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Analyze the development prospect of blockchain

Publish: 2021-03-30 21:29:08
1.

in 2019, the market scale of China's blockchain instry will reach 1.2 billion yuan

in 2016, the market scale of China's blockchain instry will be about 100 million yuan, and it will grow to 1 billion yuan by 2018.
in 2019, the scale of China's blockchain instry will grow steadily, with an instrial scale of about 1.2 billion yuan. With the attention and attention of local governments, it is estimated that by 2022, the market scale of China's blockchain core procts and solutions and related derivative instries will reach 10 billion yuan



from the research results, in terms of consensus mechanism, China's consensus mechanism graally moves from single algorithm to mixed consensus; In terms of cryptographic algorithms, cryptographic algorithms such as secure multiparty computation, homomorphic encryption and zero knowledge proof are continuously integrated and applied; The research of cross chain technology and security technology has graally become a research hotspot

from the perspective of blockchain hardware, at present, the world's most important digital currency mining equipment suppliers are all located in China, and only bitmainland, Jianan Yun and Yibang technology occupy more than 90% of the market share

from the perspective of instry application, the financial instry is the instry with the largest number of blockchain technology implementation projects and the richest scenarios, such as supply chain finance, asset certificate aromatization, credit reference and risk control

in 2020, the blockchain instry will be further standardized

in 2020, China's blockchain policy will continue to be favorable, the standard specifications will be more perfect, the instrial scale will continue to grow, the technology will continue to innovate and develop, and the application demonstration effect in key fields will accelerate. At the same time, according to the problems existing in the development of China's blockchain in 2019, CCID blockchain Research Institute puts forward six suggestions: accelerating the formulation of top-level design, establishing and improving the regulatory system, accelerating the innovation and development of core technologies, promoting the third-party evaluation and certification, strengthening the cultivation of professional talents, and accelerating the implementation of applications in various fields

- the above data comes from the analysis report of China's blockchain instry market outlook and investment strategic planning of foresight Instry Research Institute

