Development of blockchain in 2017
The following are the reasons why 2017 will be the most critical year for blockchain:
the lasting value of bitcoin
bitcoin, the initial tool of blockchain, ended 2016 with a high profile, which is a good omen
just after the new year, fortune reported that
"after the prosperity of 2016, the price of bitcoin has reached $1000, which has increased by 120% since the beginning of this year, and recently reached the highest point in three years. The reasons, including the devaluation of RMB, the risk of China's currency control and geopolitical instability, have been considered as the key factors for the success of cryptocurrency. Another reason for bitcoin's landmark year is its staying power - the longer it stays, the more familiar it will be, and more like a real store of value. "
whether it is fair or not, the feasibility of blockchain technology is always closely related to the performance of bitcoin. If the decentralized database can succeed in the financial field, it can also be widely used in other places. According to convention, the healthy development of digital currency has triggered a discussion on how to integrate blockchain into new areas. With healthy bitcoin, blockchain can expand rapidly in other fields
existing participants
of course, this has existed for some time, because the blockchain has been firmly bound to bitcoin. Over the years, many groups have invested a lot of money to apply the technology to a wider range of areas, while adding new features and creating new applications. If 2017 is a great year for blockchain, these existing players must be ready to grow with it
this trend is marked by the addition of 8 new members to the hyperledger project before the end of 2016. Software company CA technologies, blockchain project factcom foundation, healthcare alliance hashed health, Korean koscom, accounting company ledgerdomain, trade ecosystem developer lykee, sovrin foundation and telecom company Swisscom all joined in the project
Thehyperledger project has entered 2017 with an eye-catching membership list, and plans to introce blockchain feasibility case studies in actual use cases
new investment
the sign that the technology will make progress this year is that companies all over the world have laid the foundation for using blockchain status. Companies around the world applied for or accepted 356 patent applications related to blockchain or digital currency in November last year, almost double the number in the first month of 2016, according to the report of blog technology
Marc Kaufman, financial technology intellectual property expert at Reed Smith, told blog:
"we have witnessed an exponential growth in the number of patent applications, and we expect to see thousands of blockchain patents in the next five years."
the company is submitting patents in such a rapid way because the blockchain has finally achieved its goal from Utopia to digital ledger tool. With the increase of the number of patents, the new discovery of the index blockchain will enjoy wider legitimacy in 2017
it is only time to know the development trend of blockchain in 2017, and vice versa. However, it is obvious that the status of blockchain technology can be seen by all, which also proves the expectation of early investors for its potential and may develop new potential in the future
blockchain has also become a hot topic in the financial sector in China, and all major domestic financial institutions have tested blockchain projects. China Post and IBM have jointly developed a set of blockchain asset custody system; Puyin group launched the tea based digital currency Puyin
1. Germination stage: the real germination stage of blockchain was from 2007 to 2009. In 2008, a Japanese American with the pseudonym of Nakamoto first expounded a new fantasy report on electronic money in the form of a synonym on the cryptography discussion group, and bitcoin came out. As early as 2007, Nakamoto began to explore a series of new technologies to create a new currency. On October 31, 2008, bitcoin white paper was released, and on January 3, 2009, bitcoin system officially began to operate
the main technologies supporting bitcoin system include hash function, distributed ledger, blockchain and asymmetric encryption; It can be seen that these technologies build the initial version of the blockchain, and it can also be said that the blockchain is the underlying technology of bitcoin. During the three years from 2007 to 2009, bitcoin was an experimental stage in which a very small number of people participated, and the real commercial activities had not really started
2. "Geek" niche stage: here, "geek" refers to people who are crazy about Internet technology and take technological innovation as fashion and life. On February 6, 2010, the first exchange of bitcoin appeared. On May 22 of the same year, someone bought two hamburgers with 10000 bitcoins. On July 17 of the same year, the exchange Mt. GOx was established, marking the official inflow of bitcoin into the market. Nevertheless, the only people who can really understand and enter the market to participate in bitcoin trading are geeks who are keen on Internet technology. They discuss bitcoin technology on the forum, mine for bitcoin on their own computers, and then buy and sell bitcoin on Mt. GOx. Now these geeks have become billionaires
3. Market brewing stage: the price of bitcoin was $13 at the beginning of 2013, but on March 18 of the same year, the government of Cyprus closed the bank and stock market e to the financial crisis, which made the price of bitcoin soar, and the highest price rose to $266 in April. On August 20 of the same year, the German government confirmed the currency status of bitcoin. On October 14, China network announced the opening of bitcoin payment channel. In November, the US Senate hearing also confirmed the legitimacy of bitcoin. On November 19, the price of bitcoin rose to US $1242, forming a new high. Nevertheless, the foundation for blockchain to enter the mainstream social economy is not yet available, and the soaring price of bitcoin is only e to over optimistic expectations. The containment of China's banking system, the collapse of Mt. GOx and other events made the price of bitcoin continue to fall. At the beginning of 2015, the price of bitcoin has dropped below $200. From 2013 to the beginning of 2015, the public began to understand bitcoin and blockchain
