Bank digital currency Research Report
Huang Zhen, director of the Institute of financial law of Central University of Finance and economics, said that digital currency mainly refers to the form of currency and will not cause currency shrinkage. The issuing scale of money is still controlled by the central bank, while the issue of paper money or digital money is just a change of form< In addition, Huang Zhen mentioned that the issue of digital currency is still in the stage of discussion, which is an innovative mechanism of currency value symbol, and many problems are still under study. However, in practice, people are more and more inclined to use e-banking and e-payment rather than carrying notes. Under this trend, the number of banknotes in circulation in the future may decrease
the central bank's issuing of digital currency is still inspired by encrypted digital currencies such as bitcoin and lettercoin, and so is the token of European crowdfunding platform. The digital currency issued by the central bank has monetary attributes, while the token of European crowdfunding platform can only be a kind of asset certificate, a niche proct.
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the media's attention to the central bank's digital currency has increased significantly, especially after Zuckerberg testified in Congress on the Libra issue and Christina Lagarde acknowledged the "clear demand" for stable currency at her first media reception as president of the European Central Bank, which seems to have changed the public's view on this matter, Let many people in cryptocurrency community think that cbdcs is in sight<
according to the latest survey report released by the bank for International Settlements, central banks in the past seven years have been investigating this technology and assessing its impact. Of the 63 central banks surveyed, 55 said they were unlikely to issue cbdcs in the next three years, and only one reported that they were "highly likely to issue large-scale cbdcs in the next three to six years."
although the proportion of central banks studying cbdcs is very high, the crux of the problem is that it is mainly theoretical and investigative work. Only five central banks have concted more in-depth research and real project development or experimentation - but that still does not mean that they will necessarily issue cbdcs
through close observation, it is more and more obvious that both Libra recently released by Facebook and the new stable currency assets have had a significant impact on the central bank. Today's situation took hundreds of years to form, but it changed in a few months; Competition, the most terrifying and unfamiliar concept that has never been thought of before and penetrated into the elite society of central banks, is now knocking at the door
it can be said that the solution to the current situation is still unclear. Some people who are familiar with these things even say that they are bluffing. However, in Lagarde's own words, the slow and wait-and-see regulatory approach can no longer meet the needs
1. What is central bank digital currency<
what is the difference between central bank digital currency CBDC and other digital currencies
CBDC is a new form of currency, which is directly issued by the central bank in digital form as legal tender. The current form of legal currency is cash, reserve deposit or balance settlement< There are two main differences between CBDC and other digital currencies (including cryptocurrency and other forms of central bank currency):
1. CBDC has nothing to do with cryptoassets. They're not decentralized, they don't have to be blockchain based, and they're certainly not anonymous, they're not unlicensed, they're not censored< 2. Contrary to the current digital cash, the operation structure of CBDC will be different from other forms of central bank currency. CBDC has more powerful functions. They are programmable, can generate interest, can be cleared in near real time, and have cheaper handling charges and wider openness
when designing CBDC, the speed of central banks is different. Different central banks adopt their own approach. However, in general, there are three problems being explored: whether CBDC should be based on token or account number, whether CBDC should be batch (only open to banks) or retail (open to the public), and whether it should be based on DLT
when CBDC is to be implemented, things will become complicated, and there are many thorny problems to be considered
for example, once CBDC is launched, does it need to cancel cash? Should CBDC carry interest? Should they have face value like cash? Or linked to the total price index? What impact will this have on commercial banks? What about anonymity and privacy? All these questions need to be answered<
2. Motivation for issuing CBDC
in the 2017 staff discussion paper, the Bank of Canada gave six reasons for issuing CBDC in an article entitled "central bank digital currency: motivation and impact":
1. Ensure that the central bank provides sufficient cash to the public, and maintain the seigniorage revenue of the central bank
2, Support non-traditional monetary policy
3. Rece overall risk and improve financial stability
4. Improve payment competitiveness
5. Promote financial inclusiveness
6. Curb criminal activities
looking back at the bank for International Settlements survey we analyzed earlier, payment security and domestic efficiency are selected as the most important motives of the central bank. According to a large number of papers published by the central bank and other large financial institutions, for developed countries, the transformation into a cashless society is the main driving factor, while for developing countries, financial inclusiveness, cost rection and operational efficiency are the main motivation
throughout the rest of the reports and the literature that can be found, the fierce competition brought about by bitcoin and other innovations in the cryptocurrency instry, as well as the clear need for "one step ahead", of course, are not listed as the reasons for issuing CBDC< The advantages and potential risks of CBDC are very low.
