Personal position calculation

1. Just like other businesses, a banker needs to subtract the cost from the "sales revenue". Only when the sales revenue minus the cost is positive, can the dealer make a profit. Investors in the stock before buying, might as well help the banker to calculate accounts, to see whether the current price makers profit space. If the market price of the stock is lower than the cost of the market, the prospect of profit will be very bright; If the current price makers have rich book profits, then the makers are concerned about how to turn the book profits into actual profits, that is to say, at the current price, the makers will not deliberately pull up the stock price, but wait for the opportunity to escape. In this case, it is obviously unrealistic for investors to expect the stock price to reach a new high. Therefore, when the stock price is far away from the cost of building positions and controlling the market, it is not suitable for investors to buy the stock at the current price and place the hope of profit on such a stock. If retail investors want to follow the market or analyze whether a stock is worth buying at the current price, they must understand the "bottom line" of the market maker, that is to say, they must understand the degree of control of the market maker, that is, the amount of positions, and the cost of building positions. Generally speaking, investors can analyze and judge the position and construction cost of a banker through the K-line chart and trading volume. Among them, it is the most effective and direct method to calculate the position and construction cost of a banker by turnover rate. The calculation formula of turnover rate is: turnover rate = trading volume / circulation disk × The turnover rate in the 100% formula is the stock turnover rate from the time when the dealer starts to build a position to the time when the dealer starts to pull up the stock price. How to confirm that the dealer has started to build a warehouse? Here, the reference value of weekly K-line chart is the largest. The moving average system of Zhou K line has changed from short position to long position, which proves that there is involvement of the makers. Therefore, the MACD index golden fork of Zhou K line can be regarded as a sign that the makers begin to build positions, which is also the starting point of calculating turnover rate. In China's stock market, most of the market makers are middle line market makers, and their controlling degree is about 35% ~ 60%, which means that the market makers are relatively controlling, and the stock activity under this position is better. More than 60% of the position, that is, to achieve the degree of absolute control, this position is mostly long-term makers. In a stock, investors holding 20% chips belong to absolute long-term investors. For the makers, long-term investors are equivalent to locking their positions. For makers, of course, the higher the degree of control, the better, because indivial stocks pull up, and the rise of stock price is generally proportional to the position. Generally speaking, when the stock price rises, the ratio of the trading volume of the makers is about 30%. When the stock price falls, the ratio of trading volume is about 20%. When the stock price is running, it generally increases when the volume is large, and decreases when the volume is small. The preliminary assumption is that the volume is large / the volume is small = 2 / 1. In addition, assuming that the turnover rate is 200% when the stock price rises, the turnover rate should be 100% when the stock price falls, and the total turnover rate ring this period is 300%. It can be concluded that: the banker's position in this period of time = 200% × 30% - 100% × 20% = 40%, that is, when the turnover rate of the stock reaches 300% ring this period, the position of the banker only reaches 40%, that is, when the turnover rate reaches 100%, the position of the banker is 40% × 300 % × 100 % = 13 . 3％ Of course, there is a certain error, so generally from the week of MACD index golden fork to the end of the week, add up the trading volume of all the weeks and divide it by the current market, we can get the turnover rate of indivial stocks ring this period. Then change the turnover rate of indivial stocks × 3%, which is the controlling degree of the market maker. For a middle line maker, the turnover rate of indivial stocks should be between 300% and 450%. Only when there are enough changes of hands can the dealer absorb enough chips. As for the cost of a banker to build a position, we can use the lowest price plus the highest price of the stock calculated above ring that period, and then divide by 2 to get the value of the cost area of the banker. Although this method