Bitcoin market on January 3, 2021
the price of bitcoin is always floating, so the price of bitcoin for RMB is always changing. From the beginning, a few years ago, when bitcoin was converted into RMB, it was only one to several, and finally it graally developed to one to more than ten, and then to one to dozens. At this time, it has been very shocking, and many people think it is a very strange phenomenon, As a virtual currency, although many people don't know what its main function is, most people think it's a bit similar to stocks, so they made a series of investments in bitcoin. Until January 2020, the value of bitcoin has grown crazily, rising to nearly 1:47000 this growth rate has exceeded most excellent stocks. Many people are shocked and often want to understand why this phenomenon occurs. In fact, my analysis is mainly caused by the following reasons:
3 Of course, one of the main reasons why the price of bitcoin has risen so fast is also related to the psychology of chasing up and killing down. For example, when many stocks have been rising, more people will buy them, but when they are falling, many people withdraw because of fear. So far, bitcoin's rise is still very large, Therefore, some people think it has investment value, so they have been buying it
1
the main force is not equal to "banker". Some institutions are the main force, but they seldom do business
for example, public funds, some QFII and some securities companies are the main force to buy a stock. They are optimistic about the long-term investment value of a stock, and they will not move for one or two or even three or five years after they buy it. Of course, when the capital flows in, the stock price may rise for a short time, but not too much. After the main buying, e to the decline of trading volume, plus some retail investors and short-term hot money, they do not like the stocks with public fund positions, and sell stocks one after another, which will cause a short-term decline in the stock price
2. It depends on what to do after the main capital flows in
first of all, we should pay attention to one problem: institutions will not absorb chips when the stock price is high (that is, inject funds), but will only absorb chips when the stock price is low or volatile. Since it is the main force, it is impossible to raise funds only once, and it is often possible to raise funds two or three times or even more
because of the large amount of main funds, it needs a lot of chips. It is impossible to build the warehouse in one or two days, but it needs a long-term process. Short two or three months, long half a year or even a year
while the main force is unlikely to attract funds at a high position, ring the main force's position building period, although there is a continuous inflow of funds, in order to ensure that the main force can absorb enough chips at a low position, the main force will continuously suppress the stock price in the process of absorbing, so as to absorb chips at a lower price. In addition, even if the main fund-raising is completed, it will also take the way of washing up, washing out some weak willed follow suit retail investors. This is the fundamental reason why, seeing the inflow of major capital, the stock price has fallen instead
extended data:
capital inflow is more appropriate to say "buying up capital volume", and capital outflow is "selling down capital volume"
for example
for example, Guizhou Maotai trades four hours a day, totaling 240 minutes (random number). In these 240 minutes, the time for the stock price to fall is 100 minutes, the time for the stock price to rise is 80 minutes, and the time for the stock price not to rise or fall is 60 minutes
add up the trading volume in the falling 100 minutes, that is the capital outflow; Add up the turnover in the 80 minutes of the rise to the inflow of funds
don't throw away the 60 minutes without going up or down. Subtract the outflow and inflow of funds from each other, and the large amount represents the outflow or inflow of funds on that day.
according to the history of bitcoin, someone has made a correlation model between halving and price. According to this model, the next time bitcoin halves, the price will exceed $10000 or even $100000.
We know that this is an era of high economic development. More and more people begin to pay attention to the self-development of the economy. At the same time, they are willing to put their spare funds into other instries to make money. This is a way to make future investment or risk aversion, After all, people are full of many factors for the instability of the market, such as a wave of new epidemic action in 2020. So what's the next step for bitcoin to reach a new high in 2020{ RRRRR}
3. For companies that issue bitcoin, it will have a very good development< p> Finally, for companies that issue bitcoin, this is a very good development, because the more people hold bitcoin, the higher the market value and price of the companyfrom the moment bitcoin proced value to the sky high price of nearly $20000 gold, bitcoin rose by tens of thousands of times ring this period, which also created a lot of people's freedom of wealth. Most investors love and hate bitcoin. They love speculative property, and they have no limit to the rise and fall. They hate to be unable to analyze the market and make profits in the market
so why is it still suitable to buy bitcoin in 2020
1. The third proction rection
in May, bitcoin reced its proction for the third time. Under the hype of the proction rection market, the third proction rection of bitcoin brought confidence to most investors in the market, but the price did not change significantly
judging from the market, bitcoin is leading the rise of other financial procts under the same conditions. It dropped to $3800 in March, and then rose all the way to about $10000, walking out of the V-shaped reversal
the V-shaped reversal is not easy. After all, the previous market had to be sorted out for several months before going up. This also illustrates the purchasing power of bitcoin in the market
moreover, after halving, the amount of bitcoin g up by the miners has graally decreased. In addition to the lost bitcoin, there are not many bitcoins in circulation in the market, and the bitcoin market is a market brought about by demand. With many external factors, many investors want to use bitcoin for risk hedging, and the liquidity of the market is expanding step by step<
2. Institutions bought a lot
after halving, gray alone increased its holdings of 18910 bitcoins, while after halving, the miners only mined 12337 bitcoins, indicating that the number of gray holdings increased was 150% of the total mining amount of miners in the same period
in addition to institutions, some celebrities have also publicly expressed their desire to buy bitcoin. For example, the author of "poor dad, rich dad" tweeted the reason why he wanted to invest in bitcoin. Before that, he repeatedly said that with the continuous release of water from the Federal Reserve, bitcoin may become a good hedging tool to deal with the current financial crisis
with the entry of specialized institutional teams, bitcoin has been known by more and more people, and its value has also been understood by more and more people< 3. Bitcoin leads the global financial asset growth
the secondary market of bitcoin is huge, with the number of new addresses and active addresses increasing every day. There are many people who know about bitcoin but don't enter the market
the massive entry of foreign institutions leads to the concentration of some chips. In this process, it is not only the transfer of chips, but also the transfer of price rights.
