Development prospect and trend of blockchain industry
in 2019, the market scale of China's blockchain instry will reach 1.2 billion yuan
in 2016, the market scale of China's blockchain instry will be about 100 million yuan, and it will grow to 1 billion yuan by 2018.
in 2019, the scale of China's blockchain instry will grow steadily, with an instrial scale of about 1.2 billion yuan. With the attention and attention of local governments, it is estimated that by 2022, the market scale of China's blockchain core procts and solutions and related derivative instries will reach 10 billion yuan
from the research results, in terms of consensus mechanism, China's consensus mechanism graally moves from single algorithm to mixed consensus; In terms of cryptographic algorithms, cryptographic algorithms such as secure multiparty computation, homomorphic encryption and zero knowledge proof are continuously integrated and applied; The research of cross chain technology and security technology has graally become a research hotspot
from the perspective of blockchain hardware, at present, the world's most important digital currency mining equipment suppliers are all located in China, and only bitmainland, Jianan Yun and Yibang technology occupy more than 90% of the market share
from the perspective of instry application, the financial instry is the instry with the largest number of blockchain technology implementation projects and the richest scenarios, such as supply chain finance, asset certificate aromatization, credit reference and risk control
in 2020, the blockchain instry will be further standardized
in 2020, China's blockchain policy will continue to be favorable, the standard specifications will be more perfect, the instrial scale will continue to grow, the technology will continue to innovate and develop, and the application demonstration effect in key fields will accelerate. At the same time, according to the problems existing in the development of China's blockchain in 2019, CCID blockchain Research Institute puts forward six suggestions: accelerating the formulation of top-level design, establishing and improving the regulatory system, accelerating the innovation and development of core technologies, promoting the third-party evaluation and certification, strengthening the cultivation of professional talents, and accelerating the implementation of applications in various fields
- the above data comes from the analysis report of China's blockchain instry market outlook and investment strategic planning of foresight Instry Research Institute
in the Internet era, there is a database behind every system. This database can be regarded as a large account book. In the past, the person who maintained the system was responsible for managing the database and recording the user's behavior, that is, bookkeeping. However, the blockchain is "decentralized", which allows every member of the system to participate in it, not only everyone bookkeeping, but also through links, Everyone can have a complete account book
"blockchain is essentially a collective recording mode. What's special is that it adopts a set of techniques in an ingenious way to realize the authenticity and credibility of the recorded results, which is difficult to destroy and tamper with. " Zhang Xiaorong said, "first, everyone has the right to record and authenticate with each other to distinguish the true from the false, which is called consensus mechanism; Second, no one can tamper with the records, because there are cryptographic signatures; Third, everyone has a , so even if some account books are damaged, the whole will not be affected. This is called distributed storage. The information recorded in this way is presented in block mode according to the time chain, so it is called blockchain. "
various cryptocurrencies represented by bitcoin are originally an application of blockchain technology, which can be described as blockchain version 1.0. However, around 2014, the instry began to realize the important value of blockchain technology. Blockchain graally separated from digital currency and applied to various economic and social fields other than digital currency
it has broad application prospects
blockchain technology is considered as a disruptive innovation after steam engine, electric power and Internet. If the steam engine and electricity liberate the proctivity, and the Internet has changed the way of information transmission, the blockchain, as a machine for building trust, may change the way of value transmission
for example, in the financial field, the cost of reconciliation, clearing and settlement between financial institutions, especially cross-border financial institutions, has always been very high, and there are complex manual processes. The application of blockchain technology can help rece the cost of reconciliation and dispute resolution between financial institutions, and significantly improve the processing speed and efficiency of payment business, It also makes small cross-border payments possible. In December 2017, China Merchants Bank completed the RMB position transfer business from Hongkong Wing Lung Bank to Shenzhen Branch of Wing Lung Bank. This is the world's first interbank cross-border RMB clearing business based on blockchain technology
in addition, according to the white paper 2016 on China's blockchain technology and application development issued by the Ministry of instry and information technology of China, the application of blockchain has been extended to medical and health, ecation, charity, social management and other fields. Taking the cultural instry as an example, the low cost of reproction, the high cost of safeguarding rights, and the difficulty of providing evidence make the protection of intellectual property rights a pain point for the instry. With blockchain, the proction, dissemination and transaction records of cultural procts are true, transparent and reliable, and the problem can be solved
Zhang Xiaorong said that blockchain technology has solved two major problems in the era of Digital Economy: one is the visible flow direction, and the other is zero trust cost. In the past, the circulation of physical paper money was invisible, but the flow of all digital assets had a "chain" to check. Yang Yanchao, a researcher at the intellectual property center of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, also believes that the biggest advantage of blockchain is that it has truly completed the credit construction in an anonymous society, bringing new opportunities to many fields, thus making various innovative applications possible
there is a long way to go in the future development
in terms of technology promotion, there is no big barrier to blockchain, which has been confirmed in the global practice of bitcoin, and its main resistance comes from the obstacles in concept and implementation
"on the one hand, the society may be very concerned about the" naked "state in the blockchain. Blockchain has built a "Skynet" for the commercial society. The company's economic activities are all recorded, so there is no secret to speak of. In this way, some business strategies may not be implemented under the blockchain. "
"on the other hand, the current legal system lags behind the development of information technology, so how to put the emerging blockchain technology under the legal supervision needs to be studied." Duan Yongchao said
the core of blockchain is decentralization, which will have an impact on the long-standing central management model. In addition to the law, how to establish a regulatory environment that can promote the application of blockchain technology, so that the technology can benefit the society and not be used to do evil, is also an urgent problem to be solved.
