Prospect of blockchain
What is the prospect of blockchain technology? The following is just personal experience and opinions, for reference and learning only
I have been in touch with the blockchain instry for many years, and I have my own views and understanding from its ups and downs. I personally think blockchain technology is still very good. The reasons are as follows:
first, blockchain technology as a rookie after the Internet, the Internet is the transmission of information, and blockchain is the exchange of value. The development trend of blockchain is similar to that of Internet
2. After the blockchain has gone through great waves and been widely misunderstood, there are still many blockchain explorers and practitioners in the instry making continuous efforts
Third, with the attention of the country and other countries to the blockchain instry, governments all over the country have set up blockchain development funds to promote the development of the local blockchain instry, so as to occupy the highland of the blockchain instry Fourthly, the Internet of things is the development trend in the future. In the face of the growing demand of the Internet of things ecosystem, the computing power of the central server is severely challenged, and decentralization becomes the key to solve this problemthe above content is only a new point of view, or it needs specific analysis of specific issues. After all, practice is the only standard to test the truth
in 2019, the market scale of China's blockchain instry will reach 1.2 billion yuan
in 2016, the market scale of China's blockchain instry will be about 100 million yuan, and it will grow to 1 billion yuan by 2018.
in 2019, the scale of China's blockchain instry will grow steadily, with an instrial scale of about 1.2 billion yuan. With the attention and attention of local governments, it is estimated that by 2022, the market scale of China's blockchain core procts and solutions and related derivative instries will reach 10 billion yuan
from the research results, in terms of consensus mechanism, China's consensus mechanism graally moves from single algorithm to mixed consensus; In terms of cryptographic algorithms, cryptographic algorithms such as secure multiparty computation, homomorphic encryption and zero knowledge proof are continuously integrated and applied; The research of cross chain technology and security technology has graally become a research hotspot
from the perspective of blockchain hardware, at present, the world's most important digital currency mining equipment suppliers are all located in China, and only bitmainland, Jianan Yun and Yibang technology occupy more than 90% of the market share
from the perspective of instry application, the financial instry is the instry with the largest number of blockchain technology implementation projects and the richest scenarios, such as supply chain finance, asset certificate aromatization, credit reference and risk control
in 2020, the blockchain instry will be further standardized
in 2020, China's blockchain policy will continue to be favorable, the standard specifications will be more perfect, the instrial scale will continue to grow, the technology will continue to innovate and develop, and the application demonstration effect in key fields will accelerate. At the same time, according to the problems existing in the development of China's blockchain in 2019, CCID blockchain Research Institute puts forward six suggestions: accelerating the formulation of top-level design, establishing and improving the regulatory system, accelerating the innovation and development of core technologies, promoting the third-party evaluation and certification, strengthening the cultivation of professional talents, and accelerating the implementation of applications in various fields
- the above data comes from the analysis report of China's blockchain instry market outlook and investment strategic planning of foresight Instry Research Institute
Five aspects of blockchain instry growth potential promote the healthy development of Technology Virtual reality and other technologies are another emerging technology that will have a significant impact on the future, which is expected to promote human beings from the era of information internet to the era of value Internet
some countries and regions in the United States, Japan and the European Union have promoted the development of blockchain as an important national development strategy, and vigorously promoted the development and application of blockchain technology. China also attaches great importance to the technological innovation and instrial development of blockchain. With the joint participation of it and other enterprises, a large number of new enterprises, new procts, new models and new applications have emerged. The application of blockchain in the fields of finance, government affairs, energy, medical and other instries has graally expanded, and is becoming an important force to drive the technological proct innovation and instrial transformation of various instries
the development of blockchain can be divided into three stages, namely, blockchain 1.0, represented by bitcoin and related financial infrastructure applications, and blockchain 2.0, represented by smart contract. At present, it is graally moving towards blockchain 3.0, which is based on blockchain technology and more complex in-depth application of smart contract
statistical analysis of blockchain investment and financing in the first half of the year. According to the statistical data of in depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of blockchain instry published by foresight Instry Research Institute, in the first half of 2018, the amount of financing in the blockchain field was about 10.7 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1426% compared with the same period in 2017; The number of investment and financing events in the field of blockchain has reached 205, and it is expected that the investment in the field of blockchain will usher in another peak this year
according to the distribution of investment and financing rounds in China's blockchain field, the proportion of investment rounds in the start-up period (before round b) is more than 95%, with the joint investment of many instry pioneers, and most enterprises are still running around
statistics and growth of blockchain investment and financing in the first half of 2014-2018
