HSBC BTC scam

2.

The impact of the okex incident on the currency market is fading; With the US election becoming increasingly white hot, the difficulty and hash rate of bitcoin are higher than before

in terms of price, so far, BTC has rushed to around us $11720, with a 24-hour increase of more than 2%

so the question is: where will bitcoin go in the next week

here are five factors that may affect the BTC price trend in the coming week

No.1 US macro level: election and stimulus plan this week, the US is the absolute focus of the macro market. The US presidential election will soon usher in a decisive moment (November 3)

analysts warn that if the Democratic Party (Biden) wins, the dollar will depreciate - and the long-term outlook for the dollar is already precarious. Goldman Sachs said last week that Trump's re-election was not enough to get the dollar out of danger

however, no matter what the election result is, professionals recommend buying gold as a hedge. However, in the view of others, bitcoin may bring more profits

However, e to the inverse correlation between BTC / USD and the dollar currency index (DXY), the strength of the US dollar, in the view of some bitcoin traders, will still affect the price trend of bitcoin. Although this correlation has become less and less obvious in recent weeks, the sudden weakness of the US dollar is still likely to be a boon for bitcoin

six month chart of US dollar currency index. Source: tradingview

at the same time, not only the election, but also what happened before is also a topic of interest. Specifically, a coronavirus stimulus plan was in place before polling day

If this happens, trillions of dollars of liquidity will increase the growing debt pile of the United States, and Americans will see additional benefits, such as an additional $1200 economic stimulus plan

No.2 Europe suggests more intervention

with the outbreak again, the European Central Bank (ECB) is considering further measures

European Central Bank President Christina; In an interview with Le Monde on Monday, Lagarde said the European Central Bank would use more financial instruments if necessary

the European Central Bank's coronavirus stimulus program has purchased a total of 1.5 trillion euros of assets

"We haven't run out of options in our toolbox yet," says Lagarde

brexit is increasingly moving towards "no agreement" brexit, which makes the possibility of instability worse

No.3 the fundamentals of bitcoin have reached a new high

recently, bitcoin has maintained a strong resilience in the face of various black swan events. Influenced by okex, BTC recently dropped below $11200, but recovered steadily soon. So far, it has exceeded $11600

and on the technical level, the fundamentals of bitcoin also maintained a record strength this month

two days ago, the difficulty of the latest adjustment increased by 3.5% than expected

at the same time, the hash rate also climbed to a record high on Monday. At the time of publication, the estimated computing power for mining is 146 exahashs (EH / s) per second

as often reported in the media, the popular theory is that the price follows the hash rate, because the long-term investment prospect of bitcoin is better than ever before

bitcoin 7-day average hash rate 1-month chart

No.4 analysts focus on $12000 BTC price breakthrough

for famous analyst Micha & # 235; For Lvan de Poppe, the key price conversion of bitcoin is becoming more and more reasonable

in his latest video update on Sunday, he stressed that the significant resistance level of weekly closing price below US $12000 for several consecutive years will soon end

Van de Popper believes that since the beginning of the bear market in early 2018, US $12000 has become the rejection point of the weekly chart, but the consolidation below cannot last forever

he concluded: "we are likely to rebound to the range of US $16000 to US $17000, because this is the obvious level and the last obstacle for bitcoin to begin to break through the all-time high."

after this move, there will be another consolidation period, which may last longer than the current period

van der BOPP added that he advised viewers to work hard to accumulate bitcoin, even in the $16000 range

BTC / USD 7-day price trend chart. Data source: coin360

No.5 market sentiment: greed is back

with the graal strengthening of prices, investor sentiment is also changing: data shows that investor sentiment is becoming more and more greedy. In the latest market data, the fear and greed index has returned to the "greedy" area, rising slightly from "neutral" in the past week

this indicates that bitcoin investors' emotional expectations will be bullish, but it should be noted that if the price rises too fast, "greed" will become "extreme greed", in which case the index is more likely to callback

4. Today, February 23, 2021, BTC fell 17% in the past 24. In the past week, it hit a new high. With such a high volatility, we must be cautious
if you have to choose one, you should not look at anything else when digital currency comes out. BTC has risen more in the past week than any investment proct in the world. But now in the historical high, be careful.

5. It seems that the bull market has come. In the past, the stock market of Yaoke securities rose sharply. However, from the perspective of time, it seems that there is not enough time. There are only five years from 2015 to now. The five-year bull market of China's stock market is definitely not good.

