Technical principle and economic analysis of bitcoin
Publish: 2021-04-27 01:38:11
1. bitcoin is different from the previous currency, it completely relies on the Internet to create and trade; Bitcoin's unique technical attributes lead to its economic and cultural attributes beyond the present currency. Bitcoin is a kind of electronic currency proced by open-source P2P software. Compared with the paper currency in circulation, the biggest feature of bitcoin is decentralization and global circulation in the network world, followed by high security and high confidentiality. These technical attributes further extend to the economic attributes of no inflation, no freezing, and no man-made supply; In terms of culture, bitcoin is popular among anarchists and liberals. The advantages of bitcoin are artificially exaggerated, and its anti inflation and anti inflation functions cannot stand up to scrutiny. In the long run, the prospect of bit is hard to match that of gold. In the most optimistic case, it will become a means of payment in some areas; But in the short and medium term, bit still has room for speculation and imagination. In addition, the use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
1. The advantages of bitcoin are exaggerated: About decentralization, no transaction costs and anti inflation
it is true that bitcoin has various advantages over paper money, but these advantages have been over interpreted. First of all, bitcoin is a kind of decentralized currency, which will not have the same risk of central bank controlling money supply and affecting market value as paper money; Bitcoin is mainly held in the hands of large investors, and the market depth is not enough. At present, the trading behavior of large investors is also very easy to affect the price of bitcoin. Even if the attribute of decentralization is regarded as the advantage of bitcoin when it is fully mature, then the prerequisite of holding decentralization should be added. In addition, there are great differences between centralized and decentralized online payment systems in the degree and type of financial risks they are exposed to
secondly, the low transaction cost of bitcoin is not without transaction cost. On the contrary, e to the increasing difficulty of bitcoin mining and the further stability of currency value, the dependence of relevant transaction platforms on transaction cost will increase, which will certainly increase the transaction cost. Finally, the confidentiality of the bitcoin transaction needs to be discussed. The principle of the bitcoin transaction makes all the processes of each bitcoin transaction stored in each machine. If someone can determine the real background of a transaction, they can find all the transactions down and up through these data
compared with other advantages, anti inflation or anti inflation is the most publicized advantage. Although its supply is stable and the upper limit of supply is locked according to its algorithm, unless the whole world is unified and all countries use bits as currency, it can not prevent the over issuance of money only as a means of payment or a storage of value, just as the current existence of gold can not constrain the growth of each country's currency. If bits can only be used as a means of payment in local areas (such as the network), then global or some countries' inflation will still be transmitted to the areas where bits are used. Therefore, the use of bits to prevent inflation is basically untenable, or has a strong premise. As for anti inflation, that is to say, it has the function of value storage, it needs to have the property similar to gold. However, from the reality, bit's essential property and prospect are still hard to match gold. See below for details
2. Bitcoin's future positioning is too high
the expectation of bitcoin's future in the market generally compares it with gold and US dollar, which is relatively high. The recognition of gold not only lies in its natural physical properties, but also in its official acceptance as a reserve currency (or an important allocation of foreign exchange assets). In theory, bitcoin as an electronic currency does not have the unique and exclusive status, and it is more difficult to become the official reserve of central banks like gold. Therefore, it is not appropriate to expect too much bit. As an electronic currency, bit has the first mover advantage. If it can be guaranteed in terms of security, its most optimistic prospect will be as a means of payment in local areas
3. Speculation and speculative demand caused by event factors are the main reasons for the rise of bitcoin in this round
under the credit currency system, people's lack of confidence in the currencies of various countries and pessimistic economic prospects are the general environment for the rise of bitcoin in this round. The speculation of the major dealers in the market and the derivatives market of bitcoin, together with the speculative psychology of the participants, further accelerated its rise. Btcchina's investment of US $5 million and the announcement of Ben's position are the main driving factors for the recent surge
however, a lot of big players start to enter the market and buy a lot, which not only drives the bit price up to a high level, but also increases the market risk. Chamath, a former Facebook executive, has spent $5 million on bitcoin and plans to spend another $10 million. Bitcoin investment trust also exceeded its target within four weeks, raising $15 million. These people's investments not only make bitcoin further rise, but also concentrate on the holding of bitcoin, which strengthens the influence of indivials and institutions on the price of bitcoin and increases the market risk
