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Bitcoin can't

Publish: 2021-04-23 01:50:09
1.

The number of bitcoin is too small to circulate on a large scale in society. Moreover, its existence is not guaranteed by the national credit, but based on the trust between bitcoin players, so the credit of this "currency" is relatively low

moreover, the number of bitcoin is small, and it is too concentrated in the hands of several big players, resulting in its price is very unstable. This is basically not money. Because as a general currency, an important prerequisite is price stability, otherwise the economic order will collapse

bitcoin has no value base; The price fluctuates sharply; There are three basic reasons why bitcoin can't become the world currency e to the lack of support from monetary authorities

can bitcoin become a real currency? http://www.financialnews.com.cn/yw/pl/201401/t20140107_ 47595. HTML

since the birth of the first bitcoin seven years ago, bitcoin has been developing rapidly and caused a lot of controversy. The discussion focuses on how to define bitcoin, whether it can become a currency and even become an international currency in the future

in 2013, bitcoin was very popular in China, not only the price soared, but also was evaluated as "a big challenge to the current monetary system" by some analysts. In early December 2013, the people's Bank of China, together with five ministries and commissions, issued the notice on preventing bitcoin risks, pointing out that bitcoin is a specific virtual commodity, not a real currency. Then, bitcoin prices fell

at the beginning of the new year, on January 4, the National Bank of Malaysia announced on its website that it would not recognize bitcoin as a legal currency, and urged the public to be vigilant against its risks. In fact, since the second half of 2013, South Korea, Thailand, Indonesia, Norway and other countries have successively made their stand against bitcoin trading activities, and they do not recognize bitcoin as a currency in the market

At the same time, it is reported that in January this year, the world's first bitcoin atmrobocoin entered the Hong Kong and Taiwan markets. Companies also plan to launch bitcoin ATMs in more parts of Europe, Canada and the United States

on the one hand, the relevant regulatory authorities have "made their stand clear"; on the other hand, the global layout of bitcoin has been advancing rapidly. How to determine the nature of bitcoin and its future development momentum have once again attracted the attention of all parties

Sheng Songcheng, director general of the survey and Statistics Department of the people's Bank of China, published an article entitled "virtual currency is not money in essence -- take bitcoin as an example" in his own name, emphasizing that virtual currency represented by bitcoin is not money in essence and it is difficult to become money

he believes that bitcoin lacks national credit support and is difficult to perform the function of commodity exchange medium as the base currency. Modern credit currency (paper money) represents national credit, and actually represents the proction and transaction of commodities in the whole society. As long as the national machine works normally, the coercive force of national laws can give the public trust in the standard currency. Bitcoin has no value itself, no national credit support, and no guarantee of the whole society's commodity proction and trade, so it does not have the value basis of money. In addition, bitcoin has no legal compensation and compulsion, and its circulation range is limited and unstable. Bitcoin has strong substitutability, so it is difficult to be a general equivalent

Secondly, the number and scale of bitcoin have set an upper limit, which is difficult to meet the needs of modern economic development. He believes that there is a contradiction between the limited quantity of bitcoin and the expanding social proction and commodity circulation. If bitcoin becomes the standard currency, it will inevitably lead to deflation and inhibit economic development. The limitation of quantity also makes bitcoin's function as a means of circulation and payment greatly reced, which makes it easier to become a speculative object rather than a medium of exchange

Thirdly, bitcoin lacks a central regulation mechanism, which is not compatible with the modern credit currency system. Sheng Songcheng believes that bitcoin does not have a centralized issuer, so it is easy to be over hyped, resulting in excessive price fluctuations, and can not become a pricing currency and circulation means, so it needs to be converted into bitcoin to pay; Bitcoin is also not controlled by the monetary authorities, so it is difficult to play the role of economic adjustment means

at the end of the article, Sheng Songcheng also made it clear that money is inseparable from economic operation and economic development, and is not a pure proct of technology. As long as there is no fundamental change in the form of modern economic and social organizations, the monetary system based on national credit will exist, and bitcoin and other virtual currencies will not become the standard currency of a country, and thus not the real currency, "but the Utopia of technology supremacy and absolute liberalism"

As for the prosperity and significance of bitcoin, Sheng Songcheng explained, "the emergence of bitcoin reflects people's worries about inflation under the condition of credit currency in a sense. Central banks should strengthen liquidity management, reasonably regulate money supply, keep prices basically stable, and promote stable economic and social development. "

ring the writing period, our reporter contacted Sheng Songcheng again on issues related to bitcoin. He stressed again in the interview: "bitcoin is not the real currency, the real currency can only be the standard currency."

Sheng Songcheng said, "from the perspective of the history of monetary theory, bitcoin is not new. Its essence is the privatization of currency issuance or the non nationalization of currency. Hayek, a famous Austrian economist and Nobel laureate, put forward a proposal many years ago, and Friedman, a famous American economist, also made a similar proposal. However, their opinions are only a theoretical analysis tool, which is difficult to operate in real economic life, and the modern economy is increasingly inseparable from the country's macro-control. This financial crisis and its response is a good proof. Money is one of the main means of national macro-control and the basis of modern state and government. How can it be privatized? So I use the word "Utopia."“ In my opinion, technology can not replace the national attribute. Any digital currency can only be the realization form of standard currency. Therefore, electronic money will develop, and virtual money is utopia. " Sheng Songcheng said, "as long as there is a modern state, virtual currency will not be a currency. Many people ignore the national and social attributes behind money and think that money is just a natural entity. "

as for the future development prospects of bitcoin, a commercial bank analyst interviewed said: "bitcoin trading, as a commodity trading behavior on the Internet, ordinary people have the freedom to participate in it at their own risk, and there is still a lot of room for development in this aspect. At present, in view of the fact that bitcoin has not had any impact on the monetary policy of central banks, and from the perspective of issuing technology, it seems to have enlightenment, so many central banks hold a wait-and-see attitude towards it. "

but as for whether bitcoin can play the role of currency in the future, or even international currency, the analyst said that it is "not optimistic". He said, "even if some countries want to use bitcoin as the world settlement currency, but it is in private hands, and the price fluctuates violently, can it become an international currency? Moreover, the important premise for it to become an international currency is that the authorities of all countries recognize its monetary nature, which itself is a difficult problem. "

