The impact of US election on digital currency market
Publish: 2021-05-08 01:36:11
1. The CFC classifies bitcoin and other virtual currencies as & quot; Commodities & quot; At the same time, each state has successively introced the digital currency regulatory laws and regulations to determine the regulatory framework of the digital currency instry.
2. Zero3 international settlement center adopts blockchain technology to complete cross-border payment through valuable digital assets euz. Compared with the traditional use of foreign exchange purchase and exchange between international banks, in 2018, ant financial services has actually tried to use blockchain technology in the field of international cross-border payment, so it is very good to use blockchain technology in Cross-border payment.
3. Not for the time being, not in the future
4. Hello, the US presidential election is a political activity, but it is bound to play an economic card. Therefore, it will affect the quality of economic data in different periods and indirectly affect the international gold and silver prices
before the general election, the incumbent president will usually over stimulate the economy, resulting in the rapid recovery and development of the domestic economy in the short term, temporarily putting aside the long-term risks of unreasonable economic structure and inflation. In the early days of the election, the Federal Reserve launched qe3 without time and scale restrictions, hoping to quickly reverse the economic downturn, and gold rose sharply. Since then, the U.S. data has improved rapidly, and the unemployment rate has returned to below 8%, which has depressed the decline of gold
ring the general election, investors will track the candidates' economic policies and predict who will be elected, and speculate on the trend of gold according to the economic policies that may change in the future. However, there is often no obvious difference in the economic policies of the candidates or the election is stuck. During this period, the impact of the election on the gold price is very limited
after the election, the general direction of U.S. fiscal policy, monetary policy and US dollar policy is likely to change, which will change the situation of gold. For example, the small government's balanced fiscal policy and the strong US dollar policy chosen ring the Clinton period suppressed the continuous decline of gold and ushered in a medium-term bear market< br /> &# 8195; It is clear that Hillary and trump have begun to prepare for the final showdown in the final national election. Investors should not only ask, can trump and Hillary bring some impetus to the spot market< br /> &# 8195; Silver: when the Congress is held, it will enter the election straight road, probably Hillary against trump. No matter who is in the lead, it will depress the stock market and the US dollar ring the election, while gold and silver are on the contrary. Because the uncertainty of the election is unfavorable to the U.S. economy, after the election, the price of gold and silver may jump until the candidate takes office and begins to implement his policy
the US presidential election is influenced by the US political situation and brexit factors. At present, the price of gold and silver is stronger, the political situation of the United States and the policy uncertainty of the new president will benefit the performance of gold and silver prices from now to November< br /> &# 8195; After November, gold and silver prices may fall. If Hillary Clinton is elected, the US policy will not change greatly, and the price of gold and silver may fall; If trump is elected, the uncertainty will last for some time, and the price of gold and silver has a chance to rise again
crude oil: trump and Hillary Clinton's policy is to support the U.S. oil instry, which is not concive to the cooperation between international oil procing countries, two of which are Saudi Arabia and the United States. Therefore, the oil price may not rise. The market's expectation that the two candidates will support the US oil instry will make the oil price fall.