4. There is still strong room for speculation in the medium and short term
although our previous analysis is not optimistic about the prospect of bit, it is likely that bit will still have strong room for speculation in such a short and medium term period of time as one year. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the creators of bitcoin advocate that the generation of bitcoin is not manipulated by human factors, which is quite different from the credit currencies of various countries. We expect that the monetary policies of major countries will be divided next year. With the release of economic risks and the heavy damage to traditional asset markets, bitcoin will have better room for speculation and imagination< The use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
the U.S. government seized the drug trading website "Silk Road" at the beginning of last month. A crowdfunding network called "assassination market" even marked the sale of murderers with bitcoin price. The founder of the assassin market, under the pseudonym of kuwabatake Sanjuro, is an extreme anarchist. Both prism gate incident and the use of bitcoin in relevant sensitive fields highlight the increasingly prominent position of information field in national security. The Third Plenary Session proposed the establishment of the national security committee, which will play an important role in China's security strategy and expand from traditional national defense, stability maintenance / urban security to information security and other emerging areas
1. The advantages of bitcoin are exaggerated: About decentralization, no transaction costs and anti inflation
it is true that bitcoin has various advantages over paper money, but these advantages have been over interpreted. First of all, bitcoin is a kind of decentralized currency, which will not have the same risk of central bank controlling money supply and affecting market value as paper money; Bitcoin is mainly held in the hands of large investors, and the market depth is not enough. At present, the trading behavior of large investors is also very easy to affect the price of bitcoin. Even if the attribute of decentralization is regarded as the advantage of bitcoin when it is fully mature, then the prerequisite of holding decentralization should be added. In addition, there are great differences between centralized and decentralized online payment systems in the degree and type of financial risks they are exposed to
secondly, the low transaction cost of bitcoin is not without transaction cost. On the contrary, e to the increasing difficulty of bitcoin mining and the further stability of currency value, the dependence of relevant transaction platforms on transaction cost will increase, which will certainly increase the transaction cost. Finally, the confidentiality of the bitcoin transaction needs to be discussed. The principle of the bitcoin transaction makes all the processes of each bitcoin transaction stored in each machine. If someone can determine the real background of a transaction, they can find all the transactions down and up through these data
compared with other advantages, anti inflation or anti inflation is the most publicized advantage. Although its supply is stable and the upper limit of supply is locked according to its algorithm, unless the whole world is unified and all countries use bits as currency, it can not prevent the over issuance of money only as a means of payment or a storage of value, just as the current existence of gold can not constrain the growth of each country's currency. If bits can only be used as a means of payment in local areas (such as the network), then global or some countries' inflation will still be transmitted to the areas where bits are used. Therefore, the use of bits to prevent inflation is basically untenable, or has a strong premise. As for anti inflation, that is to say, it has the function of value storage, it needs to have the property similar to gold. However, from the reality, bit's essential property and prospect are still hard to match gold. See below for details
2. Bitcoin's future positioning is too high
the expectation of bitcoin's future in the market generally compares it with gold and US dollar, which is relatively high. The recognition of gold not only lies in its natural physical properties, but also in its official acceptance as a reserve currency (or an important allocation of foreign exchange assets). In theory, bitcoin as an electronic currency does not have the unique and exclusive status, and it is more difficult to become the official reserve of central banks like gold. Therefore, it is not appropriate to expect too much bit. As an electronic currency, bit has the first mover advantage. If it can be guaranteed in terms of security, its most optimistic prospect will be as a means of payment in local areas
3. Speculation and speculative demand caused by event factors are the main reasons for the rise of bitcoin in this round
under the credit currency system, people's lack of confidence in the currencies of various countries and pessimistic economic prospects are the general environment for the rise of bitcoin in this round. The speculation of the major dealers in the market and the derivatives market of bitcoin, together with the speculative psychology of the participants, further accelerated its rise. Btcchina's investment of US $5 million and the announcement of Ben's position are the main driving factors for the recent surge
