How long before BTC crash

1. The most direct cause of the crash: the bitcoin exchange MT GOx was attacked by hackers, causing a lot of panic selling of bitcoin by investors
in addition, the underlying reason is that the world does not recognize the monetary payment property of bitcoin, but regards it as an investment commodity similar to gold, and even has large-scale capital participation in speculation.

2.

Invisible bitcoin can not only make people rich or poor overnight, but also bring people worry about their lives

According to Ukrainian media reports quoted by the daily telegraph, on Tuesday (December 26), Pavel Lerner, CEO of the British bitcoin exchange exmo, was kidnapped after leaving his office in Kiev, Ukraine, and dragged into a black galloping car by a group of masked people

after the above news came out, a spokesperson of exmo told the daily telegraph that we are doing our best to speed up the search for Lerner and welcome all clues from the outside world. Exmo's business is running as usual and all users' funds are absolutely safe. According to the company's official website, the platform has more than 900000 users

after the kidnapping incident attracted public attention, exmo also announced on official twitter on Thursday that it had been attacked by DDoS (distributed denial of service) with the intention of destroying platform transactions

according to Wall Street reports, at the beginning of this month, when bitcoin rose to more than US $13000, the payment system of nice hash, the world's largest digital currency mining platform, was hacked and bitcoin in users' wallets was stolen. Bitcoin millionaire, a bitcoin information website, has since estimated that as many as 4736 bitcoins were stolen by hackers, with a total value of more than $62 million

interestingly, as a foreign netizen imagined, after the kidnappers received the ransom, if bitcoin continued to appreciate, it would be OK. If bitcoin collapsed before the gloves turned, wouldn't it be a "huge loss"

In fact, this is also the old question in the minds of many investors - how long can bitcoin's investment boom last

On December 2, when talking about bitcoin in public activities, pan Gongsheng, vice governor of the people's Bank of China, said that it was a decisive and correct decision for regulators to shut down bitcoin trading platform and stop ICO a few months ago

According to BBC news, on December 14, Andrew Bailey, CEO of the financial conct authority (FCA), the UK's top regulator, issued a warning to investors, saying that bitcoin buyers should be ready for "full compensation". Bitcoin lacks the endorsement and support of the government and the central bank, and its risk level is the same as gambling, he said

on Thursday (December 28), the South Korean government announced the countermeasures to combat virtual currency speculation, and considered closing some virtual currency transactions, so as to curb excessive speculation. In addition, the South Korean government has decided to implement the real name system of virtual currency trading and expand the investigation authority of the Fair Trade Commission, the anti-monopoly law enforcement agency

In a statement, the South Korean government said that cryptocurrency speculation in South Korea has gone too far and has become irrational, according to the report. The government can no longer allow abnormal speculation to develop

the Indian authorities also issued a warning. On Friday, India's finance ministry warned investors about the risks of cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin, saying digital currency investments look like a Ponzi scheme, Reuters reported. In a statement, India's Ministry of Finance said investors and other participants in digital currency transactions were "entirely at their own risk" and advised that it was best to avoid such investments

but from the perspective of optimists, bitcoin is not as static as gold. As a virtual currency, its software code is constantly developing, and its functions can be constantly adjusted, improved and updated, and its value can be realized in unimaginable ways, such as, Many bitcoin fans are looking forward to bitcoin's "lightning network" (an improved way to facilitate payment). If bitcoin gets more attractive functions in the process of continuous evolution, people can even use it for convenient and fast cross-border payment

according to China Securities Journal, based on the sustainability of bitcoin development, bitcoin supporters believe that even if the market value of cryptocurrency expands to 20 times the current value, the market will not go crazy. However, as far as bitcoin itself is concerned, with more and more new technologies coming out, bitcoin's share in the cryptocurrency market will show a downward trend in the future

Hong shuning, a senior researcher of Suning Institute of financial research, recently wrote an article, imagining two situations of "truly killing bitcoin":

first, all bitcoin development teams are conservative and complacent, no longer absorbing the latest scientific and technological achievements to improve themselves, resulting in the emergence of a new digital currency with all aspects of technical indicators exceeding bitcoin, It is widely accepted by the society and then replaces bitcoin. This is the failure of bitcoin, but also the success of virtual digital currency