the blockchain instry is in the stage of rapid development
China's blockchain instry is in the stage of rapid development. According to the data of the "in-depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of blockchain instry" released by foresight Instry Research Institute, by the end of March 2018, the number of blockchain companies with blockchain business as the main business in China has reached 456, from upstream hardware manufacturing, platform services, security services to downstream instrial technology application services, To ensure the development of the instry investment and financing, media, talent services, companies in various fields have been basically complete
according to the classification of application scenarios of top 20 enterprises in the ranking list, in addition to 13 enterprises focusing on the infrastructure and platform construction of blockchain such as underlying platform and blockchain hardware, the application scenarios of blockchain have graally enriched. According to the distribution of instry segments, there are 7 instry application companies, mainly Internet companies (Alibaba, Jingdong, Tencent) used in public welfare and commodity traceability, and innovative financial technology applications evolved by financial enterprises (Ping An, CMB, BOC), such as supply chain finance, bills and transaction clearing
as the blockchain can realize the non tampering of information, the possibility of data falsification is eliminated from the root, especially in the financial instry, which has high requirements for real data, it will embrace the blockchain more actively
analysis on the development trend of blockchain
Second, blockchain has become a new hot spot for innovation and entrepreneurship, and technology integration will expand new application space
3. Blockchain will be widely implemented in the real economy in the next three years and become an important support for the construction of Digital China
fourthly, blockchain creates a new platform economy and opens a new era of sharing economy
fifthly, blockchain accelerates the process of "credible digitization" and drives finance to "move from virtual to real" to serve the real economy< Sixth, the blockchain supervision and standard system will be further improved, and the instrial development foundation will continue to be consolidated
in addition, as an emerging technology, there are still many technical difficulties in the application of blockchain in the actual proction environment of the financial instry, such as throughput, scalability, consensus mechanism, privacy and security, manageability, etc
technological innovation such as blockchain is of great significance to the financial instry, which is expected to accelerate the process of "credible digitization" and continuously drive the financial instry to "move from virtual to real".
