Biden BTC
in December 2017, the highest price of bitcoin was US $19798
in 2018, the lowest price of bitcoin is $3155
in 2018, the highest price of bitcoin was US $17157
in 2019, the lowest price of bitcoin is US $3353
in 2019, the highest price of bitcoin will be $13968
by 2020, the lowest price of bitcoin is US $3800
so far in 2020, the highest price of bitcoin is US $35000
from the above data, it can be clearly seen that bitcoin has fluctuated a lot over the years
historically, it has been rising. In the long run, I think bitcoin is worth investing
The impact of the okex incident on the currency market is fading; With the US election becoming increasingly white hot, the difficulty and hash rate of bitcoin are higher than before
in terms of price, so far, BTC has rushed to around us $11720, with a 24-hour increase of more than 2%
so the question is: where will bitcoin go in the next week
here are five factors that may affect the BTC price trend in the coming week
No.1 US macro level: election and stimulus plan this week, the US is the absolute focus of the macro market. The US presidential election will soon usher in a decisive moment (November 3)
analysts warn that if the Democratic Party (Biden) wins, the dollar will depreciate - and the long-term outlook for the dollar is already precarious. Goldman Sachs said last week that Trump's re-election was not enough to get the dollar out of danger
however, no matter what the election result is, professionals recommend buying gold as a hedge. However, in the view of others, bitcoin may bring more profits
However, e to the inverse correlation between BTC / USD and the dollar currency index (DXY), the strength of the US dollar, in the view of some bitcoin traders, will still affect the price trend of bitcoin. Although this correlation has become less and less obvious in recent weeks, the sudden weakness of the US dollar is still likely to be a boon for bitcoin
six month chart of US dollar currency index. Source: tradingview
at the same time, not only the election, but also what happened before is also a topic of interest. Specifically, a coronavirus stimulus plan was in place before polling day
If this happens, trillions of dollars of liquidity will increase the growing debt pile of the United States, and Americans will see additional benefits, such as an additional $1200 economic stimulus planNo.2 Europe suggests more intervention
with the outbreak again, the European Central Bank (ECB) is considering further measures
European Central Bank President Christina; In an interview with Le Monde on Monday, Lagarde said the European Central Bank would use more financial instruments if necessary
the European Central Bank's coronavirus stimulus program has purchased a total of 1.5 trillion euros of assets
"We haven't run out of options in our toolbox yet," says Lagardebrexit is increasingly moving towards "no agreement" brexit, which makes the possibility of instability worse
No.3 the fundamentals of bitcoin have reached a new high
recently, bitcoin has maintained a strong resilience in the face of various black swan events. Influenced by okex, BTC recently dropped below $11200, but recovered steadily soon. So far, it has exceeded $11600
and on the technical level, the fundamentals of bitcoin also maintained a record strength this month
two days ago, the difficulty of the latest adjustment increased by 3.5% than expected
at the same time, the hash rate also climbed to a record high on Monday. At the time of publication, the estimated computing power for mining is 146 exahashs (EH / s) per second
as often reported in the media, the popular theory is that the price follows the hash rate, because the long-term investment prospect of bitcoin is better than ever before
bitcoin 7-day average hash rate 1-month chart
No.4 analysts focus on $12000 BTC price breakthrough
for famous analyst Micha & # 235; For Lvan de Poppe, the key price conversion of bitcoin is becoming more and more reasonable
in his latest video update on Sunday, he stressed that the significant resistance level of weekly closing price below US $12000 for several consecutive years will soon end
Van de Popper believes that since the beginning of the bear market in early 2018, US $12000 has become the rejection point of the weekly chart, but the consolidation below cannot last forever
he concluded: "we are likely to rebound to the range of US $16000 to US $17000, because this is the obvious level and the last obstacle for bitcoin to begin to break through the all-time high."
