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The future development trend of central bank digital currency

Publish: 2021-05-01 23:01:01
1. In the future, digital currency may become a form of world currency, which is accepted by countries all over the world. Of course, there may also be a situation of "one over many strong", which is the same as the current global circulation mode of US dollar, euro, pound sterling, RMB and yen. The digital currency that the central bank plans to launch is just the digitization of RMB
bitcoin, Ruitai coin and vitality coin may also exist as a form of currency or as an asset class.
2.

In the morning of March 9, 2014 Beijing time, Jared Cohen, creative director of Google, said at the Sxsw conference this week that digital cryptocurrency similar to bitcoin will exist for a long time. Cohen and Eric Schmidt, Google's chairman, promoted their co-author book the new digital age at the conference
in the past few months, bitcoin prices have fluctuated significantly. At the same time, this digital currency is strongly supported by the hacker community and is closely related to some black markets. Cohen believes that bitcoin has its value, but it will bring risks if it is not regulated
mt.gox lost $400 million worth of bitcoin, which shakes the confidence of the outside world in bitcoin. Some critics even point out that "bitcoin is dead". However, Cohen's statement is a strong support for cryptocurrency technologies such as bitcoin
bitcoin can exist only because both sides of the transaction recognize its transaction value, so anyone can independently design a virtual currency. Ars technica, for example, announced this week that it would create its own cryptocurrency, arscoin
Cohen believes that the main threat to digital cryptocurrency is how to keep it safely, and the loss of mt.gox bitcoin once again highlights this problem. Recently, the US Congress has also launched a debate on digital cryptocurrency. Some members believe that the supervision of the bitcoin should be strengthened to avoid risks. Another congressman, Jared polis, believes that the US dollar has similar defects to bitcoin, so if bitcoin is banned, then the US dollar note should also be banned
digital currency has a short history in the world, but it develops rapidly. Many countries are trying to sum up experiences and lessons through official or non-governmental efforts
take Europe as an example. In 2015, the transaction volume of digital currency in relevant European countries and regions exceeded 1 billion euro. Although the total amount is not large, it is fierce
it was reported on January 2, 2016 that the Bank of England is also considering whether to issue digital currency by the central bank, and the research work is still in the initial stage. Andy Haldane, chief economist of the Bank of England, said that switching to digital currency would be "a great technological leap forward"
DNB, Norway's largest bank, has already cancelled the cash counter service. The bank called on the government to stop using paper money completely. According to the data, only 6% of Norwegians still use cash every day, most of them the elderly. The social cost of cash payment is twice that of electronic money payment. In one day's life, the payment of bus, shopping, payment, refueling, and even parking is completed by swiping the card. Only when the children's school holds a charity sale can the banknotes be used
compared with paper money, digital currency has obvious advantages, which can not only save the cost of issuance and circulation, but also improve the efficiency of transaction or investment, and enhance the convenience and transparency of economic transaction activities. The issue of digital currency by the central bank also ensures the continuity of financial policy and the integrity of monetary policy, and also ensures the security of monetary transactions
although the issuing method of digital currency is still under study, paper currency has been regarded as "the currency of the previous generation" by some professionals, and it is the general trend to be replaced by new technologies and procts. Due to China's large population and volume, the timetable for issuing digital currency is still uncertain. It is predicted that digital currency and cash will be in parallel and graally replaced for quite a long time. When the era of digital currency really comes, people will carry less and less cash, travel more and more safe, poverty alleviation more and more accurate, corruption more and more difficult to escape, and thieves more and more difficult

3. Let's first explain digital currency. The real digital currency is issued by the state, based on the national credit, and stored in the form of electronic data. This is the national legal currency that can be circulated. So far, no country has issued digital currency, so has China. Therefore, anyone claiming to be a digital currency issued by the state is a fraud. The function of legal digital currency is the same as that of paper currency. So there is no concept of investment. Just imagine, would you spend 100 yuan to buy a ten yuan RMB? Bitcoin is still a virtual currency, not a real currency. Bitcoin is an encryption algorithm based on the blockchain, and the calculation results are obtained. The biggest characteristics are decentralization, uniqueness and finiteness. Because of these characteristics, it is impossible for a country to use bitcoin as legal tender. So I have no objection to using bitcoin as a target of speculation. But if bitcoin is promoted as a digital "currency", I think it is suspected of cheating, because it does not have the characteristics of national legal tender. Some people in the world are willing to accept bitcoin transaction. I think it is actually a "barter" transaction, not a real currency transaction. At present, bitnet exchange can provide the most trading pairs, and investors can participate in leveraged trading and perpetual contract trading.
4. In the future, digital currency will be unified, and there will be a situation of one super and many strong
the Central Bank of China held a seminar on digital currency at the beginning of this year, and the issue of digital currency by the central bank has been put on the agenda. Some international banking giants and technology companies are also developing digital currency, and the Bank of England also plans to issue digital currency. All this means that digital currency is getting closer to our real life. However, the digital currency issued by the government may be in circulation in the future, but bitcoin, Ruitai currency and vitality currency can only exist as an asset class.
5.


