BTC rebounds on March 30, 2020

1. The concept of bitcoin was first proposed by Nakamoto on November 1, 2008, and was officially born on January 3, 2009. According to the idea of Nakamoto, the open source software is designed and released, and the P2P network on it is constructed. Bitcoin is a virtual encrypted digital currency in the form of P2P. Point to point transmission means a decentralized payment system. Unlike all currencies, bitcoin does not rely on a specific currency institution to issue. It is generated by a large number of calculations based on a specific algorithm. Bitcoin economy uses a distributed database composed of many nodes in the whole P2P network to confirm and record all transactions, and uses cryptography design to ensure the security of all aspects of money circulation. The decentralized nature and algorithm of P2P can ensure that it is impossible to artificially manipulate the value of bitcoin through mass proction. The design based on cryptography can make bitcoin only be transferred or paid by the real owner. This also ensures the anonymity of money ownership and circulation transactions. The biggest difference between bitcoin and other virtual currencies is that the total amount of bitcoin is very limited and it has a strong scarcity. On January 8, 2021, the price of bitcoin exceeded $40000

warm tips: according to the notice and announcement issued by the people's Bank of China and other departments, virtual currency is not issued by the monetary authority, does not have legal compensation and mandatory monetary attributes, is not a real currency, does not have the same legal status as currency, and cannot and should not be used as currency in the market, Citizens' investment and transaction of virtual currency are not protected by law
the above explanation is for reference only. Before investing, it is recommended that you first understand the risks existing in the project, and clearly understand the investors, investment institutions, chain activity and other information of the project, rather than blindly investing or mistakenly entering the capital market
investors should not use such information to replace their independent judgment or make decisions only based on such information, which does not constitute any investment operation

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2.

bitcoin, whose price has been around $9000 recently, finally broke through the $10000 mark yesterday (June 2) morning

however, around 11:00 p.m. on the 2nd, & lt; Thrilling & quot; As a result, the price of bitcoin plummeted nearly $800 in six minutes, down nearly 8%

as of 1:00 a.m. on June 3, Beijing time, the amount of bitcoin's full network exposure in the past 24 hours has exceeded 700 million US dollars, about 5.111 billion yuan, and the number of exposure is about 36000{ RRRRR}

Goldman Sachs pointed out that & lt; Cryptocurrency, including bitcoin, is not suitable as an asset class, but a security& rdquo; The reason given by the agency is that the price fluctuation of cryptocurrency has no stable correlation with other assets, and there is no evidence that cryptocurrency can be used as a hedge against inflation. In addition, Goldman said, & lt; The price rise of cryptocurrency mainly depends on whether other people are willing to pay a higher price for it, which is not a suitable investment tool for our customers& rdquo;

3. Judging from the trend, BTC needs a decent step back, because it has rebounded since the bottom of 3800 last time, and there is no trend of a second step back. Therefore, there are some hidden dangers in the short term, and it needs to withdraw again, maybe back to around 5000
of course, the next month will be the cycle of proction rection. After two months of proction rection, most of them will usher in the market. Therefore, if there is a short-term withdrawal, it will be a perfect low absorption point

it's better to buy bitcoin ETF fund than bitcoin in 2020< In theory, X2
3. The current price of bitcoin is 70000x4 = 28000 US dollars (the expected price after this year's proction rection)

ring this period, the return comparison between holding spot money and ETF fund is as follows:

1. Buy spot money to hold, earn 4 times
2. Buy ETF fund, earn 12 times, Up to 30 times (intelligent position adjustment + fund compound interest calculation)

there is no doubt that bitcoin ETF launched by bitoffer is the best investment choice!

4.