however, a lot of big players start to enter the market and buy a lot, which not only drives the bit price up to a high level, but also increases the market risk. Chamath, a former Facebook executive, has spent $5 million on bitcoin and plans to spend another $10 million. Bitcoin investment trust also exceeded its target within four weeks, raising $15 million. These people's investments not only make bitcoin further rise, but also concentrate on the holding of bitcoin, which strengthens the influence of indivials and institutions on the price of bitcoin and increases the market risk
4. There is still strong room for speculation in the medium and short term
although our previous analysis is not optimistic about the prospect of bit, it is likely that bit will still have strong room for speculation in such a short and medium term period of time as one year. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the creators of bitcoin advocate that the generation of bitcoin is not manipulated by human factors, which is quite different from the credit currencies of various countries. We expect that the monetary policies of major countries will be divided next year. With the release of economic risks and the heavy damage to traditional asset markets, bitcoin will have better room for speculation and imagination< The use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
the U.S. government seized the drug trading website "Silk Road" at the beginning of last month. A crowdfunding network called "assassination market" even marked the sale of murderers with bitcoin price. The founder of the assassin market, under the pseudonym of kuwabatake Sanjuro, is an extreme anarchist. Both prism gate incident and the use of bitcoin in relevant sensitive fields highlight the increasingly prominent position of information field in national security. The Third Plenary Session proposed the establishment of the national security committee, which will play an important role in China's security strategy and expand from traditional national defense, stability maintenance / urban security to information security and other emerging areas
2. 1. Bitcoin white paper: a peer-to-peer e-cash system, written by Tsung Nakamoto. Read this white paper first, and then consider other contents
2 FORTRAN 95 programming, written by Peng Guolun
3 Introction to FORTRAN 77 and 90 / 95 programming, written by Ding Zejun
4. Out of control: the new biology of machines, society and economy
5. Necessity, written by Kevin Kelly, mentions 12 inevitable trends in the next 20 years
6. Master bitcoin, this book will provide you with the necessary knowledge to guide you into the bitcoin world
7. blockchain revolution, written by don Tapscott and Alex Tapscott, tells how the underlying technology of bitcoin has changed money, business and the world
8. Blueprint and guide of blockchain new economy, written by Melanie Swann
9. Blockchain: the concept of quantum wealth, written by Han Feng / Zhang Xiaomei
10. Logic of finance, The author is Chen Zhiwu. The work starts from the cultural and institutional genes of wealth in simple terms, so as to tell readers what the logic of finance is
related books include principles of economics, blockchain: technology driven finance, blockchain Revolution: how bitcoin's underlying technology can change money Business and the world, blockchain technology guide, illustrated blockchain, how blockchain will redefine the world, digital currency: bitcoin data reporting and operation guide, blockchain: from digital currency to credit society, intelligent age, etc. to be honest, blockchain is still a hot resource. It's mainly about judgment (whether it's valuable) and action (to get in early)
recommends a block chain related APP, called golden finance, recommends a public official account, called "Xiao Ke online". The article is rich in materials;
2 FORTRAN 95 programming, written by Peng Guolun
3 Introction to FORTRAN 77 and 90 / 95 programming, written by Ding Zejun
4. Out of control: the new biology of machines, society and economy
5. Necessity, written by Kevin Kelly, mentions 12 inevitable trends in the next 20 years
6. Master bitcoin, this book will provide you with the necessary knowledge to guide you into the bitcoin world
7. blockchain revolution, written by don Tapscott and Alex Tapscott, tells how the underlying technology of bitcoin has changed money, business and the world
8. Blueprint and guide of blockchain new economy, written by Melanie Swann
9. Blockchain: the concept of quantum wealth, written by Han Feng / Zhang Xiaomei
10. Logic of finance, The author is Chen Zhiwu. The work starts from the cultural and institutional genes of wealth in simple terms, so as to tell readers what the logic of finance is
related books include principles of economics, blockchain: technology driven finance, blockchain Revolution: how bitcoin's underlying technology can change money Business and the world, blockchain technology guide, illustrated blockchain, how blockchain will redefine the world, digital currency: bitcoin data reporting and operation guide, blockchain: from digital currency to credit society, intelligent age, etc. to be honest, blockchain is still a hot resource. It's mainly about judgment (whether it's valuable) and action (to get in early)
recommends a block chain related APP, called golden finance, recommends a public official account, called "Xiao Ke online". The article is rich in materials;
3.