2. Blockchain is a kind of technology. "In the simplest and most popular way, blockchain technology is everyone bookkeeping, or distributed ledger."
in the Internet era, there is a database behind every system. This database can be regarded as a large account book. In the past, the person who maintained the system was responsible for managing the database and recording the user's behavior, that is, bookkeeping. However, the blockchain is "decentralized", which allows every member of the system to participate in it, not only everyone bookkeeping, but also through links, Everyone can have a complete account book
"blockchain is essentially a collective recording mode. What's special is that it adopts a set of techniques in an ingenious way to realize the authenticity and credibility of the recorded results, which is difficult to destroy and tamper with. " Zhang Xiaorong said, "first, everyone has the right to record and authenticate with each other to distinguish the true from the false, which is called consensus mechanism; Second, no one can tamper with the records, because there are cryptographic signatures; Third, everyone has a , so even if some account books are damaged, the whole will not be affected. This is called distributed storage. The information recorded in this way is presented in block mode according to the time chain, so it is called blockchain. "
various cryptocurrencies represented by bitcoin are originally an application of blockchain technology, which can be described as blockchain version 1.0. However, around 2014, the instry began to realize the important value of blockchain technology. Blockchain graally separated from digital currency and applied to various economic and social fields other than digital currency
it has broad application prospects
blockchain technology is considered as a disruptive innovation after steam engine, electric power and Internet. If the steam engine and electricity liberate the proctivity, and the Internet has changed the way of information transmission, the blockchain, as a machine for building trust, may change the way of value transmission
for example, in the financial field, the cost of reconciliation, clearing and settlement between financial institutions, especially cross-border financial institutions, has always been very high, and there are complex manual processes. The application of blockchain technology can help rece the cost of reconciliation and dispute resolution between financial institutions, and significantly improve the processing speed and efficiency of payment business, It also makes small cross-border payments possible. In December 2017, China Merchants Bank completed the RMB position transfer business from Hongkong Wing Lung Bank to Shenzhen Branch of Wing Lung Bank. This is the world's first interbank cross-border RMB clearing business based on blockchain technology
in addition, according to the white paper 2016 on China's blockchain technology and application development issued by the Ministry of instry and information technology of China, the application of blockchain has been extended to medical and health, ecation, charity, social management and other fields. Taking the cultural instry as an example, the low cost of reproction, the high cost of safeguarding rights, and the difficulty of providing evidence make the protection of intellectual property rights a pain point for the instry. With blockchain, the proction, dissemination and transaction records of cultural procts are true, transparent and reliable, and the problem can be solved
Zhang Xiaorong said that blockchain technology has solved two major problems in the era of Digital Economy: one is the visible flow direction, and the other is zero trust cost. In the past, the circulation of physical paper money was invisible, but the flow of all digital assets had a "chain" to check. Yang Yanchao, a researcher at the intellectual property center of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, also believes that the biggest advantage of blockchain is that it has truly completed the credit construction in an anonymous society, bringing new opportunities to many fields, thus making various innovative applications possible
there is a long way to go in the future development
in terms of technology promotion, there is no big barrier to blockchain, which has been confirmed in the global practice of bitcoin, and its main resistance comes from the obstacles in concept and implementation
"on the one hand, the society may be very concerned about the" naked "state in the blockchain. Blockchain has built a "Skynet" for the commercial society. The company's economic activities are all recorded, so there is no secret to speak of. In this way, some business strategies may not be implemented under the blockchain. "
"on the other hand, the current legal system lags behind the development of information technology, so how to put the emerging blockchain technology under the legal supervision needs to be studied." Duan Yongchao said
the core of blockchain is decentralization, which will have an impact on the long-standing central management model. In addition to the law, how to establish a regulatory environment that can promote the application of blockchain technology, so that the technology can benefit the society and not be used to do evil, is also an urgent problem to be solved.
3. A brief review of the origin of blockchain
blockchain is the underlying system of distributed ledger in bitcoin. Bitcoin ledgers are built in a distributed and spontaneous way. Anyone can generate new currency blocks by performing specific cryptographic calculations, so as to obtain a digital "currency" that can be used for transactions. Bitcoin's impact on the world monetary system can be said to be subversive, which is also an important reason why it has attracted a lot of people's strong attention since it came out. After that, there were dozens of similar electronic currencies such as
"lightcoin". The abstract extraction of distributed digital currency technology from bitcoin forms a "blockchain" technology, which can be used in more fields
the basic idea of blockchain is to establish a network-based public ledger (data block), each block contains the information of a network transaction. All the participating users in the network work together to keep accounts and check accounts. All the data are open and transparent, and can be used to verify the effectiveness of the information. In this way, the authenticity and non tamperability of information can be guaranteed at the technical level without the central server as the trust intermediary
the significance of blockchain lies in "decentralization", which can fundamentally solve the fraud and rent-seeking phenomenon in value exchange and transfer by building a more reliable network system. With the popularization of blockchain technology, the digital economy will be more authentic, and the economic society will become more fair and transparent
not only digital currency, but also blockchain technology is infiltrating into more innovative fields.
virtual digital currency such as bitcoin is just an application scenario of blockchain technology. Theoretically speaking, based on the characteristics of blockchain technology, human beings can create a very rich form of services and procts, such as finance, government, enterprises, etc There are a large number of scenarios suitable for blockchain technology in cross instry and other fields, with broad prospects. At present, many countries around the world have started the research of blockchain technology, and a series of instry organizations and alliances have been established. However, as blockchain technology is a brand-new technology, which subverts the traditional centralized mode, major institutions are still in the research stage, with only a small number of actual projects landing, and the great development of the instry has just begun
now, blockchain economy is on the eve of outbreak. The exploration of financial instry is ahead of others, while the application of other instries is developing rapidly. The obvious advantage of blockchain instry application is to optimize business process, rece operation cost and improve collaborative efficiency. This advantage has been graally reflected in financial services, Internet of things, public services, social welfare and supply chain management
as the backbone of emerging technologies, blockchain is not only used in the field of virtual currency, but also in other fields such as finance, medical care, intellectual property certification, etc. a large number of excellent enterprises have emerged in China to explore or enter the blockchain instry. According to the in-depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of blockchain instry released by foresight Instry Research Institute, as of the end of 2016, there were 105 blockchain related enterprises in China, 80% of which were concentrated in eastern coastal cities, including Shanghai, Hangzhou and Taipei
from the perspective of global blockchain technology application development, as of April 2017, financial service companies accounted for 55.43% of the 267 blockchain venture capital companies; From the perspective of the Chinese market, 34 of the top 50 blockchain venture capital companies in 2016 are involved in financial services, mainly in cross-border payment, bill discounting and financial service platform<
analysis of the development trend of blockchain
the combination of blockchain and cloud computing is more and more close, and baas is expected to become a public trust infrastructure
cloud computing is the general trend. We believe that the combination of blockchain and cloud is also an inevitable trend. There are two modes for the combination of blockchain and cloud, one is blockchain in the cloud, the other is blockchain in the cloud. The latter, namely baas, blockchain-as-a-service, refers to that the cloud service providers directly provide blockchain as a service to users. In the future, more and more cloud service enterprises will integrate blockchain technology into the ecological environment of cloud computing. By providing baas function, they can effectively rece the deployment cost of enterprise application blockchain and rece the initial threshold of innovation and entrepreneurship
the security problem of blockchain has become increasingly prominent, and security protection needs the overall consideration of technology and management
blockchain system is almost perfect mathematically, with the advantages of openness and transparency, difficult to tamper, reliable encryption, anti DDoS attack, etc. However, from the engineering point of view, its security is still restricted by infrastructure, system design, operation management, privacy protection and technology update iteration. In the future, we need to consider the overall situation of technology and management, strengthen basic research and overall protection, so as to ensure the application security
the competition of blockchain is becoming increasingly fierce, and patent competition has become an important field of competition
with the increase of participants, the competition of blockchain will become more and more fierce, and the competition is all-round, including technology, mode, patent and other dimensions. We believe that in the future, enterprises will strengthen the layout of blockchain patents. Since 2014, the number of blockchain patent applications has grown explosively. Blockchain patents are mainly distributed in the United States in North America, the United Kingdom in Europe, China and South Korea in Asia, and this pattern will be maintained in the future. The patent gap between China and the United States is narrowing, and the number of applications in China in 2016 has surpassed that in the United States. It can be predicted that the patent competition of blockchain will become increasingly fierce in the future
with the acceleration of domestic policy process, the development of the instry ushers in a new opportunity
blockchain has attracted attention from all walks of life e to its core advantages of high performance, high security, high-speed access, efficient operation and so on. In the context of the rapid development of blockchain, China conforms to the needs of globalization, closely follows the international pace, and actively promotes the research, standardization and instrialization development of domestic blockchain related fields
trustworthiness is the core requirement of blockchain, and the importance of standards and specifications is becoming increasingly prominent
in the future value delivery network based on blockchain, we will completely use algorithms and software to build the trust foundation. However, we believe that this is far from enough, and we need the standard to increase the credibility of the blockchain. In the future, the standard of blockchain will standardize the technology and governance of blockchain from the perspective of users, business oriented, and from the dimensions of smart contract, consensus mechanism, private key security, and authority management, so as to enhance the credibility of blockchain and add weight to the trust of blockchain.
4. Since 2018, the blockchain instry has been booming. The exploration and application of blockchain is not limited to the underlying platform. Internet giants and financial giants have strengthened the application of blockchain in finance, public welfare, commodity traceability and other fields, especially in the financial field. The application with blockchain technology as the core has been accelerated
the blockchain instry is in the stage of rapid development
China's blockchain instry is in the stage of rapid development. According to the data of the "in-depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of blockchain instry" released by foresight Instry Research Institute, by the end of March 2018, the number of blockchain companies with blockchain business as the main business in China has reached 456, from upstream hardware manufacturing, platform services, security services to downstream instrial technology application services, To ensure the development of the instry investment and financing, media, talent services, companies in various fields have been basically complete
according to the classification of application scenarios of top 20 enterprises in the ranking list, in addition to 13 enterprises focusing on the infrastructure and platform construction of blockchain such as underlying platform and blockchain hardware, the application scenarios of blockchain have graally enriched. According to the distribution of instry segments, there are 7 instry application companies, mainly Internet companies (Alibaba, Jingdong, Tencent) used in public welfare and commodity traceability, and innovative financial technology applications evolved by financial enterprises (Ping An, CMB, BOC), such as supply chain finance, bills and transaction clearing
as the blockchain can realize the non tampering of information, the possibility of data falsification is eliminated from the root, especially in the financial instry, which has high requirements for real data, it will embrace the blockchain more actively
analysis on the development trend of blockchain
Second, blockchain has become a new hot spot for innovation and entrepreneurship, and technology integration will expand new application space
3. Blockchain will be widely implemented in the real economy in the next three years and become an important support for the construction of Digital China
fourthly, blockchain creates a new platform economy and opens a new era of sharing economy
fifthly, blockchain accelerates the process of "credible digitization" and drives finance to "move from virtual to real" to serve the real economy< Sixth, the blockchain supervision and standard system will be further improved, and the instrial development foundation will continue to be consolidated
in addition, as an emerging technology, there are still many technical difficulties in the application of blockchain in the actual proction environment of the financial instry, such as throughput, scalability, consensus mechanism, privacy and security, manageability, etc
technological innovation such as blockchain is of great significance to the financial instry, which is expected to accelerate the process of "credible digitization" and continuously drive the financial instry to "move from virtual to real".
5.

