US stock blockchain market on Friday
now bitcoin bubble serious, may collapse, the market needs to be cautious. But unlike tulip, it will rise slowly after falling, rather than collapse
because the total amount of bitcoin is limited. Mining costs are getting higher and higher. It can also be preserved for a long time at a low cost. At the same time, about 40% of bitcoin is in the hands of a very small number of people, which can achieve high control
you need to judge its future & quot; Collection value & quot; Up or down
what you should pay attention to is its & lt; Collection value & quot; It does not depend on itself, but on the public's enthusiasm for it and its general recognition. It's changing all the time
from the perspective of coin holders, the more people they buy, the better. This will lead to the & lt; decline of bitcoin; Collection value & quot; Up
there are many coin holders who strongly advocate bitcoin and turn shit into gold. With the success of advocacy, more and more people buy money. Excrement really becomes gold. Advocacy is no longer advocacy, but truth. This paradox is also what Soros said; Reflexivity Principle & quot; It's the embodiment of the idea. This is also the most painful and unacceptable thing for rational people who do not speculate
at present, I personally feel that the price is too high. There are too many speculators in the short term. There are some bubbles. Investment should be cautious. You can buy some in the next slump and collect them for a long time
you should not believe the following two statements:
1. Bitcoin is the perfect currency in circulation in the future. It has high use value, so it is very valuable
2. Bitcoin is deceptive and has no use value, so it is not valuable
one answer is that bitcoin is like a diamond. It does
diamond's & lt; Use value & quot Love is eternal), which was hyped by De Beers in the last century. Until then, diamonds were not worth money. And the total supply of diamonds is monopolized and controlled by giants such as De Beers Is "diamond" the most wonderful marketing scam in the world in the 20th century? Is it really worthless? There are many good answers to this question.)
De Beers constantly claims that diamonds are the strongest objects and can symbolize eternity. People graally accepted it
and Nakamoto develops bitcoin, and believes that its decentralization, blockchain technology and other characteristics are suitable for the future as a perfect e-currency (the initial title of the paper is "a peer-to-peer e-cash system"). With the expansion and publicity of bitcoin's followers, more and more people have accepted this idea. But now there are still a large number of people who don't know anything and feel that the price is rising sharply, so they buy bitcoin. After buying it, reverse rationalize it and persuade yourself to accept the concept that bitcoin is a perfect electronic currency
this is & lt; The community of imagination; The process of formation. The essence is similar. It doesn't matter whether these concepts are true or not. It's important: how many people do you trust. If more people believe in it, it will come true
In the end, diamond has become an extremely successful marketing case. The symbolic meaning of diamonds has been formed all over the world; The community of imagination;. Instead of collapsing like tulip, it has become a sustainable instryfrom the current trend, bitcoin is working in this direction. There is a public opinion game between advocates and bearers to see who has more power to influence the huge group of passers-by to identify or not to identify with bitcoin. Both sides exaggerate, saying that bitcoin is the Holy Grail of changing human society and that bitcoin is a Ponzi scheme. At present, because of the continuous rise (and it has doubled after several sharp falls), the advocates have the upper hand
To tell you the truth, this question will become very big if it is unfolded. If I want to write clearly my personal feelings from the beginning to the end, it will become smelly and long. So I want to use a few simple aspects and my personal views to answer this very difficult question
let's briefly talk about what bitcoin is, because this simple problem is misunderstood by most people at present. Because it is called "bitcoin", because there is a currency, this word naturally equals to RMB, US dollar, franc and other legal compensation currencies. In fact, this is totally wrong. The definition of legal currency is "the currency given by the state in the form of law for compulsory circulation". When bitcoin appeared, it was written in the white paper that the e-cash system was completely realized through point-to-point technology, which enables online payment to be directly initiated by one party and paid to the other party without any financial institutions
so what exactly is bitcoin? To be exact, it should be regarded as a commodity rather than a currency, because you can see in the white paper that "there is no need to go through any financial institutions". When bitcoin was created by Nakamoto, it was intended to change the life of the bank which was not trusted by the people because of the economic crisis. But we say the vision is good, but the reality is cruel. Even Alipay with 1 billion users can't get rid of the bank's life, let alone a small bitcoin. p>
