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Bitcoin big bubble

Publish: 2021-04-27 17:43:35
1. As for the impact of various events on the price of bitcoin, there are four types of such events
political events: most of these events involve the government's attitude towards bitcoin, such as the Federal Reserve's recognition of bitcoin as a financial instrument, Germany's recognition of bitcoin as a currency, China's prohibition of financial institutions from participating in bitcoin trading, and Russia's prohibition of using bitcoin and participating in bitcoin mining. Although bitcoin itself is a neutral technology, it is not affected by politics, but the price of bitcoin will fluctuate dramatically because of such events. So far, this is the biggest factor affecting the price of bitcoin
exchange events: Although bitcoin is a decentralized currency, bitcoin transactions mainly take place in centralized exchanges. Since the birth of bitcoin, many exchanges have been stolen. For example, mtgox, the largest Japanese exchange, lost 700000 bitcoins. Recently, bitfinex, the Hong Kong exchange, lost 120000 bitcoins. Bitstamp, the Slovenian exchange, was attacked and lost 19000 bitcoins. Whenever such an event occurs, the risk of bitcoin trading increases sharply, and bitcoin will often usher in a larger decline
financial events: such events often come from the instability of the real financial world, such as the default of the Central Bank of Cyprus, which leads to zero savings of more than 100000 euros of the country's depositors, serious devaluation of Ukraine's currency under the pressure of war, and brexit of the UK, which weakens the stability of the euro area. Bitcoin, as a safe haven asset, is gaining more and more market recognition. At present, the trading volume of bitcoin in the world has exceeded that of gold ETF, and the instability of fiat money has caused the continuous rise of bitcoin
Technical events: as a decentralized open source network protocol, bitcoin's code is far from perfect. There have been several crises in bitcoin's protocol. For example, a certain upgrade of bitcoin protocol has not been unanimously recognized by the whole network. In the end, there is a double flower problem. The scalability of bitcoin's transaction makes it easy for hackers to attack and steal, At one time, it forced several bitcoin exchanges to suspend trading. Recently, there has been a heated debate about expansion in the bitcoin community, and no effective solution has been available, which has cast a shadow on the future of bitcoin. Whether the bitcoin protocol can continue to evolve is a long-term impact on the price of bitcoin.
2. Take a look at the game control
there should be key settings over there
but one of the chain mining presets I know seems to press v
3.

the reason why a virtual currency such as bitcoin can be such a price is not because it has value, but because others recognize its value, so it can be worth so much money. This truth may be a bit awkward, you can think about it again and again

in the past, when we talked about bitcoin, we all thought that bitcoin was a fraud, because the existence of bitcoin would be controversial. Some people thought that bitcoin itself had no value, but when we all recognized bitcoin, we would find that the price of bitcoin would be more and more expensive, and many people would regret it, They feel that they didn't buy bitcoin in their early years, and they are very poor

the price of bitcoin has exceeded $59000

we all know that the price of bitcoin has gone up all the way, even to $59000. The price is so exaggerated that many ordinary investors have no way to participate in it. For those small partners who participated in the early years, they may have made a lot of money at this time, but for those who just start to pay attention to bitcoin now, There is no need to continue to participate now{ RRRRR}

4. The bubble risk of bitcoin is not enough to constitute systemic risk. This is because the participants are mainly indivials, and the normative financial institutions are hardly involved. The two bitcoin does not have the collateral nature of formal finance, that is to say, even if the bitcoin price falls sharply, it will not constitute a risk conction to the financial market.
5.

Not long ago, the total value of bitcoin in the world exceeded one billion US dollars for the first time. For a pure virtual currency without the support of a central bank or other authority, this is a remarkable achievement. But this is also temporary: we are experiencing a bitcoin bubble, and the bursting of bubbles is only a matter of time. P>

says bubbles are doomed to break down for several reasons. The first is: because it is a bubble, no matter what charts, if it grows into the above picture, it will usher in tears at the end of a certain moment. but there is a deeper reason - bitcoin is a strange mixture of goods and money. The commodity value of bitcoin is generated by its monetary value, but as its commodity attribute becomes more and more significant, its use as currency becomes smaller

the distrust of existing financial institutions by these people, including Nakamoto, is no exception. What makes Nakamoto different is that he turns this distrust into a philosophy, which is the most important driving force behind the bitcoin project. When he introced bitcoin to the world in February 2009, Nakamoto boasted that his new currency had achieved "complete decentralization and there was no credible party". Moreover, he explained in great detail the problems that he thought should be solved urgently:

"the fundamental problem of traditional currency is the trust needed to make it work. We must trust the central bank not to devalue the currency, but the history of fiat money is full of betrayal of this trust. We have to trust that banks will save our money and transfer them electronically, but they still lend money without reservation in the rising credit bubble. We have to trust them with our privacy and trust them not to let impostors take money out of our accounts. "

Nakamoto is not paranoid: what he said here is the same as Warren; What Mr. Buffett said in his letter to shareholders in 2012 doesn't make much difference

" under the current monetary system, known investment types include money market funds, bonds, mortgage loans, bank savings, and other forms. Most of these money based investments are considered "safe.". In fact, they are among the most dangerous assets

"in the past century, these investment methods have destroyed the purchasing power of investors in many countries, even if they can continue to harvest principal and interest in a timely manner. In addition, this terrible consequence will reappear again and again. Governments determine the final value of money, and systemic factors occasionally bias them toward policies that trigger inflation. From time to time, such policies get out of control

