How much will bitcoin cost in the future
Peter boockvar, chief investment officer of bleakey Consulting Group. I won't be surprised if the price of bitcoin drops to $1000 to $3000 in the next year, because bitcoin is not really relevant in this $19 trillion economy. Any commodity with a parabolic rise in price will usually fall back to the starting point< However, I'm not sure whether bitcoin will slow down or plummet suddenly
the implementation of loose monetary policy by central banks such as the Federal Reserve is the main reason for people's enthusiasm for virtual money. As interest rates graally return to the right track, virtual money will collapse. Once there is a crack in the virtual currency market, investors' attitude towards high-risk assets will also change, and the stock market may be injured. All this depends on the market psychology and has nothing to do with the economic fundamentals. "
Emma, the first one is scared to pee, so hurry to add a BTC
Soros
"as a currency, it should have a stable value storage function. The fluctuation of bitcoin in a day can be as high as 25%, which means that it is not feasible to pay wages with bitcoin
compared with the rapid collapse, the price of bitcoin may remain at a flat high. The reason why the outcome of bitcoin may be different is that some people, such as dictators, want to store wealth overseas through bitcoin P>
, however, can not change the nature of bitcoin as a typical bubble. It is based on misunderstanding as well as tulip fever. p> It seems that BTC is not reliable. But an alligator is an alligator. There's something in it, but it's not clear. I have an epiphany. You can do it yourself
Robert Shiller, Nobel Laureate in economics and professor of economics at Yale University, reminds me of the tulip craze that took place in the Netherlands in the 1640's. basically, bitcoin has no value unless some market participants believe it is valuable. In contrast, gold has some uses even if it is not used as an investment commodityup to now, people still pay for tulips, and sometimes the price is even quite high. In contrast, bitcoin is afraid to collapse completely and then be forgotten by the public. However, bitcoin may still exist for a long time, or even last for 100 years "
I don't understand, thank you
"Bitcoin and blockchain attract people's attention because they think it's an 'interesting experiment'". If it succeeds, it may change the world more than the Internethowever, it is also possible to fail, and the probability of failure is at least 20%. It is suggested that the amount of cryptocurrency held should be controlled within the range of bearable loss
the main reason for bitcoin's failure is that people put too much money into bitcoin and can't afford to lose money. "
raise so much money from all over the world just for an interesting experiment? Give me 0.005 BTC
dailyfx, a professional financial media of Fuhui group, said: "as the price of bitcoin failed to rebound to its historical peak in December, the price continued to fall. But objectively speaking, although the price of bitcoin fluctuates greatly, it will not fall by 50%. On the disk, the price has obvious support at the 11750 / 160 level, and the price rebounds above or after touching the support level; If the price falls below this point, it may continue to fall later
the price of Ethereum may break through the current slope area, but it will reach 1380 in the short term from the low point of 500 in December, or it will show that the bull rally is almost exhausted. Therefore, if the price does not fall in the later period, it will be more likely to consolidate. At present, the first support is at 863. If the price is still up, it will be a good opportunity for bulls to make another correction
in the later period, Ruibo currency may be in the trend of high consolidation or downward correction. As the price fell below the support level of 2.1577 yesterday, it continued to fall. In view of the sharp rise in prices last month, it is still unclear which point the current price will stabilize after falling or hitting. Therefore, it is still necessary to be cautious about the trading of Ruibo currency. "
The stock review has been changed to currency review. Brother, I recommend a coin circle of Guizhou Maotai Dennis gartman, founder of the "king of commodities" gartman news agency, said: "nothing can change my skepticism about bitcoin. Bitcoin will bring disaster to all those involved. At the same time, once this happens, investors will rush to the gold market. There is no doubt that bitcoin will fall below $5000. " It seems that it is necessary to collect some gold2. Good prediction
cesares, member of PayPal's board of directors
"the probability of successful bitcoin and blockchain experiments is more than 50%. But instry participants must be patient, because it will take another five to 10 years to achieve solid success
if the experiment is successful, the world will be very different. By then, the value of a bitcoin will reach one million dollars. Therefore, most people in the world will want to buy bitcoin in the price range of $14000 or $20000. "
previously, it was said that the probability of failure is at least 20%. Now it is said that the probability of success is more than 50%. You have all the good words and bad words. Do you owe a BTC
analyst van Petersen of Shengbao bank
"the price of bitcoin is likely to reach $50000 to $100000 in 2018. Digital currencies other than bitcoin will also soar
