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What is the prospect of blockchain

Publish: 2021-04-21 14:13:33
1.

blockchain classification:

1 private chain

refers to the blockchain with certain centralized control. Only the general ledger technology of blockchain is used for bookkeeping. It can be a company or an indivial who enjoys the exclusive write permission of the blockchain. This blockchain is not very different from other distributed storage schemes. The participating nodes are only users themselves, and the access and use of data have strict authority management. Due to the existence of centralized control, alliance chain can also be considered as a private chain

features: because the user has the final say, the data inside can not be changed, and there is not much protection for the third party. Generally used for internal audit. The vice president of fire coin technology believes: there are indeed a large number of scenarios in the private chain that can meet the needs of the real world. Limited decentralization makes it easier to reach a consensus, which can make the transaction faster and more efficient, and can provide more controlled functions. Decentralization is the core value of blockchain technology. If the private chain can not make full use of the decentralized trust base constructed by the public chain in practice, its development space will be limited

2public chain

public blockchain is the earliest blockchain and the most widely used one at present. It refers to a completely decentralized blockchain like bitcoin blockchain, which is not controlled by any organization. Any indivial or group in the world can send a transaction, and the transaction can be effectively confirmed by the blockchain, and anyone can participate in the consensus process. Participants in the consensus process maintain database security through cryptography and built-in economic incentives

features: completely open, uncontrolled, rely on encryption technology to ensure security

3 alliance chain

multiple preselected nodes are designated as bookkeepers within a certain group. The generation of each block is jointly determined by all preselected nodes. Other access nodes can participate in the transaction, but not the bookkeeping process (in essence, it's still managed bookkeeping, but it's just distributed bookkeeping. How many preselected nodes are there, How to decide the bookkeeper of each block becomes the main risk point of the blockchain). Anyone else can make limited query through the open API of the blockchain

the nodes participating in the blockchain are selected in advance, and the nodes are likely to have good network connections. Other consensus algorithms without workload proof can be used on such a blockchain. For example, a blockchain has been established among 100 financial institutions, and more than 67 institutions must agree to reach a consensus

Prospect:

the development of blockchain technology has also brought changes in the operation concepts of various instries. New technologies and new concepts have promoted the new development of various instries. This driving force has a huge impact on society and the promotion of economic activities. Many new instrial phenomena will occur one after another, and the public will wait and see, It is expected that this new technology will be used by all instries and benefit all instries better

2. Since 2019, blockchain has been mentioned continuously. As the key technology of the next generation Internet, governments and giant enterprises have increased their efforts in the research and application of blockchain, and the competition for the right to set instry standards is becoming fierce
according to the "2019-2020 global blockchain technology layout and business investment trend research report" released by AI media consulting, with the further liberalization of policies in the future, China's blockchain instry will usher in a stage of rapid development, and is expected to enter the first echelon of global blockchain instry in an all-round way< The importance of blockchain technology to a new round of instrial reform has been paid more and more attention. Major countries around the world have accelerated the research and development of blockchain technology. However, because the instry has not yet formed a unified technical standard system, the application and promotion of blockchain are still subject to many restrictions< Second, the barbaric growth has ended and the instry has entered a new stage
after the capital winter of 2018, a large number of blockchain enterprises have been eliminated, the overall popularity of the instry has declined, and the capital has returned to rationality, and the barbaric growth stage of the blockchain instry is coming to an end. In 2019, policy factors will pull the blockchain back to the development wind, and capital and talents will flow into the blockchain instry again. With the continuous advancement of application, supervision and standardization, truly competitive blockchain enterprises will graally emerge, and the instry will usher in a new round of rapid growth.
3.