before the general election, the incumbent president will usually over stimulate the economy, resulting in the rapid recovery and development of the domestic economy in the short term, temporarily putting aside the long-term risks of unreasonable economic structure and inflation. In the early days of the election, the Federal Reserve launched qe3 without time and scale restrictions, hoping to quickly reverse the economic downturn, and gold rose sharply. Since then, the U.S. data has improved rapidly, and the unemployment rate has returned to below 8%, which has depressed the decline of gold
ring the general election, investors will track the candidates' economic policies and predict who will be elected, and speculate on the trend of gold according to the economic policies that may change in the future. However, there is often no obvious difference in the economic policies of the candidates or the election is stuck. During this period, the impact of the election on the gold price is very limited
after the election, the general direction of U.S. fiscal policy, monetary policy and US dollar policy is likely to change, which will change the situation of gold. For example, the small government's balanced fiscal policy and the strong US dollar policy chosen ring the Clinton period suppressed the continuous decline of gold and ushered in a medium-term bear market< br /> &# 8195; It is clear that Hillary and trump have begun to prepare for the final showdown in the final national election. Investors should not only ask, can trump and Hillary bring some impetus to the spot market< br /> &# 8195; Silver: when the Congress is held, it will enter the election straight road, probably Hillary against trump. No matter who is in the lead, it will depress the stock market and the US dollar ring the election, while gold and silver are on the contrary. Because the uncertainty of the election is unfavorable to the U.S. economy, after the election, the price of gold and silver may jump until the candidate takes office and begins to implement his policy
the US presidential election is influenced by the US political situation and brexit factors. At present, the price of gold and silver is stronger, the political situation of the United States and the policy uncertainty of the new president will benefit the performance of gold and silver prices from now to November< br /> &# 8195; After November, gold and silver prices may fall. If Hillary Clinton is elected, the US policy will not change greatly, and the price of gold and silver may fall; If trump is elected, the uncertainty will last for some time, and the price of gold and silver has a chance to rise again
crude oil: trump and Hillary Clinton's policy is to support the U.S. oil instry, which is not concive to the cooperation between international oil procing countries, two of which are Saudi Arabia and the United States. Therefore, the oil price may not rise. The market's expectation that the two candidates will support the US oil instry will make the oil price fall.
5.
The result of the US election will not have much impact on the RMB
No matter who is elected president of the United States, he will devote his economic policy to safeguarding his own interests, so the new US government is unlikely to have much impact on the capital market. China's economy is in the process of transformation, upgrading and opening up, and the economy going out of L-shape will support the long-term strength of RMBe to the early release of the Federal Reserve's expectation of interest rate increase in December, the US dollar index is hovering at a high level, and there is great uncertainty in the future. The future trend of RMB is mainly determined by internal factors, so the results of the US election will not have much impact on RMB
China's CPI in July 2006 only increased by 1% over the same period of the previous year, while the overall consumer price in the United States increased by about 4.1% over the same period of the previous year. The difference in price increases between China and the United States in July was 3.1 percentage points, roughly the same as the 3.3% increase in RMB since 2006 In May 2006, the yield of one-year US dollar bonds on the London market was 5.7%, while the yield of one-year bonds issued by the people's Bank of China was only 2.6%, and the difference between the two was just 3.1%as of July 2016, the appreciation rate of RMB against US dollar in the past year is 3.28%, which is roughly the same as the above yield difference! The reason why investors in RMB assets are willing to accept a lower rate of return is that they expect the appreciation of RMB to be slightly more than 3%
as long as investors continue to expect RMB to appreciate at this rate every year, according to the above monetary policy rule of keeping China's inflation rate lower than that of the United States, the interest rate gap between RMB and the US dollar will remain at about 3%