data source: China attaches great importance to the development and application of blockchain technology. Driven by multiple forces such as policy, technology and market, the pace of blockchain innovation has been accelerating. It has been deeply integrated with cloud computing, big data, Internet of things and other technologies. The scope of exploration and application has also expanded from digital assets to supply chain management, intelligent manufacturing, instrial Internet, social welfare, right protection and other fields
five aspects to promote the healthy development of blockchain technology, promote the high-quality development of digital economy
1, in-depth study and grasp the development trend of blockchain technology and instry. Pay close attention to the international development frontier, jointly promote the research of blockchain related technology and instry, promote the standardization of blockchain development instry behavior, and create a good development environment
2. Strengthen the construction of core technology capacity of blockchain
establish and improve the collaborative promotion mechanism among backbone enterprises, universities and research institutions, guide it enterprises to strengthen technical reserves, accelerate the breakthrough of key core technologies, and improve the performance, efficiency and security of blockchain
3. Support entrepreneurship and innovation in the field of blockchain
encourage cross-border integration between blockchain enterprises and user units, guide instry organizations to establish public service platforms, support third-party organizations to carry out evaluation and detection of blockchain services, promote rich instrial applications of blockchain, and serve the transformation and upgrading of the real economy
4. Actively build and improve the blockchain standard system
accelerate the development and application of key standards, and graally build a perfect standard system. Actively connect with ITU, ISO and other international standards organizations, substantially participate in more international standardization work, and actively contribute more "Chinese power"
5. Accelerate the improvement of the policy environment for blockchain development
support qualified enterprises to carry out application innovation and mode innovation, and guide and encourage enterprises, universities and scientific research institutes to jointly cultivate professional talents needed for blockchain development. Support eligible blockchain enterprises to enjoy the preferential tax policies of the state to support the development of software instry and small and medium-sized enterprises
the instrial scale is small, but the growth potential is huge
the blockchain economy is on the eve of the outbreak period. The financial instry is relatively widely used, and the application of other instries has also entered the stage of exploration and development. It is estimated that from 2017 to 2022, the direct market value of blockchain will increase from US $410 million to US $7.68 billion, with a compound annual growth rate of 79.6%. It is estimated that all kinds of extended business based on blockchain will reach US $100 billion in 2020
instry application areas continue to expand
the financial instry takes the lead in the application of blockchain technology, and many financial applications have been implemented; Medical instry is an important area of blockchain application, which can better protect privacy, improve service quality and management efficiency; The demand of social authentication for blockchain is rising rapidly to solve the proof problem caused by information asymmetry; The application of blockchain technology in communication, supply chain and other fields is expanding rapidly
the blockchain instry is in the stage of rapid development
China's blockchain instry is in the stage of rapid development. According to the data of the "in-depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of blockchain instry" released by foresight Instry Research Institute, by the end of March 2018, the number of blockchain companies with blockchain business as the main business in China has reached 456, from upstream hardware manufacturing, platform services, security services to downstream instrial technology application services, To ensure the development of the instry investment and financing, media, talent services, companies in various fields have been basically complete
according to the classification of application scenarios of top 20 enterprises in the ranking list, in addition to 13 enterprises focusing on the infrastructure and platform construction of blockchain such as underlying platform and blockchain hardware, the application scenarios of blockchain have graally enriched. According to the distribution of instry segments, there are 7 instry application companies, mainly Internet companies (Alibaba, Jingdong, Tencent) used in public welfare and commodity traceability, and innovative financial technology applications evolved by financial enterprises (Ping An, CMB, BOC), such as supply chain finance, bills and transaction clearing
as the blockchain can realize the non tampering of information, the possibility of data falsification is eliminated from the root, especially in the financial instry, which has high requirements for real data, it will embrace the blockchain more actively
analysis on the development trend of blockchain
Second, blockchain has become a new hot spot for innovation and entrepreneurship, and technology integration will expand new application space
3. Blockchain will be widely implemented in the real economy in the next three years and become an important support for the construction of Digital China
fourthly, blockchain creates a new platform economy and opens a new era of sharing economy
fifthly, blockchain accelerates the process of "credible digitization" and drives finance to "move from virtual to real" to serve the real economy< Sixth, the blockchain supervision and standard system will be further improved, and the instrial development foundation will continue to be consolidated
in addition, as an emerging technology, there are still many technical difficulties in the application of blockchain in the actual proction environment of the financial instry, such as throughput, scalability, consensus mechanism, privacy and security, manageability, etc
technological innovation such as blockchain is of great significance to the financial instry, which is expected to accelerate the process of "credible digitization" and continuously drive the financial instry to "move from virtual to real".