but you can say why bitcoin is still used by many people for trading and its price is not low, that is because its market demand is very large, resulting in its high price. What is this demand for? Let's talk about it next time. In a word, its high market demand leads to high price. What is bitcoin? I prefer to compare it to a hard currency or a very scarce commodity. Like gold. Let's take a look at an interesting figure:
to tell you the truth, the development of blockchain is very, very early now. All of a sudden, so much capital has poured in, which makes everyone crazy. When the slump comes, it's a bit at a loss. Now the price of bitcoin is more stable, which gives more time for many people who are calm down to do things
out of trust in blockchain technology, bitcoin, as the genesis currency of blockchain, will have a place in the future. Money price is not the most important thing. But make a bold guess. Bitcoin or digital virtual currency will definitely recover in early 2020 and mid-2019. The bull market will come at that time. Is it possible to go back to $2W? Maybe more. Maybe
in the future world I imagine, blockchain technology will surely create a happier and better future for mankind. And the accompanying bitcoin will certainly lead to a bull market
is to read more about the various currencies or project's white paper. I pay attention to my WeChat official account: "Nanjing block chain" can get thousands of white papers free of charge, so that you will have a better understanding of the chain world. p>
the biggest feature of Friday's market is that it exceeded expectations, mainly in two local blockchains and real estate
first of all, talk about blockchain. The differentiation of blockchain on Friday is expected, but the degree of differentiation and the way of differentiation are beyond expectations. The back row has been greatly adjusted, and Yiqiao shares are more popular than others. However, the front row has been firmly sealed, which does not provide the opportunity to change hands. This extreme trend of fragmentation is more than expected, There is not much problem with the differentiation of blockchain on Friday, and as a relatively new subject, it could have been a bit optimistic when the market leader has played a high level. However, there are some problems with the differentiation mode on Friday. The back row is weaker than expected, while the front row is not properly changed to eliminate effective differences, The stability of the underlying chips in the front row will be greatly tested. On Friday night, the block chain of the US stock market will be adjusted for several days, and the regulation also intends to target. In the short term, we should prevent the short-term extreme trend of killing more than one. On the whole, the trend on Monday is very uncertain, so we should be cautious first. However, as a new theme, blockchain, when the market has reached a high level, if there is more killing and more appearing, the front row target can pay attention to the opportunity of anti package
real estate, real estate has weakened from the leading position in the future on Thursday, but on Friday, it exceeded the expectation to brush the plate. From the position on Friday, it started from the ultra low price real estate. Rong'an real estate took advantage of the position advantage of the continuous board space to reverse package the board. However, Vanke, Xincheng holding, poly and Jindi, the leading instries in several instries, all began to show stagflation, On Friday, the real estate instry took advantage of the arbitrage sentiment of Taihe Group's resumption of trading on Monday. On Monday, the main leader of real estate instry resumed trading. During the period of suspension, the plate moved strongly, and there should be room to make up for it. However, for the real estate instry, the short-term trend is to rush to the top, and going up is already the strong outside but the strong inside, Sales of more than 100 billion instry leader, the target of the white horse trend of the opportunity to go
except for real estate and blockchain, the rest of the market on Friday was weak as a whole, and Cixin began to show continuous money loss effect. Although Guizhou gas still hit a high level, it took an independent demon stock trend to break away from the plate, while chips, semiconctors and 5g all showed a relatively large decline trend, and the short-term trend of Huasen pharmaceutical also peaked, On the whole, there are not many bright spots on the disk. The only bright spot is that the leader is still expanding space, but the driving effect on the plate is not big. On the whole, the disk has no good points to participate in
in fact, the market is very obvious. From the perspective of short-term trading, the height of the market is indeed out, and the leader's height is higher than expected. However, several points that have appeared in the market have been weakened, and there is no way to start. If the market can dig out some new topics, there will be emotional arbitrage opportunities in the short term with the help of the leader's height, But if this position can't dig out some new things to hedge the selling pressure of profit, the short-term adjustment probability is too large. From the news of the weekend, there is not much valuable things to spread, so the short-term speculation has encountered a bottleneck. Let's look at the correction. In addition, short-term concept stocks tend to be weak. In the context of 11 consecutive positive market, we can see whether the funds of band logic stocks can flow back