if you look at the problem with the thinking of 30 years ago, you will think that others are crazy, but in fact you are out of date
the concept of blockchain can be traced back to the end of 2008. In the forum, a mysterious personage named "Nakamoto Tsung" published a paper "bitcoin: a peer-to-peer e-cash system" and proposed the concept of blockchain for the first time
on January 3, 2009, the first block of the blockchain was born, which is called the "Founding block"
almost with the birth of blockchain technology, bitcoin became the first thing to play its role. In the following years, bitcoin graally swept the world. In 2017, its crazy market made blockchain technology known to all
the idea of blockchain first appeared in the famous bitcoin open source project. In the process of its birth and development, bitcoin project draws on the technical achievements from digital currency, cryptography, game theory, distributed system, cybernetics and other fields. It can be said that bitcoin project is good at all. As its core supporting structure, blockchain technology is a remarkable innovation achievement
blockchain is a distributed database system with different nodes, which is an open ledger system<
three characteristics of blockchain
compared with the traditional centralized scheme, blockchain technology mainly has the following three characteristics:
the core idea of blockchain is decentralization
in the blockchain system, the rights and obligations between any node are equal, and all nodes have the ability to vote with computing power, Thus, the result recognized by more than half of the nodes is guaranteed. Even under serious hacker attacks, as long as the number of nodes controlled by hackers does not exceed half of the total number of nodes in the world, the system can still operate normally and the data will not be tampered with
block chain's biggest subversive is the establishment of credit
the collective maintenance of blockchain can rece the cost
in the centralized network system, the maintenance and operation of the system depend on the operation and operation of platforms such as data center, and the cost cannot be omitted. Anyone can participate in the nodes of the blockchain. Each node can verify the correctness of the results of other nodes' records while participating in the records, which improves the maintenance efficiency and reces the cost
in a word, blockchain touches money, trust and power, which are the fundamental basis for human survival< Its development has gone through three stages
1. Brewing period: from 2009 to 2012, bitcoin and its instrial ecology are the main economic forms
2. Embryonic period: from 2012 to 2015, with bitcoin entering the public view, new wallet payment and remittance companies appeared, and blockchain economy spread to the financial field. The underlying technology of blockchain is constantly innovated. Blockchain technology is separated from bitcoin system
3. Development period: in 2016, we began to explore instry applications, and a large number of blockchain start-ups appeared. The popularity of ICO in 2017 has given blockchain unprecedented attention
"blockchain 2.0 era" is coming
the application service layer is the driving force for the sustainable development of blockchain, which is divided into three stages of application: 1.0, 2.0 and 3.0
programmable currency: blockchain 1.0 application
programmable currency is the digital currency represented by bitcoin, but it is not the legal tender of any country or region, and there is no government authority to provide guarantee for it
programmable Finance: blockchain 2.0 application& quot; Smart contract& quot; Using program algorithm to replace the concept of contract execution. This enables blockchain to expand from the original monetary system to the registration and transfer of equity, creditor's rights and property rights, the transaction and execution of securities and financial contracts, and even the financial fields of gambling and anti-counterfeiting
programmable Society: blockchain 3.0 application
blockchain is the core of value Internet, which can confirm, measure and store the property rights of information and bytes representing value in each Internet. It can not only record the transactions of the financial instry, but also record almost anything valuable that can be expressed in the form of code. Its application can be extended to any field with demand, and then to the whole society
at present, the application of blockchain has begun to surpass bitcoin (blockchain 1.0), enter the era of blockchain 1.5, and transition to the financial field (blockchain 2.0)
in the next 3-5 years, blockchain may go beyond the financial field and enter the field of social notarization and intelligence (blockchain 3.0), including identity authentication, notarization, arbitration, audit, domain name, logistics, medical care, mail, visa, voting and other fields. Its application scope will be expanded to the whole society, and blockchain technology is likely to become a new technology& quot; All things are connected& quot; It's the lowest level protocol
at present, blockchain technology has been recognized by the world, and its development has become an inevitable trend. Accompanied by more people's attention, "in the next 30 years, new technologies will be integrated into all aspects of traditional instries, and human society will turn upside down. No matter who you are, no matter where you are, all of us will be a part of this great change."
this is the current situation. Blockchain has given the post-90s an opportunity. However, if you want to control blockchain technology without being affected by negative factors, the most important thing is to have a clear understanding of it, whether it is regulators, researchers, speculators or bystanders
it's time to devote more energy to blockchain technology
in China, the average annual salary of blockchain positions has reached more than 300000, and that of some enterprises has reached more than 1 million. The monthly salary of blockchain instry graates in Beijing, Shanghai and other places has exceeded 20K! If the post-90s seize the bonus of the times, they may become the next Alibaba in the future! If you miss it, you may regret it for ten years.
1. Decentralization
the core advantage of blockchain technology is that it does not need a traditional centralized organization, and does not rely on the point-to-point transaction, coordination and cooperation of a credit center in the distributed system, so as to avoid the common problems of data security, collaborative efficiency and risk control of centralized organizations
2. High security
in blockchain technology, data is difficult to tamper with. Anyone can access the database that records transactions. In this transparent and open mode, everyone can act as a supervisor. We can see at a glance what changes have taken place in the data, which is more secure than traditional technology
3. More reliable
the blockchain technology is connected by multiple nodes in different places. The nodes in the blockchain interact through the point-to-point communication protocol. Under the condition of ensuring the consistency of the communication protocol, different nodes can be processed by different developers using different programming languages and different versions of the whole node
in short, when a node encounters network problems, hardware failures, software errors or is controlled by hackers, the operation of other participating nodes and systems will not be affected
therefore, blockchain is more reliable than traditional technology
therefore, I firmly believe that the application of blockchain must be the development trend in the future.