is simple, it is quite practical and the error is less than 10%. Of course, there are other more accurate methods to calculate the cost of building a warehouse. Because these methods are more complex, the error rate is more than 3%, so we will not introce them in detail here. After calculating the cost and position of the dealer, the first target of the dealer is: cost X (50% + L). Assuming that the cost per share of the dealer is 10 yuan, the lowest target price of the dealer is 15 yuan. Knowing the position and the cost of building a position of the banker, you can have a clear idea when you follow the banker. How to calculate the banker's position can help investors to judge what stage the banker is in. If the market maker is in the position building stage, investors should wait for the opportunity to follow up; If the dealer is in the shipping stage, it should quickly close out. It is a key content for the stock market to win with the banker to calculate the position of the banker, but it is impossible to judge the position of the banker very accurately. Investors can only roughly estimate the positions of the makers according to different stages and different times with basically reasonable methods. Here are two ways to calculate the position of the banker, for your reference only 1 Method 1: firstly, it is determined that a certain period of a stock belongs to the position building period of the banker, and then the trading volume of the stock in this period is added up to get a total, and then divided by 2 and 3 respectively to get two figures, and the position of the banker is between these two figures. For example, there is a medium cap stock with 90 million shares in circulation, which has experienced a long-term decline and then entered the horizontal consolidation stage. Recently, there are signs that the makers are actively attracting funds. Repeatedly identify from the K-line trend chart to determine a certain day as the starting date of the main fund-raising. Since the start date of the main fund-raising, there have been 60 trading days, with a total turnover of 95 million shares. Divide 95 million shares by 2 and 3 to get two numbers, namely 4750 and 3167. According to this, it can be estimated that the amount of money raised by the makers ring this period is between 3167 and 47.5 million shares. The basis of this method is: the trading volume of the stock includes three parts: one is the amount of chips collected by the banker at a low level, and the amount of high selling and low absorbing in order to rece the cost of building a position; The second is the amount of short-term operators buy and sell; The third is the number of long-term buyers. Therefore, the trading volume of this period can not be fully accounted for by the makers. According to years of trading experience, the amount of money raised by the makers each time accounts for about 1 / 3 ~ 1 / 2 of the total trading volume at this stage, and many of them are not up to this figure 2 The second method is more complex, but more accurate. The calculation method is: assume that the overall stock flow is a, a × The turnover rate of indivial stocks in a certain period - the turnover rate of the whole market in the same period) can get a value; Divide the value by 2 and 3 to get two values. Finally, the position of the banker is between these two values. For example, in the second half of 2007, the turnover rate of a stock was 260% for 60 consecutive trading days and 140% for the same period. According to this, we can calculate that 30 million shares x (260% - 140%) = 36 million shares, 36 million shares / 2 = 18 million shares, 36 million shares ÷ 3 = 12 million shares, therefore, the actual number of shares held by the makers may be between 12 million and 18 million shares. In other words, the banker's position may be in circulation between 40% and 60%. As the upper limit has exceeded 50% of the circulation disk, the lower limit has reached 40% of the circulation disk. According to this analysis, it can be concluded that the time for the banker to stay in the villa is not too short, at least a middle line villa, or even a long line villa. When using the above method to calculate the position of the banker, we need to pay attention to the following two points. ① These calculation methods are generally applicable to the long-term decline of cold stocks. The reason why a stock has become a popular stock shows that there is no dealer in the stock, and most of the chips are distributed in the hands of retail investors. Therefore, once a new banker is a popular stock, it is relatively easy to calculate the position of the banker by using the above methods. ② In the calculation of the banker's position, the selected period should not be too short.