6. Factors affecting the price of bitcoin 7: government regulation
some people want to see more regulation of bitcoin, because when the government regulates bitcoin, it will claim that bitcoin is legal or illegal. If it's legal, the laws governing bitcoin can help people measure its availability and longevity
on the other hand, some of us are afraid of government regulation, because the overall view of decentralized money is to keep it decentralized so that no one can control it. The government controls the amount of legal tender in circulation in the country. They can make more money, but they can't directly rece the amount in circulation. Wallet address storage bitcoin and wallet may be accidentally deleted, or they may be locked by forgotten password, but only 21 million bitcoin will be cast. This allows the value of bitcoin to increase over time rather than decrease
now imagine the government's announcement that they are only allowed to exploit cryptocurrency, and only their currency is legal in their country. Well, now we are in the same situation as before the invention of cryptocurrency. The government takes all the money, and they can start and stop mining at will. Maybe they'll even change the code to do more money mining when there's not enough money. The only difference is the form of the trading currency. Cryptocurrency regulation can bring a lot of terrible things, and some people are very afraid of the new rules
those who promote the regulation of bitcoin will buy more bitcoin and increase the value of bitcoin, but those who are afraid of government regulation may start panic selling when news such as nydfs bitlicense comes into play. This makes it possible for government regulation to affect the price of bitcoin. The price of bitcoin is stable. You can explain the news in two different ways
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 6: acceptance of bitcoin
no one uses bitcoin as currency, and bitcoin will not be used for any purpose as currency. When people pay with bitcoin, they are increasing their credibility and showing the world that someone wants to pay with bitcoin. Many people in companies like Dell, Newegg, and dish networks have taken the power of bitcoin to inform and allow customers to use it to buy their procts and services. Xapo offers a new credit card that allows you to use bitcoin for stores that accept regular debit cards
although shoppers have no direct impact on prices, they do help spread bitcoin around the world as a viable currency. Therefore, the impact of bitcoin shopping on bitcoin price factors has no short-term impact, but they provide a larger market
factors affecting bitcoin price 5: Mining
the more miners there are, the more secure the network will be as long as no one owns 51% or more of the network. When an entity owns at least 51% of the mining power in the network, 51% of the attacks may occur
for example, a person can buy a mansion with 10000 bitcoin. The real estate agent who sells the buyer's mansion receives the money and transfers the contract to the buyer to complete the transaction. Buyers now have luxury homes, and real estate agents get 10000 bitcoins from sales, right? Well, buyers have 51% of the bitcoin network hash rate, and they want to return their money while keeping the house. The buyer allocates the block chain before the transaction, and uses 51% network hash to compete for the official part of the fork, so that the new branch is longer than the original branch. In doing so, the entire network now treats the new branch as legal and the original branch containing 10000 BTC transactions as illegal. That means the buyer now has his 10, 00 BTC back. This is called a 51% attack
the 51% attack probability that affects the bitcoin price is the potential panic selling
e to several reasons, the impact of general mining, bitcoin price factors declined slightly. Some miners keep their bitcoin as part of their buying and holding strategies, while others cash in legal tender. Miners also have high electricity bills to run their equipment, so they often sell a large profit for legal purposes in order to pay for their electricity bills
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 4: media opinion
the media does play a role in the price of bitcoin
when most people read the news, most people will take action based on the news. For example, if the news says ghash. IO has 51% network hash value; Some people may launch DDoS attacks on ghash. Io. In front of the mountain, China's news trading is quite profitable. GOx crashes. People will sell panic crazily, so everyone who knows the latest news knows that the people's Bank of China will pitch on bitcoin, and then it will become a rumor that they will sell their collection and buy it back when the market starts to rise again
the key factor influencing the price of bitcoin in this news is the articles it provides. People will buy or sell bitcoin according to its content and send it with higher or lower value correspondingly
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 3: large enterprises mp money
bitcoin is not accepted everywhere; Not every employee wants to accept bitcoin's salary, and not every government system will accept bitcoin and other taxes. Before the world catches up, there are still things to pay in fiat money, so companies usually sell most of bitcoin to pay for their business. Just like the so-called "mping", the value of bitcoin will be in a low state. Depending on the company's sales volume and how many companies were selling bitcoin at the time, this could mimic "panic selling" and cause the price of bitcoin to collapse
the decline in the value of bitcoin is the key factor influencing the price of bitcoin for large enterprises that prefer fiat money< As you can see above, the common reason why management factors work in this way is that they buy and sell bitcoin in other currencies. When traders sell bitcoin on the exchange, the price is very low, and the price usually doesn't change, or the change is very small. If the trader is a large holder of bitcoin, that is, a person with a large number of bitcoin about 1000 + BTC, the price of bitcoin will drop significantly e to its large sales. Generally speaking, orders from large number of cash holders will not be filled with a single price, which is the reason for the price decline. Someone may buy a BTC for $600; Another may buy 20 BTC for $598; There may be more transactions of different values in the middle, and then the seller will sell 0.1 BTC to the buyer for $500. What is the new purchase price of bitcoin? Maybe 499 dollars
for all people selling bitcoin in the transaction, the price factor of bitcoin is always a decline in the value of bitcoin
factors affecting the price of bitcoin 1: trading volume and frequency of exchanges
of course, the primary factor affecting the value of bitcoin is how many people are willing to pay for bitcoin. When you place an order at the exchange to buy bitcoin, you can determine the value of bitcoin to you. The more people are willing to buy bitcoin, the greater the chance of increasing the overall value of bitcoin. The seller sells the highest bid first, so whoever is the current highest bidder is the one who decides the value of bitcoin
when someone buys bitcoin on the exchange, the factor that affects the price of bitcoin is that the value of bitcoin always rises
a formula for calculating the stock price
the rise and fall of the stock is calculated by comparing the closing price (or current price) of the trading day with the closing price of the previous trading day
calculation method of rise and fall range: the difference between the closing price (or current price) of the day minus the closing price of the previous trading day and then dividing the closing price of the previous trading day
calculation formula of rise and fall range: Rise and fall range = (current price - yesterday's closing price) / yesterday's closing price * 100% (the calculated value is positive for rise and negative for fall)
at present, the trading rules of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets are as follows: generally, the maximum limit of the rise and fall of each trading day is + - 10% for stocks, + - 5% for St stocks, and + - 44% for new stocks on the first day of listing, and the rise and fall of other special regulations are calculated separately