From District TV network Share: in 2018, blocklink bar AI has become the most popular technical term, and more and more technology companies have announced to enter the blockchain market. In the Internet, Xunlei, Renren, Fengfeng, Tianya and other companies have blockchain related actions. These companies share the same fate. They have all experienced prosperity, but after the impact of Internet entrepreneurship tide, they began to go downhill. Then they rubbed against the hot spots of blockchain and began to try to counter attack
Global blockchain instry investment is hot
according to the data of the "in-depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of blockchain instry" released by prospective instry research institute, as of the end of April 2017, there were 455 blockchain companies in the world, with a total financing amount of US $1.947 billion. Among them, the total investment and financing of us blockchain related companies reached US $1.252 billion, accounting for 64.3% of the global market; The total financing amount of China's blockchain emerging enterprises is about US $114 million, accounting for 5.86%, ranking second in the world after the United States, and growing rapidly
at present, the overall survival status of blockchain is good, with a survival rate of 87.25%. Among all the invested companies, 47 have been closed, accounting for about 10.51%, and the other 10 have been acquired. Due to the change of competition pattern in bitcoin market, some companies have been forced to shut down. Meanwhile, some coin circle companies are graally transforming to chain circle companies.
exploration at the national level has also begun. On March 23, the information technology and Software Services Department of the Ministry of instry and information technology announced that it will study and explore the application of blockchain in the instrial field. Previously, the Ministry of instry and information technology said that it was preparing to establish a National Technical Committee for standardization of blockchain and distributed accounting technology to explore the formation of a complete blockchain standard system to better serve the development of blockchain technology instry

