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What are the reasons for the rise of BTC

Publish: 2021-04-27 08:45:50
1.

As for bitcoin's sharp rise and breaking the $48000 mark, I believe no one will expect that. What are the reasons for bitcoin's sharp rise? Will bitcoin continue to soar in the future? With these questions, let's analyze this problem. Here are my personal thoughts and opinions, for your reference and discussion only

problem analysis

the above has explained various factors of bitcoin soaring, but none of these factors is under our personal control, and when you invest, you can't guarantee that you can bear the loss, so when you choose to invest in bitcoin, you are doomed to pay for your decision, The world is so big and there are so many procts to invest in. Why choose bitcoin with such high risk? The above is my personal views and ideas, for reference only

2. Under Tesla's "blessing", bitcoin restarted the skyrocketing mode. At 8 a.m. on February 9, 2021, bitcoin broke through again, with the highest price of $48126, hitting the $50000 mark.
3. Reasons for bitcoin's surge:
factor 1: bitcoin's spot trading volume rose
the decline on March 13 caused BTC to drop from US $8000 to US $3600 within 24 hours, and the buying volume of coinbase, Kraken, binance, bitfinex and other spot exchanges surged
at the same time, open positions (used to describe the total number of long and short positions opened at a specific time) fell sharply in mainstream futures exchanges (including bitmex, binance futures and okex)
the sharp decline of open position and the obvious increase of spot purchase volume of futures exchange actually lead to the transformation of the market. The spot market began to control the price of bitcoin, rather than the futures market
the futures market usually causes sharp fluctuations in the price of bitcoin, because traders use leverage (borrowed funds) to trade cryptocurrency, while in the spot market, investors buy and sell bitcoin without borrowing funds
this change has stabilized the market, enabled the price of bitcoin to rebound without a significant correction, and the volatility is relatively low

factor 2: BTC should not have fallen below $4000 at the beginning
on March 31, coinbase published a blog post, describing in detail the market trend after bitcoin plummeted to $3600
the exchange said that most users of the platform bought bitcoin after a sudden decline, adding that the waterfall clearing led to a much lower decline in bitcoin on the futures exchange than on the spot exchange
coinbase explained: "waterfall clearing is the most prominent in bitmex, which provides highly leveraged procts. During the sell-off period, bitcoin trading price on bitmex was much lower than other exchanges. Until bitmex was maintained at the time of the highest volatility (based on DDoS attacks), waterfall clearing was suspended and prices rebounded rapidly. When the st settles, bitcoin hovers around $5000, before plummeting below $4000. "
this opens up a theory that bitcoin should not have fallen to $3000 in the first place, which explains why bitcoin rebounded rapidly to $7350 in a V-shape

factor 3: rapid recovery to key support level
since the beginning of 2018, the level of $5800 has been an important support area in history. Avoid bitcoin prices falling between $3000 and $4000, except in December 2018
bitcoin prices quickly recovered from the $3000 range to $5800 in seven days. After three tests in March, the price of $5800 became a strong bottom, allowing bitcoin to continue its rally.
4. Reasons for the rise: 1. Self: Decentralization (institutions can't freeze your bitcoin), difficulty in cracking, and certain anonymity. 2. When social problems occur, people worry about the preservation of traditional currency: for example, in 2013, in order to obtain the EU's 10 billion euro emergency aid loan, the government of Cyprus will levy a deposit tax on local bank depositors. In order to avoid policy risks, the public scrambled to change their currency into bitcoin. Then it spread to many countries in the euro area. It triggered bitcoin's first massive rise. For example, the new crown black swan event in 2020, the global "big water release" (negative interest rate), the decline of the influence of the US dollar, and the people and the government need the means to maintain the value of assets. 3. With the popularity of blockchain, a large number of institutions have entered the market. Traditional financial institutions, listed companies, and paypal have all promoted the rise of bitcoin. However, e to the limited supply, the demand has increased greatly, which has promoted the price rise.
5.

China has the largest number of blockchain patent applications in the world

China has a good foundation in the field of blockchain. With the support of the previous series of policies, blockchain technology and instry have developed rapidly, and began to integrate with all walks of life

in 2016, the State Council issued the 13th five year plan for national informatization, which listed blockchain technology as a strategic frontier technology. In June 2018, the Ministry of instry and information technology issued the instrial Internet development action plan (2018-2020) to encourage the application research and exploration of emerging frontier technologies such as blockchain in the instrial Internet

the number of patent applications for blockchain technology in China ranks the first in the world in recent years. According to the 2018 China e-banking survey report released by China financial certification authority (CFCA) at the end of last year, more than half of the existing patent applications related to blockchain in the world are from China. By the end of 2017, there were more than 1200 patent applications, surpassing the United States and becoming the first

at present, the top three Internet giants Alibaba, Tencent and network are trying to develop regional blockchain technology and related basic technology development, such as network super chain platform, ant blockchain baas platform, Tencent cloud tbaas blockchain service platform, etc

at present, in terms of global enterprises, the first and second echelons of blockchain technology competition have been formed. As of April 2019, Alibaba ranked first in the global blockchain patent ranking in the first half of 2019 with 290 blockchain patents. At the same time, by observing the enterprises of the first and second echelons, it is found that they are all from China. On the whole, China's Internet companies have accumulated profound technology in blockchain. China has a great technological competitive advantage in the field of blockchain

from January to April in 2019, the global blockchain patents ranked first Second tier statistics


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data source: for more data sources and analysis, please refer to the in depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of China's blockchain instry published by prospective instry research institute , At the same time, foresight Instrial Research Institute also provides solutions for instrial big data, instrial planning, instrial declaration, instrial park planning, and instrial investment promotion

6. Price evaluation should be carried out. If the value exceeds 3000 yuan, it is suspected of fraud and sentenced to fixed-term imprisonment of not more than three years
if it is less than 3000 yuan, it does not constitute a crime and cannot be sentenced.
7. Everything goes up and down because of supply and demand
more people need bitcoin on the market, and bitcoin will rise
what causes more people to demand bitcoin
1. Black market transactions
2. Money laundering transactions
3. Political turmoil and devaluation of legal currency
4. Market recognition and multi investment (value preservation) of bitcoin purchased by large institutions
1 and 2 are the basis of bitcoin's existence. 3 is the most likely factor of bitcoin's sharp rise in price. 4. Bitcoin has always existed. It is one of the foundations of bitcoin's existence. It grows slowly, but this is the foundation of bitcoin's value.
8. To judge whether bitcoin can still rise sharply, we should divide it into short-term and long-term perspectives. These two perspectives are totally different investment concepts. It is recommended that the owner buy it on the okex platform, which is easy to operate.
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