Bitcoin price rise and fall
response time: December 15, 2020. Please refer to the official website of Ping An Bank for the latest business changes
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Since January, the real supervision has not come, only a few ambiguous scrapes have come, the exchange is still there, the project party has not gone, the media of the office is getting better and better, and the related instries are also sleeping day and night. But the bear market has come. It seems that it is unwilling to go. It went down in January, fell in February, and was sluggish in March. Many people cry out that it is a pity to abandon them. They are very surprised. Some people say that the 2014 bear market will repeat itself, while others say that the past is good and we should hold on. We might as well think from the following angles and get our own answers
"bitcoin is the vane of the digital money market. The rise and fall of bitcoin price determines the heat of the overall market and the ability to attract external funds. Therefore, we mainly discuss bitcoin and other mainstream digital currencies."
Like the development and prosperity of the stock market, the game of multi countries will become the theme of the future. Investors will also become more rational, and graally rece the weight of policy in the face of digital money marketWhere will ICO itself go and what will the currency of investment be
answer: as a means of financing, ICO is more efficient than IPO and more fair in the distribution of profits. Of course, its own limitations will also limit the development of this financial instrument. ICO and IPO will exist for a long time in the future, serving different instries. Whatever is suitable for token will promote the development of ICO, as well as in policy. IPO will not disappear, because it is more in line with the existing legal framework, in line with international standards and other first mover advantages will support him to continue to maintain the financial channel of related instries
1, the short-term factors that determine the price: supply and demand and market sentiment
the relationship between supply and demand means that if the amount of money spent on buying bitcoin is more than that spent on selling bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will rise. If more people buy bitcoin, it will rise
market sentiment refers to the views of the market and the media on the price trend of bitcoin at that time. When many people strongly see bitcoin, the market sentiment is confident, and the price of bitcoin will rise rapidly. If the media makes pessimistic reports on the price of bitcoin, it will affect people's confidence and lead people to sell bitcoin, and the price of bitcoin will fall
2, the medium-term factors that determine the price: policy, news and mining cost
on the policy side, it is the policy attitude of governments towards bitcoin. For example, the recent crackdown and regulation of bitcoin by the South Korean government has led to a sharp drop in the price of bitcoin in the near future. If more and more countries support and encourage the development of bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will be higher and higher. On the contrary, if many countries begin to suppress bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will continue to fall
on the news side, there are some important things in the bitcoin instry. For example, around December, the two major stock exchanges in the United States launched bitcoin futures, which are good for bitcoin and directly push the price of bitcoin up to about $20000
mining cost is the cost of bitcoin miners using machines to dig out bitcoin. At present, the cost of digging out a bitcoin is about 12000 US dollars, so it is difficult for the price of bitcoin to fall below 12000 US dollars. Mining cost is the bottom line of bitcoin price. With the continuous increase of mining costs, the reason is that more competitors enter the mining field, especially many large institutions, companies and countries
3 determines the long-term price factors: the US dollar trend, the global bubble, the official digital currency, and the block chain technology.
the trend of the US dollar. According to the personal analysis data, the US dollar will weaken in the next few years, which means that the global monetary system with us dollar as the world currency in the past will be rebuilt. The rise and future of bitcoin is to assume the identity and mission of the world currency
global bubble. Since the United States abolished the gold standard Bretton Woods system in 70s, many countries in the United States have been printing banknote printing machines. The bubble of currency has caused the global economic bubble and asset bubble. The global economic crisis triggered by the US subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 is the crisis triggered by the currency bubble. At present, the global economic bubble and asset bubble have reached the critical point of collapse. The birth of bitcoin was e to the reason of the currency bubble, which made people no longer believe in the currency of national credit, and began to believe and recognize bitcoin.
official digital currency, countries around the world have begun to prepare to issue official digital currency, that is, digital currency issued by countries. Venezuela has issued a national level digital currency - Petroleum currency. Israel is preparing to issue it, Russia is also preparing to issue it, and the Japanese government is issuing it. 2018 will become the first year of the global official digital currency. The accelerated launch of official digital currency and its increasing popularity show that the value of bitcoin as internet currency is unlimited.
