Will bitcoin rise after a big fall

Since January, the real supervision has not come, only a few ambiguous scrapes have come, the exchange is still there, the project party has not gone, the media of the office is getting better and better, and the related instries are also sleeping day and night. But the bear market has come. It seems that it is unwilling to go. It went down in January, fell in February, and was sluggish in March. Many people cry out that it is a pity to abandon them. They are very surprised. Some people say that the 2014 bear market will repeat itself, while others say that the past is good and we should hold on. We might as well think from the following angles and get our own answers

"bitcoin is the vane of the digital money market. The rise and fall of bitcoin price determines the heat of the overall market and the ability to attract external funds. Therefore, we mainly discuss bitcoin and other mainstream digital currencies."

Where will ICO itself go and what will the currency of investment be

answer: as a means of financing, ICO is more efficient than IPO and more fair in the distribution of profits. Of course, its own limitations will also limit the development of this financial instrument. ICO and IPO will exist for a long time in the future, serving different instries. Whatever is suitable for token will promote the development of ICO, as well as in policy. IPO will not disappear, because it is more in line with the existing legal framework, in line with international standards and other first mover advantages will support him to continue to maintain the financial channel of related instries

Why do you want to go up? What's the logic

not to mention how many years after the excavation, no one should have g this thing for a long time

take your time

is bitcoin a currency? No, money needs to be liquid, so it needs to be actively over issued to eliminate inflation. Bitcoin can't, so it's not money. It's just because money can't rise so much. Have you ever heard that money can ride a roller coaster? There is no such thing

at best, it can only be collectibles, such as gold, silver, jewelry, ancient books, calligraphy and paintings. You can accept them if you like, and sell them for money if you don't want them

so why is this thing going up so crazy now? In fact, it's just hype

you need to analyze the mentality of the holder, except those who really have faith, the rest are not waiting for it to give you money. Do you want money or bitcoin? Of course, it's money, or I won't ask if it will go up

everyone is bidding up its value. It's a tacit thing to get money after shipping. When you don't ship, you only have a market value, not money. So in essence, you have to ship. After shipping, you can "pursue a better life"

will bitcoin keep rising? This actually doesn't exist, you don't sell bitcoin? You don't know? Don't you want a better life? You will meet your real needs more or less by discounting when you are still young and energetic. The money I earn is for use, and bitcoin does not create value. Then the money I want to use is yours. It's so simple. To put it bluntly, the longer the time, the greater the desire for discounting, even at a stable high level, This kind of pressure still exists. With this pressure, the rise will be limited, and the decline is the manifestation of pressure accumulation

here we need to introce something that we haven't mentioned before, which is the circulation disk. In fact, the proportion of bitcoin circulation disk is not high. Why such a large market value of things can rise and fall more quickly is actually the problem of circulation disk. That is to say, only a small part of the circulation disk is supported by money, and most of the non circulation is actually false value

you can now switch back to the topic

when the total amount of something that can be hyped is exhausted, that is to say, you have lost the way to obtain it at no cost or low cost. Then you have to hold it through trading, and it is not a necessity of your life, and you do not have to hold it. Maybe the price is already at a high level, and the rise and fall of the market will not be very crazy, If you want a big return, you have to buy a large amount of money. The cost you hold is very large. The cost means that the risk is high, and ordinary people can't afford to play. Please note that the original purpose of money is to fight small for big. How much investment enthusiasm is there at this time

because it has completely presented its own value, that is, the so-called generation currency, and obviously it has not achieved the expected goal, such as the idea of decentralization, which is impossible to realize. If it is realized, you will not care how much it is worth, whether it will rise or not, but only how much you hold, and its value logic will collapse

at this time, we can see whether it has collection value. It is no longer proced, but it is a pity that it is not a complete collection. It has neither scarcity nor the most basic aesthetic feeling. It has no artistry, craftsmanship and so on. Its quantity is very large. Do you think degradable garbage bags have collection value? Even if this kind of garbage bag is no longer proced, it is still not

to sum up, 1. There is no cheap way to get it; 2. The price is already very high, the profit space is small, and the cost is high; 3. The value logic has collapsed, and it is not a token; 4. Even as a collection, it doesn't mean much. What are these rules destroying? It is confidence

do you still want to hold such a thing? It's normal that there are things to hold, things to come out and things to go in. But as I said before, there is a time pressure there. Money has to be used. Holding needs to be discounted

at this time, we have to talk about the circulation market. If the circulation market is not big enough, it is a dead hole. Theoretically speaking, if the value logic can not be realized, we should sell as a normal investor. We consider that most of the circulation market are normal investors, so it is inevitable that the sales volume of circulation market is larger than the purchase volume, As long as the money coming out is greater than the money going in, it can be seen that the market value is falling, and it is obvious that the shrinkage of the market value is several times of the actual outflow, because those that are not in circulation are nominal prices, and those that do not exist will disappear as soon as they fall

and this decline is continuous, if it worsens into panic selling, it will be irreversible

that's my point of view. Of course, I don't think it's possible to wait until the last coin is g out. At present, there are obvious signs of a decline in investment confidence. If you are a rational investor, whether you will hold bitcoin for a long time, most of the answers are whether or not you will buy on the cheap, and most of the answers are wait-and-see, which shows the problem, At the end of the day, bitcoin is about confidence

bitcoin has not experienced big ups and falls for several days, and it may have much to do with the bubble of the market. Tesla's float is up to 990 million US dollars, or about 6 billion 400 million yuan. Some people really like this price, while others worry about it. After all, some people have made a lot of money in bitcoin, but some people think that the bubble will always be broken. The high price now does not know what will bring serious consequences. p> Third, the price of bitcoin can not be sustained< p> JPMorgan team believes that bitcoin's surge since January this year seems to be more affected by speculative capital flows. Analysts at the bank pointed out that in the past five months, the total institutional inflow was only about $11 billion, but the market value of bitcoin increased by about $700 billion. According to Xinhua news agency, JP Morgan believes that from the perspective of risk assets, the reasonable price range of bitcoin is $11000 to $25000. The price of $25000 has reflected the long-term acceptance of bitcoin by institutions, and the current price of more than $50000 is unsustainable

Bitcoin fell. The price of bitcoin rose to US $57000 a few days ago, but it has fallen back to US $50000 in recent two days. It has paid hundreds of dollars. Of course, these units are all US dollars. Why does it rise rapidly and fall rapidly? Because the value of virtual currency itself is unstable, the market volume largely determines its price{ It is not certain if RRRRR}

will burst. This is because before the price dropped below 40 thousand dollars, it rose to a little more than 41000 dollars. People felt that the market had good news after reaching the end of the year, resulting in a short break in less than a month, and the jumped to 57, faster than the special price. 000 dollars, who can guarantee that there won't be another such news? It's all uncertain