first of all, you may think that the price of bitcoin has been properly adjusted. After all, it has dropped by 50%, which is healthy. But we haven't seen the full effect of futures contracts
this year, Ethernet may surpass bitcoin, and it will appear later than bitcoin, but it has a more unified leadership position than bitcoin. "
He was right about this guy last time. When the transaction price of bitcoin was below $900 in December 2016, he predicted that bitcoin would reach $2000 in 2017. As a result, bitcoin exceeded $2000 in May 2017. However, it is predicted that eth will surpass BTC. Well, it's not impossible for the second child to seek power to usurp the throne and kill the first child. It's just difficultMichael Graham, analyst at canaccord genuity, an investment company, said, "one of our themes is that more institutions will enter the cryptocurrency market in 2018. The number of institutional investment procts related to bitcoin is increasing. Regulators will approve a bitcoin Trading Fund in the second half of this year or early 2019
I confirm that this year, the public will see IPOs from some encryption companies and more widely from blockchain companies. "
it's better for me to break the news! CBOE applied for six cryptocurrency ETFs at the end of 2017 and may go online in 2018. What the hell is this? That is to say, it increases the opportunity for institutional investors to have close contact with cryptocurrency and opens channels for professional speculators
Tom Lee, co-founder of fundstrat and super bull of bitcoin, predicts that the bottom of bitcoin will be about $9000. If it falls to this position, we will buy strongly, and $9000 is the best time to enter this yearit is estimated that bitcoin will rise to US $25000 by the end of the year and US $125000 by 2022
bitcoin has experienced many ups and downs, but it always stands back to the previous high point, and the low point becomes a good opportunity to buy
since the middle of 2016, bitcoin has risen more than 75% for five times and plummeted more than 25% for six times. Similar ups and downs in the stock market will take several years, but the virtual currency world can do it in a few months
also optimistic about three kinds of virtual currency. The first is eth, which has the function of smart contract and has a bright future. It is estimated that eth will rise from the current US $1000 to US $1900 at the end of this year. The second is etc, a virtual hybrid of bitcoin and Ethernet, which will rise from the current $25 to $60 at the end of the year. The third is the virtual currency Neo developed by China, whose price will rise from US $114 to US $225 at the end of the year. "
Say! How much did the project give you? I'd like to introce you to Mr. Ali, chief investment officer of blocktower capital, a cryptocurrency investment company; Ari Paul"at some point in 2018, the price of bitcoin can be as low as $4000 or as high as $30000."
Go awayJulian hope, co-founder and President of tenx
"bitcoin may break the $60000 mark in 2018, but it may also drop to the bottom of $5000, but it's not sure which one will come first, surprise or scare."
go away + 1
Nick colas, analyst of datatrek research, a data analysis organization, said, "the fluctuation of bitcoin in 2018 will exceed that in 2017, and the fluctuation may range from US $6500 to US $22000, all of which are reasonable valuations. And $14035 would be a reasonable median. In addition, there will be four price collapses of bitcoin in 2018, with the magnitude of each collapse being about 40% or more. "
are there still four opportunities for bottom selling and position increase this year
George Tung, co-founder of cryptos r us and a veteran of cryptocurrency investment, will we see another virtual currency whose market value exceeds that of bitcoin? Yes, I believe it is absolutely possible in the next three to five years. Or as soon as three years, there will be competitors who can compete with bitcoin. "the 3000 year old little demon wants to kill the 7000 year old demon? It's still tender
Lex Sokolin, global head of financial technology strategy, automous research, said, "the currency circle may usher in a new round of" furcation frenzy "in 2018, with a maximum of 50 furcation times!" Pro, we are here to talk about the price. What do you mean by having a second childIn the future, the value of bitcoin will continue to rise, mainly e to the following reasons:
1. The value of bitcoin will rise over time in design
2. As the transaction volume of bitcoin is increasing every day in the world, the total amount of bitcoin and bitcoin generated every 10 minutes will decrease (that is, the bitcoin implemented on July 10 will be halved), The value of bitcoin will continue to rise in the foreseeable future
The dollar and many other fiat currencies are depreciating every year, which is e to inflation, that is, the increase of money supply. Bitcoin is designed to be deflationary4. Since now, the supply of bitcoin has been reced again, that is to say, bitcoin has been "halved", recing the number of bitcoins proced every ten minutes. At present, the reward for each block is 12.5btc
There is no proction limit on the quantity of US dollar, so it may be inflated by the order of the government or the central bank group. Paper money (legal tender) is usually inflated by trying to pay off excess debts or by paying for war But in bitcoin, there is no debt, inflation and bleeding. I would say that we are on the way to a good ideological start7. Bitcoin now has a bifurcation battle, but the market fluctuation is relatively stable, which proves that many countries in the world need it. If you split a coin into two. If your assets exceed 10 million, I suggest you invest 10%