this is the general content of popular science. If you want to know more about it, you can take a look at Nakamoto's paper and the official popular science video below
The price of a bitcoin soared from more than $20000 to $40000. This can not help but arouse my research interest, or simply understand what bitcoin is, what its mechanism looks like, and uncover its mystery. Therefore, after a simple search of some information and some understanding of the special currency, I sorted out the information on hand< (3) purpose: decentralize, rece risk
all servers in the distributed network can store and process data, and each server has equal status, which can store more data and has higher security<
this is the general content of popular science. If you want to know more about it, you can take a look at Nakamoto's paper and the official popular science video below
4. The following is from: http://bitcoin.org/zh_ Cn / about
historical background
bitcoin is one of the first currencies to realize the concept of "cryptocurrency". In 1998, Wei Dai first expounded the concept of "cryptocurrency" in cypherpunks mailing list. Based on the basic concept of money, which is used to pay for goods, services and debt or any form of records in a given country or economy, bitcoin is a new form of money. Its original design is to integrate the idea of not relying on the central authority, using the principle of cryptography to control the issuance and transaction of money
in 2009, Satoshi Nakamoto published the first bitcoin specification and its proof of concept in the cryptography mailing list. At the end of 2010, Nakamoto claimed that he had transferred to other affairs and left the project. The creator of bitcoin never revealed his true identity, but left his invention to the world. Today, the origin and motivation of the invention of bitcoin is still a mysterious story
since 2010, many developers have devoted themselves to this project, and the bitcoin community has grown rapidly. Between June and July 2011, bitcoin suddenly gained media attention, leading to large-scale buying. The resulting bubble led to the continued decline in the price of bitcoin in the second half of 2011. After that, the price of bitcoin graally rose to the height of 2011
in order to regulate, protect and promote the development of bitcoin, the bitcoin foundation was established on September 27, 2012. Nowadays, with the increasing number of bitcoin users, bitcoin economy is developing rapidly
technical features
any network like bitcoin has the following basic features:
bitcoin can be transferred between any node of the network
the transaction is irreversible
the use of block chain avoids the occurrence of double consumption
the transaction will spread out in a few seconds and pass validation in 10 to 60 minutes
transaction processing and currency issuance are carried out through mining
bitcoin can be received at any time whether it is online or not<
economic rules
the whole bitcoin network jointly implements the following rules:
the total amount of bitcoin issued is about 21 million
a bitcoin can be divided into 8 decimal places, with a total of about 21 × 1014 monetary units
transaction costs are very low and most of them are free
statistics
bitcoin network has been running continuously for more than 48 months. In the past year, bitcoin's security features have attracted attention and developed significantly. As of April 2013:
the longest block chain has more than 232000 blocks
one of the largest distributed computing networks in the world, with more than 65 trillion hashes per second
there are 50000 transactions every day, with a total amount of several million US dollars
the total value of bitcoin in circulation exceeds US $1.3 billion
there is only one major security incident in the protocol, which was resolved in August 2010
other information can be referred to:
Network: http://ke..com/view/5784548.htm
bitcoin official website: http://bitcoin.org/zh_ CN/
historical background
bitcoin is one of the first currencies to realize the concept of "cryptocurrency". In 1998, Wei Dai first expounded the concept of "cryptocurrency" in cypherpunks mailing list. Based on the basic concept of money, which is used to pay for goods, services and debt or any form of records in a given country or economy, bitcoin is a new form of money. Its original design is to integrate the idea of not relying on the central authority, using the principle of cryptography to control the issuance and transaction of money
in 2009, Satoshi Nakamoto published the first bitcoin specification and its proof of concept in the cryptography mailing list. At the end of 2010, Nakamoto claimed that he had transferred to other affairs and left the project. The creator of bitcoin never revealed his true identity, but left his invention to the world. Today, the origin and motivation of the invention of bitcoin is still a mysterious story
since 2010, many developers have devoted themselves to this project, and the bitcoin community has grown rapidly. Between June and July 2011, bitcoin suddenly gained media attention, leading to large-scale buying. The resulting bubble led to the continued decline in the price of bitcoin in the second half of 2011. After that, the price of bitcoin graally rose to the height of 2011