6. The four-year US presidential election will have a certain impact on the whole market. The US presidential election will bring economic and political uncertainty, which will last for a period of time; At the end of July, the two parties will hold a National Congress, and between now and the end of July, the uncertainty will be high. The stock market will be very volatile, the US dollar may be under pressure, so the gold and silver trend will be stronger
when the Congress is held, it will go straight to the election, probably Hillary against trump. No matter who is in the lead, the election period is a pressure on the stock market and a disadvantage to the US dollar, while gold is on the contrary. Because the uncertainty of the election is unfavorable to the U.S. economy, the price of gold may jump after the election, until the candidate takes office and begins to implement his policy
what is the impact of the US presidential election on gold and oil prices:
the US presidential election is affected by the US political situation and brexit factors. At present, the stronger gold price, the uncertainty of the US political situation and the new president's policy will benefit the performance of gold price from now to November. After November, gold price may fall back. If Hillary Clinton is elected, the US policy will not change greatly, and the gold price may fall; If trump is elected, the uncertainty will last for some time, and gold has a chance to rise again
in terms of oil prices, both candidates support the US oil instry, which is not concive to the cooperation between international oil procing countries, two of which are Saudi Arabia and the United States. Therefore, oil prices may not continue to rise. The market's expectation that the two candidates will support the U.S. oil instry will make oil prices fall<
what is the impact of the US presidential election on the stock market and foreign exchange market:
the US stock market is now at the top, and will not rise sharply at the current level. The third quarter of 2015 is a periodic high for US stock market, and the stock market will be rampant or down for some time in the future. The U.S. election has intensified the pessimistic view of the U.S. economy, which is not concive to the trend of the stock market. Therefore, we do not think that the U.S. stock market will go to a new high, and the U.S. stock market will not be as strong as may, so it is a good opportunity to short
as for the foreign exchange market, the US dollar will remain relatively strong and will not continue to rise as much as it did in the past year and a half, but it will not fall sharply because the US economy is stronger than most countries. Meanwhile, global investors are still investing in the US dollar, US stocks and real estate. Therefore, the US dollar will not fall sharply< br />
when the Congress is held, it will go straight to the election, probably Hillary against trump. No matter who is in the lead, the election period is a pressure on the stock market and a disadvantage to the US dollar, while gold is on the contrary. Because the uncertainty of the election is unfavorable to the U.S. economy, the price of gold may jump after the election, until the candidate takes office and begins to implement his policy
what is the impact of the US presidential election on gold and oil prices:
the US presidential election is affected by the US political situation and brexit factors. At present, the stronger gold price, the uncertainty of the US political situation and the new president's policy will benefit the performance of gold price from now to November. After November, gold price may fall back. If Hillary Clinton is elected, the US policy will not change greatly, and the gold price may fall; If trump is elected, the uncertainty will last for some time, and gold has a chance to rise again
in terms of oil prices, both candidates support the US oil instry, which is not concive to the cooperation between international oil procing countries, two of which are Saudi Arabia and the United States. Therefore, oil prices may not continue to rise. The market's expectation that the two candidates will support the U.S. oil instry will make oil prices fall<
what is the impact of the US presidential election on the stock market and foreign exchange market:
the US stock market is now at the top, and will not rise sharply at the current level. The third quarter of 2015 is a periodic high for US stock market, and the stock market will be rampant or down for some time in the future. The U.S. election has intensified the pessimistic view of the U.S. economy, which is not concive to the trend of the stock market. Therefore, we do not think that the U.S. stock market will go to a new high, and the U.S. stock market will not be as strong as may, so it is a good opportunity to short
as for the foreign exchange market, the US dollar will remain relatively strong and will not continue to rise as much as it did in the past year and a half, but it will not fall sharply because the US economy is stronger than most countries. Meanwhile, global investors are still investing in the US dollar, US stocks and real estate. Therefore, the US dollar will not fall sharply< br />
