Analysis of BTC Technology

1.

Based on these two situations, price fluctuation seems to occur within 18 months after each halving. However, the data is still insufficient for proper analysis and price forecasting model

Will history repeat itself< p> It is important to note that in terms of the number of bitcoin holders, market value, regulations and the overall outlook for cryptocurrency, there are huge differences between 2012, 2016 and 2020. For example:

market value: November 2016 - & gt; $11 billion, December 2019 - $132 billion

daily trading volume: November 2016 - & gt; 84 million US dollars, December 2019 - 17 billion US dollars

e to the increased public awareness of bitcoin and the interest of institutional investors, the risk is higher this time. Although many other cryptocurrencies have been introced since 2016, BTC's dominant position is still 66.6%. As a result, the bitcoin miner is unlikely to switch to other coins, which means that halving may have a long-term impact on bitcoin prices

However, the main gain is that there is a certain correlation between the halving of bitcoin reward and the price fluctuation after the event. These supply changes happen every four years, and it's interesting to watch their impact on the price of the bitcoin

2. Bitcoin is different from the previous currency, it completely relies on the Internet to create and trade; Bitcoin's unique technical attributes lead to its economic and cultural attributes beyond the present currency. Bitcoin is a kind of electronic currency proced by open-source P2P software. Compared with the paper currency in circulation, the biggest feature of bitcoin is decentralization and global circulation in the network world, followed by high security and high confidentiality. These technical attributes further extend to the economic attributes of no inflation, no freezing, and no man-made supply; In terms of culture, bitcoin is popular among anarchists and liberals. The advantages of bitcoin are artificially exaggerated, and its anti inflation and anti inflation functions cannot stand up to scrutiny. In the long run, the prospect of bit is hard to match that of gold. In the most optimistic case, it will become a means of payment in some areas; But in the short and medium term, bit still has room for speculation and imagination. In addition, the use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
1. The advantages of bitcoin are exaggerated: About decentralization, no transaction costs and anti inflation
it is true that bitcoin has various advantages over paper money, but these advantages have been over interpreted. First of all, bitcoin is a kind of decentralized currency, which will not have the same risk of central bank controlling money supply and affecting market value as paper money; Bitcoin is mainly held in the hands of large investors, and the market depth is not enough. At present, the trading behavior of large investors is also very easy to affect the price of bitcoin. Even if the attribute of decentralization is regarded as the advantage of bitcoin when it is fully mature, then the prerequisite of holding decentralization should be added. In addition, there are great differences between centralized and decentralized online payment systems in the degree and type of financial risks they are exposed to
secondly, the low transaction cost of bitcoin is not without transaction cost. On the contrary, e to the increasing difficulty of bitcoin mining and the further stability of currency value, the dependence of relevant transaction platforms on transaction cost will increase, which will certainly increase the transaction cost. Finally, the confidentiality of the bitcoin transaction needs to be discussed. The principle of the bitcoin transaction makes all the processes of each bitcoin transaction stored in each machine. If someone can determine the real background of a transaction, they can find all the transactions down and up through these data
compared with other advantages, anti inflation or anti inflation is the most publicized advantage. Although its supply is stable and the upper limit of supply is locked according to its algorithm, unless the whole world is unified and all countries use bits as currency, it can not prevent the over issuance of money only as a means of payment or a storage of value, just as the current existence of gold can not constrain the growth of each country's currency. If bits can only be used as a means of payment in local areas (such as the network), then global or some countries' inflation will still be transmitted to the areas where bits are used. Therefore, the use of bits to prevent inflation is basically untenable, or has a strong premise. As for anti inflation, that is to say, it has the function of value storage, it needs to have the property similar to gold. However, from the reality, bit's essential property and prospect are still hard to match gold. See below for details
2. Bitcoin's future positioning is too high
the expectation of bitcoin's future in the market generally compares it with gold and US dollar, which is relatively high. The recognition of gold not only lies in its natural physical properties, but also in its official acceptance as a reserve currency (or an important allocation of foreign exchange assets). In theory, bitcoin as an electronic currency does not have the unique and exclusive status, and it is more difficult to become the official reserve of central banks like gold. Therefore, it is not appropriate to expect too much bit. As an electronic currency, bit has the first mover advantage. If it can be guaranteed in terms of security, its most optimistic prospect will be as a means of payment in local areas
3. Speculation and speculative demand caused by event factors are the main reasons for the rise of bitcoin in this round
under the credit currency system, people's lack of confidence in the currencies of various countries and pessimistic economic prospects are the general environment for the rise of bitcoin in this round. The speculation of the major dealers in the market and the derivatives market of bitcoin, together with the speculative psychology of the participants, further accelerated its rise. Btcchina's investment of US $5 million and the announcement of Ben's position are the main driving factors for the recent surge
however, a lot of big players start to enter the market and buy a lot, which not only drives the bit price up to a high level, but also increases the market risk. Chamath, a former Facebook executive, has spent $5 million on bitcoin and plans to spend another $10 million. Bitcoin investment trust also exceeded its target within four weeks, raising $15 million. These people's investments not only make bitcoin further rise, but also concentrate on the holding of bitcoin, which strengthens the influence of indivials and institutions on the price of bitcoin and increases the market risk
4. There is still strong room for speculation in the medium and short term
although our previous analysis is not optimistic about the prospect of bit, it is likely that bit will still have strong room for speculation in such a short and medium term period of time as one year. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the creators of bitcoin advocate that the generation of bitcoin is not manipulated by human factors, which is quite different from the credit currencies of various countries. We expect that the monetary policies of major countries will be divided next year. With the release of economic risks and the heavy damage to traditional asset markets, bitcoin will have better room for speculation and imagination< The use of bitcoin in some sensitive areas highlights the increasingly prominent role of information in national security
the U.S. government seized the drug trading website "Silk Road" at the beginning of last month. A crowdfunding network called "assassination market" even marked the sale of murderers with bitcoin price. The founder of the assassin market, under the pseudonym of kuwabatake Sanjuro, is an extreme anarchist. Both prism gate incident and the use of bitcoin in relevant sensitive fields highlight the increasingly prominent position of information field in national security. The Third Plenary Session proposed the establishment of the national security committee, which will play an important role in China's security strategy and expand from traditional national defense, stability maintenance / urban security to information security and other emerging areas