From District TV network Share: in 2018, blocklink bar AI has become the most popular technical term, and more and more technology companies have announced to enter the blockchain market. In the Internet, Xunlei, Renren, Fengfeng, Tianya and other companies have blockchain related actions. These companies share the same fate. They have all experienced prosperity, but after the impact of Internet entrepreneurship tide, they began to go downhill. Then they rubbed against the hot spots of blockchain and began to try to counter attack
Global blockchain instry investment is hot
according to the data of the "in-depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of blockchain instry" released by prospective instry research institute, as of the end of April 2017, there were 455 blockchain companies in the world, with a total financing amount of US $1.947 billion. Among them, the total investment and financing of us blockchain related companies reached US $1.252 billion, accounting for 64.3% of the global market; The total financing amount of China's blockchain emerging enterprises is about US $114 million, accounting for 5.86%, ranking second in the world after the United States, and growing rapidly
at present, the overall survival status of blockchain is good, with a survival rate of 87.25%. Among all the invested companies, 47 have been closed, accounting for about 10.51%, and the other 10 have been acquired. Due to the change of competition pattern in bitcoin market, some companies have been forced to shut down. Meanwhile, some coin circle companies are graally transforming to chain circle companies.
exploration at the national level has also begun. On March 23, the information technology and Software Services Department of the Ministry of instry and information technology announced that it will study and explore the application of blockchain in the instrial field. Previously, the Ministry of instry and information technology said that it was preparing to establish a National Technical Committee for standardization of blockchain and distributed accounting technology to explore the formation of a complete blockchain standard system to better serve the development of blockchain technology instry
because of its health impact on patients, the lives of families affected by the victims, and the political and social impact of COVID-19 on the future, will continue for 10 years. P>
, let's look at the impact of COVID-19 on the society. This time, influenced by COVID-19, the speed of social development can be described as being dragged down. so many people in the world are facing unemployment or have lost their jobs, and so many enterprises have closed down, which means that the national development policy has been hindered and the pace of social development has been taken off. Can the unemployed find jobs in the future? This is still an unknown point. Even if the economy can recover in a few years and the employment rate can be pulled back, the problem is that some people may not find jobs in this impact. This effect also lasts for a lifetime< br />
first of all, in POW mining, it is the computing speed of mining machines (CPU, graphics card, ASIC, etc.) that determines who can dig the ore better, while in POS there are differences. POS mining does not require you to purchase additional mining equipment, nor does it take up a lot of computing resources
Second, the number of coins issued by POS and POW is different
originally, in pow, the bitcoin proced by a block has nothing to do with the coins you held before. However, in POS, the more money you originally hold, the more money you dig. For example, if you have 1000 coins that have not been used for half a year (183 days), the amount of coins you dig is as follows:
1000 (number of coins) * 183 (age of currency) * 15% (interest rate) = 274.5 (coins)
a day ago, Sheng Songcheng, counselor of the people's Bank of China and executive vice president of China Europe Lujiazui Institute of international finance, also said that the future of blockchain is to serve the real economy“ If blockchain and virtual currency are combined, and blockchain is mainly focused on virtual currency, I don't think blockchain will have a future. " Sheng Songcheng said
Li Lihui, head of the blockchain research working group of China mutual Finance Association and former president of Bank of China, believes that the future development direction of blockchain is large-scale application. In his view, how to achieve large-scale application depends on four factors: efficiency, cost, reliability and safety, and system
Zhu Min, former vice president of Bank of China, central bank and IMF, and now president of National Institute of finance of Tsinghua University, said at the Boao Forum: "when talking about blockchain, we should first separate blockchain from bitcoin, which is not a concept. As a technology, blockchain is revolutionary and unlimited in the future. Blockchain technology will have great application prospects in the future, and the future is very good. "
"the combination of blockchain and virtual currency has no future"
as early as 2014, Sheng Songcheng published an article in an authoritative journal, explaining that virtual currency is not currency in essence from the origin and essence of currency
in his view, if virtual currency overflows, monetary policy can not be implemented, and monetary policy is one of the main means of macroeconomic regulation and control in the world
according to him, when virtual currency first came out, the attitude of central banks was not unified“ But up to now, we have basically unified our views, at least we do not recognize it as currency, because it will hinder the implementation of the whole monetary policy. " Sheng Songcheng said< As early as November 20, 2013, Yi Gang, who was also vice president of the people's Bank of China, first talked about bitcoin at a forum. At that time, he said that from the perspective of the central bank, it was impossible to recognize the legitimacy of bitcoin in the near future. However, he also believes that bitcoin trading, as a kind of trading behavior on the Internet, ordinary people have the freedom to participate
at that time, Yi Gang's statement was interpreted as good news by some bitcoin investors. They believed that although the regulatory authorities did not recognize the legitimacy of bitcoin, they did not characterize it as illegal and would not directly interfere in the trading of bitcoin. But unexpectedly, the price of bitcoin fell to 4150 yuan the next day.