How to divide bitcoin
Based on these two situations, price fluctuation seems to occur within 18 months after each halving. However, the data is still insufficient for proper analysis and price forecasting model
Will history repeat itself< p> It is important to note that in terms of the number of bitcoin holders, market value, regulations and the overall outlook for cryptocurrency, there are huge differences between 2012, 2016 and 2020. For example:market value: November 2016 - & gt; $11 billion, December 2019 - $132 billion
daily trading volume: November 2016 - & gt; 84 million US dollars, December 2019 - 17 billion US dollars
e to the increased public awareness of bitcoin and the interest of institutional investors, the risk is higher this time. Although many other cryptocurrencies have been introced since 2016, BTC's dominant position is still 66.6%. As a result, the bitcoin miner is unlikely to switch to other coins, which means that halving may have a long-term impact on bitcoin prices
However, the main gain is that there is a certain correlation between the halving of bitcoin reward and the price fluctuation after the event. These supply changes happen every four years, and it's interesting to watch their impact on the price of the bitcoinAbout bitcoin, the news is flying all over the world these two days
specifically, a foundation called BTN foundation announced that it has set up a bitcoin bifurcated development team to launch a new bitcoin bifurcated BTN. Now its official website is online, which is called btn.kim. Two days later, bitgo, another bitcoin development team, announced that it would fork out from bitcoin. Its name is BTF, which literally means "bitcoin faith"
according to Yao yuan, a well-known bitcoin columnist, bitcoin will "have 10 children" in December, and will at least bifurcate out of 10 "children" such as BCX, SBTC and LBTC
as soon as these things happened, the bitcoin market began to fluctuate again, some investors blew up, and all kinds of rumors came out: why so many forks? Is bitcoin out of order
in fact, the bifurcating of bitcoin is far more complicated than what it shows. If we don't explain its historical background clearly, we really can't understand what happened
< b > the origin of bifurcations: the origin of the bifurcations of bitcoin has existed. The so-called bifurcations refer to the accounting differences caused by different underlying protocols. According to Xue Hongyan, director of the Internet financial center of Suning Financial Research Institute, bitcoin is jointly maintained by a number of point-to-point decentralized nodes. The orderly operation of the whole system depends on the consensus of all nodes, that is, there is a set of recognized standards for key issues such as which transactions are acceptable and which nodes have accounting rights. This set of standards is deployed in the underlying protocol of blockchain and implemented automatically
but nodes are operated by people after all, which is the so-called "miner", but everything operated by people will be different. For example, the miners of some nodes go online every day, while the miners of some nodes go online occasionally; Some nodes are in the eastern hemisphere, some nodes are in the Western Hemisphere... In a word, e to various reasons, over time, bitcoin has different underlying protocols in different nodes
if different versions of underlying protocols are running in a node, different standards will appear, which will result in bifurcation. If the nodes can deal with these version differences and finally form a unified standard, the bifurcation will eventually disappear, which is called soft bifurcation. If the difference cannot be eliminated, when some nodes continue to run different versions of the protocol, the bifurcation will continue, which is called hard bifurcation
it's easy to solve the problem of soft bifurcation, that is, if the account book is wrong, just modify it. Hard bifurcations are not easy to solve. No one thinks he is wrong and explains them according to his own standards. In the end, he can only go his own way and keep his own account. At present, bitcoin bifurcation refers to hard bifurcation
< b > the first bifurcations: the first hard bifurcations of bitcoin technology upgrade are purely technical reasons. The settlement performance of bitcoin itself is limited. According to the original technical agreement, bitcoin can only support up to seven settlements per second. This was not a problem in the early days. With the fire of bitcoin, more and more people flocked in, and the settlement became more frequent than ever. At this time, the original technology was not enough
therefore, in the middle of 2017, some miners proposed new technology agreements, but the other miners did not agree with them. Eventually, both sides held one end and ran their own underlying agreements, which was the first bifurcation in the history of bitcoin
However, with the development of bitcoin trading means, speculators graally regard the bifurcation as a means of money collection, which leads to a great change in the nature of the current bifurcationthe principle is that each bifurcation is essentially equivalent to the issue of a new digital currency, which is linked to bitcoin. The target audience is larger than the general ICO, and it is easier to be accepted by ordinary users than issuing a new digital currency directly
because the team that creates this kind of bifurcation takes the lead, it is very easy to control the transaction of the new currency, especially in the early stage, and it only needs a small cost to control the price trend of the whole currency. This leaves a lot of room for speculation. The forked team only needs to make the new currency accepted by the users, and then it can artificially raise the price to a sky high price. After the real users come in, they can sell all the money they hoard, and get high profits out of thin air
on October 25 this year, a domestic team forked out bitcoin gold (BTG). Two days before the forking, Jiang Zhuoer, CEO of leibitchi, denounced the forking as money looping: "Liao Xiang, founder of BTG, had g 200000 BTG coins in advance before the forking, and wanted to convert them into 20000 bitcoins, looping 80 million yuan."