7.

Bitcoin price accelerated to rise at the same time, there has been a more rapid decline in the callback

according to the price of coindesk on bitcoin news and information network, on January 11, the price of bitcoin fell to about US $30305, down 27.78% from the highest price of US $41962 in history. In other words, the price of bitcoin fell from $40000 to $30305 in just over a day. Before that, bitcoin took six days to rise from $30000 to $40000

from the macro-economic environment, Yu Jianing believes that the correction on January 11 can be regarded as a hedging measure taken by overseas mainstream investment institutions. He believes that one of the reasons for bitcoin's rise this year is the continued decline of the dollar index. At present, Biden's government is coming to power, "bad is good", the dollar may rebound, global commodity assets have a significant correction, and the digital asset market will adjust accordingly

in recent days, the US dollar index has risen significantly. As of press release, the US dollar index is about 90.49, down 0.06 from the previous day and up 1.16% from the closing price of 89.42 on January 6

he also pointed out that many bitcoin miners choose to sell at relatively high prices. According to cq.live, the miner's position index (MPI) has reached its highest level this year. The MPI index is higher than 2, which indicates that miners tend to sell bitcoin after mining; If MPI is negative, it indicates that they are optimistic about the short-term trend and choose to hoard bitcoin. At present, the value is about 5.26, indicating that the miners are selling bitcoin on the over-the-counter market or exchange. In addition, bytetree data also shows that in the past week, bitcoin miners g out 6894 bitcoins, but sold 10047 bitcoins, which means that the miners sold nearly 3153 bitcoins in stock

Yu Jianing mentioned that another reason for the decline is the website downtime of the largest compliance exchange in the United States, such as coinbase, after the market fluctuated violently, which delayed the trading of users, and many buying orders could not be traded normally, which also led to the bitcoin price on the website far lower than the market price, further aggravating the market panic

"e to the failure of the coinbase system, we could only sell but not hang up the bill yesterday, and the whole trading world order was destroyed." A coin circle employee also said

regulatory warning bitcoin volatility risk

it is worth noting that the recent ups and downs of bitcoin has also aroused the vigilance of regulatory authorities in various countries

On January 12, the New Zealand financial market authority (FMA) warned new Zealanders to invest in cryptocurrency prudently, according to the New Zealand Herald

"new Zealanders who are considering buying cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin should realize that they are high-risk and highly volatile assets," a spokesman for the New Zealand Financial Markets Authority said. "Cryptocurrencies are not regulated in New Zealand and are often used by fraudsters and hackers."

According to the times on January 9, HSBC has decided to stop providing cryptocurrency trading services to customers in the UK, including prohibiting customers from depositing funds into HSBC from their digital wallets. At the same time, many other UK banks have banned customers from using credit cards to buy digital currencies such as bitcoin

"the virtual currency represented by stable currency is facing more and more complicated compliance risks. As more and more economic activities migrate to the blockchain, the instry is facing great compliance pressure. The circulation of stable currencies such as usdt will grow explosively in 2020, reaching a record high. Behind this, part of the use demand comes from the normal transactions in compliance, but there are also black and gray demands for money laundering, illegal financing and other problems. In the future, the blockchain instry will face more and more compliance challenges. " Yu said

he pointed out that according to the report on anti money laundering of virtual currency released by peckshield in 2020, the value of unregulated outbound virtual currency reached US $17.5 billion in 2020, an increase of 51% compared with that in 2019, and it is still growing rapidly. The number of fraud cases involving virtual currency continued to rise to 151, an increase of 655% over 2019

Yu Jianing said: "since the second half of 2020, fraud, attack, extortion, gambling and other assets, as well as money laundering, run points and other gray assets, have begun to turn into virtual currency money laundering. The number of extortion cases has increased rapidly, and the situation of virtual currency anti money laundering is grim. In 2021, it is necessary for the blockchain and digital assets instry to adopt a more strict and prudent KYC (know your customer) review mechanism, More stringent anti money laundering standards will be implemented. "