in order to regulate, protect and promote the development of bitcoin, the bitcoin foundation was established on September 27, 2012. Nowadays, with the increasing number of bitcoin users, bitcoin economy is developing rapidly
technical features
any network like bitcoin has the following basic features:
bitcoin can be transferred between any node of the network
the transaction is irreversible
the use of block chain avoids the occurrence of double consumption
the transaction will spread out in a few seconds and pass validation in 10 to 60 minutes
transaction processing and currency issuance are carried out through mining
bitcoin can be received at any time whether it is online or not<
economic rules
the whole bitcoin network jointly implements the following rules:
the total amount of bitcoin issued is about 21 million
a bitcoin can be divided into 8 decimal places, with a total of about 21 × 1014 monetary units
transaction costs are very low and most of them are free
statistics
bitcoin network has been running continuously for more than 48 months. In the past year, bitcoin's security features have attracted attention and developed significantly. As of April 2013:
the longest block chain has more than 232000 blocks
one of the largest distributed computing networks in the world, with more than 65 trillion hashes per second
there are 50000 transactions every day, with a total amount of several million US dollars
the total value of bitcoin in circulation exceeds US $1.3 billion
there is only one major security incident in the protocol, which was resolved in August 2010
other information can be referred to:
Network: http://ke..com/view/5784548.htm
bitcoin official website: http://bitcoin.org/zh_ CN/
5. Bitcoin is the so-called "cryptocurrency", which is a digital asset in the form of data. Your money in the bank may also be a bunch of numbers, but these numbers are equivalent to real money. Bitcoin is not. In the world of bitcoin, there is neither a central bank to manage nor an inherent legal framework. Because of this, the value of bitcoin is entirely determined by the market, which is currently very hot
bitcoin is stored in a digital wallet. You can store it on your local hard disk or mobile phone, or in a variety of online bitcoin exchanges. Keeping bitcoin locally is like hiding money under a mattress. If something goes wrong with your digital wallet, your money will be gone
to remit or collect money, you need to point your bitcoin client or network exchange to a bitcoin address, which is the address of every wallet. After a few minutes, bitcoin will generally leave your wallet and enter the other person's wallet. There are few sites that accept bitcoin, but there are a few. It's more difficult to use bitcoin in real life, but it can be achieved through some systems
what is the impact of bitcoin on the economy
despite all kinds of problems, the soaring price of bitcoin is partly e to more and more people using it. Bitcoin fans believe in its future. Ordinary people are also graally interested in cryptocurrency, but because it is too complex, it is difficult to popularize in the mass market. If it is really popular, the fluctuation of bitcoin's value will lead to greater turbulence in the global economy
if you bought $1000 bitcoin in 2010, it's worth about $35 million now. But if you buy $1000 bitcoin in early 2014, you'll only have a quarter of your purchasing power a year later. How would you feel if you paid with bitcoin and found that you could only buy half of what you had a few days ago
this kind of inflation is unstable, but if it is used in parallel with the government supported currency, bitcoin does have some advantages. Few people will exchange all their assets for bitcoin.
bitcoin is stored in a digital wallet. You can store it on your local hard disk or mobile phone, or in a variety of online bitcoin exchanges. Keeping bitcoin locally is like hiding money under a mattress. If something goes wrong with your digital wallet, your money will be gone
to remit or collect money, you need to point your bitcoin client or network exchange to a bitcoin address, which is the address of every wallet. After a few minutes, bitcoin will generally leave your wallet and enter the other person's wallet. There are few sites that accept bitcoin, but there are a few. It's more difficult to use bitcoin in real life, but it can be achieved through some systems
what is the impact of bitcoin on the economy
despite all kinds of problems, the soaring price of bitcoin is partly e to more and more people using it. Bitcoin fans believe in its future. Ordinary people are also graally interested in cryptocurrency, but because it is too complex, it is difficult to popularize in the mass market. If it is really popular, the fluctuation of bitcoin's value will lead to greater turbulence in the global economy
if you bought $1000 bitcoin in 2010, it's worth about $35 million now. But if you buy $1000 bitcoin in early 2014, you'll only have a quarter of your purchasing power a year later. How would you feel if you paid with bitcoin and found that you could only buy half of what you had a few days ago
this kind of inflation is unstable, but if it is used in parallel with the government supported currency, bitcoin does have some advantages. Few people will exchange all their assets for bitcoin.