2. 1. In judging the main position, it can be calculated by the statistics of the real-time transaction of the inside and outside of the market. Formula 1 is as follows: the main buying volume of the day = (outside of the market) × 1 / 2 + inner plate × 1 / 10) / 2, and then add up several days, at least change hands to more than 100%. Generally, 60-120 trading days is the best time. Because the period of a band maker is usually about 55 days. The formula requires investors to take pains to analyze the target stocks every day. After a long time of empirical statistics, the accuracy rate is very high, and the error rate is usually less than 10%.

3. To a certain extent, the rise and fall of the stock price is determined by the distribution of the chips and the amount of funds involved: the larger the amount of funds used and the more concentrated the chips, the more stable the trend will be and it is not easy to be influenced by the market; The smaller the amount of funds used and the more scattered the chips are in the hands of the majority of retail investors, the more difficult it is for the stock price to rise, and the more difficult it is to make a big contribution. How can we estimate the weight of the banker's position? How to judge whether chips are centralized or decentralized is mainly determined by the following methods:

1. According to the length of the bottom cycle. For indivial stocks with obvious bottom period, the author's experience is that the daily trading volume in the bottom period is multiplied by the bottom operation time, and the position of the banker can be roughly estimated. The position of the banker = the bottom period × Proactive buying (ignoring retail buying). The longer the bottom period is, the larger the market position is; The more initiative buying, the more money the banker will take. Therefore, if investors see the bottom of the long-term horizontal consolidation of stocks, usually for the silent absorption of funds. The main force in order to rece the cost of purchase, so high throwing low absorption and constantly cleaning short-term customers; But there is still a small part of long-term funds involved. Therefore, ring this period, the main force of the goods. At most, it is only about 1 / 3-1 / 2 of the total trading volume. Therefore, ignoring the initiative of indivial investors' buying volume, the buying volume can be settled as the total trading volume × 1 / 3 or total volume × 1/2 For example, there is a 50 million medium cap stock that enters horizontal consolidation after a long period of decline. Recently, there has been a phenomenon of active trading. Through the analysis of the trend chart, it is determined that the lowest price in the early stage is the starting date of the main fund-raising. From this starting date to the 250 day moving average, there have been 90 trading days, with a cumulative trading volume of 55 million shares and an active buying volume of 17 million or 27 million shares, Then we can estimate that the number of main fund-raising in this period is between 17 million and 27 million shares, but we'd better take the low position as the base point to avoid being misled
2. In the low position, there are some stocks with active transactions, high turnover rate, and little stock price rise (the standard is that the stage rise is less than 50%, preferably less than 30%), which are usually for the makers to attract goods. The greater the turnover rate, the more sufficient the main fund-raising. Investors can focus on the stocks whose "price" temporarily lags behind "quantity". The author's experience is that the turnover rate takes 50% as the base, and the stock price trend enters a new stage after each multiple stage, such as 2, 3, 4, and so on, which also indicates the change of the banker's position × Turnover rate of indivial stocks in a certain period - turnover rate of the whole market in the same period); The practical significance of this formula is that the amount of the main capital's purchase volume (that is, the average purchase volume) exceeding the market turnover rate is usually the intervention of the foresight capital, which is generally applicable to the long-term decline of the unpopular stocks. Therefore, once the main force continues to absorb the unpopular stocks, we can relatively easily measure and calculate the position of the main force. Generally, 60-120 trading days is the best time. Because the period of a band maker is usually about 55 days. For example, the turnover of a stock is 80 million shares. From 2003 to the beginning of 2004, the turnover rate of a stock for 90 consecutive trading days is 250%, while the turnover rate of the stock market in the same period is 160% × 250% - 160%) = 72 million shares; 72 million shares / 3 = 24 million shares. Therefore, the actual number of shares held by the makers may be between 24 million shares. That is to say, the position of the market maker may be about 30% of the current market. According to this analysis, we can conclude that the main participation time is short, and the stock price still has twists and turns
3. According to the performance of the stock in the market consolidation period. Some stocks do not have an obvious period of attracting goods, or they make a comeback in the market, or they attract goods at the same time, or they continue to attract goods in the process of decline, so it is difficult to clearly divide the period of attracting goods. The market position of these indivial stocks can be judged by their performance in the consolidation period. Shanshan stock (600884) went down wave by wave every year in 2003, and the absorption period was not obvious. The shock from May to June obviously belonged to the behavior of the makers. The market adjusted from July to September, but the stock continued to adjust, and the number of households shrank obviously. The degree of involvement of the makers was deep, and the stocks were obviously trapped; Recently, the market adjustment, the stock rose strongly, and then look at the shares in circulation up to 228 million, the main control of such large cap stocks freely, the amount of raising can be seen
4. Judging from time-sharing trend and single transaction. If the time-sharing trend is extremely incoherent and the volume of a single transaction is small, the market usually has a large position and a high concentration of chips. For example, in the early stage of St Dongguo (600786), the time-sharing trend is up and down, the fluctuation is discontinuous, the transaction is sparse, and the transaction interval is long. Sometimes only one or two transactions are completed after a few minutes, and sometimes only a few hundred transactions are completed every day, This is a typical chip is taken by the main force (60% position), the rise and fall completely depends on the will of the main force, the market trend has little effect on it
5. If the transaction volume is not enlarged in the process of rising, it remains balanced, or even deviates from the price and volume of indivial stocks, the chips are usually concentrated in the main hands. For example, since Haizheng Pharmaceutical (600267) rose in June last year, with the rising share price, the transaction volume is shrinking, the share price has reached a new high since its listing, and the Quanneng has not been significantly enlarged, In the time-sharing trend, as long as a small amount is released, the stock price can be pushed up, and the chip locking is good. The main position is steadily pushed up, and there is no fund absorption period, and the position is usually more than 60%
6. February 04 is the ex rights day of 000401 Jidong Cement rights issue. There is no abnormal transaction on that day. On February 27, the rights issue was listed, but the stock can go against the market, indicating that the chips have been fully locked and the main position is heavy. Subsequently, the unit continued to attack volume
7. Judge the position of the banker by the per capita shareholding and the number of shares held by the major shareholders. The author's experience is that the per capita shareholding is about 2400, and the shareholding of the top ten shareholders accounts for more than 5% of the overall turnover. For example, 600585 conch cement after June 2003, through the analysis of the semi annual report, the per capita shareholding is more than 5000 shares, and the shareholding of the major shareholders is about 8%, which can judge that the main position is important Do you want to see such a huge amount of securities information for free every day? 1. Click here to set Dongfang fortune net as your homepage. 2. Click here to add Dongfang fortune net to your favorite.)