3. The concept of bitcoin was first proposed by Nakamoto on November 1, 2008, and was officially born on January 3, 2009. According to the idea of Nakamoto, the open source software is designed and released, and the P2P network on it is constructed. Bitcoin is a virtual encrypted digital currency in the form of P2P. Point to point transmission means a decentralized payment system
unlike all currencies, bitcoin does not rely on a specific currency institution to issue. It is generated by a large number of calculations based on a specific algorithm. Bitcoin economy uses a distributed database composed of many nodes in the whole P2P network to confirm and record all transactions, and uses cryptography design to ensure the security of all aspects of currency circulation. The decentralized nature and algorithm of P2P can ensure that it is impossible to artificially manipulate the value of bitcoin through mass proction. The design based on cryptography can make bitcoin only be transferred or paid by the real owner. This also ensures the anonymity of money ownership and circulation transactions. The biggest difference between bitcoin and other virtual currencies is that the total amount of bitcoin is very limited and it has a strong scarcity

according to the notice on preventing the financing risk of token issuance, there is no approved digital currency trading platform in China. According to China's digital currency regulatory framework, investors have the freedom to participate in digital currency transactions at their own risk

warm tips: the above information is for reference only. Before investing, it is recommended that you first understand the risks existing in the project, and understand the investors, investment institutions, chain activity and other information of the project, rather than blindly investing or mistakenly entering the capital market. Investment is risky, so we should be cautious when entering the market
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4.

BTC (business to customer)

also known as B2C, e-commerce according to a classification of trading partners, that is, commercial institutions to consumers of e-commerce. This form of e-commerce is generally based on the network retail instry, mainly with the help of the Internet to carry out online sales activities

B2C mode is the earliest e-commerce mode in China, marked by the formal operation of 8848 online mall. B2C means that enterprises provide consumers with a new shopping environment through the Internet - online store, where consumers shop online and pay online

because this mode saves the time and space of customers and enterprises, and greatly improves the transaction efficiency, especially for busy office workers, this mode can save valuable time

two BTB (business to business)

also known as B2B, refers to a kind of Internet market, which is the marketing relationship between enterprises. It combines the intranet with customers through B2B website, and provides better service for customers through the rapid response of the network, so as to promote the business development of enterprises. In recent years, B2B develops rapidly and tends to be mature

three otos (online to offline)

also known as o2o, namely "online to offline". The core of the business model of oto is very simple, which is to bring online consumers to real stores, pay online to buy offline goods and services, and then enjoy offline services

extended materials:

e-commerce is a business activity with information network technology as the means and commodity exchange as the center; It can also be understood as the activities of trading activities and related services in the form of electronic transactions on the Internet, intranet and value-added network. It is the electronization, networking and informatization of all aspects of traditional business activities

e-commerce usually refers to a wide range of business and trade activities all over the world, in the Internet open network environment, based on Browser / server application mode,

buyers and sellers do not meet each other to carry out a variety of business activities, to achieve consumer online shopping, online transactions and online electronic payment between merchants, as well as a variety of business activities, trading activities Financial activities and related integrated service activities are a new business operation mode

governments, scholars and business people in various countries have given many different definitions according to their own status and different angles and degrees of participation in e-commerce. E-commerce is divided into ABC, B2B, B2C, C2C, B2M, M2C, B2A (B2G), C2A (C2G), o2o, etc

At the same time, network marketing is also a proct of e-commerce, and for network marketing, it is necessary to make a good network marketing plan before doing it, so as to facilitate the implementation of the plan

since October 1, 2018, the Ministry of finance, the State Administration of Taxation, the Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of customs have jointly issued the new regulations on tax exemption for e-commerce export enterprises in the comprehensive pilot zone of cross border e-commerce

5.

