Digital currency instability
To guard against the possible risks brought by bitcoin, we know that digital currency represented by bitcoin has high risks. This kind of risk is mainly reflected in two aspects: first, the limitation of digital currency makes it used as investment goods, and the price is extremely unstable. Those who do not understand the principle of digital currency and pay too much attention to speculation are easy to suffer losses for various reasons
Secondly, national digital currency is linked to its own legal currency to a certain extent, so it effectively avoids the price volatility of bitcoin. Because the CBDC issued by our country is guaranteed by the credit of the central bank, it must be a stable currency. In today's international situation, the research and development of digital currency in China is of great significance. The introction of digital currency is not an expedient measure, it has become the development direction of China's future currencyRecently, the price of global crypto digital currency is quite unstable. Bitcoin has fallen below US $7000 from its peak of US $20000 at the end of last year, and soared by more than 11% in one day. There are huge fluctuations in the market, and there are many differences in the attitudes of countries towards digital currency. Some announced that they would issue the world's first sovereign legal digital currency, showing a "strong support" attitude, and more countries carefully observed and focused on research and guidance
the existing monetary and financial system is not a natural evolution, but an inevitable result of legal restrictions or government regulation. Although cryptocurrency has many defects, it is also a valuable experiment, especially in the exploration of super sovereign currency. Different from precious metal currency and credit currency, they are oriented to the exploration of "transaction benchmark consensus" in the data age. Of course, if it is affected by too much price fluctuation, speculation, deflation restrictions, etc., and the payment function of crypto digital currency can not be truly implemented, it can only be further and further away from the "currency experiment", or become a special basic "digital asset", or a flash in the pan in the long history
still want to cancel virtual currency< br />
1. The factor of investment supply and demand is actually not independent, and investors' demand for digital currency is also affected by various news factors. However, from the price surge of last year, in the absence of obvious policy and other news, The admission of investors and investment institutions will also promote the price growth
2. Policy factors are also important factors affecting the price of digital red packets. In the past, the implementation and formulation of policies in South Korea, Japan, the United States and China have affected the price trend of bitcoin
3. The real financial factors and the instability of the real financial world make the demand for digital assets rise from time to time. For example, the Chinese government's policy adjustment, the brexit of the UK, the setback of the global stock market at the beginning of 2018 and other events all give play to the hedging characteristics of digital currency
4. Technical factors. Although the security of digital currency has been highly respected in its development, several technical crises still occurred in its development history. For example, bitfinex, the largest bitcoin dollar exchange, was attacked by hackers and stole 120000 bitcoin, and bitcoin fell by 25% in the following six trading days
5. Good news and bad news will affect the fluctuation of currency value
6. The market trend will be affected by the actions of the leading enterprises in this field, platforms, digital currencies with large market share, leaders with great influence in the market, etc
besides, choosing a good project can avoid risks to a certain extent. For example, HNB, the next generation of decentralized blockchain economy, is a reliable project. It relies on the real economy, and at the same time uses value exchange to continuously create endogenous value. It uses blockchain to build an economy, so that everyone can participate in it and get returns through labor, instead of relying on currency speculation.
Digital currency is a double-edged sword. On the one hand, the blockchain technology it relies on has been decentralized and can be used in other fields besides digital currency , which is one of the reasons why bitcoin is popular; On the other hand, if digital currency is widely used by the public as a kind of currency, it will have a huge impact on the effectiveness of monetary policy, financial infrastructure, financial market, financial stability and so on. Specific Wu Xiaoxia:
1. Impact on monetary policy
if digital currency is widely accepted and can play the role of currency, it will weaken the effectiveness of monetary policy and bring difficulties to policy-making
because digital currency issuers are usually unregulated third parties, money is created outside the banking system, and the amount of circulation depends entirely on the wishes of the issuers, which will lead to the instability of money supply. In addition, the authorities are unable to monitor the issuance and circulation of digital currency, which will lead to the inability to accurately judge the economic operation and bring trouble to policy-making, At the same time, it will weaken the effectiveness of policy transmission and implementation
2. Impact on financial infrastructure. The use of distributed ledgers also poses challenges to trading, clearing and settlement, as it promotes the disintermediation of traditional service providers in different markets and infrastructures. These changes may have potential impacts on market infrastructure other than retail payment systems, such as large payment systems, securities settlement systems or trading databases
3. The impact on financial intermediation and financial market in a broad sense. As a financial intermediary, banks perform the ties of acting supervisors and supervise borrowers on behalf of depositors
generally, banks also carry out liquidity and maturity conversion business to realize the financing from depositors to borrowers. If digital currency and distributed ledger are widely used, any subsequent disintermediation may have an impact on savings or credit evaluation mechanisms
4. The impact of security risks and financial stability
assuming that digital currency is recognized by the public, its use increases significantly and replaces legal currency to a certain extent, negative events such as network attacks on user terminals related to digital currency will lead to currency fluctuations, which will have an impact on the financial order and the real economy
in addition, the virtual currency based on blockchain technology is usually held by a few people at the beginning. For example, the first purchase of bitcoin in May 2010 was $25 pizza purchased by 10000 BTC, and the price of each bitcoin rose to $1200 in more than three years by the end of 2013
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extended materials
Amazon will launch digital currency project in Mexico. Amazon is recruiting software development managers for digital and emerging payments (DEP) to develop new payment procts that will enable customers to convert cash into digital currency
the digital and emerging payments sector intends to launch the proct in Mexico first. The follow-up will be extended to Brazil and India. It is reported that the digital currency project will completely focus on payment services in emerging markets
Yang Chuang of Haiteng data answers for you