API 3 decentralized Oracle

According to foreign media reports, John ifiles Watkins published his collected predictions of the end of the 20th century for the United States and the world in the magazine ladies' Home Journal in December 1900. What will happen in the next 100 years In this book, Watkins visited "the largest institutes, consulted the most visionary and cautious people" and asked them what would happen to their own research fields before 2001. It turns out that some of these predictions are very accurate, while others are not related to the facts at all. Here are 14 environmental predictions with a brief analysis
prediction 1: "cars will be cheaper than today's horses. The farmer will have a motorized grass truck, a motorized van, a plow, a rake and a hay rake. The one pound engine installed in these vehicles will provide the power equivalent to the pulling force of more than two horses. In winter, the children will take an electric sled. In time, mobile equipment will replace any type of horse drawn vehicle now known. In the future, it will also have mobile hearse, mobile police patrol boat, mobile ambulance and mobile Road cleaner. There will be as few horses for labor in the future as there are bulls for labor now. "
reality: some of the above predictions are correct. Generally speaking, the price of horses is much cheaper than that of cars, except for horses for exhibition and horse racing. However, the main point of this prediction is correct. In the United States, cars, trucks and buses have replaced horses as important means of transportation
prediction 2: "there will be no constant traffic on urban roads. Due to limited urban space, busy vehicles will be located underground or above the ground. Most cities will be forced to build a large number of subways or tunnels with good lighting and ventilation, or viacts with "moving sidewalks" leading to the top floor. These underground or high-altitude roads are full of passengers or goods. The subway or tunnel will continue to retain the express train. There will be no more noise in the city. "
reality: in the mid-20th century, most cities in the United States demolished the streetcar network or converted it into light rail. However, New Orleans and Toronto are still using the streetcar network, and the use method and layout are basically the same as 100 years ago. But Boston, San Francisco, Philadelphia and Pittsburgh have rebuilt their streetcar networks into light rail networks< Prediction 3: "the speed of the train will reach 2 miles per minute, and the speed of the express train will reach 150 miles per hour. It will take only one day and one night to get to San Francisco by express train from New York. In time, cigar shaped electric locomotives will be used to pull long train carriages. Cars, like houses, can cool down automatically by manual means. There will be no smoke or cinder along the railway, because trains will no longer carry coal or use coal as fuel. Trains no longer have to stop in the middle of water. When passing through hot or sty areas, passengers can close the windows. "
reality: France's famous high-speed train (TGV) has a top speed of 186 miles per hour. It's almost three miles per minute. Under special test conditions, the TGV's speed reached 320 mph. High speed rail systems in Europe and parts of Asia are expanding rapidly, but the United States is a bit behind in this regard. Acela express, the only high-speed train in the United States, can travel 150 miles per hour from Boston to Washington. Unfortunately, there is no "fastest train" from New York to San Francisco. In fact, it takes 70 to 80 minutes from New York to San Francisco by express train. The train may stop in Washington or Chicago, so you will stay on the train for three and a half days. But these trains can cool themselves and no longer use coal as fuel. Although trains don't have to stop for water, they often stop to make way for a passing freight car
prediction 4: "in the future, there will be 'air vessels', but they can not be compared with road vehicles and water vessels in carrying passengers and transporting goods, but all military countries will use them as a kind of lethal weapon. Some will be used to transport passengers and goods. Others will be used by scientists for high altitude scientific research on earth. "
reality: as a matter of fact, the carrying capacity and transportation capacity of "air vessels (airplanes)" are totally the same as those of road vehicles and water vessels. This is especially true in the United States, because usually large numbers of passengers are competitive in air travel because the government gives them a lot of subsidies. As we all know, e to the weak instrial foundation, the US aviation instry has been on the verge of bankruptcy. Compared with road and rail transport, air travel has achieved less in short distance and midway travel. However, aircraft are indeed used as military tools by all countries. The "9.11" incident in 2001 also showed that non military personnel would also use aircraft as lethal weapons
prediction 5: "there will be neither mosquitoes nor flies in the future. Of course, mosquito nets and other things are no longer needed. In fact, mosquitoes, houseflies and cockroaches will be extinct by then. The Department of health will also eliminate all mosquito borne diseases, destroy all mosquito breeding areas, drain all stagnant pools, fill all marshes, and chemically treat all stagnant water. "
reality: This is not the case. It is estimated that 1.5 million people die of malaria every year in the world, which is a mosquito borne disease