in 2019, the market scale of China's blockchain instry will reach 1.2 billion yuan

in 2016, the market scale of China's blockchain instry will be about 100 million yuan, and it will grow to 1 billion yuan by 2018.
in 2019, the scale of China's blockchain instry will grow steadily, with an instrial scale of about 1.2 billion yuan. With the attention and attention of local governments, it is estimated that by 2022, the market scale of China's blockchain core procts and solutions and related derivative instries will reach 10 billion yuan



from the research results, in terms of consensus mechanism, China's consensus mechanism graally moves from single algorithm to mixed consensus; In terms of cryptographic algorithms, cryptographic algorithms such as secure multiparty computation, homomorphic encryption and zero knowledge proof are continuously integrated and applied; The research of cross chain technology and security technology has graally become a research hotspot

from the perspective of blockchain hardware, at present, the world's most important digital currency mining equipment suppliers are all located in China, and only bitmainland, Jianan Yun and Yibang technology occupy more than 90% of the market share

from the perspective of instry application, the financial instry is the instry with the largest number of blockchain technology implementation projects and the richest scenarios, such as supply chain finance, asset certificate aromatization, credit reference and risk control

in 2020, the blockchain instry will be further standardized

in 2020, China's blockchain policy will continue to be favorable, the standard specifications will be more perfect, the instrial scale will continue to grow, the technology will continue to innovate and develop, and the application demonstration effect in key fields will accelerate. At the same time, according to the problems existing in the development of China's blockchain in 2019, CCID blockchain Research Institute puts forward six suggestions: accelerating the formulation of top-level design, establishing and improving the regulatory system, accelerating the innovation and development of core technologies, promoting the third-party evaluation and certification, strengthening the cultivation of professional talents, and accelerating the implementation of applications in various fields

- the above data comes from the analysis report of China's blockchain instry market outlook and investment strategic planning of foresight Instry Research Institute

