BTC oscillation

2. To be honest, I may come into contact with bitcoin later than many of my peers, but I'm one of the quickest people to make a decision to join the instry. I learned from the news that Jet Li's one foundation was grateful to the enthusiasts who donated bitcoin. After less than ten minutes of thinking, I immediately decided to put down 90% of the projects I had completed and devote myself to this instry with incomparable prospects. I am a technology controller. Although I am not well-known in the Internet instry, I have operated no less than 10 it projects, and have cooperated with or established 7 companies. Among them, there are also successes and failures. The only instry that has not been involved is group buying, because I thought from the beginning that group buying deviated from its original appearance and would not be a very promising instry. But after learning about bitcoin, I feel that I have found a window, a window to the palace of ideals, a way to change the world. Today, I still insist on my choice, but the real use value of bitcoin in China is rarely reflected except for its speculative property. After multi-party analysis, I think the short-term downward trend is irreversible. Let's list the following factors that cause the price of bitcoin to fall:
first, the excessively free market - the copper price killer
bitcoin is born for freedom and lives for freedom, which has created a group of bitcoin fans who are crazy about pursuing freedom. The decentralization of the bitcoin exchange has been rampant for a time. The current situation of no supervision of the bitcoin exchange is obvious to all, and it can not be solved by itself, such as the forever anonymous dark village, the disorderly competition of mining machinery, etc. these important factors that are often ignored by people are also important drivers of the price drop
just think of the capitalist social system in the early days. People had great expectations and perseverance. They could sacrifice their lives for freedom and cut the rope on puppets at all costs. During the transition from feudal socialism to capitalism, people were like holding on to the water for several generations, suddenly came out to breathe fresh air, and no one was allowed to press themselves into the water again, The result is a social system of excessive freedom. The result of excessive freedom is that once someone obtains certain resources and social advantages, he can quickly devour everything around him like a black hole, forming a monopoly and giving birth to an oligarchy. They don't care about other people's lives, just like gladiators. If you lose, you have to bear all the consequences; If I win, I can enjoy some honor. But after all, oligarchs are a minority. Society is made up of thousands of ordinary people, so the system made up of people must be unstable and unreasonable. Therefore, modern capitalist society has learned to compromise. After learning from many advantages of capitalist society at that time, it is found that there are anti-monopoly laws, various anti-commercial bribery and other daily laws for proper supervision, In order to effectively delay the outbreak cycle of the financial crisis
the reason why so many words are used to describe capitalist society is that bitcoin has too many similarities with it. A brand new financial system does not depend on specific institutions or indivials, but also depends on all participants. With it, we can eliminate all external influences and keep our wallets. It's a great idea, but what about the reality? Holding a large amount of bitcoin, amzhuang can control the price of bitcoin. In the capital market, 1 billion yuan is only a very small amount. For the bitcoin market, it is enough to control the price rise and fall of any exchange, back and forth volatility, commonly known as "fleece". Easier said than done, as like as two peas in the market, you will be able to control the bitcoin in your hands. But you have to be in the market. For these makers, they can benefit from the ups and downs, because in the trend of the rising market, they will increase ring each shock period, and fall more every time the market falls. At the top of the pyramid, there are always only a few people
after more than a year of communication with players in the instry, we found that those who are still left behind are either deeply covered or persistent believers. Even if they are covered, only a few of them are entities. Most of the left behind are pure it houses, and they blush when they meet. Most of them have no financial experience, even few of them have speculated in stocks, so they are in shock, It's certain that Xiaosan will be injured< Another important factor is that, like stocks, the amount of cash in circulation is far less than the total value. Although several exchanges have not announced the amount of bitcoin and the total amount of RMB assets, it can be concluded from the data of mtgox's bankruptcy that the amount of cash announced by mtgox is US $40 million, Bitcoin is worth US $450 million, reaching a staggering 1:11. According to my preliminary understanding, the general comparison of domestic trading platforms is between 1:3 and 1:6, which is slightly better than mtfox, but it is also enough to illustrate the problem. Once the bear market comes, the power of shorting is far greater than that of long