6. There are mainly two kinds of bitcoin algorithms, which are elliptic curve digital signature algorithm and sha256 hash algorithm
elliptic curve digital signature algorithm is mainly used in the generation process of bitcoin public key and private key, which is the cornerstone of bitcoin system. SHA-256 hash algorithm is mainly used in the workload proof mechanism of bitcoin
the principle of bitcoin generation is the special solution generated by complex operation, and mining is the process of finding the special solution. However, the total number of bitcoin is only 21 million, and with the continuous mining of bitcoin, the more difficult it will be to proce bitcoin, and the cost of acquiring bitcoin may be higher than the price of bitcoin itself
the bitcoin block consists of a block header and the transaction list contained in the block. The size of the block header is 80 bytes, which is composed of 4-byte version number, 32 byte hash value of the previous block, 32 byte Merkle root hash, 4-byte timestamp (current time), 4-byte current difficulty value and 4-byte random number. A block header with a fixed length of 80 bytes is the input string used to prove the workload of bitcoin. Constantly change the random number in the block header, that is, the value of nonce, and do double sha256 operation on the block header after each change, and compare the result value with the target value of the current network. If it is less than the target value, the problem is solved successfully, and the workload is proved to be complete
the essence of bitcoin is actually the unique solution of a set of equations generated by a bunch of complex algorithms. Bitcoin is the first distributed virtual currency in the world, which has no specific distribution center. The network of bitcoin is composed of all users, because there is no center to ensure the security of data.
elliptic curve digital signature algorithm is mainly used in the generation process of bitcoin public key and private key, which is the cornerstone of bitcoin system. SHA-256 hash algorithm is mainly used in the workload proof mechanism of bitcoin
the principle of bitcoin generation is the special solution generated by complex operation, and mining is the process of finding the special solution. However, the total number of bitcoin is only 21 million, and with the continuous mining of bitcoin, the more difficult it will be to proce bitcoin, and the cost of acquiring bitcoin may be higher than the price of bitcoin itself
the bitcoin block consists of a block header and the transaction list contained in the block. The size of the block header is 80 bytes, which is composed of 4-byte version number, 32 byte hash value of the previous block, 32 byte Merkle root hash, 4-byte timestamp (current time), 4-byte current difficulty value and 4-byte random number. A block header with a fixed length of 80 bytes is the input string used to prove the workload of bitcoin. Constantly change the random number in the block header, that is, the value of nonce, and do double sha256 operation on the block header after each change, and compare the result value with the target value of the current network. If it is less than the target value, the problem is solved successfully, and the workload is proved to be complete
the essence of bitcoin is actually the unique solution of a set of equations generated by a bunch of complex algorithms. Bitcoin is the first distributed virtual currency in the world, which has no specific distribution center. The network of bitcoin is composed of all users, because there is no center to ensure the security of data.
7.
Since the birth of bitcoin in 2009, the first price to buy bitcoin in 2010 was about US $0.0025. At a price of $27000, bitcoin has risen 10.8 million times since its birth< In other words, the original investment of RMB 1 can buy 61.3 bitcoins, and the current position value is RMB 10.8 million even with bitcoin's amazing growth, Citibank recently announced a target price of $300000, which is 11 times the current price
Although centralized trading has many fatal disadvantages. 100% of the existing currencies and banks in the world are issued or abandoned by the National Central Bank, and ordinary people cannot participate in the issuance of currencies and banks or the central bank accounts. If the Central Bank continues to issue money silver, it will continuously dilute people's money silver and rece the purchasing power of money silver. It's not shocking at all. This has happened in some countries in the world. Take Zimbabwe as an example. In recent years, the government issued a large number of currency and silver, which led to the collapse of Zimbabwe's economy. Finally, the US dollar had to be introced into the local legal currency and silver< Economists are considering replacing bitcoin in ZimbabweHot content