Blockchain and US dollar hegemony

4. Tiger foreign exchange has been committed to using blockchain, big data and other technologies to rece the cost of foreign exchange transactions and make the transactions more transparent and credible

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Often when we talk about value, we will naturally relate to price. Indeed, price is an important data to measure value. As a blockchain technology, bitcoin's price reached 140000 RMB when it was high, and now it has dropped by about 50%, but it is still as high as 80000 RMB

At this point, you may have understood: if people do not have a common understanding of a thing, and do not give value to a thing, many things will not become "valuable". Just like our understanding of air and food, it is necessary for us to live and survive! This is the "consensus". We all believe that if we want to live, these two are indispensable! Therefore, we can conclude that the essence of value is consensus. What is the value consensus of virtual currency? Most people think that the essence of currency is not consensus, but the credibility and authority of the ruling government. This is not unreasonable. The government can only be one of the sources of value consensus, so most people think it is not comprehensive. In today's society, our consensus on the value of things comes from many ways, such as: Endorsement of authoritative institutions, corporate credit, religious belief, support of scientific theory

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1. Most people don't know what a blockchain is

compared with traditional stocks, real estate, bonds, gold, etc., blockchain assets are a very abstract and virtual form of assets. Blockchain assets represented by bitcoin are a very specialized computer language and program running mode, There is no credit endorsement from any country behind it, nor does any enterprise give it securitization income, which completely depends on the mutual consensus trust between strangers. In this case, although the operation logic of decentralization has been completed, its experiment is only in the initial stage and development stage, and participating in relevant investment is actually a kind of brave adventurer behavior

2. The price of blockchain assets fluctuates violently

because there is not much support from the use level of entities, many blockchain projects are completely dependent on community operation and market speculation, so it is difficult for investors to hold blockchain assets from the perspective of value investment, which leads to frequent capital flow, and the situation of price fluctuations has become a normal. A blockchain related token can soar by 500% in a day, or fall by 90% in a few hours. This kind of drastic price fluctuation is not affordable to ordinary investors

3. The uncertainty of national policies is too great

as an underlying technology, blockchain has basically accepted its value all over the world. However, as the "companion proct" of blockchain, there are still great disputes on national policies, and with the continuous increase of digital currency trading volume, the impact on the global financial market is also increasing. At present, the daily trading volume of the whole digital currency field exceeds US $60 billion, which is comparable to the trading volume of China's Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, or the average daily trading volume of the New York Stock Exchange. It is impossible to continue to operate outside the supervision. There is a very large regulatory game cycle, and the policies of various countries in this regard may be introced one after another, The impact on the market cannot be ignored

4. All kinds of blockchain projects are good and bad

blockchain technology is originally a very basic architecture technology. At present, e to the global pursuit of funds, many project parties who have nothing to do with blockchain begin to use the concept of blockchain to design procts, And can complete the writing of the white paper of blockchain in a very short time, and then raise market funds. In this case, the technical threshold of the whole blockchain has been lowered. Many companies without the strength and willingness of blockchain development have developed the concept of blockchain purely to obtain financial support, resulting in the flooding of projects. The gap between projects is widening, but ordinary investors are difficult to identify and easy to fall into the trap

5. Currency speculation is not equal to blockchain investment

at present, there are many views that blockchain and digital currency are a whole. You can't develop blockchain technology while suppressing digital currency. I agree with this logic, but currency speculation is not the same as blockchain investment in the real sense. The thing with real investment value must be the thing with scarce supply. If any digital currency is issued, it can represent the application value of the blockchain and bring some innovation to the society. Then any blockchain technology team that can issue digital currency can issue dozens of digital currencies and change its name in a very short time. Therefore, digital currency itself has little logical relationship with blockchain assets. Blockchain projects must be a market with obvious scarcity, but digital currency does not have great scarcity. This is like saying that any Internet company can develop a chat software similar to wechat, but the chat software itself does not have much value. The real value lies in how many people participate in the chat software. Digital money is just a chat software. The current situation is that everyone is frying the software, and few people are concerned about what is on the software. p>

6. Short term overheating, easy to be used by lawless elements

the particularity of the blockchain instry is that many of the ecology has become very financial, in the whole process of operation, capital will be very concentrated, and most of the links are related to capital. From raising funds by ICO to sending tokens to investors, to online trading of exchanges, and trading of tokens by users in exchanges, the whole process is almost full of financialization. If the practitioners are not professional enough, have no self-discipline ability, and lack of supervision, then every link may be used by criminals to manipulate the market, Obtain all kinds of illegal income

