The influence of BTC on virtual currency
1, the short-term factors that determine the price: supply and demand and market sentiment
the relationship between supply and demand means that if the amount of money spent on buying bitcoin is more than that spent on selling bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will rise. If more people buy bitcoin, it will rise
market sentiment refers to the views of the market and the media on the price trend of bitcoin at that time. When many people strongly see bitcoin, the market sentiment is confident, and the price of bitcoin will rise rapidly. If the media makes pessimistic reports on the price of bitcoin, it will affect people's confidence and lead people to sell bitcoin, and the price of bitcoin will fall
2, the medium-term factors that determine the price: policy, news and mining cost
on the policy side, it is the policy attitude of governments towards bitcoin. For example, the recent crackdown and regulation of bitcoin by the South Korean government has led to a sharp drop in the price of bitcoin in the near future. If more and more countries support and encourage the development of bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will be higher and higher. On the contrary, if many countries begin to suppress bitcoin, the price of bitcoin will continue to fall
on the news side, there are some important things in the bitcoin instry. For example, around December, the two major stock exchanges in the United States launched bitcoin futures, which are good for bitcoin and directly push the price of bitcoin up to about $20000
mining cost is the cost of bitcoin miners using machines to dig out bitcoin. At present, the cost of digging out a bitcoin is about 12000 US dollars, so it is difficult for the price of bitcoin to fall below 12000 US dollars. Mining cost is the bottom line of bitcoin price. With the continuous increase of mining costs, the reason is that more competitors enter the mining field, especially many large institutions, companies and countries
3 determines the long-term price factors: the US dollar trend, the global bubble, the official digital currency, and the block chain technology.
the trend of the US dollar. According to the personal analysis data, the US dollar will weaken in the next few years, which means that the global monetary system with us dollar as the world currency in the past will be rebuilt. The rise and future of bitcoin is to assume the identity and mission of the world currency
global bubble. Since the United States abolished the gold standard Bretton Woods system in 70s, many countries in the United States have been printing banknote printing machines. The bubble of currency has caused the global economic bubble and asset bubble. The global economic crisis triggered by the US subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 is the crisis triggered by the currency bubble. At present, the global economic bubble and asset bubble have reached the critical point of collapse. The birth of bitcoin was e to the reason of the currency bubble, which made people no longer believe in the currency of national credit, and began to believe and recognize bitcoin.
official digital currency, countries around the world have begun to prepare to issue official digital currency, that is, digital currency issued by countries. Venezuela has issued a national level digital currency - Petroleum currency. Israel is preparing to issue it, Russia is also preparing to issue it, and the Japanese government is issuing it. 2018 will become the first year of the global official digital currency. The accelerated launch of official digital currency and its increasing popularity show that the value of bitcoin as internet currency is unlimited.
bitcoin is stored in a digital wallet. You can store it on your local hard disk or mobile phone, or in a variety of online bitcoin exchanges. Keeping bitcoin locally is like hiding money under a mattress. If something goes wrong with your digital wallet, your money will be gone
to remit or collect money, you need to point your bitcoin client or network exchange to a bitcoin address, which is the address of every wallet. After a few minutes, bitcoin will generally leave your wallet and enter the other person's wallet. There are few sites that accept bitcoin, but there are a few. It's more difficult to use bitcoin in real life, but it can be achieved through some systems
what is the impact of bitcoin on the economy
despite all kinds of problems, the soaring price of bitcoin is partly e to more and more people using it. Bitcoin fans believe in its future. Ordinary people are also graally interested in cryptocurrency, but because it is too complex, it is difficult to popularize in the mass market. If it is really popular, the fluctuation of bitcoin's value will lead to greater turbulence in the global economy
if you bought $1000 bitcoin in 2010, it's worth about $35 million now. But if you buy $1000 bitcoin in early 2014, you'll only have a quarter of your purchasing power a year later. How would you feel if you paid with bitcoin and found that you could only buy half of what you had a few days ago
this kind of inflation is unstable, but if it is used in parallel with the government supported currency, bitcoin does have some advantages. Few people will exchange all their assets for bitcoin.
I think this is more serious than the loss, but it should have little impact on our real currency. Because the two are not related . The currency of the virtual world is a game created by capitalists in order to converge the wealth of people in the real world. But no matter how we ordinary people speculate, we can't change the fate of these capitalists. They often dominate the changes in the war situation, turning their hands into clouds and covering their hands with rain. But no matter what they do, it should have little impact on the real world currency, otherwise governments will not allow them to exist
Therefore, changes in the bitcoin market will not affect the value of our real currency or other aspects. Even if there is, the governments of various countries will also vigorously suppress and try to rece the impact in this regard, so we should relax our mind strong>the starting point of cognitive theory is to confirm that thought and belief are the causes of emotional state and behavior. Beck argued that patients with depression often become depressed and distort the meaning of things e to the mistakes in making logical judgments; Usually, a small thing (such as spilling a drink) will be seen as a sign of complete despair in his life. Therefore, patients with depression always make illogical inferences about themselves and explain all events with the idea of self depreciation and self blame
cognitive therapy is a general term for a class of psychotherapy methods that change patients' bad cognition through cognitive and behavioral technology according to the theoretical hypothesis that cognitive process affects emotion and behavior. Cognition generally refers to cognitive activities or processes, including belief and belief system, thinking and imagination. Cognitive process generally consists of three parts: (1) the process of receiving and evaluating information 2) The process of generating methods to deal with and deal with problems 3) The process of forecasting and estimating results
cognitive therapy attaches great importance to the study of patients' bad cognition and way of thinking, and regards self frustration behavior as the result of patients' bad cognition. The so-called bad cognition refers to distorted and unreasonable; Negative beliefs or thoughts often lead to emotional disorders and non adaptive behaviors. The purpose of treatment is to correct these unreasonable cognition, so that the patient's emotion and behavior can be changed accordingly. Cognitive therapy pays more attention to the change of patients' cognitive style and the harmony of cognition emotion behavior. We also attach importance to the events in consciousness rather than subconsciousness; Introspective therapy attaches importance to the influence of past experiences, especially childhood experiences, on eye problems, and pays attention to subconsciousness while neglecting conscious events
the theory and scope of cognitive therapy are constantly complementing and expanding, and dynamic cognitive therapy and cognitive behavioral therapy emerge as the times require. The former is advocated and developed by Weiner. He believes that the development of cognitive process (i.e. perception, memory, reasoning, evaluation, problem-solving and learning methods) can not be separated from indivial growth and interpersonal communication. Only without separation can we have self-esteem and identity, vent and control impulse, and contact with others. Children with trauma and without good ecation often have partial or comprehensive cognitive impairment. Dynamic cognitive therapy is to replace the defective cognitive structure with appropriate cognitive structure. The latter is systematically elaborated and developed by Marner and arnkov on the basis of previous work. Its basic assumption is that maladjustment is caused by the interaction of psychological factors, biological factors and environmental factors. The treatment method is to comprehensively apply cognitive technology and behavioral technology to correct bad behavior.
Bitcoin today plummeted to less than $50000. It can be said that this thing is the myth of B circle. It rose very fast in just four months, from less than $20000 to more than $60000. it rose very fast in just more than four months, but it also fell very fast, from more than $60000 to $50000 in just a few days{ RRRRR}
now there is a new coin circle myth, that is, dogcoin. It is said that dogcoin has increased by 400% in the past year. Although it can't compare with bitcoin, it also has a large range. If you choose to buy it now, it may make you a lot of money, but it may also make you lose money, whether you want to buy it or not depends on your own opinions on it. It's risky strong>
