Where to look at bitcoin volatility index

1. How does bitcoin's sense of unfairness come into being
1. Different issuers, the state or the central bank controls you in the sovereign monetary system, no matter how much wealth you are deprived of, because you are a vulnerable group. According to a series of factors such as herd mentality, you never dare to think that this is abnormal. The "issuers" of bitcoin (let's call them issuers here) can only exchange the initial wealth at one time. They are just early practitioners and can't control the system. These people do not have the same power as a sovereign state, so they think they should not be so "cool"? At the same time, I think this is the game currency. What are you doing
2. People who don't understand the whole system (usually onlookers, because they don't hold it, they don't really care about money and seriously understand bitcoin), we call them target groups, for example,
there is a phenomenon in Psychology: A, one day, you and a bully (or someone you think is very strong), a person with the same status as you, At the same time, I found that there was a huge amount of money of 1 million on the ground, and the bully (or you think it's very strong) picked it up first, so you and the person of the same status would not have any resistance; However, if you or someone with the same status as you pick it up, the other party will have a very unbalanced psychology and will want to solve it by force, while the bully will decide whether to intervene or not according to whether the incident affects his fundamental interests. B. It's the same thing above. If a bully picks up a million dollars every day, you two people of the same status will not yell, and you and people of the same status will never pick up the million dollars again, but the other side will still hate the other side. Above a, B hypothesis can continue to write for a long time, this is human nature, will exist for a long period of history
3. In this era, people's overall consciousness has not been advanced. Most people still only believe in hegemony. They worship the strong in different fields and trust the currency of the hegemonic system more. This will not change for a long period of time. This is connected with the political and governance system. In fact, the financial progress and even political progress involved in bitcoin are too advanced to be seen clearly at present, which is also caused by the limitation of human understanding. So many people who only engage in finance do not understand the Internet and bitcoin. Those who understand the Internet and are not familiar with finance can not persuade those who engage in finance, but those who do not understand politics or systems can not fully understand it. Among the governance systems of Europe and the United States, Germany's political system is the closest to "system governance", which is closely related to why Germany first recognized the currency status of bitcoin...

if the initial or centralized holders of bitcoin do not abandon bitcoin, what will they do? How to make it a universal currency
1. The popularity of bitcoin has many dimensions. From a small number of huge holders to the public holders is a dimension. Bitcoin is widely accepted in different countries, cultures, regions and consumption fields. There are also multiple dimensions. These dilution processes are also related to the prosperity and time of the world's major sovereign currencies. It's a huge chemical reaction and it's irreversible. A large number of supporters are only one-time issuers. This dilution is irreversible, so there is no need to worry about it
2. Worry that bitcoin will be replaced by later powerful electronic currency? That's for sure, and the worry is too far ahead of time. It's faster than the speed of light. There is no permanent form of money, which can be seen from the development of money, and with the weakening of the concept of guaijia, the sovereign currency Hui withdrew from the stage of history. The era of more powerful e-money may intersect with bitcoin, maybe after the heyday of bitcoin, but it is unlikely to appear before the heyday of bitcoin. If there is such a situation, it must be driven by a strong external force. It's unlikely that

2. At present, there is only one quick order on the fire coin. For the time being, the K-line shape is still more professional. There is still a big gap according to the technical indicators of the compass profession. The experts don't look at that thing.

3. There is no exchange for bitcoin, and the real-time price can be seen on the trading website.

4.

At present, it seems that tonghuashun can only look at real-time implied volatility

5. The big reference is the volatility index (VIX)

trader index (Trin)
using stock index and futures contract. There are many kinds of indexes, such as standard & Poor's mixed index, Dow Jones average index and New York Stock Exchange mixed index. They are calculated on the basis of different samples, and the values are different. Therefore, each exchange must specify the type of index used in trading. Each contract is standardized and its price is calculated by multiplying a base by an index<

VIX:
is a weighted average of implied volatility of index options, which was introced by CBOE in 1993
note: panic index = CBOE volatility index
VIX volatility index

6. Find the quantitative analysis tool in wind, which has historical volatility.

7.

In foreign exchange trading, some volatility indicators will change dramatically with time, while others are relatively stable. Traders can choose according to their own situation. In addition, the calculation of some foreign exchange volatility indicators includes all the data points in the past time window, while others only include part of the data points. Therefore, it is suggested that traders choose more volatility indicators to calculate the data points, so that the accuracy will be higher

the function of Foreign Exchange Volatility Index is to describe the speed and range of exchange rate changes in the process of operation. In this way, traders can analyze the changes of foreign exchange market in a certain period of time, so foreign exchange volatility index can be said to be a measure of market price dispersion or change state

generally, there are many types of Foreign Exchange Volatility Measurement Indicators, such as the price fluctuation range derived from the highest price and the lowest price, the dispersion degree of the price around the trend line, the historical volatility and the implied volatility derived from the option pricing

UK provides a practical tool to calculate foreign exchange volatility

8. For institutional investors, timing strategy or rotation strategy is the core of weekly and monthly decision-making. After the launch of China wave index, we have a new source of data mining. We can construct a multi space timing strategy by analyzing China wave index or its derivative variables and combining with other auxiliary indicators; In addition, because the Chinese wave index reflects the future volatility of the 50 index, which is an emotional indicator of large cap stocks, we can use the Chinese wave index to construct the rotation strategy of large and small cap styles, and tell ourselves whether to over allocate large cap stocks or small cap stocks in the current month with scientific signals.

9. The indicators reflecting portfolio market risk include risk indicators based on return and variance, such as volatility, withdrawal, standard deviation of downside risk, etc., and indicators based on the sensitivity of investment value to risk factors, such as β Coefficient, ration, convexity, etc< br /> β Coefficient is an index to evaluate the systematic risk of securities or portfolio, which reflects the sensitivity of investment object to market changes. β Coefficient is a statistical index, which is calculated by regression method
calculation formula:
β p=Cov(r p,r m)/  Variance of market return