In order to catch up with the next round of financial technology and digital revolution, Japan holds a very open attitude towards bitcoin and other transactions. Digital currency transactions denominated in Japanese yen occupy half of the whole legal currency trading area in the world, Japan hopes to use digital currency to revive its financial competitiveness. The United States hopes to use mainstream financial markets, such as futures and options derivatives market, to tame bitcoin and make it another powerful tool for us dollar hegemony. And China is also trying to promote sovereign cryptocurrency, one of the important purposes is to promote the internationalization of RMB. The field of digital currency and blockchain assets is likely to become the next big country's game and contention point, which will virtually increase the systematic risk to investors. It's hard to know what unexpected policies appear behind this big country's game and what impact they will bring to the whole market

8. The threat of quantum computer

blockchain generates a set of self-motivated system to ensure that it can run on its own under decentralized conditions. Most of them use asymmetric encryption, and use the corresponding public key to verify the transactions signed by the private key, so as to ensure that bitcoin and other blockchain assets can only be used by legitimate owners. But quantum computer can solve the problem of asymmetric encryption. Quantum computer can calculate the private key from the public key in a few minutes. After knowing all the private keys, people with quantum computer can spend bitcoin and other digital currency at will. Of course, when the quantum computer will come out is also a problem. The digital currency protocol is constantly adding new encryption standards, but the potential threat brought by the quantum computer has to attract the attention of investors

9. There is a possibility of a big reversal in the supply and demand level

the market value of the blockchain token market has hovered around us $trillion. Although OTC funds are still pouring in, the stability and growth rate of the capital inflow are questionable. The supply of encrypted digital currency is a very embarrassing thing. From the perspective of a single digital currency, the total amount is strictly limited. For example, there are only 21 million bitcoins, but the threshold of issuing encrypted digital currency is getting lower and lower. Anyone and any organization can issue encrypted digital currency anytime and anywhere, and the supply is almost unlimited. On the other hand, the increasing transaction cost is restraining the demand side. At present, investors in the transaction link need to pay the transaction fees in the exchange, and also pay the miners' fees when transferring money. If countries begin to tax digital currency transactions in the future, it means that this market will have to bear more operating costs without generating its own profitability, If coupled with the increasing supply level, the overall market supply and demand expectations may reverse in a moment

10. Lack of legal protection for blockchain assets

it is not uncommon that global digital currency exchanges have been "hacked", and in the process of all kinds of over-the-counter and on-the-spot transactions, fraud also occurs from time to time, and the legal protection for investors is very limited. Especially for domestic investors, once they are stolen or cheated because of trading digital currency, it is almost difficult to recover effectively. Due to the lack of intermediary guarantee from banks and other levels, the security of digital currency is entirely under their own responsibility. Although this is in line with the logic of self preservation of private property, it also brings greater uncertainty to the storage and transaction of digital currency assets. Before there is no complete legal system to protect the rights and interests of personal digital currency assets, the legal security of investment in blockchain related assets is a very serious problem

7. Recently, the hottest topic is blockchain. The 24 eldest brothers formed a team to learn blockchain. This event can be regarded as an epic good in the blockchain circle. Starting from the evening of the 25th, bitcoin soared 40% in one day, and then more than n domestic concept coins soared in turn. The whole coin circle was beaten to death. Many aunts in the circle of friends microblog began to study blockchain; On the stock market, the blockchain sector is also very lively, with more than 1000 listed companies claiming to lay out the blockchain field. This shot is really 666. I remember everyone was busy getting rid of blockchain before! It's really forgetful
in a few days, the safe also released the blockchain development plan. It seems that the whole world will be transformed by blockchain. Many people have a kind of blockchain application, which will give the currency transaction and foreign exchange transaction a false identity
blockchain has a natural anti censorship international nature in terms of asset transaction and circulation, and can freely and conveniently circulate without the constraint of traditional concurrent management. On the one hand, there is a great risk, so the safe also said that in China, only RMB can be used for pricing, and anything that may threaten this basis should be prohibited. In a short period of time, it may be difficult for blockchain to achieve anything at the level of foreign exchange transactions. The foreign exchange bureau mentioned the application scenarios of blockchain technology in cross-border trade financing and macro Prudential Management. This direction belongs to the pure technology application direction, which is less related to transactions. At present, it is also the direction that the top priority is to develop, using blockchain technology to optimize the real instry
how to optimize it? Because blockchain has the characteristics of traceability, distributed transparency, tamper proof, etc., for example, in cross-border trade, the data of related parties involved in trade are linked and opened to third parties (such as banks) with permission. In the past, enterprises may need more practical asset mortgage to borrow money from banks, Now, by associating reliable trade data on the blockchain, the bank can know the future cash flow of the enterprise, and can use the operation of the enterprise as asset mortgage to give credit. This will greatly optimize the allocation of assets
another example is the patient information in the hospital. The traditional scenario is that the data of each hospital is independent. Every time you go to a new hospital, you will be asked to do a booklet or a set of examinations. If there is a medical chain open to all hospitals and all information is recorded in this account book, you can avoid a lot of plication and simplify efficiency
it is clear that the priority is to develop blockchain technology to optimize and transform traditional instries, with the focus on the combination with the real economy. I am also very optimistic about this, but in terms of asset trading, the expectation of currency trading and foreign exchange trading should not be too high. After the excitement, it will be calm. FX technology, fxmap in Assa community