In 2014, Barry Silbert, founder of secondmarket, separated the bitcoin investment fund from the original company and established grayscale investments
in 2015, gray investment company was merged into the newly established digital currency group (DCG). DCG is not only focused on digital currency and blockchain investment, but also an incubator for start-ups. In addition to gray investment company, DCG also has two subsidiaries, namely, genesis, a cryptocurrency OTC broker, coindesk, a blockchain news and information website, and more than 150 other blockchain companies / projects invested
after years of development, gray investment company has become the largest cryptocurrency asset management company in the world, and its cryptocurrency trust scale has reached US $2.58 billion
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extended information:
in 2013, Barry Silbert, the founder, convinced the board of directors of secondmarket company to set up a bitcoin investment fund called bitcoin investment trust, which is the predecessor of gray scale bitcoin trust. It was not until September 2017 that gray investment's bitcoin trust fund began to grow explosively
it has become the largest bitcoin investment trust in the world, with more than 408500 bitcoins, nearly 2% of the total. In addition to bitcoin trust funds, gray investment company also launched BCH, ETH, etc, horizon, LTC, XLM, XRP and Zec trust funds, as well as grayscale digital large capital fund with mainstream currencies. Gray investment company's cryptocurrency trust procts provide convenience for institutional users to purchase cryptocurrency
The sudden epidemic situation has pressed the "pause" button for many instries, but science and technology is the most effective means to fight against disasters. Blockchain technology has realized the combination with finance, logistics, supply chain, government affairs, public welfare, urban management and other application fields. At the same time, e to the imperfect development of technology, the role of blockchain in the prevention and control of the epidemic is very limited, so we need to explore deeper scenario applications
from the survey data, the main application directions of instrial blockchain in the post epidemic period include: traceability, financial (including insurance) supervision, collaborative sharing. Deposit certificate, digitization, credit investigation, digital asset transaction, etc
in the main application direction of instrial blockchain in the post epidemic period, more than 70% of enterprises choose traceability and financial (including insurance) supervision, in addition to collaborative sharing and certificate deposit. Digital also has more than 60% of the enterprise choice, compared with the low choice rate of credit reference and digital asset transaction, in which the choice rate of digital asset transaction is less than 50%, only 48%
to avoid risks and promote the healthy development of instrial blockchain
as an emerging technology development direction and instrial development field, blockchain has been widely concerned. The application of instrial blockchain is accelerating, which is mainly reflected in two aspects:
first, in the past, open source systems were represented in technology, and most of them were open source projects oriented to consumers, but now many projects oriented to instry and enterprise characteristics have been added; At the same time, more and more enterprises such as Internet giants and high-tech enterprises begin to enter this field, indicating that the era of instrial blockchain has come
secondly, the emergence of blockchain reces the threshold of trust and the cost of realization, enabling some financial and trade scenarios that could not be realized before to be realized. In this way, some new financial forms can be derived, providing more space for financial innovation
although the application of instrial blockchain is speeding up, it is still in an early stage of development. This is mainly reflected in the fact that blockchain technology alone can not fully solve the trust problems and information island problems between entities, and the emergence of blockchain technology also puts forward new problems for the current law and regulation
because of its decentralized and difficult to tamper with characteristics, blockchain has become a comprehensive subject driven by technology and deeply affecting economy, finance, society, organizational form and governance. In addition, blockchain technology is not yet fully mature in system stability, application security, business model and other aspects, which puts forward requirements for privacy protection and storage capacity of data on the chain
it should be noted that the current blockchain instry has been involved in many technical fields such as it, communication, security, cryptography and so on. What it needs is a kind of compound talents, which poses new challenges to personnel training and school ecation
the short-term impact of blockchain should be treated calmly to avoid overestimation. At the same time, it is necessary to further strengthen laws and regulations and supervision to avoid the possible risks of blockchain technology, so as to promote the healthy development of instrial blockchain
- for more data sources and analysis, please refer to the analysis report on China's blockchain instry market outlook and investment strategic planning of foresight Instry Research Institute