there are many unsuccessful currencies in history, such as the Deutschmark in the Weimar Republic and, more recently, the Zimbabwean dollar. Although previous currency failures were usually e to over inflation that could not happen on bitcoin, there were always potential technical errors, currency competition and political problems. The basic lesson is that no currency can be considered absolutely safe from failure or difficult times. Bitcoin has been proven reliable for several years since its birth, and it has great potential to continue to grow. But no one can predict the future of bitcoin< The rapid rise in price of BR />
does not constitute a bubble. Artificial overestimation will lead to a sudden downward revision, which will form a bubble. The price fluctuation of bitcoin caused by the indivial behavior of thousands of market participants is the result of the market determining the price. From the emotional point of view, the reasons for price changes include: the loss of confidence in bitcoin, the huge difference between price and value not based on the fundamentals of bitcoin economy, more and more news reports stimulating speculative demand, fear of uncertainty, and outdated irrational prosperity and greed.
I think the price of bitcoin can rise to about $80000, because the sentiment in the market is still relatively strong. As long as the sentiment in the market will not be cooled in a short period of time, more people will invest in bitcoin in the society, so the change of the price of bitcoin will certainly be affected by the investor sentiment
at present, bitcoin has got the attention of the market, because the price of bitcoin has reached a historical high of C, and has reached about $61000, which has a great impact on other assets, because more funds have entered bitcoin, and less attention has been paid to the assets in its capital market, But I think it has got the attention of the whole society, and there will be a big drop
First, this round of rise is entirely driven by market sentiment< p> In fact, this time, it is because the market sentiment has a great advantage over the rise of the price of bitcoin, which is why such a big price rise will appear. if the market sentiment is not concive to the rise of the price of bitcoin, then there will certainly be a decline , now that it has been recognized by many people, And the mood has been constantly pushing, so in the future the market will also fall{ RRRRR}since people in the whole society have begun to discuss bitcoin, I think there will be a relatively large decline in a short time, but I think the decline this time is also based on $80000< Strong> Buffett once said that if people in the whole society start to discuss an asset, then it is clear that this asset has already come to a bubble. will definitely shrink in price in the coming time. So I think Buffett's sentence is very good, which can explain the price of the assets of bitcoin. p>
In early August, bitcoin 24mining, a cryptocurrency investment boutique, launched a price forecasting model, which uses bitcoin mining machine learning software of bitcoin 24mining in Python. As the upstarts say, burgercrypto revealed in their model that they expect bitcoin to fall to a low of $8000 in October 2019
when the model was released, analysts called on BTC to restore its upward trend to a new historical high of more than $20000. However, as you may already know, bitcoin 24mining's machine learning based bitcoin mining model has proved to be correct. With the increasing bear market pressure, BTC fell to $7700 at the beginning of this month
as shown above, the model shows that bitcoin fell to about $8000 at the beginning of October when it bottomed out, began to rise, entered Halloween / early November, and then soared to an all-time high
finally, we get the following relationship between bitcoin price and number of users, which is the logical relationship. It is a kind of equation to describe the relationship between the number of species and time in biology, so the title of the paper is "bitcoin spreads like a virus"
the study also found that this relationship is not accidental, but there is a law behind it, which is Metcalfe's law
Metcalfe's law
in the 1980s, Robert Metcalfe, the inventor of Ethereum, proposed a method to evaluate the value of the Internet. He believes that the value of the network is directly proportional to the square of the network nodes (users). This is the so-called "network effect". The more users, the greater the value of the network
in a network with n users, the number of links between each user and other users is n (n-1) / 2. When n is large, n (n-1) / 2 is about n & # 178;. In this way, Metcalfe's law takes the following form: network value equals the constant c times the square of n
However, if n grows linearly with time, the network value will grow exponentially with time, and there is no boundary, which is obviously not in line with the reality. Therefore, in 2013, Metcalfe revised that n should be logistic growth, which is known as "s" growththis rule is not only applicable to bitcoin, Peterson also studied the price change of Facebook over time, and found that the price of Facebook also applies to Metcalfe's law