although the stock market did not rise sharply last year, many people did profit from the stock market and attracted many of the few users who swayed between the stock market and bitcoin. Many of the professional investment users and deep-seated users who benefited from bitcoin also left the bitcoin instry for various reasons. The big reason is that for bitcoin, They think that in addition to speculation, it is a game played by technical talents. Although this is a misunderstanding, let's think about it from another perspective. If you are an investor outside the IT instry and face the world's largest trading platform, you will go bankrupt if it goes bankrupt. If bitcoin is stolen, it will be stolen without supervision and responsibility. What would you think? Therefore, the reason for today's situation is that the number of bitcoin has not decreased, but the capital is decreasing. Although there are many foreign advantages ring this period, the domestic situation has been declining. This is an indisputable fact
with the decrease of funds, long has lost enough momentum. The reason why there is no sharp decline is that there are still a number of bitcoin loyalists. Some of them have been engaged in bitcoin for several consecutive years, and almost every year they have to experience a similar slump. Therefore, they still firmly believe that this year is just a repetition of the market rules of previous years, and the final price will rise; Of course, I personally believe that in the long run, the trend of bitcoin will go up, but is it half a year or three to five years? I'm really not sure, because the biggest constant in the world is change. As the saying goes, the flowers are similar year by year, but the people are different year by year. The past experience may not be applicable to the present< Third, domestic policy - gold price killer
I don't know if the Americans have understood that it was not Japan, the United States, Europe, but China that decided the price of bitcoin in 2013. Made in China used to be a headache for foreigners. Now, they also realize the power of China's speculation. China's real estate speculators are like locusts everywhere they go. At present, China's speculators are also rapidly overdrawn the growth value of bitcoin. China, which has 80% of the world's trading volume, explicitly forbids the value of bitcoin as a medium of exchange, so it has no real value in China except for speculation
I believe that the world's understanding of the power of Chinese speculators in bitcoin began with the documents of five ministries and commissions, because before that, almost no organization participated in the international bitcoin conference. After that, many foreign media swarmed in, professional and unprofessional media came. This time, although the documents on April 15 have not been confirmed, the financial times interviewed bitcoin in advance, which shows that they recognize the power of Chinese speculators
why is an Internet proct that started in foreign countries so influenced by China's policies? This is not its main application place, which just reflects that the price of bitcoin is seriously out of its actual value line, artificially pushed up and overdrawn its value. In my opinion, without CCTV's report and China's participation, it would have been good for bitcoin to have a price of more than 1000 last year. It was also e to excessive attention, which created the fastest five ministerial documents in history< 4. Crazy miner - the ultimate price killer
the computing power of bitcoin miner has increased from 1p at the end of last year to more than 30p now. In less than five months, the price of bitcoin miner has dropped from 6000 to 2700 today. In other words, the number of miner has increased dozens of times, from CPU to motherboard, power supply, power supply, etc The chassis and processing costs are all paid in RMB. Just imagine how much cash flow the mining machine has taken from the whole bitcoin ecological chain. Once the cash flows into the hands of TSMC, motherboard factory and others, it will never be kept back. This is also the result of disorderly competition, once profitable, the number will never end! It is said that Shenzhen proces 90% of the world's computing power of mining machines, and each time the chips are streamed, the chips are less than 3.5 million, more than 20.3 million, not to mention the whole machine. A mining machine manufacturer I know in Shenzhen club said that he sold 1000 USB mining machines a minute, which shows the madness
to sum up, all aspects have exerted pressure on cash flow, so the continuous decline of bitcoin in the short term is caused by many reasons. Even without the 4.15 document, I believe a continuous decline process will be formed. As for the bottom, it depends on the belief of those who still hold fast to it and when the crazy mining machine will not continue, And the actual application of bitcoin in foreign countries
those who played with stocks in 2008 may find that bitcoin shares a striking resemblance to the price trend of stocks. If bitcoin goes up from 2000 to 5300, any good news, even an additional issue, will make stocks soar all the time. After that, although the stock surged to the highest point, the downward trend was like "defeat like a mountain". Any bad news would cause a decline. Coupled with the excessive issuance of new shares and serious overdraft of market cash, the a share once fell back to about 1600 points. Although it rebounded to more than 3000 points, it would still jump to about 2000 points. After several years of shock, it did not improve
bitcoin plate is small and easy to rise and fall. However, if the retail investors are excessively injured, bitcoin's loyalty can only be powerless to let bitcoin rise. The false rise of the makers will face a lot of market capital pressure and can only follow the trend
at present, there are several companies in the whole instry that can support short selling, such as fire coin, China bitcoin and okcoin, which also aggravates the dection process
of course, I am still very optimistic about the long-term development of bitcoin, but I really can't see how to break the current deadlock. The purpose of this article is to provide some personal opinions for the majority of small businesses. Maybe you are more in-depth and complete than I think, but finance is nothing more than that