4. Blockchain is a kind of technology. "In the simplest and most popular way, blockchain technology is everyone bookkeeping, or distributed ledger."
in the Internet era, there is a database behind every system. This database can be regarded as a large account book. In the past, the person who maintained the system was responsible for managing the database and recording the user's behavior, that is, bookkeeping. However, the blockchain is "decentralized", which allows every member of the system to participate in it, not only everyone bookkeeping, but also through links, Everyone can have a complete account book
"blockchain is essentially a collective recording mode. What's special is that it adopts a set of techniques in an ingenious way to realize the authenticity and credibility of the recorded results, which is difficult to destroy and tamper with. " Zhang Xiaorong said, "first, everyone has the right to record and authenticate with each other to distinguish the true from the false, which is called consensus mechanism; Second, no one can tamper with the records, because there are cryptographic signatures; Third, everyone has a , so even if some account books are damaged, the whole will not be affected. This is called distributed storage. The information recorded in this way is presented in block mode according to the time chain, so it is called blockchain. "
various cryptocurrencies represented by bitcoin are originally an application of blockchain technology, which can be described as blockchain version 1.0. However, around 2014, the instry began to realize the important value of blockchain technology. Blockchain graally separated from digital currency and applied to various economic and social fields other than digital currency
it has broad application prospects
blockchain technology is considered as a disruptive innovation after steam engine, electric power and Internet. If the steam engine and electricity liberate the proctivity, and the Internet has changed the way of information transmission, the blockchain, as a machine for building trust, may change the way of value transmission
for example, in the financial field, the cost of reconciliation, clearing and settlement between financial institutions, especially cross-border financial institutions, has always been very high, and there are complex manual processes. The application of blockchain technology can help rece the cost of reconciliation and dispute resolution between financial institutions, and significantly improve the processing speed and efficiency of payment business, It also makes small cross-border payments possible. In December 2017, China Merchants Bank completed the RMB position transfer business from Hongkong Wing Lung Bank to Shenzhen Branch of Wing Lung Bank. This is the world's first interbank cross-border RMB clearing business based on blockchain technology
in addition, according to the white paper 2016 on China's blockchain technology and application development issued by the Ministry of instry and information technology of China, the application of blockchain has been extended to medical and health, ecation, charity, social management and other fields. Taking the cultural instry as an example, the low cost of reproction, the high cost of safeguarding rights, and the difficulty of providing evidence make the protection of intellectual property rights a pain point for the instry. With blockchain, the proction, dissemination and transaction records of cultural procts are true, transparent and reliable, and the problem can be solved
Zhang Xiaorong said that blockchain technology has solved two major problems in the era of Digital Economy: one is the visible flow direction, and the other is zero trust cost. In the past, the circulation of physical paper money was invisible, but the flow of all digital assets had a "chain" to check. Yang Yanchao, a researcher at the intellectual property center of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, also believes that the biggest advantage of blockchain is that it has truly completed the credit construction in an anonymous society, bringing new opportunities to many fields, thus making various innovative applications possible
there is a long way to go in the future development
in terms of technology promotion, there is no big barrier to blockchain, which has been confirmed in the global practice of bitcoin, and its main resistance comes from the obstacles in concept and implementation
"on the one hand, the society may be very concerned about the" naked "state in the blockchain. Blockchain has built a "Skynet" for the commercial society. The company's economic activities are all recorded, so there is no secret to speak of. In this way, some business strategies may not be implemented under the blockchain. "
"on the other hand, the current legal system lags behind the development of information technology, so how to put the emerging blockchain technology under the legal supervision needs to be studied." Duan Yongchao said
the core of blockchain is decentralization, which will have an impact on the long-standing central management model. In addition to the law, how to establish a regulatory environment that can promote the application of blockchain technology, so that the technology can benefit the society and not be used to do evil, is also an urgent problem to be solved.
5. Blockchain instry has great growth potential. Five aspects promote the healthy development of technology. Blockchain basic situation analysis blockchain technology, as a technical solution for collective maintenance of a reliable database in a decentralized way, has the characteristics of decentralization, tamper proof, highly scalable, etc., and is becoming a new technology following big data, cloud computing, artificial intelligence Virtual reality and other technologies are another emerging technology that will have a significant impact on the future, which is expected to promote human beings from the era of information internet to the era of value Internet. Some countries and regions in the United States, Japan and the European Union have promoted the development of blockchain as an important national development strategy, and vigorously promoted the research and development and application of blockchain technology. China also attaches great importance to the technological innovation and instrial development of blockchain. With the joint participation of it and other enterprises, a large number of new enterprises, new procts, new models and new applications have emerged. The application of blockchain in the fields of finance, government affairs, energy, medical and other instries has graally expanded, and is becoming an important force to drive the technological proct innovation and instrial transformation of various instries. The development of blockchain can be divided into three stages, namely, blockchain 1.0, represented by bitcoin and related financial infrastructure applications, and blockchain 2.0, represented by smart contract. At present, it is graally moving towards blockchain 3.0, which is based on blockchain technology and more complex in-depth application of smart contract. Statistical analysis of blockchain investment and financing in the first half of the year since 2016, the frequency and amount of investment and financing in China's blockchain field have increased sharply. According to the statistical data of "in depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of blockchain instry" released by foresight Instry Research Institute, in the first half of 2018, the amount of financing in the blockchain field was about 10.7 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1426% compared with the same period in 2017; The number of investment and financing events in the field of blockchain has reached 205, and it is expected that the investment in the field of blockchain will usher in another peak this year. Judging from the distribution of investment and financing rounds in China's blockchain field, the investment rounds in the start-up period (before round b) account for more than 95%. There are many instry pioneers participating in the investment together, and most enterprises are still