The advantage of bifurcations can be seen, so that the word "bifurcations create value" has become popular in the field of currency speculation. For this reason, a new word "IFO" - first token issue has been derivedHe Sheng, a well-known financial blogger, once told the media that most of the so-called IFO may evolve into the operation of collecting money by harvesting leeks. "Many previous ICOS are doing IFO, and ICO needs to write a white paper and go to the stock exchange to gain market recognition, while IFO does not even need to write a white paper."
this also explains why bitcoin is becoming more and more profitable. To put it bluntly, everyone wants Nakamoto
Can< b > not bifurcate
whether it's Hong shuning of Suning finance, or Mike & Chen, CEO of bitgo, a bitcoin wallet software provider and one of the project leaders of segwit2x; Mike belshe, the instry actually refuses this bifurcation of bitcoin. In fact, real blockchain practitioners have always hated speculation. At present, the leading enterprises in the domestic blockchain instry have clearly expressed their opposition to the overflow of bitcoin bifurcation. For example, when Xunlei launched the first popular blockchain project in China, its CEO Chen Lei said in an interview: "Xunlei opposes all speculative activities using blockchain, so it is definitely against bitcoin for the purpose of speculation and leek cutting arbitrage."
However, to solve this problem, it is not enough to have an attitude alone, but to have specific means. The best way is not to let bitcoin bifurcatethis is difficult to achieve. Bitcoin's own technology is a relatively primitive blockchain technology with limited computing power. It can barely cope with the previous transaction scale. In view of the current situation of bitcoin fire, it is difficult to support. So sooner or later bitcoin will have to solve the problem of its own computing power
but there is no hope at all. With the innovation of blockchain technology, there will always be some new ways. For example, the shared computing proposed by Xunlei can effectively improve the total amount of computing power and rece the cost per unit of computing power without changing the existing hardware facilities. If bitcoin is combined with shared computing, it can effectively solve the problem of bitcoin's computing power limit without new bifurcation
secondly, the bifurcations for the purpose of cutting Chinese chives can be supervised by means of supervision. For example, compared with the real name system of special currency wallet, the real name system of transactions can effectively prevent the risk of Financial Bureau. At present, the real name system has been implemented in some blockchain projects, and has achieved good results. For example, Xunlei's blockchain is the first blockchain application to introce the real name system in China, which basically eliminates the hidden danger of malicious speculation
in a word, there is a way. It depends on whether bitcoin players accept it or not, and there is a process to implement it. It takes time. Therefore, at this stage, it is better for us to stay away from the bifurcations of bitcoin in various names
The capacity of a block in bitcoin is 1m (megabytes). A transaction is between 250 and 500 bytes
according to this algorithm, a block contains about 4194.3 transactions
the confirmation time of a block in bitcoin is 10 minutes, so the seven transactions that a block can process per second may sometimes be less than seven
What are the consequences The bifurcations of 
bitcoin are divided into hard bifurcations and soft bifurcations
hard fork means that when the block format or transaction format of bitcoin changes, the UN upgraded nodes refuse to verify the blocks proced by the upgraded nodes
the upgraded nodes can verify the blocks proced by the non upgraded nodes, and they continue the chain they think is correct, so they are divided into two chains
What is soft bifurcationsoft bifurcation means that when the data structure of bitcoin transaction changes,
UN upgraded nodes can verify the blocks proced by upgraded nodes,
and upgraded nodes can also verify the blocks proced by UN upgraded nodes
a block is a record in the block chain, which contains and confirms the transactions to be processed. On average, a new block containing transactions is added to the block chain by mining every 10 minutes
Puyin, Laite coin, doggy coin and Ruibo coin all have their own blocks, and the transaction information will be recorded on the blockchain.