4. 1. The author through the actual exploration, in judging the main position can be calculated through the real-time transaction of the inside and outside statistics, formula 1 is as follows: the main buying volume of the day = (outside) × 1 / 2 + inner plate × 1 / 10) / 2, and then add up several days, the author's experience at least reaches 100%. Generally, 60-120 trading days is the best time. Because the period of a band maker is usually about 55 days. The formula requires investors to take pains to analyze the target stocks every day. After a long time of empirical statistics, the accuracy rate is very high, and the error rate is usually less than 10%
2. For indivial stocks with obvious bottom period, the author's experience is that the daily trading volume in the bottom period is multiplied by the bottom operation time, and then the position of the banker can be roughly estimated. The position of the banker = the bottom period × Proactive buying (ignoring retail buying). The longer the bottom period is, the larger the market position is; The more initiative buying, the more money the banker will take. Therefore, if investors observe the bottom of the long-term horizontal consolidation of stocks, usually for the silent absorption of funds, the main force in order to rece the purchase cost, so high sell low and constantly clean up short-term customers; But there is still a small part of long-term funds involved. Therefore, ring this period, the main force of the goods, at most, only reached about 1 / 3-1 / 4 of the total volume. Therefore, ignoring the initiative of indivial investors' buying volume, the buying volume can be settled as the total trading volume × 1 / 3 or total volume × 1 / 4, formula 2 is as follows: banker's position = stage total turnover × 1 / 3 or 1 / 4, for the sake of caution, lower quantity can be confirmed
3. In the low position, the stocks with active transactions, high turnover rate, and little stock price rise (set the standard as stage rise less than 50%, preferably less than 30%) are usually the investors. The greater the turnover rate, the more sufficient the main fund-raising. Investors can focus on the stocks whose "price" temporarily lags behind "quantity". The author's experience is that the turnover rate takes 50% as the base. Every time it goes through multiple stages such as 2, 3 and 4, the stock price trend will enter a new stage, which also indicates that the position of the banker will change. There are three formulas to calculate the position of the banker by using the turnover rate: the overall stock flow × Turnover rate of indivial stocks in a certain period - turnover rate of the whole market in the same period); The practical significance of this formula is that the amount of the main capital's purchase volume (that is, the average purchase volume) exceeding the market turnover rate is usually the intervention of the foresight capital, which is generally applicable to the long-term decline of the unpopular stocks. Therefore, once the main force continues to absorb the unpopular stocks, we can relatively easily measure and calculate the position of the main force
~ the easiest way to find the lowest price in the last 30 trading days. Then look ahead for the K-line with the largest turnover, turnover rate greater than 10, the longest shadow line and cross shape, and then take the average price of the day before and the day after, which is basically close to the recent main cost. This move is very practical, no need for professional calculation, suitable for beginners to use.

