of hard bifurcations, bitcoin started on November 9, 2017 and has been in a state of decline for four days
the suspension of the 2x fork originally scheled for November 16, 2017 has eased the anxiety of the whole bitcoin instry chain over capacity expansion, and the market is a little relieved of the possible collapse crisis caused by the fork
bubble greater risk
many investors have seen the bitcoin appreciation and profit margins after they have entered the bitcoin trading market. However, the current domestic large-scale bitcoin trading platform has been completely closed, and the regulatory level has not relaxed the entry of bitcoin into the domestic market
bitcoin, as a speculative commodity, has great bubbles and unknown risks. We tend to ignore the risk, and it is often the risk that damages the funds in our pockets. When participating in a high-risk market, we must reasonably allocate personal assets, such as the allocation of stable financial procts such as stable profit selection investment plan. We must not use all our wealth to allocate high-risk investment procts
in a word, bitcoin has risen dramatically in recent years. It's hard to avoid some words like "you are the richest man in China now if you bought bitcoin eight years ago". But eight years ago, you didn't know that bitcoin could be as brilliant as it is today. You might as well change your vision and look for the next "bitcoin"
the above is the reason why bitcoin's price rises. As much profit as possible, there is as much risk. Although bitcoin has been rising in price, no one is sure in the future. If we must invest in digital currency, we must first control its risks.
We invested 1 yuan in that year, and now we get 10.8 million yuan! The market value of bitcoin can buy 22 Yunnan Baiyao, which has increased by more than 10 million times in ten years. After breaking through 25000 US dollars on the 26th, the transaction price of bitcoin continued to rise< as of 14:24 Beijing time on the 27th, data from coindesk showed that the price of bitcoin was $27372 each, up more than 10% in 24 hours
the key to maintaining monetary belief is scarcity. In primitive society, shells were also used as currency. This is because people find that shells also require a lot of labor time< the scarcity of shells determines the intrinsic value of these shells but if people go to the seaside and find endless shells everywhere, the shells will become worthless and people will start to use other scarce commodities as money
Bitcoin is now in a state of fire. We have a certain understanding of the fact that a lot of information about bitcoin has been searched at this time< but I didn't expect that nearly 20% of Internet cafes in South Korea chose to dig for bitcoin at this time, because the occurrence of bitcoin surprised us all because we all understand that for bitcoin, the virtual currency, its overall price still makes it impossible for us to make a specific estimate, because it is not affected by the current macroeconomic regulation and control{ RRRRR}
so this tells us that when we encounter such things in medical life, we should understand them, otherwise it will be very bad for us and it also tells me that we should keep an understanding attitude when we are not in the state. This is what we all understood and imagined in the past. So this also tells us that we should pay attention to things like charm, which we can all imagine and understand
Under the global macroeconomic environment, has bitcoin ushered in the spring? I believe you are not very familiar with bitcoin. I don't know much about how bitcoin works. That's why I don't understand. Let's give you a specific explanation, so that you can understand the future of bitcoin. The following contents can be referred to by friends:
3. Under the impact of the global economy, the speculation space of bitcoin is shrinking step by step:
when the global economic development is relatively good, bitcoin has some room for operation. In fact, it is precisely because of this operation space that bitcoin has been constantly appreciating in recent years. But now the situation has changed, bitcoin is likely to further rece the operating space.Dim MyPath, MyName, AWbName
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