1. High liquidity

every good and reliable digital currency is essential. Every digital currency should have strong liquidity, not only in the scope of third-party trading platform, but also in offline entities or countries like bitcoin

Second, lower volatility

generally, volatility comes from the influence of third-party trading platform, which is similar to stock trading. Strong operators need to control the market to prevent the digital currency market from soaring or plummeting. Therefore, the volatility of a digital currency can show whether the digital currency can develop stably

Third, tradability one of the most important properties of digital currency is tradability. If a digital currency does not have tradability, the digital currency is basically useless. Only when a digital currency has tradability can it have liquidity and volatility

Fourth, the nature of decentralization digital currency has the characteristics of decentralization. Digital money is neither controlled nor manipulated by centralized entities. That is to say, no indivial or third party can obtain the user's digital currency

Fifth, the value of digital currency is increasing based on the market demand. It is not subject to government regulation or operation, which is not like legal money. The rise and fall of digital currency price depends on the transactions between users on the third-party trading platform

6.

digital currency emerges as the times require and is widely welcomed

digital currency is an unregulated and digital currency, which is usually issued and managed by developers and accepted and used by members of specific virtual communities. The European Banking authority defines virtual currency as a digital representation of value, which is not issued by the central bank or authorities, nor linked with legal currency. However, because it is accepted by the public, it can be used as a means of payment, or it can be transferred, stored or traded in electronic form

in recent years, the excessive issuance of banknotes has led to the aggravation of inflation, the frequent security crisis of third-party payment, and the graal maturity of blockchain technology, so decentralized digital currencies such as bitcoin, Ethereum and reborn have emerged. Digital currency has the advantages of low transaction cost, fast transaction speed, high anonymity and fixed amount of money

analysis of characteristics and advantages of digital currency


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data source: the above data and analysis are published in the in depth analysis report on business model innovation and investment opportunities of China's blockchain instry issued by the Institute of prospective instry

7. On January 20, 2016, the people's Bank of China announced on its website that it held a seminar on digital currency. At the meeting, the central bank asked its digital currency research team to "strive for the early launch of the digital currency issued by the central bank". Similarly, central banks such as the Bank of England and the Bank of Canada are planning or considering issuing their own digital currencies. After the advent of bitcoin triggered a wave of private issue and de nationalization of digital currency, the digital currency issued by the central bank seems to have become a global trend

digital currency is a new technology, which is different from the traditional electronic payment tools used by online banking and third-party payment companies. It is developed on the basis of a series of new technologies - they are not tools to transmit money; They are money in themselves. Among them, digital currency based on cryptography is also called cryptocurrency. Bitcoin is a model of this kind of digital currency. After its birth, it inspired many similar systems. Some commercial banks and central banks have also begun to develop their own digital currency. According to the different issuers, we can divide digital currency into three types:
1. Digital currency issued by non-financial institutions

in November 2008, a man named Nakamoto Tsung invented a new technology called blockchain and designed a point-to-point e-cash system, namely bitcoin, for the first time. On January 3, 2009, Nakamoto completed the code development of bitcoin. Due to its point-to-point and electronic nature, bitcoin can be passed directly between two people without the need for a centralized settlement institution. Therefore, it is a fast, low-cost, borderless payment system
2. Digital currency issued by commercial banks

some large international financial institutions have taken a fancy to the low-cost, fast and safe characteristics of digital currency, and began to try to use its underlying technology, namely blockchain technology, to develop their own digital currency. For example, four of the world's largest banks, UBS, Deutsche Bank, Santander bank and New York Mellon bank, are already involved. Their digital currencies are similar to those mentioned above, but their issuers are different. It is particularly noteworthy that financial institutions develop digital currency to meet the needs of their own rapid clearing transactions, rather than challenge the financial situation by replacing the legal currency issued by the central bank. The domestic Puyin group also launched Puyin
3. Digital currency issued by the central bank

some central banks, such as the people's Bank of China and the Bank of England, also plan to launch their own central bank digital currency after some research on digital currency. Technically, CBDC is the same as the above two, but e to its special identity, CBDC will have a greater economic impact, which is the reason why the central bank wants to introce CBDC.
8. Now we have to clarify the concept of commodities.
the labor procts collected on the ground must not be counted, but must be processed.
the self-sufficient ones must not be counted, and they must be exchanged. For example, the cloth proced by men and women in ancient times was used by themselves. Therefore, it is not a virtual currency.

virtual currency originally refers to unreal currency, which is used in games,
virtual money in computer games will also have its real value. For example, if a player buys his account from another player, he can get all the virtual assets of that player, and then it will be much easier for the player to continue playing. If the game allows players to transfer virtual property, players can buy and sell game props and pay in real currency. If the game props are priced by virtual currency in the game, then the exchange rate between real currency and virtual currency is established

so its value comes.

the value in textbooks is different from the value mentioned above. Value is a kind of social labor result condensed in procts, You should have learned that the amount of value is determined by the social necessary labor time.
the so-called price is just a form of monetary expression of value...

the value in textbooks is a kind of physical value. How can I tell you?
take the stock market for example, some people make money, so can you say that the stock market creates value? No, he doesn't create, he just redistributes wealth...

let's take the use value as an example, remember its definition
the utility of goods that can meet people's needs

is it goods, is virtual currency goods? The so-called goods are made up of atoms...

besides value, the so-called value is that value appears with the emergence of human beings and is defined by human subjective consciousness. Value is a kind of surreal norm or ideal, It's God's creation. Whether a thing has value or not depends on the logic of the concept system, which is a surreal, ideal state, or God given

value comes from nature, and develops with human evolution and social development. The ultimate origin of value can only be the moving

material world and the working human society. The virtual currency belongs to a part of human society... So it is valuable, but from the perspective of textbooks, it is far fetched
9. It will replace most of the cash in the future, but it will also exist with cash for a long time. Digital currency is both beneficial and harmful. If there is a problem with the system, it will not be used.
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