if the central bank starts to launch CBDC and succeeds in the end, there are many potential benefits
from a technical point of view, CBDC is much better than the current form of legal currency. They can be tracked better, collect taxes more conveniently, transmit monetary policy better, have better financial inclusiveness, and rece the cost of procing physical currency
the most obvious advantage is that payment is cheaper and faster, whether it is domestic payment or cross-border payment
in addition to the design and implementation problems, a key problem of issuing CBDC is that CBDC may increase the risk of bank operation. However, this only happens when banks promise that their deposits can be converted into CBDC on demand, which is not necessarily the case, according to the Bank of England document
4. Facts on the ground
how far is it from us to see a real CBDC appear in the market? It's hard to estimate, but at present, we can sum up the current situation in one sentence: all talk but no practice
if we put aside the failed digital currencies of Ecuador, Tunisia and Venezuela, we can only do theoretical research, a small amount of experiments, and issue some feasible CBDC issuance announcements supported by the state in the future
the most famous CBDC projects in progress are: e-peso in Uruguay (the project was successfully tested in 2018), DCEP in China, "project Inthanon" in Thailand, e-krona in Sweden (still in the research stage)...
5. The revolution has not yet been successful, and comrades still need to work hard
considering the factors mentioned above, Most of the headlines about CBDC's upcoming release are groundless. All projects scheled to be released this year have been delayed
in fact, there is still a long way to go for the birth of CBDC, and to convince the public, we need more than a statement. Given the current situation, it seems that CBDC and other cryptocurrencies may not affect each other - at least for now.
in its Research Report on CBDC, the Bank of England defines central bank digital currency as an electronic form of central bank currency, which can be used by households and businesses to make payments and store value
the Chinese version of CBDC is described as a controllable anonymous payment tool, which is issued by the people's Bank of China, operated by designated operating institutions and exchanged to the public, based on the generalized account system, supports the loose coupling function of bank accounts, is equivalent to banknotes and coins, and has value characteristics and legal compensation
what we call DC / EP is the Chinese version of the central bank's digital currency, translated as "digital currency and electronic payment instruments"
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According to the published data and conclusions, China will be ahead of foreign countries in terms of science and technology theory, e-payment habit and mature payment system{ RRRRR}
finally, in China, the electronic payment system is relatively perfect, that is to say, if digital currency is implemented in the future, it can be easily implemented, and the related construction cost is relatively low. Moreover, whether it is digital currency or electronic payment, the difference between the two is not big, and digital currency can adapt to more diverse scenarios, and people can accept it more easily, It will not become unaccustomed because of the sudden change, which will also lay a good foundation for the development of digital currency in our country. However, such a system and payment habit are not possessed by other countries at all, and most countries are not used to electronic payment, so there is no digital currency base at all
a few days ago, Indian Prime Minister modi announced the issuance of a new currency aimed at combating tax evasion and money laundering. In fact, if the central bank issues digital currency with perfect technology and mature mechanism, it will have better effect. Because the digital currency, in addition to anti-counterfeiting, with the help of blockchain technology, makes the capital data traceable and highly transparent. These features can also be used for macro data statistics and monitoring, which has positive significance for big data risk control
as for what bank digital currency is, the central bank requested at the meeting on January 20 this year that the research team of the people's Bank of China should actively absorb the important achievements and practical experience of digital currency research at home and abroad, continue to promote on the basis of preliminary work, establish a more effective organizational guarantee mechanism, and further clarify the strategic objectives of the central bank in issuing digital currency, Do a good job in tackling key technologies, study the multi scenario application of digital currency, and strive to launch the digital currency issued by the central bank as soon as possible.
Digital currency is more likely to shake the intermediary status of banks between consumers and enterprises, so why should banks introce digital currency to bring adverse effects on themselves
sometimes people say, & lsquo; Well, that's to raise money;. If a token is only issued to raise funds, it may not be the best token. Pro, you just want to see that the issued tokens will bring real value to the system, right? It's an incredible, unstable asset type. But a lot of people see a lot of hope. Some people predict that the price will rise to 50000 in a few years, while others say it will be one million 8943;