in the race. Statistics and growth of blockchain investment and financing in the first half of 2014-2018 data source: prospective instry research institute collated the statistical analysis of Chinese blockchain enterprises and registered capital. In 2013 and before, there were only 26 blockchain related enterprises registered in China. In 2016, 116 blockchain enterprises were registered, 158 were registered in 2017, and 52 were registered from January to the end of June 2018. In terms of registered capital, there are 26 enterprises in China whose registered capital is less than 1 million yuan, accounting for about 6%; 197 companies have registered capital between 1 million yuan and 9.99 million yuan, accounting for about 46%; There are 171 companies with registered capital between 10 million yuan and 100 million yuan, accounting for about 40%; There are 31 companies with more than 100 million yuan, accounting for about 7%. Statistics on the enterprises and registered capital of China's blockchain enterprises from January to June 2013-2018 data source: prospective instry research institute collates the statistics of China's blockchain enterprises in terms of regions and fields. Among the 425 blockchain enterprises, 385 enterprises are gathered in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangdong, Zhejiang, Sichuan and Jiangsu, accounting for 90% of the total. Among them, Beijing has the largest number of enterprises, accounting for about 37% of the country. In terms of instry, China's blockchain enterprises are mainly distributed in the fields of finance, bottom public chain, enterprise services, technical solutions, data services, health care, Internet of things, transportation, games, etc. Among them, 91 enterprises are engaged in the financial field, accounting for more than 21%. China's blockchain enterprise field distribution statistics data source: prospective instry research institute collates that China attaches great importance to the development and application of blockchain technology. Driven by multiple forces such as policy, technology and market, the pace of blockchain innovation has been accelerating. It has been deeply integrated with cloud computing, big data, Internet of things and other technologies. The scope of exploration and application has also expanded from digital assets to supply chain management, intelligent manufacturing, instrial Internet, social welfare, right protection and other fields. Five aspects to promote the healthy development of blockchain technology, and promote the high-quality development of digital economy. 1. Pay close attention to the international development frontier, jointly promote the research of blockchain related technology and instry, promote the standardization of blockchain development instry behavior, and create a good development environment. 2. Strengthen the construction of blockchain core technology capabilities. Establish and improve the collaborative promotion mechanism among backbone enterprises, universities and research institutions, guide it enterprises to strengthen technical reserves, accelerate the breakthrough of key core technologies, and improve the performance, efficiency and security of blockchain. 3. Support the development of entrepreneurship and innovation in the field of blockchain, encourage the cross-border integration of blockchain enterprises and user units, guide instry organizations to establish public service platforms, support third-party organizations to carry out blockchain service evaluation and testing, promote the enrichment of instrial applications of blockchain, and serve the transformation and upgrading of entity economy. 4. Actively build and improve the blockchain standard system, accelerate the development and application of key standards, and graally build a perfect standard system. Actively connect with ITU, ISO and other international standards organizations, substantially participate in more international standardization work, and actively contribute more "Chinese power". 5. We will accelerate the improvement of the policy environment for blockchain development, support qualified enterprises to carry out application innovation and mode innovation, and guide and encourage enterprises, universities and scientific research institutes to jointly cultivate professionals needed for blockchain development. Support eligible blockchain enterprises to enjoy the preferential tax policies of the state to support the development of software instry and small and medium-sized enterprises. The instrial scale is small but the growth potential is huge. The blockchain economy is on the eve of the outbreak period. The financial instry is relatively widely used, and the application of other instries has also entered the stage of exploration and development. It is estimated that the direct market value of blockchain will increase from US $410 million to US $7.68 billion between 2017 and 2022
6. Since 2018, the blockchain instry has been booming. The exploration and application of blockchain is not limited to the underlying platform. Internet giants and financial giants have strengthened the application of blockchain in finance, public welfare, commodity traceability and other fields, especially in the financial field. The application with blockchain technology as the core has been accelerated
the blockchain instry is in the stage of rapid development
China's blockchain instry is in the stage of rapid development. According to the data of the "in-depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of blockchain instry" released by foresight Instry Research Institute, by the end of March 2018, the number of blockchain companies with blockchain business as the main business in China has reached 456, from upstream hardware manufacturing, platform services, security services to downstream instrial technology application services, To ensure the development of the instry investment and financing, media, talent services, companies in various fields have been basically complete
according to the classification of application scenarios of top 20 enterprises in the ranking list, in addition to 13 enterprises focusing on the infrastructure and platform construction of blockchain such as underlying platform and blockchain hardware, the application scenarios of blockchain have graally enriched. According to the distribution of instry segments, there are 7 instry application companies, mainly Internet companies (Alibaba, Jingdong, Tencent) used in public welfare and commodity traceability, and innovative financial technology applications evolved by financial enterprises (Ping An, CMB, BOC), such as supply chain finance, bills and transaction clearing
as the blockchain can realize the non tampering of information, the possibility of data falsification is eliminated from the root, especially in the financial instry, which has high requirements for real data, it will embrace the blockchain more actively
analysis on the development trend of blockchain
Second, blockchain has become a new hot spot for innovation and entrepreneurship, and technology integration will expand new application space
3. Blockchain will be widely implemented in the real economy in the next three years and become an important support for the construction of Digital China
fourthly, blockchain creates a new platform economy and opens a new era of sharing economy
fifthly, blockchain accelerates the process of "credible digitization" and drives finance to "move from virtual to real" to serve the real economy< Sixth, the blockchain supervision and standard system will be further improved, and the instrial development foundation will continue to be consolidated
in addition, as an emerging technology, there are still many technical difficulties in the application of blockchain in the actual proction environment of the financial instry, such as throughput, scalability, consensus mechanism, privacy and security, manageability, etc
technological innovation such as blockchain is of great significance to the financial instry, which is expected to accelerate the process of "credible digitization" and continuously drive the financial instry to "move from virtual to real".
7.