Sheng Songcheng also said, "bitcoin does not have a value base; The price fluctuates sharply; There are three basic reasons why bitcoin can't become a world currency without the support of national monetary authorities. "

2.

As long as the influence of bitcoin scam is not particularly bad, the government generally adopts the policy that the people do not sue, the officials do not blame, and turn a blind eye to it. Because even if the government enters, it is difficult to find the culprit. The information of some operation teams is not public, and it is difficult to find it on the Internet. Some of them are still abroad, so it is difficult to solve the case. Some of the culprits turn around and become victims. There are also those who participated in the bitcoin pyramid scheme. A large number of victims are also the biggest accomplices< br />

3.

In the notice on prevention of bitcoin risks jointly issued by the people's Bank of China and other fifth ministries and commissions, financial institutions are prohibited to intervene in bitcoin, but at the same time, it holds that "bitcoin is a specific virtual commodity, does not have the same legal status as currency, and cannot and should not be used as currency in the market. However, bitcoin trading as a commodity trading behavior on the Internet, ordinary people have the freedom to participate at their own risk. "

according to the relevant national laws and regulations, buying and selling bitcoin is legal.

according to the statement of the five ministries and commissions, bitcoin is a commodity and is legal

so generally speaking, bitcoin can be traded publicly, but it needs to be traded on the corresponding exchange. However, the trading platform is centralized. There is only one article about the Chinese government's policy on bitcoin. Please refer to the website link

4.

Bitcoin is illegal in China

since September 4, 2017, China has expressed its opposition to the virtual currency exchange. On the market, large-scale exchanges are graally fading out of the domestic market. Some of them are going to Japan and some of them are going to Nanyang. Of course, with the release of new regulations in Hong Kong in early November, we believe that in the future, the virtual currency exchange may obtain a legal license in Hong Kong to serve local institutional investors



extended information:

bitcoin China said that the platform will stop withdrawing cash. So far, bitcoin China has closed all transaction functions. The other two bitcoin trading platforms in China, huocoin.com and okcoin, have also stopped trading all digital assets against RMB

the virtual currency represented by bitcoin has soared, attracting a large number of ordinary people without any technology and investment knowledge to enter this high-risk market

the central bank, together with many ministries and commissions, issued the announcement on preventing the financing risks of token issuance (hereinafter referred to as the announcement), which pointed out that no organization or indivial may engage in the financing activities of token issuance illegally According to the announcement, all kinds of token issuance and financing activities should be stopped immediately from the date of issue

the organizations and indivials that have completed the token issuance financing should make arrangements such as liquidation, reasonably protect the rights and interests of investors, and properly handle the risks. Relevant departments will seriously investigate and deal with the activities of token issuance and financing that refuse to stop and the illegal behaviors in completed token issuance and financing projects

the China Internet Finance Association issued the "tips on preventing the risks of bitcoin and other so-called" virtual currency ", pointing out that bitcoin trading platform is a tool for money laundering, drug trafficking, smuggling, illegal fund-raising and other illegal criminal activities e to the expanding number of stakeholders and strong speculative atmosphere; There is no legal basis for the establishment of various so-called "currency" trading platforms in China

5. This still depends on the resources. Professional mining machines are very profitable, and ordinary mining machines may be suspended. Look at the flow of ore mining, we know that the super miner's income is more cattle.
6. Theoretically, it can be cracked, but it's just a time-consuming problem. If you think about the cost of mining, you should know the difficulty of cracking. To protect bitcoin by means of encryption must make the cracker pay a much higher price than mining, otherwise everyone can get it by cracking rather than mining
7. The total amount of bitcoin is 21 million, which cannot be increased indefinitely. It's stipulated by Nakamoto. First of all, the purpose of bitcoin is to make up for the deficiency of the existing centralized currency. The unlimited issuance of centralized currency is a major factor incing inflation. Therefore, decentralized bitcoin cannot be increased indefinitely.
8. Bitcoin is not issued by a certain government or institution. Unlike legal tender, bitcoin has the credit endorsement of the government. Legal tender has the mandatory feature. Bitcoin relies entirely on people's trust in technology, but this trust is fragile and vulnerable to external environment. For example, if a government blocks bitcoin, it is illegal for you to use bitcoin in that country, such as Russia. People can choose to accept bitcoin or not, but if it's legal tender, you have to accept it. There is also a limited number of bitcoin, which is a deflationary currency and is not concive to economic development. The security of bitcoin has been tested all the time. Since 2015, bitcoin has been stolen and the platform has closed down. The advantages of bitcoin are being broken by reality. Of course, the volatility of bitcoin also makes it difficult for bitcoin to become a qualified currency. At present, bitcoin is only a small-scale large-scale experiment of socialization, with a limited audience.
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