"even in the United States, which strongly appeals for currency stability, the depreciation of the US dollar since I took over the management of Berkshire in 1965 has reached an alarming 86%. What you could buy for a dollar back then costs as much as seven dollars today. "

if you hold dollars, you have to trust the US government not to destroy your wealth. By contrast, bitcoin is built on distrust - it's designed to be a "everyone for himself" currency. In vain, because of his stupidity, he was criticized by many people in the bitcoin world: what did he think of storing his e-wallet on an Internet connected windows machine

but even when using bitcoin, people have to trust others in the end - and the objects they trust often turn out to be unreliable

zero trust

this degree of distrust is not only a feature but also a loophole compared with the special coin - in fact, most of us are willing to outsource the task of hoarding wealth to a large trusted organization, rather than hiding $1000 under the black volcanic rock in the stone wall of the old oak root, Or a $90000 100 dollar bill wrapped in aluminum foil and hidden in the refrigerator. Managing bitcoin yourself is risky and requires high computer skills. But the trust needed to entrust one's own bitcoin to others is exactly what bitcoin aims to avoid

bitcoin's inherent suspicion of financial institutions not only distinguishes it from legal tender, but also makes it different from other virtual currencies, such as Facebook coin in the United States, Q coin in China and linden coin in the world's largest virtual game second life. All of these virtual currencies are closely monitored by the company that invented them, and are of little value outside these particular economies

some of these virtual currencies are about the same order of magnitude as bitcoin in scale, although it is difficult to compare them in the same sense for example, the annual revenue of Facebook coin is about one billion US dollars, and the market of Q coin in 2007 was so big that the people's Bank of China intervened and called on companies to stop trading with Q coin. In the recent bubble, bitcoins traded for more than $30 million a day, and most of the time they traded more than $5 million a day. The annual turnover will be about $2 billion, so long as the bubble will not burst. strong>



6. Different people have different opinions on this issue
we can say that real estate is a typical bubble. Many experts will argue that there is no bubble.
we can say that RMB is a typical bubble, and it has too many issues. Experts are noisy, not much
What about bitcoin? Or you can have a fight. It's a bubble or a bubble.
bubble is not a thing itself, after all, the world's major powers, especially China, issue too many banknotes, so that paper money is constantly circulating in the market, and constantly promote all kinds of "price" to measure all the ups and down. Including land, including garlic, including basic living expenses, and so on
remember that bubbles are procts of massive currency issuance, not just one thing.
7. Some people will make money, some people will be caught dead, but do not worry about long-term
8. no In a healthy financial market, price always fluctuates around value. When the price of a commodity far exceeds its true value, we call it the bubble, and the bubble will burst when it can not sustain it. First of all, bitcoin is not a commodity, on the contrary, it is a price measurement tool, just like RMB and US dollar; Secondly, at present, the price of bitcoin converted into legal currency is not too high, and all legal currencies are issued under the control of the state and the central finance or the central bank and are manufactured artificially. Therefore, if it is in line with the national private interests, the country will issue a large number of additional legal currencies. This led to the devaluation of the currency. Bitcoin doesn't have this problem. It's a computer program. No matter what happens, there are only 21 million bitcoins in the world. Compared with its bubble, I support the future that it will replace a wide variety of French currency into a popular world currency, because unlike the US dollar, the euro is different from it, and it does not need to be converted into its own currency, anyone can use it. However, we should also pay attention to that if bitcoin is to be used as an investment means, it is suggested to control the position well, and the ultimate goal of any investment is to make our life happier. So you can't put all your eggs in one basket. At the same time, when you invest, you should choose a good place (Qube, bitmex, coin an and fire coin are relatively stable at present). A hacker attack will make your assets go bankrupt; Finally, we should choose reliable wallet for storage to avoid theft.
9. Bitcoin originated in the United States, developed stronger than China, was strongly regulated in China, fled abroad, and finally inevitably ended in the United States. China's digital currency trading once accounted for 93% of the world's trading volume, and the United States originally hoped to sweep China's wealth through bitcoin
however, China's timely action has led to the United States lifting stones and hitting its own feet. If it continues to develop, it may be the Americans' own wool, so now the U.S. government is becoming more and more anxious
in 2017, China banned digital currency transactions such as ICO and bitcoin, avoiding the world's largest wool shearing and a huge tragedy.
10.

in terms of price, bitcoin and various "cat coins" (all the encryption currencies outside the bitcoin system) are in the bubble. But in terms of value, bitcoin is not. Davis said that although bitcoin is a speculative transaction, it is still valuable

Davis said that if you bet on bitcoin, you bet on the value exchange provided by the Internet. The Internet exchanges information through various protocols, just as people use bitcoin to buy a commodity or exchange for the service they want. Therefore, if the number of people using bitcoin is increasing, the value of the Internet will continue to grow

the price of bitcoin continued to rise this week. According to data from coindesk, the trading price of bitcoin broke through 12000 US dollars for the first time on Wednesday (December 6) morning Beijing time. Because of the large increase in bitcoin, executives of some large banks call bitcoin "bubble". Bitcoin has risen more than 1000% since the beginning of the year

Davis' company currently allows people to pay in the form of "electronic gold" instead of bitcoin. Users can link their MasterCard debit card to glint's app, and then do what they want: buy the goods and services they need, even transfer money. Bitcoin is an exchange of value provided by the Internet, but it cannot be used as a means of payment like gold, the executive said< br />

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