Bitcoin price accelerated to rise at the same time, there has been a more rapid decline in the callback

according to the price of coindesk on bitcoin news and information network, on January 11, the price of bitcoin fell to about US $30305, down 27.78% from the highest price of US $41962 in history. In other words, the price of bitcoin fell from $40000 to $30305 in just over a day. Before that, bitcoin took six days to rise from $30000 to $40000

from the macro-economic environment, Yu Jianing believes that the correction on January 11 can be regarded as a hedging measure taken by overseas mainstream investment institutions. He believes that one of the reasons for bitcoin's rise this year is the continued decline of the dollar index. At present, Biden's government is coming to power, "bad is good", the dollar may rebound, global commodity assets have a significant correction, and the digital asset market will adjust accordingly

in recent days, the US dollar index has risen significantly. As of press release, the US dollar index is about 90.49, down 0.06 from the previous day and up 1.16% from the closing price of 89.42 on January 6

he also pointed out that many bitcoin miners choose to sell at relatively high prices. According to cq.live, the miner's position index (MPI) has reached its highest level this year. The MPI index is higher than 2, which indicates that miners tend to sell bitcoin after mining; If MPI is negative, it indicates that they are optimistic about the short-term trend and choose to hoard bitcoin. At present, the value is about 5.26, indicating that the miners are selling bitcoin on the over-the-counter market or exchange. In addition, bytetree data also shows that in the past week, bitcoin miners g out 6894 bitcoins, but sold 10047 bitcoins, which means that the miners sold nearly 3153 bitcoins in stock

Yu Jianing mentioned that another reason for the decline is the website downtime of the largest compliance exchange in the United States, such as coinbase, after the market fluctuated violently, which delayed the trading of users, and many buying orders could not be traded normally, which also led to the bitcoin price on the website far lower than the market price, further aggravating the market panic

"e to the failure of the coinbase system, we could only sell but not hang up the bill yesterday, and the whole trading world order was destroyed." A coin circle employee also said

regulatory warning bitcoin volatility risk

it is worth noting that the recent ups and downs of bitcoin has also aroused the vigilance of regulatory authorities in various countries

On January 12, the New Zealand financial market authority (FMA) warned new Zealanders to invest in cryptocurrency prudently, according to the New Zealand Herald

"new Zealanders who are considering buying cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin should realize that they are high-risk and highly volatile assets," a spokesman for the New Zealand Financial Markets Authority said. "Cryptocurrencies are not regulated in New Zealand and are often used by fraudsters and hackers."

According to the times on January 9, HSBC has decided to stop providing cryptocurrency trading services to customers in the UK, including prohibiting customers from depositing funds into HSBC from their digital wallets. At the same time, many other UK banks have banned customers from using credit cards to buy digital currencies such as bitcoin

"the virtual currency represented by stable currency is facing more and more complicated compliance risks. As more and more economic activities migrate to the blockchain, the instry is facing great compliance pressure. The circulation of stable currencies such as usdt will grow explosively in 2020, reaching a record high. Behind this, part of the use demand comes from the normal transactions in compliance, but there are also black and gray demands for money laundering, illegal financing and other problems. In the future, the blockchain instry will face more and more compliance challenges. " Yu said

he pointed out that according to the report on anti money laundering of virtual currency released by peckshield in 2020, the value of unregulated outbound virtual currency reached US $17.5 billion in 2020, an increase of 51% compared with that in 2019, and it is still growing rapidly. The number of fraud cases involving virtual currency continued to rise to 151, an increase of 655% over 2019

Yu Jianing said: "since the second half of 2020, fraud, attack, extortion, gambling and other assets, as well as money laundering, run points and other gray assets, have begun to turn into virtual currency money laundering. The number of extortion cases has increased rapidly, and the situation of virtual currency anti money laundering is grim. In 2021, it is necessary for the blockchain and digital assets instry to adopt a more strict and prudent KYC (know your customer) review mechanism, More stringent anti money laundering standards will be implemented. "

5.

According to the official announcement, digital assets and RMB recharge functions will be closed at 12 noon on September 27, and all trading functions will be closed at 12 noon on September 30. So far, bitcoin trading was officially sentenced to death

some people applaud the state's move to control bitcoin transactions, believing that this money laundering tool should have been closed long ago the invention of bitcoin in the United States disturbs the Chinese market. We should learn from Russia's ban on bitcoin. Although bitcoin makes money, it is not good for the development of the country because it is divorced from the real economy. Many young people are addicted to bitcoin and lose both money and people
however, at present, the state only restricts it, but it has not been completely banned. Big exchanges can not provide bitcoin exchange, so many of them go underground, making it more difficult to control
for young people, the state has banned trading, so it is too risky to re-enter the bitcoin market, so they should be cautious to intervene, and regret if they break the law