As we approach the end of the year, when we plan to sprint for the goal of the end of the year, earn more bonus and prepare to release ourselves in the Spring Festival, don't forget that the fraudsters also have such a plan. At this time, the tide of shopping on double 12 and new year's day comes one after another, and people working outside are also busy booking tickets and air tickets for the Spring Festival, which provides opportunities for fraudsters. Here, liewang, the first online fraud information reporting platform linked by the police and the people in China, makes an inventory of the new trends of online fraud in 2017. Can you see through all these scams
trend 1: mobile payment has become the mainstream, beware of two-dimensional code trap
mobile payment has greatly facilitated people's life and made people travel easily. However, there are many criminals who use the way of scanning two-dimensional code to carry out fraud, which is impossible to prevent. For example, on bike sharing, a fake QR code is used to cover the regular QR code, and the avatar is set as the official icon of bike sharing to cheat users to pay or recharge; Next to the store's two-dimensional code, there are words full of temptation, such as "scan code to grab red packets", "scan code discount", etc., to lure users to scan the code, and then obtain user information or directly guide users to transfer money. There are even criminals who the illegal parking notice posted on the car by traffic police. The fake ticket is attached with a payment QR code to lure the car owner to scan the code to pay a "fine"
trend 2: fake businesses want to refund. Users should be careful of being" loaned online "
generally, people think that their bank card balance is small, even if they encounter swindlers, it doesn't matter. However, according to the report cases received by liewang platform, In the common refund fraud in 2017, fraudsters use mobile phones to receive SMS verification code to lure victims into Internet micro loan business, and finally transfer the loan to the swindler's account. This kind of fraud often involves a high amount of money and brings serious property losses to users
trend 3: mobile phones also contain extortion virus, and the payment method is more" people-friendly "
mobile phone extortion software has become a common tool for criminals to seek benefits e to its low proction cost and fast cash flow. At present, there are different forms of blackmail software in the mobile application market. Different from the blackmail software in the computer, bitcoin is needed to pay for it. The payment form in the mobile blackmail software is more "people-friendly"
a batch of blackmail software captured in 2017 attached wechat two-dimensional code information to the blackmail interface, and prompted the winner to directly scan the two-dimensional code for payment by wechat, which will automatically unlock after successful payment, and the user will automatically enter the transfer interface after scanning the code. However, through technical analysis, this kind of blackmail software does not have any code related to wechat transfer. The so-called "scan payment, automatically unlock" is actually a fraud, even if the user transfers, it will not automatically unlock
trend 4: fake customer service requests to provide payment code and swipe only by numbers
because code scanning payment is simple and convenient, in 2016, many fraudsters took a screenshot of the two-dimensional code to swipe. But in 2017, as payment companies added anti fraud tips or confidentiality settings in the process of payment QR code screenshots, swindlers immediately thought of countermeasures and swindled the numbers under the payment code, forming a new instrial chain
criminals often disguise themselves as merchants customer service, requiring users to provide figures such as Alipay, WeChat and other payment bar codes, and then, on the grounds of digital failure, require users to refresh the numbers and send them several times to achieve the purpose of stealing. p>
trend 5: download the specified software, but the account password is shared by cloud disk
users' privacy information can be stolen without using phishing websites and Trojan horse software. This year, swindlers have come up with new tricks: as long as the victims' trust is obtained, they can download cloud disk, synchronization software and other procts, log in to the account designated by the swindler to upload files and synchronize, and then they can easily get information. What's more, if the user synchronizes the SMS verification code at any time, the swindler can easily steal the funds in the bank card
fraudsters often disguise themselves as e-commerce, suppliers and other customer services, requiring users to download some cloud disk synchronization software, and then provide the specified account password for users to log in. At this time, if the user logs in and synchronizes the personal account, password and other information on the software according to the swindler's instructions, the funds on the account will be transferred quietly
trend 6: new phishing websites on mobile terminals are more covert and easy to be recruited
as security manufacturers increase their efforts to crack down on phishing websites, phishing website makers also strengthen their covert means, spread links by using proct sharing functions such as short URL, cloud disk service, browser and social tools, and finally jump through the URL, Guide users to phishing sites to launch online fraud
trend 7: indemnity should be paid in intimate way. Be careful with this kind of fraud SMS