after this move, there will be another consolidation period, which may last longer than the current period
van der BOPP added that he advised viewers to work hard to accumulate bitcoin, even in the $16000 range
BTC / USD 7-day price trend chart. Data source: coin360
No.5 market sentiment: greed is back
with the graal strengthening of prices, investor sentiment is also changing: data shows that investor sentiment is becoming more and more greedy. In the latest market data, the fear and greed index has returned to the "greedy" area, rising slightly from "neutral" in the past week
this indicates that bitcoin investors' emotional expectations will be bullish, but it should be noted that if the price rises too fast, "greed" will become "extreme greed", in which case the index is more likely to callback
Bitcoin price accelerated to rise at the same time, there has been a more rapid decline in the callback
according to the price of coindesk on bitcoin news and information network, on January 11, the price of bitcoin fell to about US $30305, down 27.78% from the highest price of US $41962 in history. In other words, the price of bitcoin fell from $40000 to $30305 in just over a day. Before that, bitcoin took six days to rise from $30000 to $40000
from the macro-economic environment, Yu Jianing believes that the correction on January 11 can be regarded as a hedging measure taken by overseas mainstream investment institutions. He believes that one of the reasons for bitcoin's rise this year is the continued decline of the dollar index. At present, Biden's government is coming to power, "bad is good", the dollar may rebound, global commodity assets have a significant correction, and the digital asset market will adjust accordingly
in recent days, the US dollar index has risen significantly. As of press release, the US dollar index is about 90.49, down 0.06 from the previous day and up 1.16% from the closing price of 89.42 on January 6
he also pointed out that many bitcoin miners choose to sell at relatively high prices. According to cq.live, the miner's position index (MPI) has reached its highest level this year. The MPI index is higher than 2, which indicates that miners tend to sell bitcoin after mining; If MPI is negative, it indicates that they are optimistic about the short-term trend and choose to hoard bitcoin. At present, the value is about 5.26, indicating that the miners are selling bitcoin on the over-the-counter market or exchange. In addition, bytetree data also shows that in the past week, bitcoin miners g out 6894 bitcoins, but sold 10047 bitcoins, which means that the miners sold nearly 3153 bitcoins in stock
Yu Jianing mentioned that another reason for the decline is the website downtime of the largest compliance exchange in the United States, such as coinbase, after the market fluctuated violently, which delayed the trading of users, and many buying orders could not be traded normally, which also led to the bitcoin price on the website far lower than the market price, further aggravating the market panic
"e to the failure of the coinbase system, we could only sell but not hang up the bill yesterday, and the whole trading world order was destroyed." A coin circle employee also said
regulatory warning bitcoin volatility risk
it is worth noting that the recent ups and downs of bitcoin has also aroused the vigilance of regulatory authorities in various countries
On January 12, the New Zealand financial market authority (FMA) warned new Zealanders to invest in cryptocurrency prudently, according to the New Zealand Herald"new Zealanders who are considering buying cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin should realize that they are high-risk and highly volatile assets," a spokesman for the New Zealand Financial Markets Authority said. "Cryptocurrencies are not regulated in New Zealand and are often used by fraudsters and hackers."