5. To a certain extent, the rise and fall of the stock price is determined by the distribution of the chips and the amount of funds involved: the larger the amount of funds used and the more concentrated the chips, the more stable the trend will be and it is not easy to be influenced by the market; The smaller the amount of funds used and the more scattered the chips are in the hands of most retail investors, the more difficult it is for the stock price to rise or fall, and the more difficult it is to make a big contribution. How can we estimate the number of main positions? The author's experience is mainly judged by the following three methods: 1. Through practical exploration, the author can calculate the main position through the internal and external statistics of real-time transaction. Formula 1 is as follows: the main buying volume of the day = (external market) × 1 / 2 + inner plate × 1 / 10) / 2, and then add up several days, the author's experience at least reaches 100%. Generally, 60-120 trading days is the best time. Because the period of a band maker is usually about 55 days. The formula requires investors to take pains to analyze the target stocks every day. After a long time of empirical statistics, the accuracy rate is very high, and the error rate is usually less than 10%. 2. For indivial stocks with obvious bottom period, the author's experience is that the daily trading volume in the bottom period is multiplied by the bottom operation time, and the position of the banker can be roughly estimated. The position of the banker = the bottom period × Proactive buying (ignoring retail buying). The longer the bottom period is, the larger the market position is; The more initiative buying, the more money the banker will take. Therefore, if investors observe the bottom of the long-term horizontal consolidation of stocks, usually for the silent absorption of funds, the main force in order to rece the purchase cost, so high sell low and constantly clean up short-term customers; But there is still a small part of long-term funds involved. Therefore, ring this period, the main force of the goods, at most, only reached about 1 / 3-1 / 4 of the total volume. Therefore, ignoring the initiative of indivial investors' buying volume, the buying volume can be settled as the total trading volume × 1 / 3 or total volume × 1 / 4, formula 2 is as follows: banker's position = stage total turnover × 1 / 3 or 1 / 4, for the sake of caution, lower quantity can be confirmed. 3. In the low position, the stocks with active transaction, high turnover rate, and little stock price rise (set the standard as stage rise of less than 50%, preferably less than 30%) are usually taken by the makers. The greater the turnover rate, the more sufficient the main fund-raising. Investors can focus on the stocks whose "price" temporarily lags behind "quantity". The author's experience is that the turnover rate takes 50% as the base. Every time it goes through multiple stages such as 2, 3 and 4, the stock price trend will enter a new stage, which also indicates that the position of the banker will change. There are three formulas to calculate the position of the banker by using the turnover rate: the overall stock flow × Turnover rate of indivial stocks in a certain period - turnover rate of the whole market in the same period); The practical significance of this formula is that the amount of the main capital's purchase volume (that is, the average purchase volume) exceeding the market turnover rate is usually the intervention of the foresight capital, which is generally applicable to the long-term decline of the unpopular stocks. Therefore, once the main force continues to absorb the unpopular stocks, we can relatively easily measure and calculate the position of the main force.

6. The maximum position of stock index futures in indivial speculative accounts increased to 600
inventory refers to the total number of contracts opened by the buyer and the seller that have not yet been reversed. The size of the position reflects the size of the market transactions, but also reflects the difference between the long and short sides on the current price. By analyzing the change of position, we can analyze the size, change and update of long short power in the market, which becomes one of the technical analysis indicators different from stock investment. In the analysis of futures graphic technology, the coordination of trading volume and position is very important
futures is totally different from spot. Spot is actually tradable goods (commodities). Futures are mainly not commodities, but standardized tradable contracts based on certain bulk procts such as cotton, soybean, oil, and financial assets such as stocks and bonds. Therefore, the subject matter can be a commodity (such as gold, crude oil, agricultural procts) or a financial instrument.