The Open Market Committee expects to raise interest rates three times next year, and the market expects to raise interest rates two times. On the other hand, bitcoin is better than the market www.toubi.com According to the data above, it rose from more than 5400 points in the early 15th to more than 5600 points today. The increase of interest rate by the Federal Reserve not only did not cause the decline of bitcoin, but also caused a small rise. What makes bitcoin rise under the influence of such a big policy?

Tags: bitcoin of the Federal Reserve

< H2 > 2. Why? From November last year to the beginning of this year, the virtual digital money market represented by bitcoin has taken China's policy as the wind vane. Looking at China's global price trend, I can tell you the story behind each candle chart along the way. The range of rise and fall is very large, but all investors can see clearly why it will rise and why it will fall, Bitcoin is a kind of network virtual currency, which is characterized by decentralization, anonymity, can only be used in the digital world, does not belong to any country or financial institution, and is not subject to geographical restrictions. It can be exchanged anywhere in the world. Its characteristics make us firmly believe that bitcoin will become a mainstream currency in the future. Just like diamonds, at the beginning, someone picked up some shiny things by the river or on the beach, which was caused by...

Tags: bitcoin price, bitcoin

< H2 > 4

having been speculating in stocks and currencies for so many years, I can't help thinking about whether it's better to play bitcoin or stocks? In this paper, the author does not intend to say this problem from the perspective of the text, after all, everything in the market has good and bad, play that is not important, play that can earn real money is the most important. As long as you can make money, you can play anything you like. I am now a loyal player of bitcoin (I like to play, for it...

Tags: play bitcoin, play stock

< H2 > 5. 796 exchange Zhu Rong: on the rise and fall of bitcoin price and qualified investors, Bitcoin rose to 8000 yuan. Shangfang is precisely because in the relevant domestic policy vacuum period, as bitcoin investment heats up, the media pursues popularity in order to attract attention from the bottom to the top, and a large number of positive reports continue to appear on CCTV, which makes bitcoin increase social attention overnight, thus attracting a large number of investment capital inflows, Bitcoin price

< H2 > 6. Investigation on the causes of bitcoin crash: high leverage eventually leads to bitcoin crash

after four months of silence, bitcoin and other virtual currencies once again attracted the attention of the market because of the crash. Analysts said the reason for bitcoin's collapse was e to leveraged trading. On Monday night, the price of bitcoin on btc-e, a bitcoin trading platform, dropped rapidly to $309, nearly 40% from the highest price of $498 on that day. However, after the slump, bitcoin prices slowly rebounded. The new hope of electronic currency: the political and economic changes behind the rise and fall of bitcoin. Edwin van der Brom, a former bitcoin trader and Dutchman, is in endless regret these days. Three years ago, Edwin, who had just received the master's degree in finance and economics of Erasmus University Rotterdam,

tags:, the rise and fall of bitcoin, electronic currency, Edwin

8. "bubble curse" -- the five major reasons for bitcoin to give investors some doubts.

... The secrecy and performance limitations of block chain technology make it most suitable for the upward trend of corporate bitcoin. Let investors think that the bull market of cryptocurrency has come. But skeptics point out that the bull market will not come so soon. From April to may 2017, this digital currency rose more than 100%. Bearers believe that this market is familiar. From March 2017 to...

Tags: bitcoin investment

< H2 > 9. David Berger: the bitcoin ecosystem lacks trust

... David Berger, CEO and founder of the digital currency Committee (DCC), concted an interview. David Berger talked about the main challenges bitcoin faces, Why let people build their own businesses based on blockchain technology and why trust is crucial to the bitcoin ecosystem. Cointelegraph (CT): can you talk about the difference between the responsibilities of the digital currency Committee and the bitcoin fund? David b...

Tags: bitcoin ecosystem

< H2 > 10? BTCC spot trading day K-line chart shows that last Saturday (October 22), bitcoin prices rose from 4296 to 4539, a daily rise of 5.7%. The highest increase was from 22:45 to 23:20 on Saturday night, rising from 4354 yuan to 4539 yuan, the highest at present! In less than an hour, the price of bitcoin rose 185 yuan! In less than two weeks, the price of bitcoin broke through 4300 on October 11

6. At present, there is only one quick order on the fire coin. For the time being, the K-line shape is still more professional. There is still a big gap according to the technical indicators of the compass profession. The experts don't look at that thing.

7. Because of the need of handling a case, the police can consult the citizens' bank information with the approval of certain proceres.