According to the times on January 9, HSBC has decided to stop providing cryptocurrency trading services to customers in the UK, including prohibiting customers from depositing funds into HSBC from their digital wallets. At the same time, many other UK banks have banned customers from using credit cards to buy digital currencies such as bitcoin"the virtual currency represented by stable currency is facing more and more complicated compliance risks. As more and more economic activities migrate to the blockchain, the instry is facing great compliance pressure. The circulation of stable currencies such as usdt will grow explosively in 2020, reaching a record high. Behind this, part of the use demand comes from the normal transactions in compliance, but there are also black and gray demands for money laundering, illegal financing and other problems. In the future, the blockchain instry will face more and more compliance challenges. " Yu said
he pointed out that according to the report on anti money laundering of virtual currency released by peckshield in 2020, the value of unregulated outbound virtual currency reached US $17.5 billion in 2020, an increase of 51% compared with that in 2019, and it is still growing rapidly. The number of fraud cases involving virtual currency continued to rise to 151, an increase of 655% over 2019
Yu Jianing said: "since the second half of 2020, fraud, attack, extortion, gambling and other assets, as well as money laundering, run points and other gray assets, have begun to turn into virtual currency money laundering. The number of extortion cases has increased rapidly, and the situation of virtual currency anti money laundering is grim. In 2021, it is necessary for the blockchain and digital assets instry to adopt a more strict and prudent KYC (know your customer) review mechanism, More stringent anti money laundering standards will be implemented. "in terms of price, so far, BTC has rushed to around us $11720, with a 24-hour increase of more than 2%
so the question is: where will bitcoin go in the next week
here are five factors that may affect the BTC price trend in the coming week<
No.1 US macro level: election and stimulus plan
this week, the US is the absolute focus of the macro market. The US presidential election will soon usher in a decisive moment (November 3)<
analysts warn that if the Democratic Party (Biden) wins, the dollar will depreciate - and the long-term outlook for the dollar is already precarious. Goldman Sachs said last week that Trump's re-election was not enough to get the dollar out of danger
however, no matter what the election result is, professionals recommend buying gold as a hedge. However, in the view of others, bitcoin may bring more profits
however, e to the inverse correlation between BTC / USD and US dollar currency index (DXY), the strength of US dollar will still affect the price trend of bitcoin in the view of some bitcoin traders. Although this correlation has become less and less obvious in recent weeks, the sudden weakness of the US dollar is still likely to be a boon for bitcoin
six month chart of US dollar currency index. Source: tradingview
at the same time, not only the election, but also what happened before is also a topic of interest. Specifically, a coronavirus stimulus plan was in place before polling day
if this happens, trillions of dollars of liquidity will increase the growing debt pile of the United States, and Americans will see additional benefits, such as an additional $1200 economic stimulus plan
No.2 Europe suggests more intervention
with the outbreak again, the European Central Bank (ECB) is considering further measures
European Central Bank President Christina; In an interview with Le Monde on Monday, Lagarde said the European Central Bank would use more financial instruments if necessary
the European Central Bank's coronavirus stimulus program has purchased a total of 1.5 trillion euros of assets
Lagarde said: "we haven't exhausted the options in our toolbox."
brexit is increasingly moving towards "no agreement" brexit, which makes the possibility of instability worse<
the fundamentals of No.3 bitcoin have reached a new high
recently, bitcoin has maintained a strong resilience in the face of various black swan events. Influenced by okex, BTC recently dropped below $11200, but recovered steadily soon. So far, it has exceeded $11600
on the technical level, the fundamentals of bitcoin also maintained a record strength this month
two days ago, the difficulty of the latest adjustment increased by 3.5% than expected
at the same time, the hashing rate also climbed to an all-time high on Monday. At the time of publication, the estimated computing power for mining is 146 exahashs (EH / s) per second
as often reported in the media, the popular theory is that the price follows the hash rate, because the long-term investment prospect of bitcoin is better than ever before<
bitcoin 7-day average hash rate 1-month chart
No.4 analysts focus on the $12000 BTC price breakthrough
for the famous analyst Micha & # 235; For Lvan de Poppe, the key price conversion of bitcoin is becoming more and more reasonable
in his latest video update on Sunday, he stressed that the significant resistance level of weekly closing price below $12000 for several consecutive years will soon end<
Van de Pope believes that since the beginning of the bear market in early 2018, US $12000 has become the rejection point of the weekly chart, but the consolidation below can not last forever
he concluded: "we are likely to rebound to the range of US $16000 to US $17000, because this is the obvious level and the last obstacle for bitcoin to begin to break through the all-time high."
after this move, there will be another consolidation period, which may last longer than the current period
van der BOPP added that he advised viewers to work hard to accumulate bitcoin, even in the $16000 range
BTC / USD 7-day price trend chart. Data source: coin360
No.5 market sentiment: greed is back
with the graal strengthening of prices, investor sentiment is also changing: data show that investor sentiment is becoming more and more greedy. In the latest market data, the fear and greed index has returned to the "greedy" area, rising slightly from "neutral" in the past week
this indicates that bitcoin investors' emotional expectations will be bullish, but it should be noted that if the price rises too fast, "greed" will become "extreme greed". In this case, the possibility of index correction is greater.