Do poles hold much bitcoin
Let's start with a simple conclusion: a year ago, the data showed that there were about 500000 BTC
two American brothers, Cameron winkleworth and Taylor winkleworth, claiming that they owned 1% of bitcoin [1] 1% of the world's bitcoin? At present, the total amount of bitcoin in the world is about 12 million, that is to say, the two brothers hold about 120000 bitcoins< maybe you don't think it's worth much, but note that the starting price of bitcoin for these two people is less than $10 / bitcoin
Please note that entities are used instead of people. In the analysis method of this paper, bitcoin wallets that may belong to the same owner are divided into the same entity, which may be not only a person, but also a trading organization like Mt. GOx in addition, through the analysis of the most active entity table given in this paper, the income of the people with the most income (excluding expenses) is less than 700000 BTC. In other words, the person with the most bitcoin will hold no more than 700000 bitcoins. How many people in the world own bitcoins? The paper concludes that as of May 13, 2012, 1.85 million entities hold bitcoin. If we assume that bitcoin users have grown linearly since the advent of bitcoin (January 2009), the current number should be 2.5 million. Because the number of entities is counted on paper, the actual number of bitcoin holders should be a little less than this number, but not much smaller, because after all, there are not many large trading platforms
In addition to the above two problems, [3] also gives many interesting conclusions, such as: < UL >about 55% of bitcoin can be saved without money
in places like GOx mountain, almost all deals are small ones
before May 2012, almost all large single transactions (& gt; 50000 BTC) are subsequent transactions of 90000 BTC on November 8, 2011. There are very strange patterns in this long list of transactions. For example, an entity divides 90000 BTCs into different sizes, sends them back to itself three times, and then sells them on Mt. GOx. 90000 BTCs sold are sent back to the entity through 90 different bitcoin addresses, with 1000 bitcoins per address. These operations indicate that the entity appears to be trying to hide the relationship between these transactions
1) two American brothers, Cameron Winklevoss and Tyler Winklevoss, claim to hold about 1% of bitcoin in the world? Now the total amount of bitcoin in the world is about 12 million BTC, that is to say, these two brothers hold about 120000 bitcoins. Maybe you don't think these are too valuable, but note that the starting price of bitcoin for these two people is below $10 / BTC. At the current market price of $430 / BTC, the yield is...... (2) Li Xiaolai claims that he is the first person in China to hold bitcoin, holding six digit bitcoin (no video link found.)
3) after the founder of the silk road was arrested, his 140000 bitcoin was seized by the FBI [2]
therefore, the people who have the most bitcoin should hold more than 1% of the world's total. This can be seen from the daily BTC holdings list
more systematic research comes from academia. The Israeli mathematician ADI Shamir (if the name is unfamiliar, he is the s in RSA algorithm) published a paper "quantitative analysis of the full bitcoin
transaction graph" in 2012, which analyzed the transaction records of the first 18000 blocks in the special currency system (as of May 13, 2012), This paper studies some interesting problems in bitcoin market
in their analysis results, at the end of the first 18000 blocks of chain, the entities with the most bitcoin holdings range from 200000 to 400000 BTC (the article does not give specific figures), and only one entity with more than 200000 bitcoin holdings. In history, the largest amount of money held was more than 500000 BTC, with two entities
note that "entity" is used instead of "person". In the analysis method of this paper, bitcoin wallets that may belong to the same owner are classified as the same entity. This entity may not only be a person, but also be a trading organization such as Mt. GOx
in addition, by analyzing the table of the most active entities given in the article, the income of the people with the most income (excluding expenses) is below 700000 BTC. In other words, the person who owns the most bitcoin will not hold more than 700000 BTC
The wealth of Cameron Winklevoss and Tyler Winklevoss twin brothers has increased significantly. In April 2013, they held $11 million of bitcoin, which was then priced at $120. At this week's price of $11500, these bitcoins are worth more than $1 billion
second question
the price of bitcoin depends on the buying and selling market - how many people want to buy and how many people want to sell. Prices are going down because we are starting to be able to use bitcoin more and more easily to buy things instead of holding and speculating. The price of bitcoin will continue to decline until an important part of bitcoin economy is closed-loop, so that bitcoin can stay in the loop forever and not go out (converted to legal currency, etc.).