7. In the short run, the financial market will be impacted and the foreign exchange market will be polarized
on the day of the general election, the market has shown great ups and downs. Although the brexit crisis has enhanced the awareness of market risk prevention, the market fluctuation will continue for a long time
the risk aversion sentiment of the market has increased greatly, and precious metals such as gold and silver will rise rapidly in the short term. The uncertainty of economic growth and policy will put pressure on the prices of energy such as oil and bulk commodities such as metal minerals
the results of the general election will have an important impact on monetary policy
the foreign exchange market will be polarized. On the one hand, the US dollar panic index will rise, the US dollar will further weaken, and the traditional safe haven currencies such as yen, Swiss franc, euro and pound will appreciate; On the other hand, there will be further pressure on the currencies of resource exporting countries represented by the Australian dollar and many emerging market currencies in Asia, leading to further devaluation, which may even exceed the depreciation of the US dollar
the pressure on RMB will weaken in the short term, and it is even expected to become a safe haven currency. I noticed that in September and October, China's capital outflow was still quite serious, foreign reserves further declined, and the exchange rate depreciated to around 6.8. However, after Trump came to power, the pressure of capital outflow decreased. Even if the central bank allows the RMB to depreciate slowly, the RMB exchange rate is still expected to remain between 6.7 and 6.8 by the end of the year
in terms of US dollar assets, US long-term treasury bonds are risk averse assets, and the pressure will not be too great, while the pressure on short-term treasury bonds may increase. On the whole, considering that trump will not take office until January 20, 2017, his economic policies will be greatly affected by the new Congress, the Supreme Court, the presidential cabinet, etc., so in the short term, it will have little impact on the global economic fundamentals
in the long run, China's economy may have a negative impact, but it will show resilience< First, global economic growth may decline< Second, inflation may be pushed up
thirdly, the trade surplus of trading partners decreased
Fourth, it further led to the rise of risk aversion in the United States, which was negative for risk assets and positive for gold, yen and other risk aversion assets
in the short term, the financial market will be impacted and the foreign exchange market will be polarized
on the day of the general election, the market has shown great ups and downs. Although the brexit crisis has enhanced the awareness of market risk prevention, the market fluctuation will continue for a long time
the risk aversion sentiment of the market has increased greatly, and precious metals such as gold and silver will rise rapidly in the short term. The uncertainty of economic growth and policy will put pressure on the prices of energy such as oil and bulk commodities such as metal minerals
the results of the general election will have an important impact on monetary policy
the foreign exchange market will be polarized. On the one hand, the US dollar panic index will rise, the US dollar will further weaken, and the traditional safe haven currencies such as yen, Swiss franc, euro and pound will appreciate; On the other hand, there will be further pressure on the currencies of resource exporting countries represented by the Australian dollar and many emerging market currencies in Asia, leading to further devaluation, which may even exceed the depreciation of the US dollar
the pressure on RMB will weaken in the short term, and it is even expected to become a safe haven currency. I noticed that in September and October, China's capital outflow was still quite serious, foreign reserves further declined, and the exchange rate depreciated to around 6.8. However, after Trump came to power, the pressure of capital outflow decreased. Even if the central bank allows the RMB to depreciate slowly, the RMB exchange rate is still expected to remain between 6.7 and 6.8 by the end of the year
in terms of US dollar assets, US long-term treasury bonds are risk averse assets, and the pressure will not be too great, while the pressure on short-term treasury bonds may increase. On the whole, considering that trump will not take office until January 20, 2017, his economic policies will be greatly affected by the new Congress, the Supreme Court, the presidential cabinet, etc., so in the short term, it will have little impact on the global economic fundamentals
in the long run, China's economy may have a negative impact, but it will show resilience< First, global economic growth may decline< Second, inflation may be pushed up
thirdly, the trade surplus of trading partners decreased
Fourth, it further led to the rise of risk aversion in the United States, which was negative for risk assets and positive for gold, yen and other risk aversion assets.