3. At present, I also hold a certain amount of IOV in my hand as a rebound bullet. I will never throw it until I reach my psychological price. In recent days, the IOV project side has been getting good news. In addition to formulating cooperation with a number of automobile manufacturers, including BYD, the IOV mall entrance has been added to the car ouch app, which has initially realized the consumption closed-loop of iovtoken in the Internet of vehicles ecosystem, formally reflecting its circulation value. The attitude and speed of the IOV project side is beyond my imagination. This kind of good news shows me the future of the Internet of vehicles chain, and this kind of value coin is worth holding for a long time.

4. In the last rising cycle, BTC usually experienced multiple 30% + correction, and the average increase after each correction was 153%. That is to say, if you can buy accurately at every low point, you can get an average return of 150%
since then, the pie has risen to US $14000 for more than a month. Today, it has been nearly two months since this high point. At present, the range of shock is almost a 30% callback
so, according to the historical situation, we are likely to experience another 150% rise this year? And if it can be realized in the next few months, it also means that the bear market is really far away from us:
however, it should be noted that the above is based on the rising cycle in history, and now, logically speaking, we can't be 100% sure that we must be in a rising cycle now. If we choose this chart today, we also want to remind the players who are looking at the general trend, Or we should be cautious to do some catch-up and sell down, or wait for a "bottom hunting" point, because it is possible to miss one or two times the income of ten or twenty points
time really flies. It is expected that bitcoin will rise to US $15000 by the end of the year

5. Friends, BTC's short-term market do not guess, because BTC can be short and long at the same time, and there is no regulation
What do you mean by this? It tells you that big funds can be short or short at any time. When they see that there are more people who are long, it means that there is a rival market. They can use the advantage of big funds to short immediately and make more than ten points in a few hours
on the contrary, if they see more people shorting, it also means that they have the opponent's set, they will make long orders, take advantage of large capital to do long immediately, and can pull up more than 10 points in a few hours
therefore, don't guess BTC's short-term market, just like gambling is more unreliable! This is the information that the insiders can disclose to you publicly. I hope you can understand.

6. The delivery contract should be 40 times, and the sustainability is 100 times.

7.

After testing the pressure level for many times, bitcoin finally reached the threshold of $50000. After nearly a week's shock, this breakthrough is also expected. But do not know how many investors in the long-term shock, lost valuable chips. I've been asking everyone to have one recently; Bitcoin world list;, That's the truth

in this week's shock, most novices can't hold the money, and some are shocked by the last wave of shock in the final shock process. Many novices have left messages with me, but they have no idea. All of them are still saying, either hold money or set up a Tiandi list. Only in this way can you ensure that you will not have no idea in this wave of bull market. If you want to suggest learning to set up a Tiandi list, you can chat with me in private

as can be seen from the chart, bitcoin has stepped out of the rising wedge after a week's shock, and this wave of breakthrough represents that bitcoin is on a new stage. The pressure level above is around $54000, so you can focus at the end. If you step back on the trend line of $50500 later, it will be a good opportunity

from the perspective of the comprehensive layout of the market, bitcoin will continue to be strong, Eth and defi will be linked, one rise will rise; Boca plate continues to be hot, there are changes in platform currency, you can pay attention to it; The central platform is stronger, while the decentralized platform is still the end of attention, and there may be linkage. The hot spot of the market is too fast, we must pay attention to the trend of the leading currency, so as to determine the focus of investment in the next stage

8. Where the price of bitcoin can fall, I'm ready to go to Bitz exchange to check the bottom

9. Now we can't use breaking 10000 yuan as the reason for the bull market. The day before yesterday, we had drawn the door as the end. Compared with the fact that we don't know where the bottom is, I think we still have to drop a lot to stabilize the rise, and then move sideways for a few weeks, and finally grow slowly. I suggest that my friends clear their positions and wait for the opportunity to catch the bottom, I have also changed the money of Matcha exchange into u. if you agree with my answer, I hope you can help me adopt it

10.

Shenzhen Jubao Internet Technology Co., Ltd. is a limited liability company registered in Longhua District, Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province on May 28, 2013. Its registered address is located at b805, Yousong science and technology building, east ring 1st Road, Longhua street, Longhua New District, Shenzhen city

the unified social credit code / registration number of Shenzhen Jubao Internet Technology Co., Ltd. is 914403000703807588, which is Xie Wei, the legal person of the enterprise. At present, the enterprise is in business

the business scope of Shenzhen Jubao Internet Technology Co., Ltd. is: general business items: E-commerce; Development of network technology (excluding Internet service); Research and development of computer software; Web design; Sales and on-site maintenance of computer system integration equipment; Sales and leasing of servers; Domestic trade, import and export of goods and technology., The licensed business items are: using the Internet to operate game procts (including online game virtual currency issuance); Internet information service. In Guangdong Province, the total registered capital of companies with similar business scope is 4084445 million yuan, and the main capital is concentrated in 12434 enterprises with scale of 1-10 million and over 50 million

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