Blockchain instry development trend analysis technology has broad application prospects

with the characteristics of point-to-point payment, openness and transparency, the most direct application field of blockchain technology application is payment field. However, there are many pain points in domestic ticketing instry, such as too many agent levels, rampant scalpers, selling more than one ticket, fake tickets, lack of credit, etc, It can be solved by blockchain technology. The traditional ticketing mode needs the support of centralized facilities such as the third-party ticketing platform, and the information is extremely asymmetric. The new ticketing mode based on blockchain technology can realize point-to-point transaction, and the whole process is transparent and traceable

blockchain e-ticketing platform

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data source: the financial field of blockchain + application sorted out by prospective instry research institute is reshaping the financial instry pattern

the open and tamperable attribute of blockchain technology provides the possibility for decentralized trust mechanism,
has the potential to change the financial infrastructure. All kinds of financial assets, such as equity, bonds, bills, warehouse receipts, fund shares, etc., can be integrated into the blockchain ledger to become digital assets on the blockchain. They can be stored, transferred and traded on the blockchain, which makes them have a very broad application prospect in the financial field

by recing the cost of cross-border payment, securities trading and compliance, blockchain technology can save banks $15 billion to $20 billion a year

through the application of intelligent contract, blockchain + insurance can realize automatic claim settlement of insurance policy. Insurance institutions have high management and operation costs, and the data on the blockchain is true and reliable, which can effectively simplify the processing process of policy claims. In addition, the blockchain technology can realize the digital management of personal data, simplify information authentication, and help to trace the history of data

entertainment of blockchain + application: the development ecology of blockchain has taken shape, and the media instry may become the main beneficiary

blockchain technology can be widely used in news, games, picture right and other entertainment fields

blockchain technology will bring great changes to the underlying structure of the game and have a great impact on the current game instry. Gamers now have gatekeepers (centralized organizations) to decide prices, tax, censor users, control content, and profit from data. Through the decentralized platform, consumers can socialize and trade without mediation, providing more control and flexibility for game players in the game experience

blockchain + applied supply chain: it can improve the transparency of the supply chain, establish a new supply chain system

blockchain technology can improve the transparency, traceability and security of the supply chain, and promote a kind of trust and integrity. 1) At present, the supply chain has many disadvantages, such as long chain, many intermediate links, many interest joints, opaque and so on; 2)
the distributed bookkeeping technology of blockchain can register the transfer of goods on the ledger as a transaction, and determine the participants related to the proction chain management, as well as the proct price, date and location

