How long will the bull market come after bitcoin halved
Publish: 2021-04-22 23:15:39
1. Let's go back to the last time bitcoin was halved
the last time bitcoin was halved was in July 2016. We found that from July to December 2016, the price of bitcoin fluctuated between $500 and $700. Bitcoin halved block rewards in 2016, but it did not lead to a bull market that year
but in 2017, bitcoin began to rise unreasonably until it reached a new high of $20000 in December 2017
why? I think one of the most important aspects is the speculative frenzy triggered by Ethereum ICO, which has attracted a lot of funds from outside the currency circle. Due to the continuous pursuit of various ICO projects by funds from outside the circle, a large number of funds will enter the market, and the price will also rise, thus triggering a huge bull market
Rome was not built in a day. Ethereum ICO was not launched in 2017, but started to develop in 2016. Until its wealth effect begins to attract the attention of OTC funds, it will cause the prices of various currencies in the market to soar
according to this idea, let's continue to look at the bitcoin halving market in 2012:
at that time, bitcoin halving took place in November 2012. However, bitcoin did not break through $100 from November 2012 to July 2013 for a long time, which indicates that it did not enter the market of halving in the half year after halving. Until October 2013, the price of bitcoin began to rise from $200, and in December 2013, it hit more than $1000
▌ comparing the two bull markets, we can find two rules:
first, the half market will not come at the first time after the half market. The two halving prices are at least half a year after the halving. Before that, bitcoin did not rise significantly
secondly, if only bitcoin is halved and there is no other factor that can stimulate the market to rise, then the market brought by halving will not be as strong as expected
in the second half, the market was stimulated by the factor of Ethereum ICO and the half price of bitcoin itself, which made bitcoin rise from nearly $1000 to a new high of $20000, and the price of bitcoin directly increased by 20 times; When it was cut in half for the first time, no other factors were involved. The price of bitcoin only increased from $100 to $1000, a 10 fold increase
in addition to the two above, there is also a fuse that triggered the bull market. If we consider from this aspect, Ethereum ICO is obviously the fuse of bitcoin's second halving, and the fuse of bitcoin's first halving may be the curiosity of investors or investment institutions outside the circle caused by bitcoin's relatively low price and volatility. At that time, bitcoin of about $100 could control the price of bitcoin without too much capital. Once the speculative effect reached a certain level, it would lead to a continuous flow of follow-up funds, thus forming a bull market
as long as you have free money, you can start to invest on a fixed basis.
the last time bitcoin was halved was in July 2016. We found that from July to December 2016, the price of bitcoin fluctuated between $500 and $700. Bitcoin halved block rewards in 2016, but it did not lead to a bull market that year
but in 2017, bitcoin began to rise unreasonably until it reached a new high of $20000 in December 2017
why? I think one of the most important aspects is the speculative frenzy triggered by Ethereum ICO, which has attracted a lot of funds from outside the currency circle. Due to the continuous pursuit of various ICO projects by funds from outside the circle, a large number of funds will enter the market, and the price will also rise, thus triggering a huge bull market
Rome was not built in a day. Ethereum ICO was not launched in 2017, but started to develop in 2016. Until its wealth effect begins to attract the attention of OTC funds, it will cause the prices of various currencies in the market to soar
according to this idea, let's continue to look at the bitcoin halving market in 2012:
at that time, bitcoin halving took place in November 2012. However, bitcoin did not break through $100 from November 2012 to July 2013 for a long time, which indicates that it did not enter the market of halving in the half year after halving. Until October 2013, the price of bitcoin began to rise from $200, and in December 2013, it hit more than $1000
▌ comparing the two bull markets, we can find two rules:
first, the half market will not come at the first time after the half market. The two halving prices are at least half a year after the halving. Before that, bitcoin did not rise significantly
secondly, if only bitcoin is halved and there is no other factor that can stimulate the market to rise, then the market brought by halving will not be as strong as expected
in the second half, the market was stimulated by the factor of Ethereum ICO and the half price of bitcoin itself, which made bitcoin rise from nearly $1000 to a new high of $20000, and the price of bitcoin directly increased by 20 times; When it was cut in half for the first time, no other factors were involved. The price of bitcoin only increased from $100 to $1000, a 10 fold increase
in addition to the two above, there is also a fuse that triggered the bull market. If we consider from this aspect, Ethereum ICO is obviously the fuse of bitcoin's second halving, and the fuse of bitcoin's first halving may be the curiosity of investors or investment institutions outside the circle caused by bitcoin's relatively low price and volatility. At that time, bitcoin of about $100 could control the price of bitcoin without too much capital. Once the speculative effect reached a certain level, it would lead to a continuous flow of follow-up funds, thus forming a bull market
as long as you have free money, you can start to invest on a fixed basis.
2. The next bull market should start in the second half of 2021
according to the history of bitcoin, someone has made a correlation model between halving and price. According to this model, the next time bitcoin halves, the price will exceed $10000 or even $100000.
according to the history of bitcoin, someone has made a correlation model between halving and price. According to this model, the next time bitcoin halves, the price will exceed $10000 or even $100000.
3. In 2020, bitcoin proction will be halved. I believe that there will be a good round of calf, and then graally to Daniel, around 2021
4. Every time bitcoin is halved, there is indeed a surge. But if you have studied bitcoin, every surge has a cycle, that is, it will not surge immediately after the proction rection. There is a long process, which may take one or two years
for reference only, it has no practical significance. After all, I don't count.
for reference only, it has no practical significance. After all, I don't count.
5. Try to set your TCP / IP protocol to auto access state. Method: right click Network Neighborhood - properties - right click & quot; Local connection & quot; Properties - double click & quot; Internet Protocol TCP / IP & quot- IPX is the bottom layer protocol of NetWare, which is only responsible for the movement of data in the network, does not guarantee the success of data transmission, and does not provide error correction services. When IPX is responsible for data transmission, if the receiving node is in the same network segment, it will directly transmit the data to it according to the ID of the node; If the receiving node is remote (not in the same network segment, or in a different LAN), the data will be given to the network ID in the Netware server or router to continue the next step of data transmission. SPX is responsible for error free processing of transmitted data in the whole protocol, so we call IPX / SPX "Novell's protocol set".
6. Bitcoin halving is certainly good. Okb is just a zero cost air coin. Does its destruction have anything to do with the market? Honest, bitoffer is not good with stock?
7. According to the temporal calculation of the last two waves; The first wave began to adjust the concussive bear walk in July 2001 and started at 998 o'clock in August 2005. A wave of super bull set a record high of more than 6000 points. After five years, there was a wave of bull market. The second wave started a wave of intermediate rebound at the end of 2008, and then walked out of the concussive bear market again. In 2014, it began to strengthen graally after 2050, and walked out of a bull market again. The time interval is 7 years. According to the time lapse of 5 years, there is a high probability of another bull market in 2020.
8. Can buy, their bec-etf with 3x, will not burst
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