some people want to see more regulation of bitcoin, because when the government regulates bitcoin, it will claim that bitcoin is legal or illegal. If it's legal, the laws governing bitcoin can help people measure its availability and longevity
on the other hand, some of us are afraid of government regulation, because the overall view of decentralized money is to keep it decentralized so that no one can control it. The government controls the amount of legal tender in circulation in the country. They can make more money, but they can't directly rece the amount in circulation. Wallet address storage bitcoin and wallet may be accidentally deleted, or they may be locked by forgotten password, but only 21 million bitcoin will be cast. This allows the value of bitcoin to increase over time rather than decrease
now imagine the government's announcement that they are only allowed to exploit cryptocurrency, and only their currency is legal in their country. Well, now we are in the same situation as before the invention of cryptocurrency. The government takes all the money, and they can start and stop mining at will. Maybe they'll even change the code to do more money mining when there's not enough money. The only difference is the form of the trading currency. Cryptocurrency regulation can bring a lot of terrible things, and some people are very afraid of the new rules
those who promote the regulation of bitcoin will buy more bitcoin and increase the value of bitcoin, but those who are afraid of government regulation may start panic selling when news such as nydfs bitlicense comes into play. This makes it possible for government regulation to affect the price of bitcoin. The price of bitcoin is stable. You can explain the news in two different ways
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 6: acceptance of bitcoin
no one uses bitcoin as currency, and bitcoin will not be used for any purpose as currency. When people pay with bitcoin, they are increasing their credibility and showing the world that someone wants to pay with bitcoin. Many people in companies like Dell, Newegg, and dish networks have taken the power of bitcoin to inform and allow customers to use it to buy their procts and services. Xapo offers a new credit card that allows you to use bitcoin for stores that accept regular debit cards
although shoppers have no direct impact on prices, they do help spread bitcoin around the world as a viable currency. Therefore, the impact of bitcoin shopping on bitcoin price factors has no short-term impact, but they provide a larger market
factors affecting bitcoin price 5: Mining
the more miners there are, the more secure the network will be as long as no one owns 51% or more of the network. When an entity owns at least 51% of the mining power in the network, 51% of the attacks may occur
for example, a person can buy a mansion with 10000 bitcoin. The real estate agent who sells the buyer's mansion receives the money and transfers the contract to the buyer to complete the transaction. Buyers now have luxury homes, and real estate agents get 10000 bitcoins from sales, right? Well, buyers have 51% of the bitcoin network hash rate, and they want to return their money while keeping the house. The buyer allocates the block chain before the transaction, and uses 51% network hash to compete for the official part of the fork, so that the new branch is longer than the original branch. In doing so, the entire network now treats the new branch as legal and the original branch containing 10000 BTC transactions as illegal. That means the buyer now has his 10, 00 BTC back. This is called a 51% attack
the 51% attack probability that affects the bitcoin price is the potential panic selling
e to several reasons, the impact of general mining, bitcoin price factors declined slightly. Some miners keep their bitcoin as part of their buying and holding strategies, while others cash in legal tender. Miners also have high electricity bills to run their equipment, so they often sell a large profit for legal purposes in order to pay for their electricity bills
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 4: media opinion
the media does play a role in the price of bitcoin
when most people read the news, most people will take action based on the news. For example, if the news says ghash. IO has 51% network hash value; Some people may launch DDoS attacks on ghash. Io. In front of the mountain, China's news trading is quite profitable. GOx crashes. People will sell panic crazily, so everyone who knows the latest news knows that the people's Bank of China will pitch on bitcoin, and then it will become a rumor that they will sell their collection and buy it back when the market starts to rise again
the key factor influencing the price of bitcoin in this news is the articles it provides. People will buy or sell bitcoin according to its content and send it with higher or lower value correspondingly
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 3: large enterprises mp money
bitcoin is not accepted everywhere; Not every employee wants to accept bitcoin's salary, and not every government system will accept bitcoin and other taxes. Before the world catches up, there are still things to pay in fiat money, so companies usually sell most of bitcoin to pay for their business. Just like the so-called "mping", the value of bitcoin will be in a low state. Depending on the company's sales volume and how many companies were selling bitcoin at the time, this could mimic "panic selling" and cause the price of bitcoin to collapse