8.

because of its health impact on patients, the lives of families affected by the victims, and the political and social impact of COVID-19 on the future, will continue for 10 years. P>


, let's look at the impact of COVID-19 on the society. This time, influenced by COVID-19, the speed of social development can be described as being dragged down. so many people in the world are facing unemployment or have lost their jobs, and so many enterprises have closed down, which means that the national development policy has been hindered and the pace of social development has been taken off. Can the unemployed find jobs in the future? This is still an unknown point. Even if the economy can recover in a few years and the employment rate can be pulled back, the problem is that some people may not find jobs in this impact. This effect also lasts for a lifetime< br />

9. First, the computing power sources of POS and POW are different
first of all, in POW mining, it is the computing speed of mining machines (CPU, graphics card, ASIC, etc.) that determines who can dig the ore better, while in POS there are differences. POS mining does not require you to purchase additional mining equipment, nor does it take up a lot of computing resources

Second, the number of coins issued by POS and POW is different
originally, in pow, the bitcoin proced by a block has nothing to do with the coins you held before. However, in POS, the more money you originally hold, the more money you dig. For example, if you have 1000 coins that have not been used for half a year (183 days), the amount of coins you dig is as follows:
1000 (number of coins) * 183 (age of currency) * 15% (interest rate) = 274.5 (coins)
10. If phase 1.0 of blockchain application is virtual currency represented by bitcoin, and phase 2.0 is applied in the financial instry, then phase 3.0 will serve the real economy< On April 11, at the Boao Forum for Asia, Yi Gang, President of the people's Bank of China, said that he was studying how to give full play to the positive energy of digital currency to better serve the real economy“ On the whole, our supervision of virtual currency is very strict. " Yi Gang said

a day ago, Sheng Songcheng, counselor of the people's Bank of China and executive vice president of China Europe Lujiazui Institute of international finance, also said that the future of blockchain is to serve the real economy“ If blockchain and virtual currency are combined, and blockchain is mainly focused on virtual currency, I don't think blockchain will have a future. " Sheng Songcheng said

Li Lihui, head of the blockchain research working group of China mutual Finance Association and former president of Bank of China, believes that the future development direction of blockchain is large-scale application. In his view, how to achieve large-scale application depends on four factors: efficiency, cost, reliability and safety, and system

Zhu Min, former vice president of Bank of China, central bank and IMF, and now president of National Institute of finance of Tsinghua University, said at the Boao Forum: "when talking about blockchain, we should first separate blockchain from bitcoin, which is not a concept. As a technology, blockchain is revolutionary and unlimited in the future. Blockchain technology will have great application prospects in the future, and the future is very good. "

"the combination of blockchain and virtual currency has no future"

as early as 2014, Sheng Songcheng published an article in an authoritative journal, explaining that virtual currency is not currency in essence from the origin and essence of currency

in his view, if virtual currency overflows, monetary policy can not be implemented, and monetary policy is one of the main means of macroeconomic regulation and control in the world

according to him, when virtual currency first came out, the attitude of central banks was not unified“ But up to now, we have basically unified our views, at least we do not recognize it as currency, because it will hinder the implementation of the whole monetary policy. " Sheng Songcheng said< As early as November 20, 2013, Yi Gang, who was also vice president of the people's Bank of China, first talked about bitcoin at a forum. At that time, he said that from the perspective of the central bank, it was impossible to recognize the legitimacy of bitcoin in the near future. However, he also believes that bitcoin trading, as a kind of trading behavior on the Internet, ordinary people have the freedom to participate

at that time, Yi Gang's statement was interpreted as good news by some bitcoin investors. They believed that although the regulatory authorities did not recognize the legitimacy of bitcoin, they did not characterize it as illegal and would not directly interfere in the trading of bitcoin. But unexpectedly, the price of bitcoin fell to 4150 yuan the next day.
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