as early as 2013, 360 company discovered a high-risk fraud binding the victim's online banking account. In recent years, with the use of mobile payment becoming more and more popular, In 2017, there was a similar kind of fraud, which used a payment platform to bind accounts and swipe victims' accounts
in May 2017, Mr. Di received a flight delay text message sent in the name of the airline, with flight information and customer service phone number attached in the text message, and said that Mr. Di could get 300 yuan of delay compensation. Fake customer service in the phone to guide Mr. Di refund operation, and provide the enterprise account, but also ask Mr. Di to open intimate payment function. However, after Mr. Di opened, he found that he had two dections, and realized that Mr. Di was cheated and immediately called the police
trend 8: investment in the circle of friends? Do not gambler psychology
in everyone's wechat group or circle of friends, there are often many activities or proct recommendations under the banner of discount. Not long ago, Mr. Wang saw a WeChat official account named "double half price win" in WeChat group chat. Mr. Wang then identified the official account as having an enterprise certification and believed that the platform had high credibility. p>
Mr. Wang invested a small amount in the early stage, and found that there was a certain income every day, so he subsequently invested in batches, but graally began to lose money“ He wants to invest more in order to earn back the capital. As a result, when contacting customer service again, he found that the other party had blackmailed him. Only then did he realize that he had been cheated and that the money he had invested had gone to nothing
trend 9: identity impersonation has a new pattern, be careful that "friends" are high imitations
in the past, online fraud of identity impersonation often occurred on QQ, wechat and other social platforms, but this year, swindlers shifted their focus to microblog. The swindler specially studies the social habits of the victims, such as the relationship between microblog staff and chat content, and then changes their avatars and nicknames to create high imitation numbers. Because most of the fake users are abroad, it is difficult for their microblog friends to distinguish the true from the false in time
trend 10: the combination of various means makes it impossible to prevent the" ghost "fraud.
in March 2017, 360 assisted the Shenzhen police in successfully cracking down the" midnight ghost "Telecom fraud Gang, which the police identified as an illegal trade instry chain relying on personal information, It is a high-tech, high intelligence, cross platform, remote-control new type of telecom network fraud crime that combines mobile cloud service, operator's deputy number service and Internet financial service. And this kind of stealing brush mainly uses different services of various platform service providers. A single service does not have the security risk of stealing brush, but it is combined to form stealing brush. In order to make it difficult for the victims to detect, the criminals choose to commit crimes late at night. The whole process does not need to have any contact with the victims, and the victims do not need to reply to any SMS, so prevention is very difficult
from the above ten cases, the current situation of network fraud is still not optimistic. The anti fraud experts of liewang platform hereby remind the netizens that the new year is approaching, the fraudsters are highly active, and all kinds of fraud means emerge in endlessly. At this time, we need to improve the anti fraud awareness, so that the fraudsters have no chance to take advantage of it
net hunting platform is jointly launched by Beijing Public Security Bureau and 360. It is an innovative platform to crack down on Internet fraud through Internet platform and Internet technology. Up to now, liewang platform has established contact with public security organs in more than 300 regions of the country, helped to detect more than 100 major Internet fraud cases, involving 170 million yuan, and knocked down more than 10 large-scale fraud gangs with strict organization and clear division of labor. Internet users can report malicious programs, malicious web addresses, fraulent phone calls, etc. to 360 Internet security center through the platform. Every piece of information reported by Internet users will be included in the big data of liewang platform, providing effective clues for the police to solve cases
I think what you're talking about is that bitcoin is often hung up on the Internet, which I know is divided into different levels. The higher the level, the higher the income and investment. But I feel like it's a hoax. This thing has nothing to do with bitcoin. Their promotion model is suspected of MLM. They told me they were mining, using thousands of computers across the country. If you are in the mixed currency circle, you will understand that ordinary computers can't find bitcoin now, let alone thousands, even tens of thousands of ordinary computers can't find a bitcoin a year. In addition to wasting electricity, there is no profit at all. How can I give you money without profit. Now there are thousands of professional mining machines, which can dig a coin a day. Now the cost of mining is basically higher than the cost. Of course, the electricity charge is free. Now the world's well-known mines have stopped mining because of the sharp drop in currency price
this scam is not very clever, but I don't know why so many people believe it. Of course, some people tell me that I can make a lot of money every day. I want to say that if there is no sweetness, will you do it, will you pull the head, and will you invest more? Some time ago, bitcoin house reported a MLM coin. An aunt was dazzled by huge profits and was cheated by more than 20000 people.