7. The service charge is very low, in order to facilitate the calculation, first ignore
(1000 shares * 50 yuan / share + 500 shares * 47 yuan / share) / (1000 shares + 500 shares) is the cost per share of your position

8. 1. Judging by the length of the sucking period: for stocks with obvious sucking period, the simple algorithm is to multiply the daily trading volume in the sucking period by the sucking period, and then roughly estimate the main position

main position = lead time × Daily trading volume (ignoring the purchase volume of retail investors), the longer the suction period, the larger the main position; The larger the daily turnover, the more the main force sucks. Therefore, if investors see the long-term horizontal consolidation of indivial stocks after listing, it is usually the dark horse eating grass silently. Some new shares do not go through the full suction period, its market is difficult to continue

2. According to the turnover rate, the stocks with active transactions in low positions, high turnover rate and small stock price rise are usually the main investors. The larger the turnover rate is, the more sufficient the main investors are“ "Quantity" and "price" seem to be a pair of little brothers who are not willing to show weakness to each other. As long as "quantity" takes the first step, "price" will keep up with "quantity". Investors can focus on the stocks whose "price" temporarily lags behind "quantity"

3. According to the performance of the stock in the market consolidation period, it is difficult to clearly divide the absorption period of some indivial stocks because the absorption period of some indivial stocks is not obvious, or Laozhuang is making a comeback, or the main force is pulling while absorbing, or continuously absorbing in the process of falling. The main positions of these stocks can be judged by their performance in the consolidation period

4. Judging from the volume in the rising process: Generally speaking, with the rise of the stock price, the trading volume will be enlarged simultaneously, but with the rise of the stock price, the trading volume of some main controlling stocks will be reced, and the stock price can rise again and again, so we can pay more attention to these stocks. The main force holds a lot of chips and can hold them all the way before putting a lot of chips

these can be understood slowly. The most important thing in stock speculation is to master certain experience and skills, so as to make an accurate judgment. Novices can't avoid using a bull stock to simulate stock speculation and follow the bull people in it. This is much more stable. I hope it can help you. I wish you a happy investment!

9. Each variety is different, and each exchange often changes. It is suggested that you go to the customer manager of futures to ask this question. What others give is not necessarily the latest regulations, and it doesn't matter if there is no account. The person who can ask this account is at least a potential large account.

10. How to count the main stock market position and position cost? The following content is transferred to others, does not represent my opinion, for reference only

according to the military law, only when you know what you know can you win a hundred battles. If investors want to survive and develop in the stock market, they must follow suit. To follow the market, we must find out the details of the market maker. Of course, the most important thing is the position and cost of the market maker. These two are the top secrets of the makers, which can not be disclosed. How can we calculate the positions and costs of the makers from the K-line chart and trading volume? According to careful analysis and research, it is considered that it should be accurate to calculate the turnover rate

turnover rate = trading volume / total number of outstanding shares x 100%. Because what we want to calculate is the total turnover rate from the time when the dealer starts to build the warehouse to the time when he starts to pull up. Therefore, according to experience, the weekly chart has the greatest reference significance

refer to the weekly K-line chart of indivial stocks, and the weekly moving average parameters can be set to 2, 10 and 20. When the moving average system of weekly K-line chart is in a multi head arrangement, it can be proved that the stock has the intervention of makers. Only when a large amount of money intervenes, the trading volume of indivial stocks will continue to enlarge at a low level, which is the characteristic of the market. It is precisely because the supply of chips exceeds the demand that the stock price graally rises, which makes the moving average system of the weekly K-line long. We can initially identify that we have found a dealer

whether it is a short-term, medium-term or long-term market maker, the degree of control should be at least more than 20%. Only stocks with control of 20% can be made, and less than 20% can not be made unless the market is excellent. If the control panel is between 20% and 40%, the stock is the most active, but there are more floating chips, the rising space is small, and it is difficult to pull up; If the control volume is between 40% and 60%, the stock will be more active and have more space, which will reach the relative control level; If more than 60% of the amount of control panel, the degree of activity is poor, but the space is huge. This is absolute control panel. Most big black horses are proced in this control panel area