Second, there are serious loopholes in the bitcoin protocol or wallet software, which lead to the security of the whole bitcoin system can not be guaranteed, a large area of funds are stolen, sold at a low price and uncontrollable in the short term, and the social confidence in bitcoin is completely lost

so. In this world, money is easy to use

3. The people's Bank of China said that bitcoin could not be used as currency clearing. Some bitcoin websites were stolen and began to avalanche

4. Electrical appliances are most afraid of water and st. The power supply of the miner generates static electricity, so it is easy to st. More st will short circuit.

5. The new site has started construction and will be put into use in 2022

6. After a series of political risks, bitcoin's overall fluctuation space has significantly expanded. Take December 5 last year as an example. Due to the ban of bitcoin by the people's Bank of China, the biggest drop of bitcoin denominated in RMB on domestic trading platforms reached 35%, and the biggest drop of bitcoin denominated in US dollar also reached 16%. As for the recent Russian ban on bitcoin, the price of bitcoin has also been affected to a certain extent. Although the price of bitcoin fell less than 300 yuan that day, it exposed the potential high risk of bitcoin
but this has become a historical symbol. This time, the central bank has been cracking down on bitcoin for more than a month, but the history of bitcoin has not been repeated, the precipice crash has not appeared, and bitcoin has appeared a horizontal trend. The impact on other digital currencies is also very small. The digital currency of Puyin is still very active in the domestic trading market.

7. 1. Things are changeable, and no one can make it clear what will happen in the next 10 years. Therefore, no one can accurately predict whether bitcoin will collapse in the next 10 years
2. Bitcoin is e-cash similar to e-mail. Both parties need "bitcoin wallet" similar to e-mail and "bitcoin address" similar to e-mail address. Just like sending and receiving e-mail, the remitter pays bitcoin directly to the other party through a computer or smart phone according to the recipient's address. The concept of bitcoin was first proposed by Nakamoto in 2009. According to Nakamoto's idea, open source software was designed and released, and P2P network was built on it. Bitcoin is a kind of P2P digital currency. Point to point transmission means a decentralized payment system.

8.

On April 18, it was reported that the price of bitcoin had soared for a time, once exceeding US $64000. Today, bitcoin suddenly plummeted, once falling by more than 15%, the price fell below US $52000 / piece

for the sudden collapse of bitcoin, some analysts in the instry believe that it may be affected by the latest news that the US Treasury Department has accused several financial institutions of using cryptocurrency to launder money

affected by the sharp fall of bitcoin, other digital currencies have declined to varying degrees. Ethereum plummeted 20%, coin an plummeted 17%, reborn plummeted 26%, and even Musk's favorite dog coin plummeted 19%

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experts said that the slump is a normal phenomenon:

"in fact, the slump of bitcoin is just a normal phenomenon in the market." First of all, bitcoin itself is a kind of high-risk emerging asset, and its daily price fluctuates a lot, and it is often prone to sudden rise and fall, Li William, chief researcher of Ouyi okex Research Institute, told reporters. Secondly, from an empirical point of view, the withdrawal in the bitcoin bull market is about 33% - 66% of the basic trend direction, lasting for a week or several weeks

according to him, even though bitcoin has entered a bull market since January 2021, with a cumulative increase of nearly 2 times, it often falls sharply, with the biggest daily drop of more than $5000 for at least 7 days, and the biggest daily drop of more than $10000 for two consecutive days on February 22 and February 23

William Lee further said, "from the fundamental point of view, this round of bitcoin slump also has regulatory impact. On Friday, Turkey's central bank banned the use of cryptocurrency and cryptoassets for payments, citing possible "irreparable" damage and trading risks. Shortly after the news, bitcoin fell about 4%. For investors who have entered the market early and hold a large number of bitcoin chips, they have made a lot of profits at this time. In the case of unclear supervision in the future, it may be the best time to choose to sell bitcoin and leave the market, which triggered a subsequent slump. "