8. If we simplify the description of the operation process of the traditional notarial certificate, it should be like this: the parties apply for notarization - the notary office evaluates the application - confirms the authenticity and legality of the application items - makes, issues and delivers the notarial certificate. The running process of blockchain public certificate is similar. However, the operation mechanism behind the same operation process is not the same. The reason why the public certificate of blockchain is regarded as the Manifesto of the new environment of notarization is that it has made a subversive change to the traditional notarization certificate in the operation mechanism
01, the core operation mechanism of blockchain public certificate
the operation mechanism of blockchain public certificate is composed of two moles: "Notarization management" and "intelligent assistance". After the applicant submits the application, the blockchain notarization system relies on AI technology to audit the identity and information of the applicant. At the same time, the system will review the content of notarial evidence, and then issue a notarial certificate, at the same time on the chain filing. At the same time, the public certificate of blockchain has been formally formed, which immediately meets the online verification needs of users
the core of the operation mechanism of the notarial certificate of the blockchain lies in the application of the blockchain technology. No matter audio, video, photo or document, as long as it is stamped with a time stamp and then put on the chain, it can become an unchangeable and indestructible evidence document
the second important support in the operation mechanism of the notarial certificate of blockchain is the application of artificial intelligence. The application of this technology greatly saves the applicant's application and waiting time, and also greatly improves the speed and accuracy of the notarial office's document confirmation, eliminating the time delay of manual confirmation and possible operational errors<

02, analysis of the characteristics of the operation mechanism of the notarial certificate of blockchain
through the detailed disassembly of the operation mechanism diagram of the notarial certificate of blockchain, it is not difficult to find that compared with the operation mechanism of the traditional notarial certificate, the operation mechanism of the notarial certificate of blockchain has many noteworthy characteristics
the first is synchronization. In the process of generating the public certificate of blockchain, the actions of the applicant and the notary organization are almost synchronous, and the applicant's application and the notary organization's examination, certificate preparation and certificate issuance are almost synchronous. However, in traditional notarization, there is a time interval between the actions of all parties, which is prone to usurpation. Moreover, e to manual operation, a large amount of time cost will be generated, It further causes the delay of the process. The actions of all parties of blockchain notarization are synchronized online, and the action traces and data are generated instantaneously, thus recing the possibility of tampering and ensuring the authenticity and judicial effect of data files
the second is interactivity. In the process of generating the public certificate of blockchain, the actions of the applicant and the notarization institution are interactive - the applicant submits the application, the notarization institution's artificial intelligence audit, the certificate preparation, the certificate issuance, the data archiving, and the applicant's query are carried out alternately. Different from the traditional notarization, the applicant is more in a passive waiting state after submitting the application, which reces the participation of the applicant
dynamic again. In the process of generating the public certificate of blockchain, the evidence file is a dynamic generation process. The process of applying for the notarial certificate is the process of generating the notarial evidence, and this process itself is a part of the notarial certificate. The traditional notarization is that before the notarization, the evidence documents have been basically finalized. What the notary office does is just a process of confirmation and seal, and the dispute prevention function of notarization is weakened

it is precisely because the operation mechanism of the block chain notarial certificate is quite different from that of the traditional notarial certificate, which determines its absolute advantage over the traditional notarial certificate. On the one hand, it meets the people's requirements for efficiency in the digital age; On the other hand, it also strengthens the authenticity and legal validity of notarial documents. Its interactive feature adapts to the Internet era thinking of emphasizing interaction, which makes all parties involved in notarization enter a positive interactive state. Finally, the dynamic nature of the generation of the public certificate of the blockchain greatly gives play to the initiative of the notary organization, rather than passively confirming the existing evidence documents, which can give full play to the original preventive function of the notary.

9. A new resolution initiated by representative Adam kinzinger, a Republican from Indiana, has been submitted to the US House of Representatives, calling for a national policy on emerging technologies, including digital currency and blockchain technology
the resolution calls on the idea of bitcoin, but does not directly mention its name. Instead, it calls it "alternative illegal currency". Blockchain technology is the key point, which points out that this technology has the potential to "fundamentally change" the way trust and security are built on online transactions
but in fact, the United States has not taken action to formulate this rule. However, there is a global blockchain alliance R3 in the process of formulating the standard for the use of blockchain. Of course, blockchain is just a technology that can be used by anyone. In China, there is a project called decent, which is more avant-garde. It uses blockchain technology to create a decentralized content release, but it may encounter some problems in China.