the decline in the value of bitcoin is the key factor influencing the price of bitcoin for large enterprises that prefer fiat money< As you can see above, the common reason why management factors work in this way is that they buy and sell bitcoin in other currencies. When traders sell bitcoin on the exchange, the price is very low, and the price usually doesn't change, or the change is very small. If the trader is a large holder of bitcoin, that is, a person with a large number of bitcoin about 1000 + BTC, the price of bitcoin will drop significantly e to its large sales. Generally speaking, orders from large number of cash holders will not be filled with a single price, which is the reason for the price decline. Someone may buy a BTC for $600; Another may buy 20 BTC for $598; There may be more transactions of different values in the middle, and then the seller will sell 0.1 BTC to the buyer for $500. What is the new purchase price of bitcoin? Maybe 499 dollars
for all people selling bitcoin in the transaction, the price factor of bitcoin is always a decline in the value of bitcoin
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 1: trading volume and frequency of exchanges
of course, the primary factor affecting the value of bitcoin is how many people are willing to pay for bitcoin. When you place an order at the exchange to buy bitcoin, you can determine the value of bitcoin to you. The more people are willing to buy bitcoin, the greater the chance of increasing the overall value of bitcoin. The seller sells the highest bid first, so whoever is the current highest bidder is the one who decides the value of bitcoin
when someone buys bitcoin on the exchange, the factor that affects the price of bitcoin is that the value of bitcoin always rises
a formula for calculating the stock price
the rise and fall of the stock is calculated by comparing the closing price (or current price) of the trading day with the closing price of the previous trading day
calculation method of rise and fall range: the difference between the closing price (or current price) of the day minus the closing price of the previous trading day and then dividing the closing price of the previous trading day
calculation formula of rise and fall range: Rise and fall range = (current price - yesterday's closing price) / yesterday's closing price * 100% (the calculated value is positive for rise and negative for fall)
at present, the trading rules of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets are as follows: generally, the maximum limit of the rise and fall of each trading day is + - 10% for stocks, + - 5% for St stocks, and + - 44% for new stocks on the first day of listing, and the rise and fall of other special regulations are calculated separately
The downtown area of Cheng is Jinjiang District, located in the core area of Cheng City, in the southeast of Cheng City, and the seat of Sichuan Provincial People's government and Sichuan Provincial People's Congress. Cheng is a commercial and financial center, covering the whole southwest region
there are Centennial golden street Chunxi Road, the heart of the City Tianfu Square, the commercial center Yanshikou, the garden of flowers Sansheng Flower Town, etc. There are Chunxi Road, Yanshikou, Hongxing Road, Dacisi, dongdajie, Cheng Yuanyang taiguli and other business districts in the area
extended data:
Cheng, capital of Sichuan Province, national central city of China, economic center, science and technology center, financial center, cultural and creative center, foreign exchange center, comprehensive transportation and communication hub in Western China, science and technology, commerce, financial center, transportation and communication hub in Southwest China, Business logistics center, comprehensive transportation hub and high-tech instrial base of the people's Republic of China. It is an important central city in the western region
the downtown area of Cheng includes Jinjiang District, Qingyang District, Jinniu District, Wuhou District, Chenghua District and high tech Zone
At the beginning of the 21st century, Cheng government defined the central urban area as all areas within the Third Ring Road of Cheng. Later, Cheng Planning Bureau expanded the central urban area into the area within Cheng Ring Expressway (Note: including Longquanyi District, Xin District, Pi District, Shuangliu district and Wenjiang District extending into the area within the ring expressway)We invested 1 yuan in that year, and now we get 10.8 million yuan! The market value of bitcoin can buy 22 Yunnan Baiyao, which has increased by more than 10 million times in ten years. After breaking through 25000 US dollars on the 26th, the transaction price of bitcoin continued to rise< as of 14:24 Beijing time on the 27th, data from coindesk showed that the price of bitcoin was $27372 each, up more than 10% in 24 hours
the key to maintaining monetary belief is scarcity. In primitive society, shells were also used as currency. This is because people find that shells also require a lot of labor time< the scarcity of shells determines the intrinsic value of these shells but if people go to the seaside and find endless shells everywhere, the shells will become worthless and people will start to use other scarce commodities as money
After the recent price fluctuation of bitcoin, many people who invest in bitcoin have lost money or even burst their positions, which has aroused the attention of many netizens. In fact, these people who lose money or even burst their positions don't hold bitcoin, they just fry bitcoin like futures, so it's inevitable when the price fluctuates. Only those who dig bitcoin are not affected by the price fluctuation
in general, although the price of bitcoin is 45 million times higher than that at the beginning of its birth, because some people invest in bitcoin futures, they will naturally suffer losses and burst positions when the price fluctuates