6.

because of its health impact on patients, the lives of families affected by the victims, and the political and social impact of COVID-19 on the future, will continue for 10 years. P>


, let's look at the impact of COVID-19 on the society. This time, influenced by COVID-19, the speed of social development can be described as being dragged down. so many people in the world are facing unemployment or have lost their jobs, and so many enterprises have closed down, which means that the national development policy has been hindered and the pace of social development has been taken off. Can the unemployed find jobs in the future? This is still an unknown point. Even if the economy can recover in a few years and the employment rate can be pulled back, the problem is that some people may not find jobs in this impact. This effect also lasts for a lifetime< br />

7. First, the computing power sources of POS and POW are different
first of all, in POW mining, it is the computing speed of mining machines (CPU, graphics card, ASIC, etc.) that determines who can dig the ore better, while in POS there are differences. POS mining does not require you to purchase additional mining equipment, nor does it take up a lot of computing resources

Second, the number of coins issued by POS and POW is different
originally, in pow, the bitcoin proced by a block has nothing to do with the coins you held before. However, in POS, the more money you originally hold, the more money you dig. For example, if you have 1000 coins that have not been used for half a year (183 days), the amount of coins you dig is as follows:
1000 (number of coins) * 183 (age of currency) * 15% (interest rate) = 274.5 (coins)
8.

By the end of 2019, the number of blockchain research institutions in China has reached 97. In addition, domestic colleges and universities have arranged blockchain technology research, strengthened theoretical knowledge innovation of blockchain technology, and improved their blockchain technology R & D capability. By the end of 2019, there are 24 colleges and universities in China participating in strengthening blockchain technology R & D. The core technologies are mainly distributed in consensus algorithm, cross chain, underlying architecture and multi chain



in 2020, the blockchain instry will be further standardized

in 2020, China's blockchain policy will continue to be favorable, the standards and specifications will be more perfect, the instrial scale will continue to grow, the technology will continue to innovate and develop, and the application demonstration effect in key fields will accelerate. At the same time, according to the problems existing in the development of China's blockchain in 2019, CCID blockchain Research Institute puts forward six suggestions: accelerating the formulation of top-level design, establishing and improving the regulatory system, accelerating the innovation and development of core technologies, promoting the third-party evaluation and certification, strengthening the cultivation of professional talents, and accelerating the implementation of applications in various fields

- the above data comes from the analysis report of China's blockchain instry market outlook and investment strategic planning of foresight Instry Research Institute

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