on the day of the general election, the market has shown great ups and downs. Although the brexit crisis has enhanced the awareness of market risk prevention, the market fluctuation will continue for a long time
the risk aversion sentiment of the market has increased greatly, and precious metals such as gold and silver will rise rapidly in the short term. The uncertainty of economic growth and policy will put pressure on the prices of energy such as oil and bulk commodities such as metal minerals
the results of the general election will have an important impact on monetary policy
the foreign exchange market will be polarized. On the one hand, the US dollar panic index will rise, the US dollar will further weaken, and the traditional safe haven currencies such as yen, Swiss franc, euro and pound will appreciate; On the other hand, there will be further pressure on the currencies of resource exporting countries represented by the Australian dollar and many emerging market currencies in Asia, leading to further devaluation, which may even exceed the depreciation of the US dollar
the pressure on RMB will weaken in the short term, and it is even expected to become a safe haven currency. I noticed that in September and October, China's capital outflow was still quite serious, foreign reserves further declined, and the exchange rate depreciated to around 6.8. However, after Trump came to power, the pressure of capital outflow decreased. Even if the central bank allows the RMB to depreciate slowly, the RMB exchange rate is still expected to remain between 6.7 and 6.8 by the end of the year
in terms of US dollar assets, US long-term treasury bonds are risk averse assets, and the pressure will not be too great, while the pressure on short-term treasury bonds may increase. On the whole, considering that trump will not take office until January 20, 2017, his economic policies will be greatly affected by the new Congress, the Supreme Court, the presidential cabinet, etc., so in the short term, it will have little impact on the global economic fundamentals
in the long run, China's economy may have a negative impact, but it will show resilience< First, global economic growth may decline< Second, inflation may be pushed up
thirdly, the trade surplus of trading partners decreased
Fourth, it further led to the rise of risk aversion in the United States, which was negative for risk assets and positive for gold, yen and other risk aversion assets
in the short term, the financial market will be impacted and the foreign exchange market will be polarized
on the day of the general election, the market has shown great ups and downs. Although the brexit crisis has enhanced the awareness of market risk prevention, the market fluctuation will continue for a long time
the risk aversion sentiment of the market has increased greatly, and precious metals such as gold and silver will rise rapidly in the short term. The uncertainty of economic growth and policy will put pressure on the prices of energy such as oil and bulk commodities such as metal minerals
the results of the general election will have an important impact on monetary policy
the foreign exchange market will be polarized. On the one hand, the US dollar panic index will rise, the US dollar will further weaken, and the traditional safe haven currencies such as yen, Swiss franc, euro and pound will appreciate; On the other hand, there will be further pressure on the currencies of resource exporting countries represented by the Australian dollar and many emerging market currencies in Asia, leading to further devaluation, which may even exceed the depreciation of the US dollar
the pressure on RMB will weaken in the short term, and it is even expected to become a safe haven currency. I noticed that in September and October, China's capital outflow was still quite serious, foreign reserves further declined, and the exchange rate depreciated to around 6.8. However, after Trump came to power, the pressure of capital outflow decreased. Even if the central bank allows the RMB to depreciate slowly, the RMB exchange rate is still expected to remain between 6.7 and 6.8 by the end of the year
in terms of US dollar assets, US long-term treasury bonds are risk averse assets, and the pressure will not be too great, while the pressure on short-term treasury bonds may increase. On the whole, considering that trump will not take office until January 20, 2017, his economic policies will be greatly affected by the new Congress, the Supreme Court, the presidential cabinet, etc., so in the short term, it will have little impact on the global economic fundamentals
in the long run, China's economy may have a negative impact, but it will show resilience< First, global economic growth may decline< Second, inflation may be pushed up
thirdly, the trade surplus of trading partners decreased
Fourth, it further led to the rise of risk aversion in the United States, which was negative for risk assets and positive for gold, yen and other risk aversion assets.
8. As far as the election is concerned, it will aggravate the volatility of the stock market in the short term, but not in the medium and long term. The impact will depend on the policies of the new president
9.
trump and Hilary represent two different roads. President Hilary continued the current old road. After Trump came to power, the US policy will undergo tremendous changes and the dollar will also be strengthened. p> The increase of tariffs and the implementation of trade protection will promote the return of American manufacturing instry and full employment in the United States
cut or rece Obamacare bill spending, rece government spending
ask Japan, South Korea and other allies to pay for the US Garrison and rece the government's military expenditure
take a tough attitude towards illegal immigrants, rece labor supply, and ensure full employment in the United States
take a tough attitude towards American enterprises that evade taxes overseas, force them to return and increase government revenue
increase infrastructure, improve proction efficiency, and achieve full employment in the United States
In short, the US real economy will continue to recover, not just the stock market. The dollar will rise strongly in the short term (one year)Hot content