4. The mainstream period of blockchain: on June 23, 2016, the United Kingdom left the European Union, the fifth nuclear test of North Korea in September, Trump's election in November and other events, the uncertainty of the world's mainstream economy led to the recovery of bitcoin with the function of risk aversion. The market demand was large, and the increase of trading volume made the price of bitcoin soar from $400 in 2016 to $20000 in 2017, The wealth effect of bitcoin and the transaction overflow caused by network congestion of bitcoin have led to the outbreak of other series of virtual currencies, as well as a variety of blockchain applications, resulting in the emergence of a large number of blockchain assets that are 100 times, even 1000 times and 10000 times, which has aroused the crazy pursuit of the world, Subsequently, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange launched bitcoin futures trading, marking that bitcoin has officially entered the mainstream investment proct series, and bitcoin and blockchain have entered the global attention
5. Instry landing stage: after the market frenzy in 2017, the virtual currency and blockchain have been adjusted in terms of market, supervision, cognition, etc. in 2018, returning to rationality. In 2017, many blockchain projects that follow the blockchain technology will graally die out with the cooling of the market, and the projects with real blockchain applications will be initially implemented. 2018 is not only the first year of the blockchain, but also a gold rush period for the blockchain. After the waves wash away the sand, what remains is relatively good gold
from the perspective of the history of blockchain development, blockchain technology is not yet mature and is currently in the growth period. The specific practical application of blockchain is only used in the financial field. It still needs a long way to go to apply blockchain from other instries. However, we should grasp the trend of blockchain and actively learn from the new field of blockchain.
in 2019, the market scale of China's blockchain instry will reach 1.2 billion yuan
in 2016, the market scale of China's blockchain instry will be about 100 million yuan, and it will grow to 1 billion yuan by 2018.
in 2019, the scale of China's blockchain instry will grow steadily, with an instrial scale of about 1.2 billion yuan. With the attention and attention of local governments, it is estimated that by 2022, the market scale of China's blockchain core procts and solutions and related derivative instries will reach 10 billion yuan
from the research results, in terms of consensus mechanism, China's consensus mechanism graally moves from single algorithm to mixed consensus; In terms of cryptographic algorithms, cryptographic algorithms such as secure multiparty computation, homomorphic encryption and zero knowledge proof are continuously integrated and applied; The research of cross chain technology and security technology has graally become a research hotspot
from the perspective of blockchain hardware, at present, the world's most important digital currency mining equipment suppliers are all located in China, and only bitmainland, Jianan Yun and Yibang technology occupy more than 90% of the market share
from the perspective of instry application, the financial instry is the instry with the largest number of blockchain technology implementation projects and the richest scenarios, such as supply chain finance, asset certificate aromatization, credit reference and risk control
in 2020, the blockchain instry will be further standardized
in 2020, China's blockchain policy will continue to be favorable, the standard specifications will be more perfect, the instrial scale will continue to grow, the technology will continue to innovate and develop, and the application demonstration effect in key fields will accelerate. At the same time, according to the problems existing in the development of China's blockchain in 2019, CCID blockchain Research Institute puts forward six suggestions: accelerating the formulation of top-level design, establishing and improving the regulatory system, accelerating the innovation and development of core technologies, promoting the third-party evaluation and certification, strengthening the cultivation of professional talents, and accelerating the implementation of applications in various fields
- the above data comes from the analysis report of China's blockchain instry market outlook and investment strategic planning of foresight Instry Research Institute
-- for the above data sources and analysis, please refer to analysis report on market outlook and investment strategic planning of China's blockchain instry of foresight Instry Research Institute
the research process of instry technology is constantly advancing
in recent years, the research process of global blockchain technology has accelerated, and the number of instry patent applications has increased rapidly. According to sopat statistics, from 2014 to 2018, the number of global blockchain patents continued to rise, and by 2018, the number of global blockchain patent applications had reached 2966. Among them, the number of patents in China's blockchain in 2018 accounted for 33.33% of the total number of patents in 2014, and increased to 82.1% in 2018
however, despite the continuous development and innovation of global blockchain technology in recent years, there is no universal evaluation standard and system to specify the technical performance, efficiency, scalability, security and other issues of blockchain. On the whole, blockchain technology needs further breakthrough
China's blockchain technology tends to serve applications
in terms of technology, the core of China's blockchain technology is to serve physical applications, while the US blockchain technology is still solving the potential problems of blockchain, which leads to the domestic focus on alliance chain applications, We hope to optimize the blockchain technology to meet the requirements of high concurrency applications; Foreign countries focus on the application of public chain, and carry out the optimization and innovation of core technology according to the characteristics of public chain. In terms of application, domestic blockchain focuses on the application of service instry and tends to be "non currency blockchain"; Most of the U.S. is a public chain, which tends to the circulation of digital assets
as people's misunderstanding of blockchain technology graally dissipates, we will see that next year, the financial services, insurance and medical instries will carry out comprehensive deployment of blockchain technology
blockchain technology will subvert our payment system internationally - the old profit model and other processes will become obstacles, and payment will become faster, cheaper and safer
however, as blockchain becomes more and more mainstream, we can no longer ignore the main obstacles on its development path. For example, the banking instry must develop a clear roadmap for blockchain adoption and cooperate on the basis of global standardization
