Before bitcoin halved

1.

bitcoin network generates a new block every ten minutes. Every time a miner completes a block, he can get a certain amount of bitcoin as a block reward, and the reward will be halved for every 210000 blocks mined. Because the time for mining each block is limited to 10 minutes, at this rate, the period for the reward to be halved is four years, that is to say, the reward for bitcoin blocks is halved every four years

when the bitcoin block reward was halved for the first time, its price rose 25 times from 300 yuan to 7995 yuan; In the second half, the price rose 28 times from 5011 yuan to 140000 yuan. So many people predict that the third halving of bitcoin in May 2020 will lead to a sharp rise in the price of bitcoin, at least 10 times. However, these figures are not so clear. After halving in 2012, bitcoin prices rose for two months, and in 2016, there was almost no immediate response to deflation for a month. This may also be the result of the strategy of "buying rumors and selling news" implemented by some speculators

extended data:

after bitcoin halved, the supply slowed down, and keeping deflation through algorithm has always been a part of bitcoin protocol design. It was set up to ensure the value of bitcoin. By recing block incentives and setting the maximum possible supply of bitcoin at 21 million bitcoins, bitcoin has an anti inflation feature, which runs counter to the tendency of central banks to print money at will. At present, there are about 17.5 million bitcoins in circulation, and less than 3.5 million bitcoins are available for mining. When the next block award halves, bitcoin's annual inflation rate will drop from the current 3.8% to about 1.8%

maintaining deflation through algorithms has always been a part of the design of bitcoin protocol. It was created to guarantee the value of bitcoin. By recing block incentives and keeping the total amount of bitcoin at 21 million bitcoins, bitcoin is endowed with an anti inflation nature, which is different from the tendency of central banks to print money at will. At present, there are about 17.5 million bitcoins in circulation and less than 3.5 million available for mining. The next block award cut in half could rece bitcoin's annual inflation rate from the current 3.8% to about 1.8%. This will be the first time in bitcoin's history that it has fallen below the historical average of about 2% - 3% growth in gold supply

2. In 2009, Nakamoto Tsung invented bitcoin, and he designed the issuing mechanism of bitcoin:
the issuance of bitcoin does not depend on indivials or teams, but through a process called "mining". By solving the problem of cryptography, people get the right to create new blocks and get rewards. It can be said that the new bitcoin is proced to reward miners to verify blocks. In the beginning, 50 bitcoins were awarded for each block packed. Nakamoto designed a set of rules. For every 210000 blocks excavated (about four years), the reward will be halved. This is what we call "halving" event
the first half was at the end of 2012, when 50 bitcoins were awarded to the 210000 block, but only 25 bitcoins were awarded to the 210001 block
the second half took place in the middle of 2016, and the reward was halved again, so 12.5 bitcoins were awarded in 420001 block
and so on...
until around 2140, 21 million bitcoins were g up, and then they stopped rewarding
Why do we need this half design? If bitcoin is issued too fast and there is no circulation limit, there will be a large amount of bitcoin in circulation in the market, and it will definitely be greatly devalued. One thing to remember: bitcoin is valuable. First, the number of bitcoins is fixed, that is 21 million; Moreover, through the halving process, inflation in the bitcoin economy can be suppressed
the third halving will take place in May this year. Let's wait and see.

3. Judging from the trend, BTC needs a decent step back, because it has rebounded since the bottom of 3800 last time, and there is no trend of a second step back. Therefore, there are some hidden dangers in the short term, and it needs to withdraw again, maybe back to around 5000
of course, the next month will be the cycle of proction rection. After two months of proction rection, most of them will usher in the market. Therefore, if there is a short-term withdrawal, it will be a perfect low absorption point

it's better to buy bitcoin ETF fund than bitcoin in 2020< In theory, X2
3. The current price of bitcoin is 70000x4 = 28000 US dollars (the expected price after this year's proction rection)

ring this period, the return comparison between holding spot money and ETF fund is as follows:

1. Buy spot money to hold, earn 4 times
2. Buy ETF fund, earn 12 times, Up to 30 times (intelligent position adjustment + fund compound interest calculation)

there is no doubt that bitcoin ETF launched by bitoffer is the best investment choice!

4. In 2020, bitcoin will face the third proction rection in history, and it is expected to be halved on May 15, 2020. Starting from 2012, bitcoin proction will be reced every four years, which means that the number of bitcoins g out every 10 minutes will be reced by half every four years, and the reward of 12.5 bitcoin blocks every 10 minutes will be reced by half to 6.25 bitcoins

for ordinary investors, the most important thing is the price of bitcoin. Does the rection of bitcoin proction next year mean that the price of bitcoin will rise significantly? In fact, from the trend of bitcoin after the first two proction cuts, we find that bitcoin will usher in a super market soon after each half cut. Proction rection can indeed stimulate the price of bitcoin to rise substantially. It is no exaggeration to say that bitcoin halving is an important catalyst to push bitcoin into a super bull market

in addition to ordinary investors, there is a group of people who are quietly paying attention to the price of bitcoin, that is miners! Nowadays, mining costs are rising, coupled with the competition for computing power, currency price fluctuations and other reasons, resulting in the extremely unstable income of miners. In addition, it should be noted that in 2020, with the rection of bitcoin proction and the new upgrading of mining machinery, the cost of mining will be even higher. If the price of bitcoin falls below the cost of mining, the high cost will make the miners have to shut down, resulting in the loss of investment in mining machinery, and finally lead to mine disaster
How do put options hedge the risk of bitcoin falling

recently, bitoffer is the world's first BTC option, which has no margin, no handling charge and no exercise, so it is the most suitable tool for hedging bitcoin spot risk

for example, the current price of bitcoin is $7000. If it goes up to $8000, you can make a profit of $1000 from the spot

What if it falls to $6000? You did not do any hedging, spot direct loss of $1000

if you hedge accordingly and open a put option in bitoffer, the cost will be about US $20-50. If bitcoin falls from US $7000 to US $6000, the put option will earn US $1000. In this way, the US $1000 of spot loss will be offset, and there will be no loss in the account. This is the charm of hedging.

5. not always. But the overall trend is bullish
on November 28, 2012, BTC was halved for the first time, from $2.01 to $1178, an increase of nearly 600 times
on July 10, 2016, BTC halved for the second time, from $163.65 to $19800, an increase of more than 120 times
BTC is expected to halve for the third time in May 2020.

6. The introction of the Central Bank of China is not a virtual currency, but a digital currency
see: http://www.caifu178.net/news/1380.html

7. Bitcoin halving is certainly good. Okb is just a zero cost air coin. Does its destruction have anything to do with the market? Honest, bitoffer is not good with stock?