When does bitcoin's wet season end
bitcoin network generates a new block every ten minutes. Every time a miner completes a block, he can get a certain amount of bitcoin as a block reward, and the reward will be halved for every 210000 blocks mined. Because the time for mining each block is limited to 10 minutes, at this rate, the period for the reward to be halved is four years, that is to say, the reward for bitcoin blocks is halved every four years
when the bitcoin block reward was halved for the first time, its price rose 25 times from 300 yuan to 7995 yuan; In the second half, the price rose 28 times from 5011 yuan to 140000 yuan. So many people predict that the third halving of bitcoin in May 2020 will lead to a sharp rise in the price of bitcoin, at least 10 times. However, these figures are not so clear. After halving in 2012, bitcoin prices rose for two months, and in 2016, there was almost no immediate response to deflation for a month. This may also be the result of the strategy of "buying rumors and selling news" implemented by some speculators
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after bitcoin halved, the supply slowed down, and keeping deflation through algorithm has always been a part of bitcoin protocol design. It was set up to ensure the value of bitcoin. By recing block incentives and setting the maximum possible supply of bitcoin at 21 million bitcoins, bitcoin has an anti inflation feature, which runs counter to the tendency of central banks to print money at will. At present, there are about 17.5 million bitcoins in circulation, and less than 3.5 million bitcoins are available for mining. When the next block award halves, bitcoin's annual inflation rate will drop from the current 3.8% to about 1.8%
maintaining deflation through algorithms has always been a part of the design of bitcoin protocol. It was created to guarantee the value of bitcoin. By recing block incentives and keeping the total amount of bitcoin at 21 million bitcoins, bitcoin is endowed with an anti inflation nature, which is different from the tendency of central banks to print money at will. At present, there are about 17.5 million bitcoins in circulation and less than 3.5 million available for mining. The next block award cut in half could rece bitcoin's annual inflation rate from the current 3.8% to about 1.8%. This will be the first time in bitcoin's history that it has fallen below the historical average of about 2% - 3% growth in gold supply
this kind of virtual currency is not a digital currency recognized by the central bank,
it is not protected by law,
the corresponding platform may collapse or run away at any time.
now, of course, there are still people mining. There are about 21 million bitcoins in total. At present, there are about 13 million bitcoins in the world, and there are 8 million left. However, now mining is basically large-scale integrated mining machine, and the era of graphics card mining ended at the end of last year, because with more and more bitcoin being g out, the difficulty of mining is increasing automatically, and large-scale mining equipment is manufactured in batches, resulting in that the computing power of graphics card can no longer generate positive benefits
for example, the current mining difficulty is 16818461371, and the computing power of a better graphics card such as ati5970 is 800mhash / s. It takes 2863 years to dig out a bitcoin. The computing power of the large-scale integrated miner can reach 2tash / s, and it will take more than a year to dig out a bitcoin. There are many manufacturers procing this kind of large mining machine all over the world, and the computing power is still improving. Only this kind of equipment has been put into use for more than 100000.
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it is estimated that 21 million pieces will be excavated in 2140
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according to the relevant literature of bitcoin, in 2140, 2100 bitcoins will be proced and will not grow any more. According to the principle of bitcoin, after 33 halving periods, the mining output of each block will reach 0.58 Cong, less than the minimum unit of one Cong. The interval of each half rection is 210000 blocks, and the total proction time (2140 years) given in the above literature is calculated from the proction time of each block of 10 minutes 210000 * 10 / 60 / 24 / 365 = 3.9954 * 33 = 132 years. Since 2008, 132 years later, it is 2140 years)
however, the "proction time of each block is 10 minutes" used in the above calculation method is an ideal state, which is only true when the computing power and difficulty of the whole network do not change. Looking at the bitcoin blockchain, it is not difficult to find that bitcoin's whole network computing power has been growing for a long time, and the difficulty of mining has also increased. Therefore, it is not difficult to find out that the above calculation is not tenable and there is a huge error
the shortcomings of the above methods are that they can not accurately predict the change of bitcoin network computing power and the mining speed of bitcoin. The 11.3-day data used in the above calculation method is only the average value from May 2013 to April 5, 2014, and the representativeness is questionable. We can integrate the results of big data analysis and mining machine proction to establish a more accurate mathematical model
1 this question is very important. The foreign exchange market is different from the stock market. It has no exchange and is a discrete global trading mode. The essence of the foreign exchange market is the inter-bank market, that is, the market in which the world's major banks trade with each other. Because the trading volume between them is very large, ordinary investors can not participate in it, so there is a platform business. These platform providers build a bridge between retail investors and the interbank market. When retail investors place an order, they are actually trading with the platform business, and the platform business uses the funds of retail investors to trade with the bank. So, it is the platform that provides you with margin service, and the margin will stay on the platform for the time being. As for the economic line you mentioned, it is actually a secondary agent. They are the agents of platform companies, so they charge more commissions
2 your reasoning is a little complicated, so you should try to use the common measurement standards of foreign exchange instry for calculation. Take Europe and the United States as an example, assuming that the exchange rate is 13000, we call one ten thousandth of the exchange rate 1 point. One hand contract is US $100000. Suppose our account is US $10000 and the margin is 1%. Now we buy a first-hand contract with a margin of $1000. At this time, the margin balance is $9000. If the exchange rate drops by one point, our balance will decrease by 10 US dollars. If the exchange rate drops 900 points, the margin balance becomes zero. These changes are reflected in your account, and they are all immediate
in fact, when the margin balance is close to zero, it is generally about 10 points, that is, about $100, the platform will force you to close the position, that is, the so-called burst position. At this point, you have about $1100 left in your account. In actual transactions, margin is used to prevent sudden major changes in the market price, generally will not be used. Therefore, there is no need to worry about platform providers
however, in order to win customers, the mainstream platforms often adopt more radical methods. When the margin balance is zero, they still keep the position of retail investors and start to lose margin. Take the above example as an example, the margin balance begins to turn negative. For every 1 point decline in the market, the margin decreases by $10. When the margin remains about 10 points, that is, about $100, the platform will forcibly close the position. At this time, the account balance is only about $100, which is a complete burst
I think the above answers your third question at the same time
4 if you buy Canada Japan, platform vendors actually need to use US dollars as a bridge to exchange for two times, so the gap between Canada and Japan is the sum of Canada and the United States and Japan, or even larger. However, as a retail investor, you don't have to think too much about it. It's all the work of the platform Shang Dynasty. You just need to know that if you add one day fluctuation point, 0,1 contract fluctuation is 1 / (0.01 * US Japan exchange rate) US dollars
however, it is worth mentioning that the euro / yen exchange rate in the cross section is quite special, because the trading volume is very large, it is often direct trading, and it does not need to be mediated by the US dollar, so the currency spread is relatively small on many platforms
I hope I can help you.
first of all, let me answer your question positively. The era of cryptocurrency is not over
I want to know that the rise and fall of bitcoin has a very big fluctuation. We can't judge whether the whole era is over just because of the market of one day. It's just like today's rainstorm. We say whether the world is destroyed. This is a truth. This idea is too arbitrary and inappropriate
today's bitcoin is down $8000 a day
at present, the market of bitcoin is basically maintained at about $50000. For those small partners who buy bitcoin at a high level, it may not be so good today, because bitcoin has dropped $8000 in one day. We can see that the rise and fall of bitcoin market is much larger than that of the stock market. For many normal investors, they can hardly bear such huge fluctuations. For those small partners who invest in bitcoin through leverage, their days may be more difficult{ RRRRR}