2, the standardization process is about to start
with the more and more extensive application of blockchain, it will become extremely important to establish standardization methods between each other. But there are complex and political processes that can get in the way - there are conflicts of interest between instry organizations, and companies are trying to gain a clear advantage
with the implementation of various blockchain schemes, we will see that the situation will change to the process of standardization and integration. Once competing organizations graally realize the benefits of alliance and start to accelerate the trade process, strengthen detection and optimize data management
in 2017, there may be only a few dynamic blockchain alliances left, but instry players will have to cooperate and reach an agreement on a flexible and universal open logo. Governments and regulators will also play an important role in protecting consumers and encouraging innovation
stakeholders driving the development of blockchain standards will need to be creative and can envision a future in which these standards can be used to create new and powerful tools
3, fintech is accelerating development
fintech is bringing great changes, from simple payment to complex global financial operations are being subverted by it
the in-depth changes that are expected to happen next year are as follows:
blockchain combined with machine learning can jointly accelerate the existing process and optimize efficiency
emojis, payment, will be more widely used, and mobile devices will become more and more secure
lending network will become one of the hottest areas of blockchain
all countries in the world will be more interested in the development of digital currency
4, it's time to subvert the field of payment
in the field of payment transaction, blockchain technology is used to overcome the problems existing in the agent banking system and international remittance
there are many proceres and incoherent processes in cross-border non cash transactions, which can be eliminated by eliminating the third-party institutions, direct currency transfer and efficient inter-bank settlement. This possibility of creating a competitive market for liquidity providers may ensure the optimal exchange rate for international exchange and payment transactions
payment systems are based on local banking regulations and practices, but lack of common standards, which reces the ability of seamless transmission of data and background information, and brings settlement and non settlement risks
the extensive implementation and use of blockchain will change and subvert the existing financial services instry and payment system on a global scale
in addition, although the blockchain was very popular in 2016, there was very little substantive progress. Only coin Ying China and China Post really put it into practice, and other projects just stayed in the theoretical stage.
1. Decentralization
the core advantage of blockchain technology is that it does not need a traditional centralized organization, and does not rely on the point-to-point transaction, coordination and cooperation of a credit center in the distributed system, so as to avoid the common problems of data security, collaborative efficiency and risk control of centralized organizations
2. High security
in blockchain technology, data is difficult to tamper with. Anyone can access the database that records transactions. In this transparent and open mode, everyone can act as a supervisor. We can see at a glance what changes have taken place in the data, which is more secure than traditional technology
3. More reliable
the blockchain technology is connected by multiple nodes in different places. The nodes in the blockchain interact through the point-to-point communication protocol. Under the condition of ensuring the consistency of the communication protocol, different nodes can be processed by different developers using different programming languages and different versions of the whole node
in short, when a node encounters network problems, hardware failures, software errors or is controlled by hackers, the operation of other participating nodes and systems will not be affected
therefore, blockchain is more reliable than traditional technology
therefore, I firmly believe that the application of blockchain must be the development trend in the future.
In 2014, Barry Silbert, founder of secondmarket, separated the bitcoin investment fund from the original company and established grayscale investments
in 2015, gray investment company was merged into the newly established digital currency group (DCG). DCG is not only focused on digital currency and blockchain investment, but also an incubator for start-ups. In addition to gray investment company, DCG also has two subsidiaries, namely, genesis, a cryptocurrency OTC broker, coindesk, a blockchain news and information website, and more than 150 other blockchain companies / projects invested
after years of development, gray investment company has become the largest cryptocurrency asset management company in the world, and its cryptocurrency trust scale has reached US $2.58 billion
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extended information:
in 2013, Barry Silbert, the founder, convinced the board of directors of secondmarket company to set up a bitcoin investment fund called bitcoin investment trust, which is the predecessor of gray scale bitcoin trust. It was not until September 2017 that gray investment's bitcoin trust fund began to grow explosively
it has become the largest bitcoin investment trust in the world, with more than 408500 bitcoins, nearly 2% of the total. In addition to bitcoin trust funds, gray investment company also launched BCH, ETH, etc, horizon, LTC, XLM, XRP and Zec trust funds, as well as grayscale digital large capital fund with mainstream currencies. Gray investment company's cryptocurrency trust procts provide convenience for institutional users to purchase cryptocurrency
in view of the bright future of blockchain, the capital has long been in the lead. According to the data of the in-depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of China's blockchain Instry issued by foresight Instry Research Institute, the scale of global blockchain venture capital has increased from US $2 million in 2012 to US $484 million in 2015, with about 205 venture capital institutions participating in it. The high capital heat can be seen
in the face of the opportunities brought by blockchain technology, relevant enterprises in China should continue to cultivate their "internal skills", increase R & D investment, boldly cut into the bottom technology reconstruction and establish instry standards, so as to strive for greater voice in the global blockchain instry.