why is there such a rule? Because 20% of a stock's circulation is generally locked, these are absolute long-term investors. Of the remaining 80% of the chips in circulation, only 20% are the most active floating chips. If you collect these 20% chips, there will be few floating chips in the market, so you can generally control the market. And the last 60% is a relatively stable chip. If the banker absorbs another half, that is 30%, then the chips in the hands of the banker are 50% of the control panel, plus 20% of the long-term investors, which means that the banker controls 70% of the chips. In this way, the makers can control the movement direction of the stock price. This is also the degree of control adopted by most makers. If the market maker controls more than 60%, the floating fund is only 20%. Makers can control the stock price at will. When investors want to follow the Zhuang, it is better to follow the Zhuang whose position is more than 50%. Of course, the larger the position, the better, because the increase is generally proportional to the position

generally speaking, when the stock price rises, the market makers account for about 30% of the trading volume, while when the stock price falls, the market makers account for 20%. When the stock price rises, the market makers increase the trading volume, and when the market falls, the market makers decrease the trading volume. We can preliminarily assume that the trading volume is 2:1, then the market makers' positions are (230%) - (120%) = 60% - 20% = 40%, that is, the turnover rate is 100% when the stock price rises, And when the turnover rate is also 100%, the initial calculation result of the degree of control of the dealer

but the calculation is too complicated. We can roughly calculate that ring this period of time when the total turnover rate is 200%, the dealer may hold 40%, so when the total turnover rate is 100%, the chips that can be absorbed should be (40%) / (200%), 100% = 20%

we start to calculate the weekly KD index low golden fork and weekly trading volume when it is low and moderately enlarged. Until the week you calculate, add up the weekly trading volume to the total weekly trading volume, and then divide it by the circulation disk and multiply it by 100%, which is the total turnover rate. If the total turnover rate is 100%, the main position is 20%; if the total turnover rate is 200%, the position of the banker is 40%; if the total turnover rate is 300%, the position of the banker is 60%; if the total turnover rate is 400%, the position of the banker is 80%. This is calculated according to the result that the dealer can raise 20% for every 100% turnover, and so on
generally speaking, when the total turnover rate reaches 200%, the makers will speed up the absorption and build up their positions, because there is no low-cost chips, which is a good opportunity for short-term intervention. When the total turnover rate reaches 300%, the makers have basically absorbed enough chips. Next, the makers will quickly pull up or force to wash the market, so they should grasp the main intention and trend from the opening, Do not blindly rashly and passively change from short-term to medium-term. At this time, we should refer to the short-term index KDJ, especially the 60 minute KDJ index. If it is in a high position, we can wait for the index to be lowered before intervening. This can not only improve the utilization rate of funds, but also avoid short-term quilt

by calculating the total turnover rate, we can roughly judge the degree of main force's position building and lock up, so as to maximize our profits and shorten our time. Especially for the analysis of those new shares just listed soon, the accuracy is high. In the usual market, we can track and analyze those stocks with low turnover rate of more than 300%, and then integrate their daily K-line, trading volume and some technical indicators to grasp the best time to intervene. There must be a thick report

next, we have to calculate the cost of the dealer. We will use the following two methods to estimate:

1. If you use the analysis software, it is the simplest. You can estimate the turnover rate and cost price with the corresponding key, which is the most accurate algorithm

2. Generally speaking, the time for the middle line makers to build their positions is about 40-60 days, that is, 8-12 weeks, and the average value is 10 weeks. From the weekly K-line chart, we can objectively think that the 10 week average price line is the main cost area. This algorithm has a certain error, but it will not deviate by 10%

as a banker, the growth rate of indivial stocks is at least 50%, and most of them are 100%. Generally speaking, if a stock rises by 100% from the lowest point to the highest point of a wave of market, then the normal profit of the dealer is 40%. After we calculate the cost of the main force, we multiply it by 150% at this price, which is the lowest target of the dealer. No matter how tortuous the road is, the stock price will reach this price sooner or later, because if the dealer does not have to, It will never leave the market at a loss. The dealer has a lot of money and is in and out of dilemma. Sometimes, you can't even throw it away? This is the banker's eternal heartache

this is the bottom line of the market maker that we should calculate. If we see the bottom card of the market maker clearly, we can have a definite aim in operation. We are no longer afraid of both the hard and the soft of the market maker, and we can see the rise and fall of the stock price clearly. It's just a psychological game played by the market maker with us. How can we be so unreasonable?