prophecy 6: "black, blue and green roses will appear in the future. And roses are almost as big as cabbage. A violet is the size of an orchid. Pansy has the same diameter as sunflower. Measurements of Pansy a century ago showed that its disk was only half an inch in diameter. There will be black, blue and green roses. And all flowers can appear any color, but also can be transplanted to another smell of flowers. In this way, pansy has the potential to give off a violet like aroma
reality: flowers of any color can be proced by hybridization. As Michael purlon said in second nature, "there is no lack of new varieties in modern roses, but it is a big problem that roses must face to bring forth new ones through the old."< Prediction seven: "food in the future will not be allowed to come into contact with air. Those shopkeepers who have been denounced by customers, who have exposed their food to the air or the atmosphere polluted by busy streets, and those who sell fake and inferior procts, will be arrested according to law. Liquid air refrigerators allow food to be stored longer. "
reality: refrigeration is now used in all food sales instries in the United States. However, a lot of frozen procts are exposed to the air, just like things placed on food shelves in stores. However, e to the use of a layer of impermeable transparent plastic packaging, these foods do not contain so many unsafe factors. This shows that the above prediction is not in line with the actual situation< Prediction 8: "in the future, people will no longer use coal for heating or cooking. At that time, coal proction will be seriously insufficient, but not completely exhausted. Anthracite can be used until 2050 or 2100; Bituminous coal can be used for 2200 or 2300 years. In the meantime, both kinds of coal will become more and more valuable. Eventually, humans will find that electricity generated by water is cheaper. Any river or stream with a waterfall that meets the conditions for power generation will be equipped with a hydro generator, which will drive the generator and generate electricity. There will be a large number of reservoirs along the coastline, and their water levels will change with waves and tides. The water from the reservoir will continue to fall on the spinning wheels. Then people will use the flowing sea water, fresh water lakes and salt marshes to do what the Niagara River is doing: generate electricity to provide light, heat and fuel for mankind. "
reality: in the United States, people no longer directly use coal for heating or cooking, but coal still supplies half of the country's households with heating and gas in the form of electricity. As part of the hybrid energy, coal meets about 22% of people's energy needs, but it also includes transportation fuel. Coal accounts for about half of all electricity proced in the United States, but in some regions that figure has risen to about three-quarters< Prediction 9: "in the future, people will use electricity to grow vegetables. Farmers will use electricity to turn winter into summer and night into day. When the weather is cold, they will bury thermal wires in the garden soil to heat the vegetables. They will also build larger greenhouses and vegetable gardens. At night, they will use strong light to irradiate vegetables, so as to increase the lighting time and promote the growth of vegetables. Using electric current to heat soil can make crops grow bigger and faster, and also kill harmful weeds. Different colors of light can promote the growth of many plants. Heating the garden with electric current can make the seeds germinate earlier and make the vegetables mature earlier. "
reality: it's very common to grow crops under indoor lights in the United States. But Watkins didn't think exactly what to plant under the light< Prediction 10: "in the next 100 years, our great grandson will eat strawberries as big as apples ring Christmas. Raspberries and blackberries are as big as apples. A person can eat one of these fruits. Strawberries and cranberries will grow on tall bushes. Cranberries, currants and blackcurrants will grow as big as oranges. One Hami melon is enough for a family. Watermelons, cherries, grapes, plums, apples, pears, peaches and all berries will be seedless or seedless. Figs will be grown all over the United States. "
reality: today's fruits and vegetables are really bigger than before. If you go around the modern supermarket, you will see not only giant strawberries, but also giant apples, bananas and other fruits. However, fruits and vegetables are getting bigger, but at the same time, the taste is getting worse, because these vegetables and fruits are commercial procts, and they have to travel a long way from the farm to the sales place
prediction 10: "except for zoos, there will be no wild animals in the future. Mice will be extinct. Horses are actually on the verge of extinction. The rich will keep some good varieties for competition, hunting and exercise. Cars have taken the place of horses. Cattle and sheep no longer have horns. And they don't run faster than today's pigs. A century ago, wild boars could run faster than horses. Food animals will continue to proce meat, milk, hair and other by-procts throughout their lives. Horns, bones, muscles and lungs will be ignored. "
reality: this prediction is not credible. There are still a lot of mice today, and horses are not endangered, but as Watkins said, they are mainly used for entertainment
prediction 12: "in the future, people will be able to travel from New York to Liverpool in England in only two days by fast electric boat. The hulls of these ships will be above the waves. They will be made up of